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18.7 Million U.S. Consumers in Financial Hardship Programs Experienced an Increase to their Credit Scores; Study Finds Their Performance Similar to Non-Hardship Consumers

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TransUnion's recent study reveals that 18.7 million U.S. consumers in financial hardship programs saw an increase in their VantageScore 4.0 credit risk scores in 2020, which represents 58% of this population. The study highlights that credit risk varies based on when consumers exited hardship status, with consumers who left these programs demonstrating better performance on new bankcard originations compared to their non-hardship counterparts. It suggests that lenders can better assess risks by applying alternative credit scores.

Positive
  • 58% of hardship program participants saw improved credit scores in 2020.
  • Hardship exiters had lower delinquency rates (4.8%) on new bankcards compared to non-hardship consumers (5.1%).
  • Application of alternative credit risk scores could improve lending assessments.
Negative
  • 4.9% delinquency rate for hardship remainers indicates lingering financial risk.

TransUnion study finds that credit risk often changed based on when consumers exited hardship programs

CHICAGO, Oct. 07, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Despite financial challenges brought forth by the COVID-19 pandemic, a new study from TransUnion (NYSE: TRU) found that 18.7 million U.S. consumers that entered a financial hardship program experienced an increase to their VantageScore 4.0 credit risk scores in 2020. This accounted for 58% of the total hardship population (excluding student loans).

Yet, the credit risk of those individuals in financial hardship programs often changed based on when they exited a hardship status. Financial hardship is defined by factors such as deferred payment and forbearance programs for credit products such as auto loans, credit cards, mortgages and personal loans.

“COVID-19 has presented enormous financial challenges to consumers and businesses, especially during the first six months of the pandemic,” said Paul Siegfried, senior vice president and card and banking business lead at TransUnion. “Our research shows that while many consumers were negatively impacted by the pandemic, the majority experienced an increase in their credit scores.”

However, consumers in financial hardship present different risks based on whether they exited or remained in financial hardship as of Q3 2020. TransUnion analyzed 1.3M hardship consumers whose score improved in 2020 to evaluate their performance on new bankcard originations.

The early month on book performance on new bankcards for consumers who were in hardship programs is outperforming non-hardship consumers. Hardship exiters had a 4.8% 30+ days past due delinquency rate six months after origination of a new bankcard in Q4 2020. Hardship remainers had a 4.9% delinquency rate while non-hardship consumers had a 5.1% delinquency rate.  

The study also found that hardship consumers in each credit risk tier were more likely to originate new bankcards after score improvement compared to those individuals who did not go into hardship.

“We drilled down further into the study and split the hardship consumers based on their current hardship status – those who exited and those who remained. We found that hardship exiters exhibit higher credit use behaviors as they are more likely to have mortgages and have higher utilization,” said Siegfried.

Assessing Risk in a New, Complex Lending Environment

Such nuances between financial hardship exiters, remainers and various risk groups often pose a challenge for lenders when offering new loans. The study found that applying alternative credit risk scores can help lenders better assess borrowers.

In particular, the study found that TransUnion’s CreditVision Acute Relief Risk Score for non-prime and CreditVision Early Payment Default Score for prime and above credit tiers can better separate low- to high-risk consumers. Further separation was evident by applying a segmentation of hardship exiters and hardship remainers.

“Many people continue to feel anxious about their finances. An important thing to keep in mind is making regular, on-time payments is one of the most important factors for credit health. If a consumer can’t make payments, they should talk with their lenders to find out if they’re offering any assistance,” concluded Margaret Poe, head of consumer credit education at TransUnion.

Individuals interested in learning how to read their credit report can click here. More information about the study can be accessed here.

About TransUnion (NYSE: TRU)
TransUnion is a global information and insights company that makes trust possible in the modern economy. We do this by providing a comprehensive picture of each person so they can be reliably and safely represented in the marketplace. As a result, businesses and consumers can transact with confidence and achieve great things. We call this Information for Good.®

A leading presence in more than 30 countries across five continents, TransUnion provides solutions that help create economic opportunity, great experiences, and personal empowerment for hundreds of millions of people.

http://www.transunion.com/business

Contact   Dave Blumberg
   TransUnion
   
E-mail   david.blumberg@transunion.com
   
Telephone   312-972-6646


FAQ

What did the TransUnion study reveal about credit scores in hardship programs?

The study found that 18.7 million U.S. consumers in hardship programs saw their VantageScore 4.0 credit scores increase in 2020.

How does exiting hardship programs affect credit risk scores?

Consumers who exited hardship programs performed better on new bankcard originations compared to those who remained in hardship or non-hardship consumers.

What were the delinquency rates for bankcards for hardship exiters?

Hardship exiters had a 30+ days past due delinquency rate of 4.8% six months after bankcard origination.

How can lenders assess risk for consumers in hardship?

The study suggests that using alternative credit risk scores can help lenders better evaluate borrowers.

What percentage of hardship program participants improved their credit scores?

58% of consumers in financial hardship programs experienced an improvement in their credit scores in 2020.

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