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Redfin Reports Pending Home Sales Hit Highest Level in Nearly 4 Years

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mortgage-purchase applications financial
Mortgage-purchase applications are requests submitted by consumers to lenders for home loans used to buy properties, as opposed to loans for refinancing existing mortgages. Investors watch the number and trend of these applications because they act like a real-time thermometer of housing demand and consumer confidence—rising applications suggest stronger home sales, construction activity, and related spending, while falling applications can signal cooling in the housing market and pressure on companies tied to mortgages and homebuilding.
seasonally adjusted technical
Seasonally adjusted means that figures have been modified to remove the effects of regular and predictable changes that happen at specific times of the year, such as holidays or weather patterns. This adjustment helps reveal the true underlying trend by making comparisons across different periods more accurate. For investors, it provides a clearer picture of whether economic activity is genuinely improving or declining, without the noise of seasonal fluctuations.
months of supply technical
Months of supply measures how long it would take to sell all available homes at the current sales rate. It is calculated by dividing the total number of homes for sale by the number of homes sold each month. A lower number suggests a faster market with high demand, while a higher number indicates a slower market with more choices for buyers.
sale-to-list price ratio financial
The sale-to-list price ratio measures how much of a property's asking price is actually paid by buyers, expressed as a percentage. For example, if a home is listed at $300,000 and sells for $285,000, the ratio is 95%. This figure helps investors gauge the strength of the market: a higher ratio suggests buyers are willing to pay close to asking prices, indicating high demand.
median sale price financial
The median sale price is the middle value of all home sale prices in a given area, meaning half of the homes sold for more and half for less. It provides a clear picture of typical home prices, helping investors understand the market's general level without being skewed by extremely high or low sales. This makes it a useful tool for gauging overall market trends and affordability.
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More homebuyers jumped into the market as mortgage rates came down temporarily last week, but it’s still slower than past springs

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- U.S. pending home sales hit their highest level since September 2022 during the four weeks ending May 3, according to a new report from Redfin, the real estate brokerage powered by Rocket. They rose 7.7% year over year on a seasonally adjusted basis.

There are a few reasons homebuyers are coming off the sidelines:

  • Housing costs came down temporarily. The median U.S. housing payment declined 2.2% year over year as mortgage rates ticked down. Rates fell to 6.23% last week from a 6-month high of 6.46% two weeks earlier. (Daily average rates rose as high as 6.56% this week due to jitters about renewed fighting and uncertainty in Iran.)
  • There are more houses on the market. The total number of homes for sale rose roughly 1% year over year to near their highest level in at least five years. When there are more homes to buy, there are more sales.
  • Seasonality is kicking in later than usual. Spring is typically the busiest time of year for the housing market: A recent Redfin analysis found that late April is the best time of year to list a home for sale because homes are more likely to sell above their asking price, and to sell quickly. The big uptick in seasonally adjusted pending sales could signal that spring homebuying season is starting late.

Still, the market is slower and less competitive than past springs. The typical home that sells goes under contract in 43 days, three days longer than a year ago. Just over one-quarter (26.4%) of homes that go under contract are selling above asking price, the lowest share for this time of year in at least five years.

“Some homes are attracting multiple offers, but only those that are priced fairly and have been updated,” said Ashley Arzer, a Redfin Premier agent in Chicago. “A new kitchen and new bathroom are the ticket to a bidding war. Older homes that need repairs, and those far above the most popular price range—around $400,000 in Chicago—are taking longer to sell.”

For Redfin economists’ takes on the housing market, please visit Redfin’s “From Our Economists” page.

Leading indicators

Indicators of homebuying demand and activity

 

Value (if applicable)

Recent change

Year-over-year change

Source

Daily average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.44% (May 6)

Down from 6.56% on May 4, which was the highest level since end of March

Down from 6.9%

Mortgage News Daily

Weekly average 30-year fixed mortgage rate

6.3% (week ending April 30)

Up from 6.23% one week earlier

Down from 6.76%

Freddie Mac

Mortgage-purchase applications (seasonally adjusted)

 

Down 4% from a week earlier (as of week ending May 1)

Up 5%

Mortgage Bankers Association

Google searches of “homes for sale”

 

Highest level in 9 months (as of May 4)

Up more than 20%

Google Trends

Touring activity

 

Up 32% from the start of the year (as of May 4)

At this time last year, it was up 43% from the start of 2025

ShowingTime

Key housing-market data

U.S. highlights: Four weeks ending May 3, 2026

Redfin’s national metrics include data from 900+ U.S. metro areas and are based on homes listed and/or sold during the period. Weekly housing-market data goes back through 2021. Subject to revision.

 

Four weeks ending

May 3, 2026

Year-over-year change

Notes

Median sale price

$394,803

1.9%

 

Median asking price (seasonally adjusted)

$406,493

1.5%

 

Median monthly mortgage payment (seasonally adjusted)

$2,606 at a 6.3% mortgage rate

-2.2%

 

Pending sales (seasonally adjusted)

340,101

7.7%

 

New listings (seasonally adjusted)

373,607

-1.8%

 

Active listings (seasonally adjusted)

1,477,250

0.9%

 

Months of supply

3.5

-0.1 pts.

4 to 5 months of supply is considered balanced, with a lower number indicating seller’s market conditions

Share of homes off market in two weeks

39.2%

Down from 40%

 

Median days on market

43

+3 days

 

Share of home listings with price drops

18.8%

Essentially unchanged

 

Share of homes sold above list price

26.4%

Down from 28%

 

Average sale-to-list price ratio

98.7%

Down from 99%

 

Metro-level highlights: Four weeks ending May 3, 2026

Redfin’s metro-level data includes the 50 most populous U.S. metros. Select metros may be excluded from time to time to ensure data accuracy.

 

Metros with biggest year-over-year increases

Metros with biggest year-over-year decreases

Notes

Median sale price

San Francisco (11%)

Cleveland (8.2%)

Kansas City, MO (7.9%)

Cincinnati (7.5%)

Detroit (7.4%)

Newark, NJ (-3.3%)

San Jose, CA (-3.2%)

Seattle (-3.2%)

Dallas (-3.2%)

Las Vegas (-2.5%)

Declined in 19 metros

Pending sales

Chicago (19.2%)

Pittsburgh (16.5%)

San Francisco (15.2%)

Miami (15%)

Austin, TX (14.6%)

Houston (-9.3%)

Detroit (-3.3%)

Seattle (-2.7%)

Warren, MI (-1.8%)

Declined in just 4 metros

New listings

Columbus, OH (9.5%)

Nassau County, NY (9.4%)

Cincinnati (9.2%)

Milwaukee (9.1%)

Newark, NJ (9.1%)

Dallas (-14.9%)

Jacksonville, FL (-14.5%)

Denver (-14.3%)

Fort Worth, TX (-13%)

Las Vegas (-13%)

 

 

 

To view the full report, including charts, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/pending-home-sales-rise-spring

About Redfin

Redfin is a technology-driven real estate company with the country's most-visited real estate brokerage website. As part of Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT), Redfin is creating an integrated homeownership platform from search to close to make the dream of homeownership more affordable and accessible for everyone. Redfin’s clients can see homes first with on-demand tours, easily apply for a home loan with Rocket Mortgage, and save thousands in fees while working with a top local agent.

You can find more information about Redfin and get the latest housing market data and research at https://www.redfin.com/news. For more information about Rocket Companies, visit https://www.rocketcompanies.com.

Contact Redfin Journalist Services:
Kynsay Hunt
press@redfin.com

Source: Redfin