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Orchid Island Capital Announces Fourth Quarter 2023 Results

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Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) announced net income of $27.1 million, or $0.52 per common share, for the fourth quarter of 2023. The company's book value per common share was $9.10 at the end of 2023, with a total return of 6.05%. Orchid maintained a strong liquidity position of $200.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and unpledged securities, and borrowing capacity in excess of $3,705.7 million. The company's net loss for the full year 2023 was $39.2 million.
Positive
  • Net income of $27.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2023
  • Book value per common share of $9.10 at the end of 2023
  • Total return of 6.05%
  • Strong liquidity position of $200.4 million
  • Borrowing capacity in excess of $3,705.7 million
Negative
  • Net loss of $39.2 million for the full year 2023

Insights

The financial results reported by Orchid Island Capital, Inc. for the fourth quarter and full year of 2023 show a net income of $27.1 million for the fourth quarter, a significant improvement from the net loss of $39.2 million for the entire year. This turnaround is primarily attributed to net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments. The company's strategy to reduce leverage and decrease the size of the portfolio during periods of poor mortgage performance and increased interest rates has likely contributed to the stabilization of their book value, which increased from $8.92 to $9.10 per share.

Investors should note the company's effective duration, which indicates sensitivity to interest rate changes. The decrease from 5.580 to 4.400 suggests a reduced interest rate risk profile, likely due to the company's hedging activities. The total return of 6.05%, inclusive of dividends and book value increase, is a key metric for evaluating the performance of a REIT like Orchid. The company's liquidity position and borrowing capacity provide a buffer against market volatility, which is reassuring for investors concerned about short-term cash flow needs.

However, the net interest spread being negative in both the third and fourth quarters indicates that the cost of borrowing was higher than the income generated from the RMBS portfolio, a factor that could impact future profitability if not addressed. The constant prepayment rate (CPR) of 5.5% is also worth noting, as it influences the yield on the RMBS portfolio and the company's interest income.

Orchid Island Capital's positioning within the broader market is reflective of the fixed income market's performance in the latter part of 2023. The company's Agency MBS portfolio outperformed several sectors, benefiting from the overall positive returns in fixed income markets. This performance is particularly notable given the negative year-to-date returns observed in the fixed income markets as of November 1, 2023.

The decline in interest rates towards the end of the quarter, as indicated by the drops in the yield on 2-year and 10-year U.S. Treasuries, has likely contributed to the positive performance of Orchid's portfolio and book value. This decline also aligns with the broader equity market returns, with the S&P 500 showing strong performance. The company's strategic adjustments in response to market conditions, such as reducing exposure to lower coupon securities and increasing the weighted average coupon, demonstrate a proactive approach to asset management that could be favorable for long-term growth.

Investors should consider the implications of the Federal Reserve's potential rate cuts on Orchid's funding costs and earnings. If the Fed reduces rates, Orchid's funding costs may decrease, potentially leading to increased earnings and a more favorable economic interest spread, which widened from 1.33% to 2.35% by year-end.

Orchid Island Capital's results must be contextualized within the economic environment, particularly the monetary policy landscape. The Fed's signaling of a potential halt in rate hikes and possible rate cuts if inflation continues to moderate has significant implications for Orchid's business model. As a REIT, Orchid's performance is sensitive to interest rate movements and the Fed's future decisions could either alleviate or exacerbate cost pressures associated with their repurchase agreement funding.

The company's adjusted leverage ratio of 7.9 to 1 is an important indicator of financial risk. While leverage can amplify returns, it can also increase vulnerability to market fluctuations. The company's liquidity position and diversified borrowing across 21 active lenders mitigate some of this risk, but the leverage ratio remains a critical factor for assessing the company's financial health.

Moreover, the economic interest spread improvement suggests that Orchid has been able to manage its funding costs effectively despite the Fed's rate hikes. This spread is a vital indicator of the company's ability to generate profit from its spread business and its expansion is a positive sign. However, the sustainability of this spread amid changing economic conditions remains uncertain and requires ongoing scrutiny.

VERO BEACH, Fla.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (NYSE:ORC) ("Orchid” or the "Company"), a real estate investment trust ("REIT"), today announced results of operations for the three and twelve month periods ended December 31, 2023.

Fourth Quarter 2023 Results

  • Net income of $27.1 million, or $0.52 per common share, which consists of:
    • Net interest expense of $(2.8) million, or $(0.05) per common share
    • Total expenses of $4.1 million, or $0.08 per common share
    • Net realized and unrealized gains of $34.0 million, or $0.65 per common share, on RMBS and derivative instruments, including net interest income on interest rate swaps
  • Fourth quarter and full year total dividends declared and paid of $0.36 and $1.80 per common share, respectively
  • Book value per common share of $9.10 at December 31, 2023
  • Total return of 6.05%, comprised of $0.36 dividends per common share and an $0.18 increase in book value per common share, divided by beginning book value per common share

Other Financial Highlights

  • Orchid maintained a strong liquidity position of $200.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and unpledged securities (net of unsettled purchased securities, or 43% of stockholder’s equity as of December 31, 2023
  • Borrowing capacity in excess of December 31, 2023 outstanding repurchase agreement balances of $3,705.7 million, spread across 21 active lenders
  • Company to discuss results on Friday, February 2, 2024, at 10:00 AM ET
  • Supplemental materials to be discussed on the call can be downloaded from the investor relations section of the Company’s website at https://ir.orchidislandcapital.com

Management Commentary

Commenting on the fourth quarter results, Robert E. Cauley, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, said, “The last quarter of 2023 may prove to be a very pivotal period. At the conclusion of the third quarter of 2023 several factors were driving interest rates rapidly higher and the market fully expected rates to remain higher for an extended period. Rapidly expanding federal deficits were a key driver and the Federal Reserve’s (the "Fed") own outlook, expressed via their quarterly “dot plots,” reflected rates remaining high through 2024. The outlook began to change in early November. The impetus was twofold. Economic data, particularly inflation data, appeared to moderate. The Fed reacted to this development in their public comments. Even the Chairman at the press conference at the conclusion of their December meeting strongly hinted that if inflation continued to moderate, they were done raising rates and they would likely cut rates – perhaps relatively soon.

“The markets reacted strongly to these developments. Risk assets of all types performed very well over the balance of the fourth quarter. Several sectors of the fixed income markets with negative year to date returns as of November 1, 2023 ended the quarter and year with positive returns. Interest rates ended the quarter significantly lower than the levels at September 30, 2023, even after rising significantly during October. The yield on the 2-year U.S. Treasury declined by nearly 80 basis points during the fourth quarter, and the 10-year U.S. Treasury declined by approximately 70 basis points. Equity markets performed even better, with the S&P 500 finishing the quarter with a positive 11.7% return and the year with a positive 26.3% return. Agency MBS had a relatively strong quarter, outperforming most other sectors of the fixed income markets except for municipals and emerging market high yield. For the year Agency MBS returns were not as strong on a relative basis, but still positive at +5.05%.

“Orchid’s book value increased over the quarter, from $8.92 at the end of the third quarter to $9.10 at December 31, 2023. During the turbulent weeks at the beginning of the quarter as rates moved higher and mortgage performance was quite poor, we reduced leverage and decreased the size of the portfolio by approximately 15.7% with the sales focused solely in longer duration discount securities. When the market reversed and interest rates decreased, we kept our hedge coverage constant as it appeared the market might be getting too optimistic on the magnitude and timing of rate cuts in 2024. As we entered 2024 this proved to be a prudent step as the market has since reversed again and market pricing of Fed rates cuts in 2024 has both declined and been pushed further into the future. Mortgages have not performed very well, having widened to comparable duration rates or swaps slightly.

“As we enter 2024 the steps taken in 2023 should serve us well. We have reduced our exposure to lower coupon securities and increased the weighted average coupon of the portfolio from 3.47% at December 31, 2022 to 4.33% at December 31, 2023. Our hedge strategy has protected our funding costs from increasing too high as the Fed raised overnight funding costs towards 5.5%. In fact, our economic interest spread, which reflects the effect of our hedges, increased from 1.33% at September 30, 2023 to 2.35% at year end. Going forward, the severe book value pressure for the bulk of the last two years appears to have abated and with our earnings having stabilized, we believe there is room for our earnings to increase should Fed rate cuts lower our funding costs.”

Details of Fourth Quarter 2023 Results of Operations

The Company reported net income of $27.1 million for the three month period ended December 31, 2023, compared with net income of $34.9 million for the three month period ended December 31, 2022. The Company decreased its Agency RMBS portfolio during the fourth quarter of 2023, from $4.5 billion at September 30, 2023 to $3.9 billion at December 31, 2023. Interest income on the portfolio in the fourth quarter was down approximately $0.6 million from the third quarter of 2023. The yield on our average Agency RMBS increased from 4.51% in the third quarter of 2023 to 4.71% for the fourth quarter of 2023, repurchase agreement borrowing costs decreased from 5.44% for the third quarter of 2023 to 5.15% for the fourth quarter of 2023, and our net interest spread increased from (0.93)% in the third quarter of 2023 to (0.44)% in the fourth quarter of 2023.

Book value increased by $0.18 per share in the fourth quarter of 2023. The increase in book value reflects our net income of $0.52 per share and the dividend distribution of $0.36 per share. The Company recorded net realized and unrealized gains of $0.65 per share on Agency RMBS assets and derivative instruments, including net interest income on interest rate swaps.

Details of Full Year 2023 Results of Operations

The Company reported a net loss of $39.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2023, compared with a net loss of $258.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2022. Interest income on the portfolio in the year ended December 31, 2023 was approximately $177.6 million and the yield on our average Agency RMBS was 4.28%. Repurchase agreement interest expense was $201.9 million during 2023 with an average cost of 5.07%.

Prepayments

For the quarter ended December 31, 2023, Orchid received $88.8 million in scheduled and unscheduled principal repayments and prepayments, which equated to a 3-month constant prepayment rate (“CPR”) of approximately 5.5%. Prepayment rates on the two RMBS sub-portfolios were as follows (in CPR):

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

PT RMBS

 

 

RMBS

 

 

Total

 

Three Months Ended

 

Portfolio (%)

 

 

Portfolio (%)

 

 

Portfolio (%)

 

December 31, 2023

 

 

5.4

 

 

 

7.9

 

 

 

5.5

 

September 30, 2023

 

 

6.1

 

 

 

5.7

 

 

 

6.0

 

June 30, 2023

 

 

5.6

 

 

 

7.0

 

 

 

5.6

 

March 31, 2023

 

 

3.9

 

 

 

5.7

 

 

 

4.0

 

December 31, 2022

 

 

4.9

 

 

 

6.0

 

 

 

5.0

 

September 30, 2022

 

 

6.1

 

 

 

10.4

 

 

 

6.5

 

June 30, 2022

 

 

8.3

 

 

 

13.7

 

 

 

9.4

 

March 31, 2022

 

 

8.1

 

 

 

19.5

 

 

 

10.7

 

Portfolio

The following tables summarize certain characteristics of Orchid’s PT RMBS (as defined below) and structured RMBS as of December 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022:

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Percentage

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

of

 

 

Weighted

 

 

Maturity

 

 

 

 

Fair

 

 

Entire

 

 

Average

 

 

in

 

Longest

Asset Category

 

Value

 

 

Portfolio

 

 

Coupon

 

 

Months

 

Maturity

December 31, 2023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Rate RMBS

 

$

3,877,082

 

 

 

99.6

%

 

 

4.33

%

 

 

334

 

1-Nov-53

Interest-Only Securities

 

 

16,572

 

 

 

0.4

%

 

 

4.01

%

 

 

223

 

25-Jul-48

Inverse Interest-Only Securities

 

 

358

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

0.00

%

 

 

274

 

15-Jun-42

Total Mortgage Assets

 

$

3,894,012

 

 

 

100.0

%

 

 

4.30

%

 

 

331

 

1-Nov-53

December 31, 2022

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed Rate RMBS

 

$

3,519,906

 

 

 

99.4

%

 

 

3.47

%

 

 

339

 

1-Nov-52

Interest-Only Securities

 

 

19,669

 

 

 

0.6

%

 

 

4.01

%

 

 

234

 

25-Jul-48

Inverse Interest-Only Securities

 

 

427

 

 

 

0.0

%

 

 

0.00

%

 

 

286

 

15-Jun-42

Total Mortgage Assets

 

$

3,540,002

 

 

 

100.0

%

 

 

3.46

%

 

 

336

 

1-Nov-52

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

December 31, 2023

 

 

December 31, 2022

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Percentage of

 

 

 

 

 

 

Percentage of

 

Agency

 

Fair Value

 

 

Entire Portfolio

 

 

Fair Value

 

 

Entire Portfolio

 

Fannie Mae

 

$

2,714,192

 

 

 

69.7

%

 

$

2,320,960

 

 

 

65.6

%

Freddie Mac

 

 

1,179,820

 

 

 

30.3

%

 

 

1,219,042

 

 

 

34.4

%

Total Portfolio

 

$

3,894,012

 

 

 

100.0

%

 

$

3,540,002

 

 

 

100.0

%

 

 

December 31, 2023

 

 

December 31, 2022

 

Weighted Average Pass-through Purchase Price

 

$

104.10

 

 

$

106.41

 

Weighted Average Structured Purchase Price

 

$

18.74

 

 

$

18.74

 

Weighted Average Pass-through Current Price

 

$

95.70

 

 

$

91.46

 

Weighted Average Structured Current Price

 

$

13.51

 

 

$

14.05

 

Effective Duration (1)

 

 

4.400

 

 

 

5.580

 

(1)

Effective duration of 4.400 indicates that an interest rate increase of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 4.400% decrease in the value of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio at December 31, 2023. An effective duration of 5.580 indicates that an interest rate increase of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 5.580% decrease in the value of the RMBS in the Company’s investment portfolio at December 31, 2022. These figures include the structured securities in the portfolio, but do not include the effect of the Company’s funding cost hedges. Effective duration quotes for individual investments are obtained from The Yield Book, Inc.

Financing, Leverage and Liquidity

As of December 31, 2023, the Company had outstanding repurchase obligations of approximately $3,705.6 million with a net weighted average borrowing rate of 5.55%. These agreements were collateralized by RMBS with a fair value, including accrued interest, of approximately $3,900.5 million. The Company’s adjusted leverage ratio, defined as the balance of repurchase agreement liabilities divided by stockholders' equity, at December 31, 2023 was 7.9 to 1. At December 31, 2023, the Company’s liquidity was approximately $200.4 million consisting of cash and cash equivalents and unpledged securities (not including unsettled securities purchases). To enhance our liquidity even further, we may pledge more of our structured RMBS as part of a repurchase agreement funding, but retain the cash in lieu of acquiring additional assets. In this way we can, at a modest cost, retain higher levels of cash on hand and decrease the likelihood we will have to sell assets in a distressed market in order to raise cash. Below is a list of our outstanding borrowings under repurchase obligations at December 31, 2023.

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

 

 

Total

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

 

 

Outstanding

 

 

% of

 

 

Borrowing

 

 

Amount

 

 

Maturity

 

Counterparty

 

Balances

 

 

Total

 

 

Rate

 

 

at Risk(1)

 

 

in Days

 

RBC Capital Markets, LLC

 

 

300,275

 

 

 

8.1

%

 

 

5.53

%

 

$

9,705

 

 

 

16

 

Citigroup Global Markets Inc

 

 

298,549

 

 

 

8.1

%

 

 

5.55

%

 

 

15,832

 

 

 

26

 

Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc.

 

 

284,167

 

 

 

7.7

%

 

 

5.57

%

 

 

15,761

 

 

 

22

 

J.P. Morgan Securities LLC

 

 

266,958

 

 

 

7.2

%

 

 

5.54

%

 

 

14,264

 

 

 

18

 

Cantor Fitzgerald & Co

 

 

257,999

 

 

 

7.0

%

 

 

5.54

%

 

 

12,990

 

 

 

44

 

ASL Capital Markets Inc.

 

 

244,611

 

 

 

6.6

%

 

 

5.53

%

 

 

13,391

 

 

 

17

 

Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.

 

 

218,540

 

 

 

5.9

%

 

 

5.56

%

 

 

11,522

 

 

 

26

 

Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.

 

 

200,200

 

 

 

5.4

%

 

 

5.53

%

 

 

8,721

 

 

 

52

 

Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith

 

 

193,715

 

 

 

5.2

%

 

 

5.56

%

 

 

13,036

 

 

 

16

 

Daiwa Securities America Inc.

 

 

179,787

 

 

 

4.9

%

 

 

5.54

%

 

 

6,862

 

 

 

24

 

ABN AMRO Bank N.V.

 

 

177,114

 

 

 

4.8

%

 

 

5.55

%

 

 

10,102

 

 

 

20

 

Bank of Montreal

 

 

169,041

 

 

 

4.6

%

 

 

5.55

%

 

 

9,112

 

 

 

16

 

StoneX Financial Inc.

 

 

168,852

 

 

 

4.6

%

 

 

5.55

%

 

 

9,023

 

 

 

16

 

Goldman, Sachs & Co

 

 

160,410

 

 

 

4.3

%

 

 

5.56

%

 

 

8,533

 

 

 

18

 

Banco Santander SA

 

 

154,412

 

 

 

4.2

%

 

 

5.53

%

 

 

7,670

 

 

 

71

 

ING Financial Markets LLC

 

 

128,758

 

 

 

3.5

%

 

 

5.55

%

 

 

5,498

 

 

 

16

 

Marex Capital Markets Inc.

 

 

115,143

 

 

 

3.1

%

 

 

5.52

%

 

 

4,385

 

 

 

10

 

DV Securities, LLC Repo

 

 

88,423

 

 

 

2.4

%

 

 

5.55

%

 

 

5,105

 

 

 

48

 

South Street Securities, LLC

 

 

80,295

 

 

 

2.2

%

 

 

5.57

%

 

 

4,131

 

 

 

59

 

Lucid Cash Fund USG LLC

 

 

9,840

 

 

 

0.3

%

 

 

5.55

%

 

 

768

 

 

 

18

 

Lucid Prime Fund, LLC

 

 

8,560

 

 

 

0.2

%

 

 

5.54

%

 

 

474

 

 

 

18

 

Total / Weighted Average

 

$

3,705,649

 

 

 

100.0

%

 

 

5.55

%

 

$

186,885

 

 

 

26

 

(1)

Equal to the sum of the fair value of securities sold, accrued interest receivable and cash posted as collateral (if any), minus the sum of repurchase agreement liabilities, accrued interest payable and the fair value of securities posted by the counterparties (if any).

Hedging

In connection with its interest rate risk management strategy, the Company economically hedges a portion of the cost of its repurchase agreement funding against a rise in interest rates by entering into derivative financial instrument contracts. The Company has not elected hedging treatment under U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“GAAP”) in order to align the accounting treatment of its derivative instruments with the treatment of its portfolio assets under the fair value option election. As such, all gains or losses on these instruments are reflected in earnings for all periods presented. At December 31, 2023, such instruments were comprised of U.S. Treasury note (“T-Note”) and Secured Overnight Financing Rate ("SOFR") futures contracts, interest rate swap agreements, interest rate swaption agreements, and contracts to sell to-be-announced ("TBA") securities.

The table below presents information related to the Company’s T-Note and SOFR futures contracts at December 31, 2023.

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

December 31, 2023

 

 

 

Average

 

 

Weighted

 

 

Weighted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Contract

 

 

Average

 

 

Average

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notional

 

 

Entry

 

 

Effective

 

 

Open

 

Expiration Year

 

Amount

 

 

Rate

 

 

Rate

 

 

Equity(1)

 

U.S. Treasury Note Futures Contracts (Short Positions)(2)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

March 2024 5-year T-Note futures (Mar 2024 - Mar 2029 Hedge Period)

 

$

421,500

 

 

 

4.36

%

 

 

4.04

%

 

$

(9,936

)

March 2024 10-year Ultra futures (Mar 2024 - Mar 2034 Hedge Period)

 

 

320,000

 

 

 

4.38

%

 

 

4.39

%

 

$

(11,393

)

SOFR Futures Contracts (Short Positions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

June 2024 3-Month SOFR futures (Mar 2024 - Jun 2024 Hedge Period)

 

$

25,000

 

 

 

5.08

%

 

 

4.99

%

 

$

(24

)

September 2024 3-Month SOFR futures (Jun 2024 - Sep 2024 Hedge Period)

 

 

25,000

 

 

 

4.67

%

 

 

4.52

%

 

$

(39

)

December 2024 3-Month SOFR futures (Sep 2024 - Dec 2024 Hedge Period)

 

 

25,000

 

 

 

4.27

%

 

 

4.10

%

 

$

(44

)

March 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Dec 2024 - Mar 2025 Hedge Period)

 

 

25,000

 

 

 

3.90

%

 

 

3.73

%

 

$

(43

)

June 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Mar 2025 - Jun 2025 Hedge Period)

 

 

25,000

 

 

 

3.58

%

 

 

3.42

%

 

$

(41

)

September 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Jun 2025 - Sep 2025 Hedge Period)

 

 

25,000

 

 

 

3.37

%

 

 

3.21

%

 

$

(39

)

December 2025 3-Month SOFR futures (Sep 2025 - Dec 2025 Hedge Period)

 

 

25,000

 

 

 

3.25

%

 

 

3.10

%

 

$

(37

)

March 2026 3-Month SOFR futures (Dec 2025 - Mar 2026 Hedge Period)

 

 

25,000

 

 

 

3.21

%

 

 

3.07

%

 

$

(35

)

(1)

Open equity represents the cumulative gains (losses) recorded on open futures positions from inception.

(2)

5-Year T-Note futures contracts were valued at a price of $108.77 at December 31, 2023. The contract values of the short positions were $458.5 million at December 31, 2023. 10-Year Ultra futures contracts were valued at a price of $112.89 at December 31, 2023. The contract value of the short positions was $361.3 million at December 31, 2023.

The table below presents information related to the Company’s interest rate swap positions at December 31, 2023.

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fixed

 

 

Average

 

 

Average

 

 

 

Notional

 

 

Pay

 

 

Receive

 

 

Maturity

 

 

 

Amount

 

 

Rate

 

 

Rate

 

 

(Years)

 

Expiration > 1 to ≤ 5 years

 

$

500,000

 

 

 

0.84

%

 

 

5.64

%

 

 

2.7

 

Expiration > 5 years

 

 

1,826,500

 

 

 

2.62

%

 

 

5.40

%

 

 

6.8

 

 

 

$

2,326,500

 

 

 

2.24

%

 

 

5.45

%

 

 

5.9

 

The following table presents information related to our interest rate swaption positions as of December 31, 2023.

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Option

 

 

Underlying Swap

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Weighted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

Weighted

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average

 

Adjustable

 

Average

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Fair

 

 

Months to

 

 

Notional

 

 

Fixed

 

Rate

 

Term

 

Expiration

 

Cost

 

 

Value

 

 

Expiration

 

 

Amount

 

 

Rate

 

(LIBOR)

 

(Years)

 

Payer Swaptions (long positions)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

≤ 1 year

 

$

1,619

 

 

$

72

 

 

 

5.0

 

 

$

800,000

 

 

 

5.40

%

SOFR

 

 

1.0

 

The following table summarizes our contracts to sell TBA securities as of December 31, 2023.

($ in thousands)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Notional

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Net

 

 

 

Amount

 

 

Cost

 

 

Market

 

 

Carrying

 

 

 

Long (Short)(1)

 

 

Basis(2)

 

 

Value(3)

 

 

Value(4)

 

December 31, 2023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

30-Year TBA securities:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

3.00%

 

$

(70,700

)

 

$

(59,278

)

 

$

(62,647

)

 

$

(3,369

)

5.00%

 

 

(250,000

)

 

 

(242,725

)

 

 

(247,657

)

 

 

(4,932

)

5.50%

 

 

(325,000

)

 

 

(322,410

)

 

 

(326,803

)

 

 

(4,393

)

 

 

$

(645,700

)

 

$

(624,413

)

 

$

(637,107

)

 

$

(12,694

)

(1)

Notional amount represents the par value (or principal balance) of the underlying Agency RMBS.

(2)

Cost basis represents the forward price to be paid (received) for the underlying Agency RMBS.

(3)

Market value represents the current market value of the TBA securities (or of the underlying Agency RMBS) as of period-end.

(4)

Net carrying value represents the difference between the market value and the cost basis of the TBA securities as of period-end and is reported in derivative assets (liabilities) at fair value in our balance sheets.

Dividends

In addition to other requirements that must be satisfied to qualify as a REIT, we must pay annual dividends to our stockholders of at least 90% of our REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gains. We intend to pay regular monthly dividends to our stockholders and have declared the following dividends since our February 2013 IPO.

(in thousands, except per share amounts)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Year

 

Per Share Amount

 

 

Total

 

2013

 

$

6.975

 

 

$

4,662

 

2014

 

 

10.800

 

 

 

22,643

 

2015

 

 

9.600

 

 

 

38,748

 

2016

 

 

8.400

 

 

 

41,388

 

2017

 

 

8.400

 

 

 

70,717

 

2018

 

 

5.350

 

 

 

55,814

 

2019

 

 

4.800

 

 

 

54,421

 

2020

 

 

3.950

 

 

 

53,570

 

2021

 

 

3.900

 

 

 

97,601

 

2022

 

 

2.475

 

 

 

87,906

 

2023

 

 

1.800

 

 

 

81,127

 

2024 YTD(1)

 

 

0.120

 

 

 

6,181

 

Totals

 

$

66.570

 

 

$

614,778

 

(1)

On January 10, 2024, the Company declared a dividend of $0.12 per share to be paid on February 27, 2024. The effect of this dividend is included in the table above but is not reflected in the Company’s financial statements as of December 31, 2023.

Book Value Per Share

The Company's book value per share at December 31, 2023 was $9.10. The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders' equity by the total number of shares outstanding of the Company's common stock. At December 31, 2023, the Company's stockholders' equity was $469.9 million with 51,636,074 shares of common stock outstanding.

Capital Allocation and Return on Invested Capital

The Company allocates capital to two RMBS sub-portfolios, the pass-through RMBS portfolio, consisting of mortgage pass-through certificates issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae (the “GSEs”) and collateralized mortgage obligations (“CMOs”) issued by the GSEs (“PT RMBS”), and the structured RMBS portfolio, consisting of interest-only (“IO”) and inverse interest-only (“IIO”) securities. As of September 30, 2023, approximately 95.1% of the Company’s investable capital (which consists of equity in pledged PT RMBS, available cash and unencumbered assets) was deployed in the PT RMBS portfolio. At December 31, 2023, the allocation to the PT RMBS portfolio increased to approximately 95.6%.

The table below details the changes to the respective sub-portfolios during the quarter.

(in thousands)

 

Portfolio Activity for the Quarter

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured Security Portfolio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pass-Through

 

 

Interest-Only

 

 

Inverse Interest

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Portfolio

 

 

Securities

 

 

Only Securities

 

 

Sub-total

 

 

Total

 

Market value - September 30, 2023

 

$

4,502,115

 

 

$

17,833

 

 

$

277

 

 

$

18,110

 

 

$

4,520,225

 

Securities purchased

 

 

77,243

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

77,243

 

Securities sold

 

 

(797,633

)

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

(797,633

)

Losses on sales

 

 

(22,642

)

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

(22,642

)

Return of investment

 

 

n/a

 

 

 

(593

)

 

 

-

 

 

 

(593

)

 

 

(593

)

Pay-downs

 

 

(88,223

)

 

 

n/a

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

n/a

 

 

 

(88,223

)

Discount accretion due to pay-downs

 

 

8,067

 

 

 

n/a

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

n/a

 

 

 

8,067

 

Mark to market gains (losses)

 

 

198,155

 

 

 

(668

)

 

 

81

 

 

 

(587

)

 

 

197,568

 

Market value - December 31, 2023

 

$

3,877,082

 

 

$

16,572

 

 

$

358

 

 

$

16,930

 

 

$

3,894,012

 

The tables below present the allocation of capital between the respective portfolios at December 31, 2023 and September 30, 2023, and the return on invested capital for each sub-portfolio for the three month period ended December 31, 2023.

($ in thousands)

 

Capital Allocation

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured Security Portfolio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pass-Through

 

 

Interest-Only

 

 

Inverse Interest

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Portfolio

 

 

Securities

 

 

Only Securities

 

 

Sub-total

 

 

Total

 

December 31, 2023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Market value

 

$

3,877,082

 

 

$

16,572

 

 

$

358

 

 

$

16,930

 

 

$

3,894,012

 

Cash

 

 

200,289

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

200,289

 

Borrowings(1)

 

 

(3,705,649

)

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

(3,705,649

)

Total

 

$

371,722

 

 

$

16,572

 

 

$

358

 

 

$

16,930

 

 

$

388,652

 

% of Total

 

 

95.6

%

 

 

4.3

%

 

 

0.1

%

 

 

4.4

%

 

 

100.0

%

September 30, 2023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Market value

 

$

4,502,115

 

 

$

17,833

 

 

$

277

 

 

$

18,110

 

 

$

4,520,225

 

Cash

 

 

278,217

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

278,217

 

Borrowings(2)

 

 

(4,426,947

)

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

(4,426,947

)

Total

 

$

353,385

 

 

$

17,833

 

 

$

277

 

 

$

18,110

 

 

$

371,495

 

% of Total

 

 

95.1

%

 

 

4.8

%

 

 

0.1

%

 

 

4.9

%

 

 

100.0

%

(1)

At December 31, 2023, there were outstanding repurchase agreement balances of $13.9 million secured by IO securities and $0.2 million secured by IIO securities. We entered into these arrangements to generate additional cash available to meet margin calls on PT RMBS; therefore, we have not considered these balances to be allocated to the structured securities strategy.

(2)

At September 30, 2023, there were outstanding repurchase agreement balances of $14.7 million secured by IO securities and $0.5 million secured by IIO securities. We entered into these arrangements to generate additional cash available to meet margin calls on PT RMBS; therefore, we have not considered these balances to be allocated to the structured securities strategy.

The return on invested capital in the PT RMBS and structured RMBS portfolios was approximately 8.7% and (1.1)%, respectively, for the fourth quarter of 2023. The combined portfolio generated a return on invested capital of approximately 8.2%.

($ in thousands)

 

Returns for the Quarter Ended December 31, 2023

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Structured Security Portfolio

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Pass-Through

 

 

Interest-Only

 

 

Inverse Interest

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Portfolio

 

 

Securities

 

 

Only Securities

 

 

Sub-total

 

 

Total

 

Income (net of borrowing cost)

 

$

(3,191

)

 

$

403

 

 

$

-

 

 

$

403

 

 

$

(2,788

)

Realized and unrealized gains (losses)

 

 

183,580

 

 

 

(668

)

 

 

81

 

 

 

(587

)

 

 

182,993

 

Derivative losses

 

 

(149,016

)

 

 

n/a

 

 

 

n/a

 

 

 

n/a

 

 

 

(149,016

)

Total Return

 

$

31,373

 

 

$

(265

)

 

$

81

 

 

$

(184

)

 

$

31,189

 

Beginning Capital Allocation

 

$

353,385

 

 

$

17,833

 

 

$

277

 

 

$

18,110

 

 

$

371,495

 

Return on Invested Capital for the Quarter(1)

 

 

8.9

%

 

 

(1.5

)%

 

 

29.2

%

 

 

(1.0

)%

 

 

8.4

%

Average Capital Allocation(2)

 

$

362,554

 

 

$

17,203

 

 

$

318

 

 

$

17,521

 

 

$

380,075

 

Return on Average Invested Capital for the Quarter(3)

 

 

8.7

%

 

 

(1.5

)%

 

 

25.5

%

 

 

(1.1

)%

 

 

8.2

%

(1)

Calculated by dividing the Total Return by the Beginning Capital Allocation, expressed as a percentage.

(2)

Calculated using two data points, the Beginning and Ending Capital Allocation balances.

(3)

Calculated by dividing the Total Return by the Average Capital Allocation, expressed as a percentage.

Stock Offerings

On March 7, 2023, we entered into an equity distribution agreement (the “March 2023 Equity Distribution Agreement”) with three sales agents pursuant to which we may offer and sell, from time to time, up to an aggregate amount of $250,000,000 of shares of our common stock in transactions that are deemed to be “at the market” offerings and privately negotiated transactions. Through December 31, 2023, we issued a total of 13,190,039 shares under the March 2023 Equity Distribution Agreement for aggregate gross proceeds of approximately $129.9 million, and net proceeds of approximately $127.8 million, after commissions and fees.

Stock Repurchase Program

On July 29, 2015, the Company’s Board of Directors authorized the repurchase of up to 400,000 shares of our common stock. The timing, manner, price and amount of any repurchases is determined by the Company in its discretion and is subject to economic and market conditions, stock price, applicable legal requirements and other factors. The authorization does not obligate the Company to acquire any particular amount of common stock and the program may be suspended or discontinued at the Company’s discretion without prior notice. On February 8, 2018, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the stock repurchase program for up to an additional 904,564 shares of the Company’s common stock. Coupled with the 156,751 shares remaining from the original 400,000 share authorization, the increased authorization brought the total authorization to 1,061,315 shares, representing 10% of the Company’s then outstanding share count. On December 9, 2021, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the number of shares of the Company’s common stock available in the stock repurchase program for up to an additional 3,372,399 shares, bringing the remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program to 3,539,861 shares, representing approximately 10% of the Company’s then outstanding shares of common stock. On October 12, 2022, the Board of Directors approved an increase in the number of shares of the Company’s common stock available in the stock repurchase program for up to an additional 4,300,000 shares, bringing the remaining authorization under the stock repurchase program to 6,183,601 shares, representing approximately 18% of the Company’s then outstanding shares of common stock. This stock repurchase program has no termination date.

From the inception of the stock repurchase program through December 31, 2023, the Company repurchased a total of 4,748,361 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $74.2 million, including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of $15.63 per share. During the year ended December 31, 2023, the Company repurchased a total of 1,072,789 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $9.4 million, including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of $8.79 per share. Subsequent to December 31, 2023, the Company repurchased a total of 332,773 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately $2.8 million, including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of $8.35 per share.

Earnings Conference Call Details

An earnings conference call and live audio webcast will be hosted Friday, February 2, 2024, at 10:00 AM ET. The conference call may be accessed by dialing toll free (800) 715-9871. The conference passcode is 8307491. The supplemental materials may be downloaded from the investor relations section of the Company’s website at https://ir.orchidislandcapital.com. A live audio webcast of the conference call can be accessed via the investor relations section of the Company’s website at https://ir.orchidislandcapital.com, and an audio archive of the webcast will be available until March 1, 2024.

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates, and CMOs issued by the GSEs, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS, such as IOs, IIOs and principal only securities, among other types of structured Agency RMBS. Orchid is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward Looking Statements

Statements herein relating to matters that are not historical facts, including, but not limited to statements regarding interest rates, inflation, liquidity, pledging of our structured RMBS, funding costs, prepayment speeds, portfolio positioning and repositioning, hedging levels, book value, leverage ratio, earnings, dividends the supply and demand for Agency RMBS and the performance of the Agency RMBS sector generally, the effect of actual or expected actions of the U.S. government, including the Fed, market expectations, future opportunities and prospects of the Company, the stock repurchase program and general economic conditions, are forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The reader is cautioned that such forward-looking statements are based on information available at the time and on management's good faith belief with respect to future events, and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual performance or results to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause such differences are described in Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. Orchid Island Capital, Inc. assumes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent results, changes in assumptions or changes in other factors affecting forward-looking statements.

Summarized Financial Statements

The following is a summarized presentation of the unaudited balance sheets as of December 31, 2023 and 2022 ,and the unaudited quarterly statements of operations for the twelve and three months ended December 31, 2023 and 2022. Amounts presented are subject to change.

ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC.

BALANCE SHEETS

($ in thousands, except per share data)

(Unaudited - Amounts Subject to Change)

 

 

December 31, 2023

 

 

December 31, 2022

 

ASSETS:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mortgage-backed securities

 

$

3,894,012

 

 

$

3,540,002

 

U.S. Treasury securities

 

148,820

 

 

36,382

 

Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash

 

 

200,289

 

 

 

237,219

 

Accrued interest receivable

 

 

14,951

 

 

 

11,519

 

Derivative assets, at fair value

 

 

6,420

 

 

 

40,172

 

Other assets

 

 

455

 

 

 

442

 

Total Assets

 

$

4,264,947

 

 

$

3,865,736

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Repurchase agreements

 

$

3,705,649

 

 

$

3,378,445

 

Payable of investment securities purchased

 

 

60,454

 

 

 

-

 

Dividends payable

 

 

6,222

 

 

 

5,908

 

Derivative liabilities, at fair value

 

 

12,694

 

 

 

7,161

 

Accrued interest payable

 

 

7,939

 

 

 

9209

 

Due to affiliates

 

 

1,013

 

 

 

1,131

 

Other liabilities

 

 

1,031

 

 

 

25,119

 

Total Liabilities

 

 

3,795,002

 

 

 

3,426,973

 

Total Stockholders' Equity

 

 

469,945

 

 

 

438,763

 

Total Liabilities and Stockholders' Equity

 

$

4,264,947

 

 

$

3,865,736

 

Common shares outstanding

 

 

51,636,074

 

 

 

36,764,983

 

Book value per share

 

$

9.10

 

 

$

11.93

 

ORCHID ISLAND CAPITAL, INC.

STATEMENTS OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME

($ in thousands, except per share data)

(Unaudited - Amounts Subject to Change)

 

 

Years Ended December 31,

 

 

Three Months Ended December 31,

 

 

 

2023

 

 

2022

 

 

2023

 

 

2022

 

Interest income

 

$

177,569

 

 

$

144,633

 

 

$

49,539

 

 

$

31,898

 

Interest expense

 

 

(201,918

)

 

 

(61,708

)

 

 

(52,325

)

 

 

(29,512

)

Net interest (expense) income

 

 

(24,349

)

 

 

82,925

 

 

 

(2,786

)

 

 

2,386

 

Gains (losses) on RMBS and derivative contracts

 

 

3,654

 

 

 

(323,929

)

 

 

33,977

 

 

 

36,728

 

Net portfolio (loss) income

 

 

(20,695

)

 

 

(241,004

)

 

 

31,191

 

 

 

39,114

 

Expenses

 

 

18,531

 

 

 

17,449

 

 

 

4,064

 

 

 

4,188

 

Net (loss) income

 

$

(39,226

)

 

$

(258,453

)

 

$

27,127

 

 

$

34,926

 

Other comprehensive income

 

 

17

 

 

 

-

 

 

 

1

 

 

 

-

 

Comprehensive net

 

$

(39,209

)

 

$

(258,453

)

 

$

27,128

 

 

$

34,926

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Basic and diluted net (loss) income per share

 

$

(0.89

)

 

$

(6.90

)

 

$

0.52

 

 

$

0.95

 

Weighted Average Shares Outstanding

 

 

44,649,039

 

 

 

37,464,671

 

 

 

52,396,001

 

 

 

36,786,056

 

Dividends Declared Per Common Share:

 

$

1.800

 

 

$

2.475

 

 

$

0.360

 

 

$

0.480

 

 

 

Three Months Ended December 31,

 

Key Balance Sheet Metrics

 

2023

 

 

2022

 

Average RMBS(1)

 

$

4,207,118

 

 

$

3,370,608

 

Average repurchase agreements(1)

 

 

4,066,298

 

 

 

3,256,153

 

Average stockholders' equity(1)

 

 

468,393

 

 

 

419,570

 

Adjusted leverage ratio(2)

 

7.9:1

 

 

7.7:1

 

Economic leverage ratio(3)

 

6.7:1

 

 

6.3:1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Key Performance Metrics

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Average yield on RMBS(4)

 

 

4.71

%

 

 

3.79

%

Average cost of funds(4)

 

 

5.15

%

 

 

3.63

%

Average economic cost of funds(5)

 

 

2.36

%

 

 

2.47

%

Average interest rate spread(6)

 

 

(0.44

)%

 

 

0.16

%

Average economic interest rate spread(7)

 

 

2.35

%

 

 

1.32

%

(1)

Average RMBS, borrowings and stockholders’ equity balances are calculated using two data points, the beginning and ending balances.

(2)

The adjusted leverage ratio is calculated by dividing ending repurchase agreement liabilities by ending stockholders’ equity.

(3)

The economic leverage ratio is calculated by dividing ending total liabilities adjusted for net notional TBA positions by ending stockholders' equity.

(4)

Portfolio yields and costs of funds are calculated based on the average balances of the underlying investment portfolio/borrowings balances and are annualized for the quarterly periods presented.

(5)

Represents the interest cost of our borrowings and the effect of derivative agreements attributed to the period related to hedging activities, divided by average borrowings.

(6)

Average interest rate spread is calculated by subtracting average cost of funds from average yield on RMBS.

(7)

Average economic interest rate spread is calculated by subtracting average economic cost of funds from average yield on RMBS.

 

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Robert E. Cauley, 772-231-1400

Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

https://ir.orchidislandcapital.com

Source: Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

FAQ

What was Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s net income for the fourth quarter of 2023?

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. announced a net income of $27.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2023.

What was Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s book value per common share at the end of 2023?

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s book value per common share was $9.10 at the end of 2023.

What was Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s total return for 2023?

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. had a total return of 6.05% for 2023.

What was Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s liquidity position at the end of 2023?

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. maintained a strong liquidity position of $200.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and unpledged securities at the end of 2023.

What was Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s borrowing capacity at the end of 2023?

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. had borrowing capacity in excess of $3,705.7 million at the end of 2023.

What was Orchid Island Capital, Inc.'s net loss for the full year 2023?

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. reported a net loss of $39.2 million for the full year 2023.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

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632.41M
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REIT - Mortgage
Real Estate Investment Trusts
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United States of America
VERO BEACH