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Forrester: Public Cloud Is Poised To Surpass $1 Trillion By 2026 -- But Not Without Enduring Several Global Challenges

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Forrester's Public Cloud Market Outlook, 2022 To 2026 predicts the public cloud market will exceed $1 trillion by 2026, driven by investments in analytics, AI/ML, and differentiated services. Hyperscalers are expected to generate nearly $496 billion in cloud infrastructure services. Key growth areas include database and analytics services projected to reach $89.5 billion, and development services expected to rise to $51 billion. However, competition, market fragmentation, and the rise of edge computing may challenge growth.

Positive
  • Public cloud market projected to exceed $1 trillion by 2026.
  • Cloud infrastructure services revenue expected to reach $496 billion by 2026.
  • Database and analytics services forecasted to grow to $89.5 billion by 2026.
Negative
  • Market growth challenged by intense competition among cloud providers.
  • Fragmentation due to regulatory and political tensions affecting growth.

To remain profitable, leading cloud players will need to pivot their investments to analytics, AI/ML, and other differentiated premium services

CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Dec. 13, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- According to Forrester's (Nasdaq: FORR) Public Cloud Market Outlook, 2022 To 2026, the public cloud market will top more than $1 trillion worldwide by 2026. As this market matures, however, more moderate public cloud growth will be influenced by several factors: intense competition among the largest cloud providers; fragmentation of the market due to regulatory and political tensions; and edge computing vendors capturing an increasing share of IT spending in relation to cloud.

Forrester further finds that cloud infrastructure services will account for nearly $496 billion in revenue in 2026, as hyperscalers — the largest companies trying to dominate the public cloud and cloud services industries — battle the increased commoditization of infrastructure. While hyperscalers will increase investments in technologies such as custom microchips and advanced wireless networking to match competitors' offerings, this will be more of an opportunity to retain customers and shift them to higher-priced services than a key driver of revenue. To maintain their influence over the public cloud market, hyperscalers and providers will need to prioritize major investments in other differentiated premium services, including:

  • Database and analytics fueled by customer demand for AI/ML. As customers seek AI and machine learning for product innovation and greater operating efficiency, database and analytics services revenue will rise threefold to $89.5 billion by 2026. Cloud AI platforms will drive revenue increases in these services. Additionally, cloud-native technologies will gain greater influence as they are increasingly infused into AI/ML standards and as Kubernetes becomes the de facto standard for IT infrastructure in the cloud.
  • Development services that lure in more coders. Revenue in this market segment will rise to $51 billion by 2026. Factors including serverless becoming integral to app development on cloud platforms, automation, and integration of low-code into cloud development will fuel this growth.
  • Cloud applications that enhance hyperscalers' SaaS offerings. The cloud applications market — a category dominated by non-hyperscalers that lead in SaaS — will hit market saturation at nearly $397 billion by 2026, but this won't stop hyperscalers from focusing on strengthening their SaaS offerings and being the best hosts for SaaS.

"Public cloud has experienced nearly a decade of high growth and acceleration, even amid pandemic-induced challenges," said Lee Sustar, principal analyst at Forrester. "This growth will continue into 2026. It will be challenged, however, by competitive pressure for hyperscalers and providers to make massive investments in services like database and analytics, development services, and SaaS — all while maintaining high levels of infrastructure investment to keep pace with their rivals' innovation."

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About Forrester
Forrester (Nasdaq: FORR) is one of the most influential research and advisory firms in the world. We help leaders across technology, marketing, customer experience, product, and sales functions use customer obsession to accelerate growth. Through Forrester's proprietary research, consulting, and events, leaders from around the globe are empowered to be bold at work — to navigate change and put their customers at the center of their leadership, strategy, and operations. Our unique insights are grounded in annual surveys of more than 700,000 consumers, business leaders, and technology leaders worldwide; rigorous and objective research methodologies, including Forrester Wave™ evaluations; 70 million real-time feedback votes; and the shared wisdom of our clients. To learn more, visit Forrester.com.

Media Contact: 
Ira Kantor 
Public Relations 
Forrester Research, Inc. 
ikantor@forrester.com 

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SOURCE Forrester

FAQ

What does Forrester's Public Cloud Market Outlook predict for 2026?

Forrester predicts the public cloud market will exceed $1 trillion by 2026.

How much revenue will cloud infrastructure services generate by 2026?

Cloud infrastructure services are expected to generate nearly $496 billion by 2026.

What are the key growth areas in the public cloud market according to Forrester?

Key growth areas include database and analytics services, projected to reach $89.5 billion, and development services, expected to rise to $51 billion by 2026.

What challenges does Forrester identify for the public cloud market?

Challenges include intense competition among cloud providers and market fragmentation due to regulatory tensions.

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