Synovus (NYSE: SNV) outlines Pinnacle merger EPS boost and capital hit
Synovus Financial Corp. outlines new details on its pending merger with Pinnacle Financial Partners and related shareholder litigation. Three lawsuits and several stockholder demand letters claim the joint proxy statement/prospectus omits or inadequately describes information about the merger. Synovus, Pinnacle and Newco deny any wrongdoing or legal need for extra disclosure but are issuing supplemental proxy disclosures to avoid delays and reduce litigation risk.
The filing also summarizes valuation work by Centerview and Morgan Stanley. Analysts’ share price targets for Synovus range from $55.00 to $70.00, with a $62.00 median, while Pinnacle targets range from $117.00 to $145.00, with a $130.00 median. Morgan Stanley’s models imply Synovus is valued at 9.9x 2026E EPS and 1.7x tangible book value, and Pinnacle at 13.3x 2026E EPS and 2.0x tangible book value. The merger is estimated to increase Pinnacle’s 2026 and 2027 earnings per share by about 24% and 21%, respectively, but reduce its tangible book value per share by about 9% and its common equity Tier 1 capital ratio by roughly 131 basis points.
Positive
- Projected earnings accretion: Morgan Stanley estimates the merger will increase Pinnacle’s earnings per share by approximately 24% in 2026 and 21% in 2027, reflecting anticipated cost synergies and financial benefits from combining the two banking franchises.
Negative
- Capital and book value dilution: The merger is expected to reduce Pinnacle’s tangible book value per share by about 9% and lower its common equity Tier 1 capital ratio by roughly 131 basis points at closing, indicating a meaningful capital impact.
Insights
Merger is EPS-accretive for Pinnacle but dilutive to capital and book value.
The transaction between Synovus and Pinnacle is framed as strategically attractive on earnings. Morgan Stanley estimates Pinnacle’s earnings per share could rise by about 24% in 2026 and 21% in 2027, supported by forecast cost synergies and combined scale.
That upside is offset by capital and balance sheet pressure. The deal is projected to reduce Pinnacle’s tangible book value per share by roughly 9% and lower its common equity Tier 1 ratio by about 131 basis points as of closing. These effects come on top of integration, regulatory approval and execution risks highlighted in the forward-looking statements.
The filing also notes three shareholder lawsuits and multiple demand letters challenging disclosures in the joint proxy statement/prospectus. Synovus, Pinnacle and Newco dispute the claims but are adding supplemental disclosures to limit delay risk to the merger process ahead of the November 6, 2025 stockholder meetings.
8-K Event Classification
|
|
|
|
|
(State or other
jurisdiction of incorporation)
|
(Commission File Number)
|
(IRS Employer Identification No.)
|
|
(Address of principal executive offices)
|
||
|
(
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
|
||
|
(Not applicable)
(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)
|
|
Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
|
|
Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
|
|
Commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
|
|
Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))
|
|
Title of Each Class
|
Trading Symbol
|
Name of Each Exchange on Which Registered
|
||
|
|
New York Stock Exchange
|
|||
|
|
New York Stock Exchange
|
|||
|
|
|
New York Stock Exchange
|
|
Item 8.01
|
Other Events.
|
| 1. |
The disclosure under the heading “The Merger—Opinion of Pinnacle’s Financial Advisor—Summary of Centerview Financial Analysis—Selected Public Comparable
Companies Analysis” is hereby amended and supplemented by adding the following text to the charts labeled “Synovus Comparables” and “Pinnacle Comparables” on page 94 as follows:
|
|
Synovus Comparables
|
Market Cap ($Bn)
|
2026E P/E
|
|
BankUnited, Inc.
|
2.9
|
11.2x
|
|
BOK Financial Corporation
|
6.8
|
12.0x
|
|
Cadence Bancorporation
|
6.5
|
10.4x
|
|
Comerica Incorporated
|
8.6
|
11.6x
|
|
Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.
|
8.8
|
14.5x
|
|
F.N.B. Corporation
|
5.8
|
9.4x
|
|
First Horizon Corporation
|
11.4
|
11.8x
|
|
Hancock Whitney Corp.
|
5.2
|
10.2x
|
|
Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.
|
9.2
|
13.3x
|
|
SouthState Corporation
|
10.0
|
10.7x
|
|
UMB Financial Corporation
|
8.2
|
9.6x
|
|
Zions Bancorporation, National Association
|
8.4
|
9.8x
|
|
Pinnacle Comparables
|
Market Cap ($Bn)
|
2026E P/E
|
|
BankUnited, Inc.
|
2.9
|
11.2x
|
|
BOK Financial Corporation
|
6.8
|
12.0x
|
|
Cadence Bancorporation
|
6.5
|
10.4x
|
|
Comerica Incorporated
|
8.6
|
11.6x
|
|
Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.
|
8.8
|
14.5x
|
|
F.N.B. Corporation
|
5.8
|
9.4x
|
|
First Horizon Corporation
|
11.4
|
11.8x
|
|
Hancock Whitney Corp.
|
5.2
|
10.2x
|
|
Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.
|
10.0
|
10.7x
|
|
SouthState Corporation
|
7.8
|
9.9x
|
|
UMB Financial Corporation
|
8.2
|
9.6x
|
|
Zions Bancorporation, National Association
|
8.4
|
9.8x
|
| 2. |
The disclosure under the heading “The Merger—Opinion of Pinnacle’s Financial Advisor—Other Factors” is hereby amended and supplemented by adding the following
text to the bullet point on page 97 beginning with “Synovus Analyst Price Target Analysis”:
|
| 3. |
The disclosure under the heading “The Merger—Opinion of Pinnacle’s Financial Advisor—Other Factors” is hereby amended and supplemented by adding the following
text to the bullet point on page 97 beginning with “Pinnacle Analyst Price Target Analysis”:
|
| 4. |
The disclosure under the heading “The Merger—Opinion of Synovus’ Financial Advisor—Comparable Companies Analysis” is hereby amended and supplemented by
replacing the first paragraph under the heading on page 100 with the following text:
|
| 5. |
The disclosure under the heading “The Merger—Opinion of Synovus’ Financial Advisor—Comparable Companies Analysis” is hereby amended and supplemented by deleting
the existing text on page 101 and replacing it with the following text:
|
| • |
Associated Banc-Corp
|
| • |
Bank OZK
|
| • |
BOK Financial Corporation
|
| • |
Cadence Bank
|
| • |
Columbia Banking System, Inc.
|
| • |
Comerica Incorporated
|
| • |
Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.
|
| • |
East West Bancorp, Inc.
|
| • |
First Horizon Corporation
|
| • |
F.N.B Corporation
|
| • |
Old National Bancorp
|
| • |
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.
|
| • |
SouthState Corporation
|
| • |
UMB Financial Corporation
|
| • |
Valley National Bancorp
|
| • |
Webster Financial Corporation
|
| • |
Western Alliance Bancorporation
|
| • |
Wintrust Financial Corporation
|
| • |
multiple of price to estimated earnings per share for 2026, or Price/2026E EPS;
|
| • |
multiple of price to estimated earnings per share for 2027, or Price/2027E EPS; and
|
| • |
multiple of price to tangible book value per share, or Price/TBV.
|
|
Selected Companies
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
|
Bottom
Quartile
|
Median
|
Top
Quartile
|
Maximum
Value
|
Synovus
|
Pinnacle
|
|||||||||||
|
Price/2026E EPS
|
8.7x
|
10.0x
|
11.4x
|
14.6x
|
9.9x
|
13.3x
|
||||||||||
|
Price/2027E EPS
|
8.1x
|
9.3x
|
10.4x
|
14.9x
|
8.9x
|
12.2x
|
||||||||||
|
Price/TBV
|
1.4x
|
1.6x
|
1.8x
|
2.7x
|
1.7x
|
2.0x
|
||||||||||
| • |
multiple of price to estimated earnings per share for 2026, or Price/2026E EPS;
|
| • |
multiple of price to estimated earnings per share for 2027, or Price/2027E EPS; and
|
| • |
multiple of price to tangible book value per share, or Price/TBV.
|
|
Selected Company
|
Price/2026E EPS
|
Price/2027E EPS
|
Price/TBV
|
|
Associated Banc-Corp
|
9.5x
|
8.4x
|
1.3x
|
|
Bank OZK
|
7.8x
|
7.5x
|
1.2x
|
|
BOK Financial Corporation
|
12.1x
|
11.8x
|
1.5x
|
|
Cadence Bank
|
10.3x
|
9.4x
|
1.6x
|
|
Columbia Banking System, Inc.
|
8.0x
|
7.7x
|
1.4x
|
|
Comerica Incorporated
|
11.3x
|
10.4x
|
1.3x
|
|
Cullen/Frost Bankers, Inc.
|
14.6x
|
14.9x
|
2.7x
|
|
East West Bancorp, Inc.
|
11.4x
|
10.5x
|
2.0x
|
|
First Horizon Corporation
|
11.8x
|
10.9x
|
1.6x
|
|
F.N.B. Corporation
|
9.5x
|
9.0x
|
1.4x
|
|
Old National Bancorp
|
8.6x
|
7.3x
|
1.8x
|
|
Prosperity Bancshares, Inc.
|
11.3x
|
10.0x
|
1.7x
|
|
SouthState Corporation
|
10.5x
|
9.5x
|
1.9x
|
|
UMB Financial Corporation
|
9.7x
|
9.1x
|
1.9x
|
|
Valley National Bancorp
|
8.3x
|
8.0x
|
1.0x
|
|
Webster Financial Corporation
|
9.2x
|
8.6x
|
1.7x
|
|
Western Alliance Bancorporation
|
7.7x
|
7.1x
|
1.4x
|
|
Wintrust Financial Corporation
|
11.7x
|
10.4x
|
1.7x
|
|
Bottom Quartile
|
8.7x
|
8.1x
|
1.4x
|
|
Median
|
10.0x
|
9.3x
|
1.6x
|
|
Top Quartile
|
11.4x
|
10.4x
|
1.8x
|
|
Synovus
|
9.9x
|
8.9x
|
1.7x
|
|
Pinnacle
|
13.3x
|
12.2x
|
2.0x
|
| 6. |
The disclosure under the heading “The Merger—Opinion of Synovus’ Financial Advisor—Dividend Discount Analysis—Synovus Dividend Discount Analysis” is hereby
amended and supplemented by replacing the text of the third full paragraph under the heading on page 103 with the following text:
|
| 7. |
The disclosure under the heading “The Merger—Opinion of Synovus’ Financial Advisor—Dividend Discount Analysis—Pinnacle Dividend Discount Analysis” is hereby
amended and supplemented by replacing the text of the third full paragraph under the heading on pages 103 and 104 with the following text:
|
| 8. |
The disclosure under the heading “The Merger—Opinion of Synovus’ Financial Advisor—Illustrative Pro Forma Financial Impact Analysis” is hereby amended and
supplemented by replacing the last full paragraph on page 104 with the following text:
|
|
Synovus Financial Corp.
|
Pinnacle Financial Partners, Inc.
|
|
33 West 14th Street
|
21 Platform Way South
|
|
Columbus, GA 31901
|
Nashville, TN 37203
|
|
Attention: Investor Relations
|
Attention: Investor Relations
|
|
InvestorRelations@Synovus.com
|
Investor.Relations@pnfp.com
|
|
(706) 641-6500
|
(615) 743-8219
|
|
|
SYNOVUS FINANCIAL CORP. | ||
|
|
|
|
|
| Date: October 28, 2025 |
By: | /s/ Allan E. Kamensky | |
|
|
|
Name: | Allan E. Kamensky |
|
|
|
Title: |
Executive Vice President and General Counsel
|