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Stronger wells and 2026 outlook: Obsidian Energy (TSX/NYSE: OBE) details growth and hedging

Filing Impact
(Neutral)
Filing Sentiment
(Neutral)
Form Type
6-K

Rhea-AI Filing Summary

Obsidian Energy reports a strong start to 2026, highlighting high‑quality drilling results in its Peace River and Willesden Green assets and progress on Clearwater waterflood pilots. New Clearwater and Bluesky wells posted initial production rates up to 299 boe/d of 100% oil, with the Belly River 11-28 pad recently producing over 1,000 boe/d.

The Company reaffirms 2026 guidance for production of 27,900–29,900 boe/d with 73% oil and NGLs, capital spending of $190–$230 million and net operating costs of $14.00–$15.00/boe. Sensitivity cases show forecast FFO of $225 million under guidance pricing, rising to $300 million at US$70 WTI and $331 million at US$80 WTI. Obsidian has expanded oil hedging through 2026 with layered WTI swaps and collars and continues share repurchases under its normal course issuer bid.

Positive

  • None.

Negative

  • None.

Insights

Operational outperformance, unchanged guidance, and heavier hedging leave the thesis broadly intact.

Obsidian Energy combines strong well performance with disciplined 2026 planning. Clearwater and Bluesky wells in Peace River, plus Belly River and Cardium wells in Willesden Green, are delivering high initial rates and improved oil quality, supporting the heavy-oil and light-oil growth narrative.

Guidance remains at 27,900–29,900 boe/d with $190–$230 million of capital, while scenario analysis ties FFO to oil prices, from $225 million under guidance assumptions to $331 million at US$80 WTI. Expanded WTI swaps, collars and FX hedges lock in higher prices but cap some upside, and ongoing normal course issuer bid activity adds a measured capital-return element.

2026 production guidance 27,900–29,900 boe/d Company-wide 2026 guidance, 73% oil and NGLs
2026 capital expenditures $190–$230 million Planned 2026 capital program
2026 FFO guidance case $225 million Based on original 2026 guidance pricing
2026 FFO at US$70/US$80 WTI $300M / $331M Scenario analysis including current hedges
2026 FCF scenarios $7M / $82M / $113M Guidance, US$70 WTI, US$80 WTI cases
West Dawson Clearwater IP22 299 boe/d (100% oil) Initial production rate for 09-21 Clearwater well
Open Creek Cardium IP30 523 boe/d (79% liquids) Average per-well rate on 11-15 four-well pad
WTI swap March 2026 14,050 bbl/d at US$64.29 Oil hedging position for March 2026
waterflood financial
"continued progress on Clearwater waterflood initiatives with the Dawson pilot commissioned"
Waterflood is a method oil producers use to get more oil out of an underground reservoir by pumping water into the ground to push remaining oil toward production wells. It matters to investors because it can raise short‑term output, extend the life of a field and change the cost and value of reserves — like squeezing extra syrup from a sponge by flushing it with water, improving how much product a given asset can deliver.
initial production (IP) financial
"the first well at initial production (“IP”) 22 of 299 boe/d"
Funds Flow from Operations (FFO) financial
"Based on midpoint of above guidance FFO | $ millions | 225 | 300 | 331"
Free Cash Flow (FCF financial
"FCF | $ millions | 7 | 82 | 113"
normal course issuer bid financial
"while continuing to repurchase shares via our normal course issuer bid"
A Normal Course Issuer Bid is when a company buys back its own shares from the stock market over time. This usually shows that the company believes its stock is undervalued and wants to support its price, which can be important for investors to watch.
WTI Swap financial
"WTI Swap | 14,050 | March 2026 | 64.29"
A WTI swap is a financial contract tied to the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil that lets two parties exchange the actual future price of oil for a fixed price. Investors and companies use it to lock in a known oil price or to bet on future price moves, which can protect budgets and cash flow from sudden oil swings much like fixing the price of gasoline today for deliveries later.

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

___________________

Form 6-K

 

REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER

PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16

OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

 

For the month of April 2026
 

Commission File Number 1-32895

___________________

 

Obsidian Energy Ltd.

(Translation of registrant's name into English)

 

Suite 200, 207 – 9th Avenue SW
Calgary, Alberta T2P 1K3

Canada

(Address of principal executive offices)

___________________

 

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.

Form 20-F ☐ Form 40-F ☑

 

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1) ☐

 

Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7) ☐

 

                         .

 

 


DOCUMENTS INCLUDED AS PART OF THIS FORM 6-K

 

See the Exhibit Index hereto.

 

 

SIGNATURES

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized, on April 13, 2026.

 

 

 

 

 

 

OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD.

 

 

 

 

 

 

By:

/s/ Stephen Loukas

 

Name:

Stephen Loukas

 

Title:

President and Chief Executive Officer

 

 

 

 


 

 

EXHIBIT INDEX

 

Exhibit

Description

 

 

99.1

News release, dated April 13, 2026

 


Exhibit 99.1

img16108851_0.gif

 

 

Obsidian Energy Announces Operational Update

 

Robust Belly River and Cardium results in Willesden Green, with three additional wells expected on production in mid-April
Continued progress on Clearwater waterflood initiatives with the Dawson pilot commissioned and both Nampa and West Dawson injector wells rig released
Highest quality oil produced to date in Peace River on the West Dawson and Nampa pads

CALGARY, April 13, 2026 - OBSIDIAN ENERGY LTD. (TSX/NYSE American – OBE) (“Obsidian Energy”, the “Company”, “we”, “us” or “our”) is pleased to provide an operational update on our first quarter 2026 capital program.

 

“We’ve had a strong start to 2026 with our development program in both Peace River and Willesden Green”, commented Stephen Loukas, Obsidian Energy's President and CEO. “In Peace River, we continued to progress our waterflood initiatives with the start of additional waterflood injection in Dawson as well as the construction of waterflood pilots at both Nampa and West Dawson which will be on injection in the second quarter. Development drilling in Peace River led to strong production results at both our West Dawson 09-21 Clearwater pad and Nampa 06-28 Clearwater pad where we achieved some of our best oil quality to-date in the area. In Willesden Green, we focused development activity in Open Creek (Belly River formation) with our 11-28 two-well pad producing over 1,000 boe/d recently. Our Belly River wells have shown increasing production rates over the first few months with IP120’s higher than IP30’s as the wells stabilize. Additionally, in February, we brought on production the Open Creek wells (Cardium formation) drilled at the end of 2025. Results have exceeded internal expectations and with our consolidated working interest obtained in 2025, we anticipate future growth in the area.”

 

Mr. Loukas continued, “With the recent increase in oil prices because of the conflict in Iran, the Company has expanded hedging initiatives and increased our oil hedging position into the third quarter of 2026 at prices significantly higher than our 2026 budget average of US$60 WTI while continuing to repurchase shares via our normal course issuer bid. Over the next few months, the Company will continue to evaluate market conditions and consider expanding our capital program in the second half of the year.”

 

HEAVY OIL ASSET HIGHLIGHTS

 

Active Development Program – Rig-released 11 (11.0 net) wells in Peace River during the first quarter of 2026, including 5 (5.0 net) Clearwater wells, 4 (4.0 net) Clearwater injection wells and 2 (2.0 net) Bluesky wells. The first quarter program had wells rig-released in our Nampa, Harmon Valley South (“HVS”), Cadotte and West Dawson fields. Currently, we have one active rig on the Dawson 5-13 Clearwater pad integrated waterflood project that will continue drilling through spring break-up.

 


Clearwater and Bluesky Development – The West Dawson 09-21 Clearwater pad drilled during the first quarter has experienced production rates significantly above our expectations with the first well at initial production (“IP”) 22 of 299 boe/d (100% oil). This well tested as our best oil quality to date in the Peace River area at 16.5 API gravity and 767cP viscosity@ 20oC. Additionally, the Nampa 06-28 Clearwater pad has seen strong test results with an oil quality of 16.2 API gravity and 497cP viscosity@ 20oC, in an area where we have significant drilling inventory identified. Both wells have offsetting waterflood injectors already drilled and currently being commissioned. We are also pleased with our step-out well on the Cadotte 14-33 Bluesky pad with production rates at IP30 of 196 boe/d (100% oil). Below is a summary of the initial production rates on the 4 (4.0 net) wells spud and brought on production during the quarter:

 

o
West Dawson 09-21 Clearwater pad – 1 (1.0 net) well with an average IP22 of 299 boe/d (100% oil)
o
Nampa 06-28 Clearwater pad – 1 (1.0 net) well with an average IP28 of 143 boe/d (100% oil) per well
o
Cadotte 14-33 Bluesky pad – 1 (1.0 net) well with an average IP30 of 196 boe/d (100% oil) per well
o
HVS 13-08 Bluesky pad – 1 (1.0 net) well with an average IP30 of 146 boe/d (99% oil) per well. (This well is a limited lateral length, infield well drill)
Clearwater Waterflood Pilot Progression – Two (2.0 net) additional Clearwater injection wells commenced operations in early February at the Dawson 04-24 Clearwater pad, which now has a total of 4 (4.0 net) injection wells. The Company elected to drill the additional injectors as a part of the pilot to test pattern geometries for injectivity rate and sweep effectiveness. In parallel, facility designs were revised to adapt to formation water chemistry and improve run time. The current four injector/three producer pilot has been fully operational for approximately two months during which the producers have displayed a flattened production profile with the injectors maintaining consistent rate of injectivity.
Expansion of the Waterflood – Applying what we learned from the Dawson 4-24 Clearwater waterflood pilot, we rig released four injector wells with 2 (2.0 net) each at our Nampa 06-28 Clearwater pad and West Dawson 09-21 Clearwater pad waterflood pilots. These pilots will implement the updated pattern geometry and facility designs from the Dawson pilot into two additional fields. The critical distinction in them will be the improved Clearwater oil quality at the beforementioned API and viscosity levels. Both pilots are approved and water injection is anticipated to begin in late April.

LIGHT OIL ASSET HIGHLIGHTS

 

Development Focused on Open Creek – In the first quarter, we rig-released 5 (5.0 net) wells in the Open Creek area of Willesden Green targeting the Belly River formation. All of these wells, plus 4 (4.0 net) wells drilled in Open Creek (Cardium formation) in late 2025, were brought on production during the first quarter.
Exciting Progress in Belly River Development – The Open Creek 11-28 two-well Belly River pad was brought on production in early March and is showing increasing rates each week. Cleanup can take several weeks as load fluid is produced and the inflow stabilizes on these strong wells. While the average per-well IP30 on this pad is 303 boe/d (78% liquids), it has produced in excess of 900 boe/d over the last 10 days (463 boe per well - 76% liquids). Additionally, the Open Creek 06-04 three-well Belly River pad was drilled and completed in the quarter with equip and tie-in underway. We anticipate this pad to come on production in mid-April.

2

 


Return to Cardium Drilling in Open Creek – The Open Creek 11-15 four well Cardium pad was brought on production in February (previously rig released in fourth quarter). These are the first Cardium wells drilled into Willesden Green Cardium Unit #2 since we increased our working interest to close to 100%. Thus far, we have experienced strong results on this pad with an average per-well IP30 of 523 boe/d (79% liquids).
Non-Operated activity continuing at Pembina Cardium Unit (“PCU”) #11 – The final 6 (2.7 net) Cardium wells from the 2025 PCU #11 program were brought onstream in February with solid average per-well gross IP30 of 307 boe/d (79% liquids). In the first quarter, 4 (1.8 net) wells were drilled and rig released and have just recently come on production.

GUIDANCE SENSITIVITY

 

Our 2026 operational guidance figures are outlined below and remain unchanged from our January 2026 announcement.

 

 

 

2026 Guidance

Production1

boe/d

27,900 – 29,900

    % Oil and NGLs

%

73%

Capital expenditures2

$ millions

190 – 230

Decommissioning expenditures3

$ millions

7 – 11

Net operating costs4

$/boe

14.00 – 15.00

General & administrative

$/boe

2.00 – 2.10

(1)
Refer to ‘Supplemental Production Disclosure’ below for details of production by product types.
(2)
Refer to “Budget Assumptions Information” below for further details.
(3)
The Company’s estimated AER spending closure obligation for 2026 remains subject to change in accordance with the terms and conditions of the agreement of purchase and sale governing the Company’s disposition of its Pembina assets to InPlay Oil Corp in 2025.
(4)
See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” section below for further details.

 

Given recent volatility and increase in oil prices, the Company has outlined financial results below based on our original guidance pricing and first quarter 2026 actual prices plus a WTI US$70 and US$80 flat price deck for the balance of the year (including our current hedge position). All other pricing assumptions utilized in our 2026 guidance remain unchanged.

 

Pricing assumptions1

 

2026 Guidance

US$70 WTI Case

US$80 WTI Case

WTI

US$/bbl

60.00

70.00

80.00

Foreign Exchange Rate

CAD/USD

1.38

1.38

1.38

MSW Differential

US$/bbl

3.50

3.50

3.50

WCS Differential

US$/bbl

13.50

13.50

13.50

AECO

$/GJ

2.75

2.75

2.75

 

 

 

 

 

Based on midpoint of above guidance

 

 

 

FFO3

$ millions

225

300

331

FFO/share1,2

$/share

3.36

4.51

4.97

FCF3

$ millions

7

82

113

FCF/share1,2

$/share

0.11

1.24

1.70

Net debt (prior to NCIB)2,3

$ millions

272

226

195

Net debt (prior to NCIB) to FFO2,3

Times

1.2

0.8

0.6

(1)
Refer to “Budget Assumptions Information” below for further details.
(2)
See “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” section below for further details.
(3)
In the US$70/$80 cases, net debt figures include the impact of purchases under our NCIB ($18 million) and prepaid equity forwards ($15 million) thus far in 2026. In, 2025, the Company entered prepaid equity forward contracts totaling $29 million, refer to our “Hedging Update” section below for details.

 

3

 


Estimated sensitivities to selected key assumptions on FFO for 2026 (including our current hedge position and realized prices for the first quarter of 2026) are as follows:

Guidance Sensitivity Table


Variable


Range

Change in 2026 FFO

($ millions)

WTI (US$/bbl)

+/- $1.00/bbl

4.2

Foreign Exchange Rate (CAD/USD)

+/- $0.01

3.2

MSW light oil differential (US$/bbl)

+/- $1.00/bbl

2.4

WCS heavy oil differential (US$/bbl)

+/- $1.00/bbl

1.9

AECO ($/GJ)

+/- $0.25/GJ

0.8

 

HEDGING UPDATE

 

With the higher oil price environment, the Company has steadily increased our oil hedging position. Currently, we have the following contracts outstanding on a weighted average basis:

 

Type

Volume
(bbls/d)

 

Remaining Term

 

Price ($US/bbl)

Oil

 

 

 

 

 

WTI Swap

 

14,050

 

March 2026

$

 

64.29

WTI Swap

 

13,550

 

April 2026

 

 

65.93

WTI Swap

 

13,100

 

May 2026

 

 

67.45

WTI Swap

 

12,075

 

June 2026

 

 

71.56

WTI Collar

 

750

 

June 2026

 

 

86.00 – 92.25

WTI Swap

 

8,950

 

July 2026

 

 

76.15

WTI Swap

 

2,250

 

August 2026

 

 

81.20

WTI Collar

 

5,050

 

August 2026

$

 

80.25 – 87.69

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Revenue

 

Notional Amount

($ millions)

 

Remaining Term

 

 

FX Rate (USD/CAD)

FX forward contract

 

21.0

 

March 2026

$

 

1.3687

FX forward contract

 

19.5

 

April 2026

 

 

1.3665

FX forward contract

 

19.6

 

May 2026

 

 

1.3700

FX forward contract

 

20.3

 

June 2026

 

 

1.3732

FX forward contract

 

19.2

 

July 2026

 

 

1.3714

FX forward contract

 

18.5

 

August 2026

 

 

1.3715

FX forward contract

 

4.0

 

September 2026

$

 

1.3750

 

Type

Volume
(mcf/d)

 

Remaining Term

 

Price ($/mcf)

Natural Gas

 

 

 

 

 

AECO Swap

 

35,375

 

April 2026 - October 2026

$

 

2.68

AECO Swap

 

4,740

 

November 2026 - March 2027

$

3.31

 

Type

Share
Volume

 

Remaining Term

 

Price (C$)

Equity

 

 

 

 

 

Equity Forward Contract

 

720,000

 

September 2028

$

 

8.89

Equity Forward Contract

 

1,300,000

 

October 2028

 

 

8.72

Equity Forward Contract

 

550,000

 

November 2028

 

 

8.43

Equity Forward Contract

 

715,000

 

December 2028

 

 

8.31

Equity Forward Contract

 

450,000

 

January 2029

 

 

8.76

Equity Forward Contract

 

680,000

 

February 2029

 

 

10.18

Equity Forward Contract

 

360,000

 

April 2029

$

 

12.82

 

4

 


BMO CAPP ENERGY SYMPOSIUM AND UPDATED CORPORATE PRESENTATION

 

Obsidian Energy will be participating in the annual BMO CAPP Energy Symposium (the “Symposium”) from April 14 to 15 in Toronto, Ontario. Stephen Loukas, President and CEO will discuss the Company as part of a panel at 11:10 a.m. ET (9:10 a.m. MT) on Wednesday, April 15. Mr. Loukas along with Peter Scott, Senior VP and Chief Financial Officer will also be hosting one-on-one meetings at the Symposium.

 

Obsidian Energy will post an updated corporate presentation on our website at www.obsidianenergy.com

 

ABOUT OBSIDIAN ENERGY

 

Obsidian Energy is an intermediate-sized oil and gas producer with a well-balanced portfolio of high-quality assets, primarily in the Peace River, Willesden Green and Viking areas in Alberta. The Company’s business is to explore for, develop and hold interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin.

 

Obsidian Energy is headquartered in Calgary and listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and NYSE American (TSX / NYSE American: OBE). To learn more, visit Obsidian Energy’s website.

 

ADDITIONAL READER ADVISORIES

 

SUPPLEMENTAL PRODUCTION DISCOSURE

 

Outlined below is expected average production by product based on the midpoint of our 2026 guidance estimates.

Based on midpoint of guidance

 

2026

Guidance

Heavy Oil

bbl/d

11,800

Light Oil

bbl/d

7,300

NGLs

bbl/d

2,000

Natural gas

mmcf/d

46.8

Total Production

boe/d

28,900

 

BUDGET ASSUMPTIONS INFORMATION

 

Capital Expenditures

Asset level capital does not include $1 million in corporate capital.

 

Commodity Pricing

2026 pricing assumptions include risk management (hedging) adjustments as of April 10, 2026.
WTI assumption for the Guidance 2026 figures is based on first half of 2026 (January – June) of US$58.00/bbl and second half 2026 (July – December) of US$62.00/bbl.
For the flat WTI US$70 and US$80 price scenarios, actual pricing was used for WTI/AECO from January to April 2026 and for MSW/WCS from January to May 2026.

 

Per Share Calculations

Per share calculations are based on an estimated 66.6 million weighted average shares outstanding for the year ended December 31, 2026.

5

 


OIL AND GAS INFORMATION ADVISORY

 

Barrels of oil equivalent ("boe") may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. A boe conversion ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of crude oil is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency conversion ratio of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1

basis is misleading as an indication of value.

 

TEST RESULTS AND INITIAL PRODUCTION RATES

 

Test results and initial production rates disclosed herein, particularly those short in duration, may not necessarily be indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. Readers are cautioned that short-term rates should not be relied upon as indicators of future performance of these wells and therefore should not be relied upon for investment or other purposes. A pressure transient analysis or well-test interpretation has not been carried out and thus certain of the test results provided herein should be considered preliminary until such analysis or interpretation has been completed.

 

NON-GAAP AND OTHER FINANCIAL MEASURES

 

Throughout this news release and in other materials disclosed by the Company, we employ certain measures to analyze financial performance, financial position, and cash flow. These non-GAAP and other financial measures do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures provided by other issuers. The non-GAAP and other financial measures should not be considered to be more meaningful than GAAP measures which are determined in accordance with IFRS, such as net income and cash flow from operating activities as indicators of our performance. The consolidated financial statements and MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2025, are on the Company's website at www.obsidianenergy.com and under our SEDAR+ profile at www.sedarplus.ca and EDGAR profile at www.sec.gov. The disclosure under the section ’Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ in the MD&A is incorporated by reference into this news release.

 

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

 

The following measures are non-GAAP financial measures: FFO; net debt; net operating costs; and FCF. These non-GAAP financial measures are not standardized financial measures under IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. See the disclosure under the section ’Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ in our MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2025, for an explanation of the composition of these measures, how these measures provide useful information to an investor, and the additional purposes, if any, for which management uses these measures.

 

Non-GAAP Ratios

 

The following measures are non-GAAP ratios: FFO (basic per share ($/share)), which use FFO as a component; net operating costs ($/boe), which uses net operating costs as a component; and net debt to FFO, which uses net debt and FFO as components. These non-GAAP ratios are not standardized financial measures under IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. See the disclosure under the section ’Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ in our MD&A in our MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2025, for an explanation of the composition of these non-GAAP ratios, how these non-GAAP ratios provide useful information to an investor, and the additional purposes, if any, for which management uses these non-GAAP ratios.

 

6

 


Supplementary Financial Measures

 

The following measure is a supplementary financial measure: G&A costs ($/boe). See the disclosure under the section ’Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures’ in our MD&A for the year ended December 31, 2025, for an explanation of the composition of these measures.

 

FUTURE-ORIENTED FINANCIAL INFORMATION

 

This release contains future-oriented financial information (“FOFI”) and financial outlook information relating to the Company's prospective results of operations, operating costs, expenditures, production, FFO, FCF, net operating costs, and net debt, which are subject to the same assumptions, risk factors, limitations, and qualifications as set forth below under ‘Forward-Looking Statements’. The Company's actual results, performance or achievement could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, such FOFI, or if any of them do so, what benefits the Company will derive therefrom. The Company has included this FOFI to provide readers with a more complete perspective on the Company's business as of the date hereof and such information may not be appropriate for other purposes.

 

Without limitation of the foregoing, this news release contains information regarding guidance for our 2026 capital expenditures, production levels, FFO, FFO per share, FCF, FCF per share, net operating costs, net debt (prior to NCIB) and net debt (prior to NCIB) to FFO ratio, which are based on various factors and assumptions that are subject to change including regarding production levels, commodity prices, operating and other costs and capital expenditure levels. To the extent that such estimates constitute FOFI or a financial outlook, are included to provide readers with an understanding of the Company's anticipated plans and financial results based on the capital expenditures and other assumptions described and readers are cautioned that the information may not be appropriate for other purposes.

 

ABBREVIATIONS

 

Oil

Natural Gas

bbl

barrel or barrels

mcf

thousand cubic feet

bbl/d

barrels per day

mcf/d

thousand cubic feet per day

boe

barrel of oil equivalent

mmcf

million cubic feet

boe/d

barrels of oil equivalent per day

mmcf/d

million cubic feet per day

MSW

Mixed Sweet Blend

mmbtu

Million British thermal unit

WTI

West Texas Intermediate

AECO

Alberta benchmark price for natural gas

WCS

Western Canadian Select

NGL

natural gas liquids

cP

Centipoise

GJ

gigajoule

 

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

 

This news release contains forward-looking statements or information (collectively "forward-looking statements”) within the meaning of applicable Canadian and U.S. securities laws. The use of any of the words “expect”, “anticipate”, “continue”, “estimate”, “objective”, “ongoing”, “may”, “will”, “project”, “should”, “believe”, “plans”, “intends” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements or information. More particularly and without limitation, this news release contains forward-looking statements and information concerning: where we anticipate our growth areas; how we plan to monitor market conditions and drilling results and consider expansion in our capital expenditures for the second half of the year; our drilling plans, associated timing and on production dates; our expectations for the waterflood expansion pilot for both results and timing; our 2026 corporate guidance for production, capital and decommissioning expenditures, net operating costs, G&A costs, FFO, FFO/share, FCF, FCF/share, net debt (prior to NCIB) and net debt (prior to NCIB) to FFO; our guidance sensitivities and assumptions; our hedges; our attendance and presentation at the Symposium.

 

The forward-looking statements and information are based on certain key expectations and assumptions made by Obsidian Energy, including: the duration and impact of tariffs that are currently in effect on goods exported from or imported in Canada, and that other than such tariffs, neither the U.S. nor Canada (i)

7

 


increases the rate or scope of such tariffs, reenacts tariffs that are currently suspended, or imposes new tariffs, on the import of goods from one country to the other, including on oil and natural gas, and/or (ii) imposes any other form of tax, restriction or prohibition on the import or export of products from one country to the other, including on oil and natural gas; Obsidian Energy's views with respect to its financial condition and prospects, the stability of general economic and market conditions, currency exchange rates and interest rates; the availability of cash or other financing sources to fund repurchases of common shares under the NCIB and our ability to comply with applicable terms and conditions under the Company’s debt agreements; the existence of alternative uses for Obsidian Energy's cash and other financial resources.

 

The future acquisition by the Company of the Company's common shares pursuant to its share buyback program (including through its NCIB), if any, and the level thereof is uncertain. Any decision to acquire common shares of the Company pursuant to the share buyback program will be subject to the discretion of the board of directors of the Company and may depend on a variety of factors, including, without limitation, the Company's business performance, financial condition, financial requirements, growth plans, expected capital requirements and other conditions existing at such future time including, without limitation, contractual restrictions and satisfaction of the solvency tests imposed on the Company under applicable corporate law. There can be no assurance of the number of common shares of the Company that the Company will acquire pursuant to its share buyback program, if any, in the future.

 

Although the Company believes that the expectations reflected in the forward-looking statements contained in this document, and the assumptions on which such forward-looking statements are made, are reasonable, there can be no assurance that such expectations will prove to be correct. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements included in this document, as there can be no assurance that the plans, intentions or expectations upon which the forward-looking statements are based will occur. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, known and unknown risks and uncertainties that contribute to the possibility that the forward-looking statements contained herein will not be correct, which may cause our actual performance and financial results in future periods to differ materially from any estimates or projections of future performance or results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, among other things: the risk that (i) the tariffs that are currently in effect on goods exported from or imported into Canada continue in effect for an extended period of time, the tariffs that have been threatened are implemented, that tariffs that are currently suspended are reactivated, the rate or scope of tariffs are increased, or new tariffs are imposed, including on oil and natural gas, (ii) the U.S. and/or Canada imposes any other form of tax, restriction or prohibition on the import or export of products from one country to the other, including on oil and natural gas, and (iii) the tariffs imposed or threatened to be imposed by the U.S. on other countries and retaliatory tariffs imposed or threatened to be imposed by other countries on the U.S., will trigger a broader global trade war which could have a material adverse effect on the Canadian, U.S. and global economies, and by extension the Canadian oil and natural gas industry and the Company, including by decreasing demand for (and the price of) oil and natural gas, disrupting supply chains, increasing costs, causing volatility in global financial markets, and limiting access to financing; the possibility that we change our budgets (including our capital expenditure budgets) in response to internal and external factors, including those described herein; the possibility that the Company will not be able to continue to successfully execute our business plans and strategies in part or in full, and the possibility that some or all of the benefits that the Company anticipates will accrue to our Company and our stakeholders as a result of the successful execution of such plans and strategies do not materialize (such as our inability to return capital to shareholders and/or reduce debt levels to the extent anticipated or at all); the impact on energy demand and commodity prices of regional and/or global health related events and the responses of governments and the public thereto, including the risk that the amount of energy demand destruction and/or the length of the decreased demand exceeds our expectations; the risk that there is another significant decrease in the valuation of oil and natural gas companies and their securities and in confidence in the oil and natural gas industry generally, whether caused by regional and/or global health related events, the worldwide transition towards less reliance on fossil fuels and/or other factors; the risk that the financial capacity of the Company's contractual counterparties is adversely affected and potentially their ability to perform their contractual obligations; the possibility that the revolving period and/or term out period of our credit facility and the maturity date of our senior notes is not extended (if necessary), that the borrowing base under our credit facility is reduced, that the Company is unable to renew or refinance our credit facilities on acceptable

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terms or at all and/or finance the repayment of our senior notes when they mature on acceptable terms or at all and/or obtain new debt and/or equity financing to replace our credit facilities and/or senior notes or to fund other activities; the possibility that we are unable to complete one or more repurchase offers pursuant to our senior notes when otherwise required to do so; the possibility that we are forced to shut-in production, whether due to commodity prices decreasing, extreme weather events such as wild fires, inability to access our properties due to blockades or other activism, or other factors; the risk that OPEC and other nations fail to agree on and/or adhere to production quotas from time to time that are sufficient to balance supply and demand fundamentals for oil; general economic and political conditions in Canada, the U.S. and globally, and in particular, the effect that those conditions have on commodity prices and our access to capital; industry conditions, including fluctuations in the price of oil, natural gas liquids and natural gas, price differentials for oil and natural gas produced in Canada as compared to other markets, and transportation restrictions, including pipeline and railway capacity constraints; fluctuations in foreign exchange, including the impact of the Canadian/ U.S. dollar exchange rate on our revenues and expenses; fluctuations in interest rates, including the effects of interest rates on our borrowing costs and on economic activity, and including the risk that elevated interest rates cause or contribute to the onset of a recession; the risk that our costs increase due to inflation, supply chain disruptions, scarcity of labour and/or other factors, adversely affecting our profitability; unanticipated operating events or environmental events that can reduce production or cause production to be shut-in or delayed (including extreme cold during winter months, wild fires, flooding and droughts (which could limit our access to the water we require for our operations)); the risk that wars and other armed conflicts adversely affect world economies and the demand for oil and natural gas, including the ongoing war between Russian and Ukraine and/or hostilities in the Middle East and Venezuela; the possibility that fuel conservation measures, alternative fuel requirements, increasing consumer demand for alternatives to hydrocarbons, government mandates requiring the sale of electric vehicles and/or electrification of the power grid, and technological advances in fuel economy and renewable energy generation systems could permanently reduce the demand for oil and natural gas and/or permanently impair the Company's ability to obtain financing and/or insurance on acceptable terms or at all, and the possibility that some or all of these risks are heightened as a result of the response of governments, financial institutions and consumers to a regional and/or global health related event and/or the influence of public opinion and/or special interest groups.

 

The forward-looking statements and information contained in this news release are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement. Except as required by law, the Company does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements or information contained herein. Readers should also carefully consider the matters discussed that could affect Obsidian Energy, or its operations or financial results in Obsidian Energy’s Annual Information Form (see "Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements" therein) for the year ended December 31, 2025, which is available on the SEDAR+ website (www.sedarplus.ca), EDGAR website (www.sec.gov) or Obsidian Energy's website.

 

Obsidian Energy shares are listed on both the Toronto Stock Exchange in Canada and the NYSE American exchange in the United States under the symbol “OBE”.

 

contact

 

OBSIDIAN ENERGY

Suite 200, 207 - 9th Avenue SW, Calgary, Alberta T2P 1K3

Phone: 403-777-2500

Toll Free: 1-866-693-2707

Website: www.obsidianenergy.com

 

Investor Relations:

Toll Free: 1-888-770-2633

Email: investor.relations@obsidianenergy.com

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FAQ

What 2026 production guidance does Obsidian Energy (OBE) provide?

Obsidian Energy targets average 2026 production of 27,900–29,900 boe/d. About 73% of volumes are expected to be oil and NGLs, reflecting a liquids‑weighted portfolio focused on Peace River heavy oil and Willesden Green light oil developments.

How much capital does Obsidian Energy (OBE) plan to spend in 2026?

The company plans 2026 capital expenditures of $190–$230 million. This spending supports drilling in Peace River and Willesden Green, waterflood pilots, and related infrastructure, while decommissioning expenditures are forecast between $7 million and $11 million for the year.

What financial outlook does Obsidian Energy (OBE) give for 2026 FFO and FCF?

Based on guidance pricing, Obsidian forecasts 2026 FFO of $225 million and FCF of $7 million. In price scenarios of US$70 and US$80 WTI, FFO rises to $300 million and $331 million, with FCF increasing to $82 million and $113 million respectively.

How is Obsidian Energy (OBE) using hedging in 2026?

Obsidian has increased its oil and FX hedging, layering in WTI swaps and collars through August 2026 and AECO gas swaps to March 2027. These contracts lock in specific prices and exchange rates, stabilizing cash flow relative to its 2026 budget assumptions.

What operational results did Obsidian Energy (OBE) highlight in Peace River?

The company reported strong Clearwater and Bluesky well results in Peace River. A West Dawson Clearwater well delivered IP22 of 299 boe/d at 100% oil, with 16.5 API oil, while Nampa and Bluesky wells also showed solid initial production and improved oil quality.

What are Obsidian Energy’s (OBE) 2026 net operating cost and G&A targets?

For 2026, Obsidian targets net operating costs of $14.00–$15.00 per boe and general and administrative costs of $2.00–$2.10 per boe. These per-unit cost goals are tied to its production guidance and non‑GAAP financial framework described in its MD&A.

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