Boston and Seattle are playing for a trophy, and a home value boost might follow for the winner
Rhea-AI Summary
Zillow (Z) analysis finds the metro that wins the professional football championship has outpaced U.S. home value growth 13 of the past 20 years. On average, a typical home in the winning metro gained $4,437 more than the U.S. market in the subsequent year.
Largest outperformance examples: Tampa (2021) +$25,262 vs national average, Denver (2016) +$21,459, Boston (2017) +$15,565. Some winners underperformed, including New York (2008) -$15,741 versus the national change.
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News Market Reaction – ZG
On the day this news was published, ZG declined 4.94%, reflecting a moderate negative market reaction.
Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.
Zillow data shows championship markets usually beat national home value growth in the year after winning football's biggest game
- In 13 of the past 20 years, the metro area that won the professional football championship saw home values grow faster than the
U.S. average in the year that followed, according to the Zillow Home Value Index. - On average, the typical home in a championship market gained
more than the typical$4,437 U.S. home in the year after the win.
Over the past 20 years, home values in the metro area that wins the professional football championship have grown an average of
"While this is a fun trend, it's highly unlikely that a championship football team is the driving force causing home values to grow. A win on the field brings bragging rights, but unfortunately won't boost your Zestimate," said Zillow Senior Economist Kara Ng. "Regardless of the outcome, the good news is that we are trending toward a healthier market nationwide, with more homes for sale and buyers better able to afford them."
Some markets really ran up the score. Homeowners in the
Not every champion followed up its trophy win with a real estate boom. In the
For home buyers looking for data and tools they can actually count on, the BuyAbilitySM tool from Zillow Home Loans gives buyers a personalized, real-time estimate of the home price and monthly payment that fit within their budget.
Metro Area | Year of Championship | Typical Home Value Growth in | Difference Compared to |
2006 | - | ||
2007 | |||
2008 | - | - | |
2009 | |||
2010 | - | ||
2011 | - | ||
2012 | - | ||
2013 | - | ||
2014 | |||
2015 | |||
2016 | |||
2017 | |||
2018 | - | ||
2019 | |||
2020 | - | ||
2021 | |||
2022 | - | ||
2023 | |||
2024 | |||
2025 |
*As of January 2026 |
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SOURCE Zillow