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COVID-19 Transforms Peak Rental Shopping Season in NYC

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The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted New York City's real estate market in Q2 2020, with rental demand plummeting and Manhattan rents falling for the first time since the Great Recession. A record 34.7% of rentals received discounts, and the median asking rent decreased by 6.7%, amounting to $221, while the StreetEasy Manhattan Rent Index fell 0.9% to $3,236. Conversely, interest in outer boroughs surged, with Brooklyn searches up 26% and Queens 24%. Landlords increased virtual tours significantly as remote work trends altered rental priorities.

Positive
  • Increased user interest in rentals, particularly in Brooklyn (26% increase) and Queens (24% increase), indicating potential future market recovery.
  • Landlords adapted by enhancing virtual tour offerings, with a 54-fold increase in walkthrough videos and 10-fold in floorplans.
Negative
  • Manhattan rent discounts reached a record high, with 34.7% of rentals discounted and a median rent drop of 6.7%, totaling $221.
  • StreetEasy Manhattan Rent Index fell 0.9% year-over-year to $3,236 for the first time since the Great Recession.
  • Brooklyn experienced the largest year-over-year price drop in home values in seven years, with prices decreasing by 1.6% to $687,160.

NEW YORK, July 17, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- As New York City faced the worst impacts of the coronavirus pandemic in the second quarter of 2020, the city's real estate market reeled. Demand for rentals plummeted at a time when it normally rises, interest in the outer boroughs shot upward, and rents in Manhattan fell for the first time since the Great Recession, according to StreetEasy's Q2 2020 Market Reportsi.

The period saw a record high for rental discounts in Manhattan: 34.7 percent of all borough rentals received a discount. Landlords cut a record 6.7% off the median asking rent in the borough, equivalent to $221 per month for the median apartment.

The same drop in demand also caused the StreetEasy Manhattan Rent Indexii to fall year-over-year for the first time since the Great Recession, sinking 0.9% to $3,236.

Yet while demand for new rentals fell, interest in those same apartments — as measured by anonymized StreetEasy user search data — rose over last year, especially in the outer boroughs. Stay-at-home-orders drove a flood of interest in online resources and home shopping, and StreetEasy searches for rentals in all three boroughs analyzed increased over last year.

Brooklyn saw the biggest jump in user interest, with 26% more searches than 2019, while Queens searches rose 24%. Even searches for Manhattan rentals increased at 15% year over year. This data suggests that in addition to renters with expiring leases who were looking to move, many were watching curiously to see how the pandemic might impact New York City's historically high rents.

Landlords, meanwhile, responded to the stay-at-home restrictions with a surge in virtual tour offerings. During the second quarter, real estate agents and landlords uploaded 54 times more walkthrough videos, and 10 times more floorplans, on rental listings than they did in the first quarter.

"Commuting to the office and living in the center of the city were simply not on the list of priorities for renters during this past quarter, and landlords reacted by slashing rents and trying new tactics in order to attract tenants," says StreetEasy Economist Nancy Wu.

"Landlords are in for a much slower than normal summer rentals season, even as the city slowly begins to reopen. Remote work has given many renters the option to live anywhere they please, making it too soon to predict when rents will rebound."

See below for additional sales and rental market trends across Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Queens.

Rents and Home Prices Fall in Manhattan

The pandemic and surrounding health precautions caused the first year-over-year drop in Manhattan rents since the Great Recession. The StreetEasy Manhattan Rent Index fell 0.9% to $3,236. Rents dropped the furthest on the borough's most expensive apartments, with the top quintile, or the most expensive 20% of the market, seeing a 1.4% decrease in rents to $6,325. Sales prices also fell, with the StreetEasy Manhattan Price Indexiii down 4.1% from last year to $1,062,276.

Brooklyn Home Prices Drop at Fastest Rate in 7 Years

The StreetEasy Brooklyn Rent Index increased 2.6% to $2,728, the slowest pace of growth since the fourth quarter of 2018. More than 1 in 4 (25.6%) rentals were discounted during the second quarter, an increase of 8.6 percentage points year-over-year. The StreetEasy Brooklyn Price Index fell 1.6% to $687,160, marking the largest year-over-year drop in home prices in seven years. Sales inventory was down 31.5% compared to the second quarter of 2019.

Queens Rents Climb, But More Slowly

Rents in Queens continued to climb, but at the slowest pace in two years. The StreetEasy Queens Rent Index rose 1.2% to $2,196 during the second quarter. More than one in five (22.5%) rentals were discounted in the borough — an increase of 4.7 percentage points from last year, and the largest share of discounts since the third quarter of 2018. Home prices in Queens remained flat compared to last year at $507,321.

View all StreetEasy Market Reports for Manhattan, Brooklyn, and Queens, with additional neighborhood data and graphics. Definitions of StreetEasy's metrics and monthly data from each report can be explored and downloaded via the StreetEasy Data Dashboard.

About StreetEasy

StreetEasy is reimagining the way people buy, sell, and rent homes in New York City and New Jersey. Used more than any other local real estate platform, StreetEasy's website and mobile apps provide vetted and verified listings, plus intuitive search tools and data-driven guides to help people unlock the opportunity of living here. Consumers and real estate professionals can stay up-to-date on the latest real estate trends through StreetEasy's Market Reports and explore and download market data for free on the-01%26maxDate%3D2020-01-01%26area%3DFlatiron%2CBrooklyn%2520Heights&a=%C2%A0" rel="nofollow"> -01%26maxDate%3D2020-01-01%26area%3DFlatiron%2CBrooklyn%2520Heights&a=StreetEasy+Data+Dashboard" rel="nofollow">StreetEasy Data Dashboard. Launched in 2006 and based in NoMad, Manhattan, StreetEasy is owned and operated by Zillow Group (NASDAQ: Z and ZG) and is a registered trademark of Zillow, Inc.

i The StreetEasy Market Reports are a monthly overview of the Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens sales and rental markets. Every three months, a quarterly analysis is published. The report data is aggregated from public recorded sales and listings data from real estate brokerages that provide comprehensive coverage of Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens, with more than a decade of history for most metrics. The reports are compiled by the StreetEasy Research team. For more information, visit https://streeteasy.com/blog/research/market-reports. StreetEasy tracks data for all five boroughs within New York City, but currently only produces reports for Manhattan, Brooklyn and Queens.
ii The StreetEasy Rent Indices are monthly indices that track changes in rent for all housing types and are currently available from January 2007 in Manhattan, January 2010 in Brooklyn, and January 2012 in Queens. Each index uses a repeat-sales method similar that used to calculate the StreetEasy Price Indices. The repeat method evaluates rental price growth based on homes in a given geography that have listed for rent more than once. More details on methodology here.
iii The StreetEasy Price Indices track changes in resale prices of condo, co-op, and townhouse units. Each index uses a repeat-sales method of comparing the sales prices of the same properties since January 1995 in Manhattan and January 2007 in Brooklyn and Queens. Given this methodology, each index accurately captures the change in home prices by controlling for the varying composition of homes sold in a given month. Levels of the StreetEasy Price Indices reflect average values of homes on the market. Data on the sale of homes is sourced from the New York City Department of Finance. Full methodology here.

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SOURCE StreetEasy

FAQ

How did COVID-19 affect Manhattan's rental market in Q2 2020?

COVID-19 caused a significant drop in rental demand in Manhattan, leading to a 0.9% decrease in the StreetEasy Manhattan Rent Index to $3,236, and a record 34.7% of rentals received discounts.

What changes occurred in Brooklyn's rental market during the pandemic?

Brooklyn's rental market saw a 26% increase in user searches compared to 2019, but rental prices grew at the slowest pace since Q4 2018, with discounts rising to 25.6%.

What was the impact of COVID-19 on real estate trends in Queens?

Queens experienced a 1.2% increase in rents during Q2 2020, but at the slowest growth rate in two years, with 22.5% of rentals discounted.

What strategies did landlords employ in response to changing rental demands?

Landlords significantly increased virtual tour offerings, uploading 54 times more walkthrough videos and 10 times more floorplans compared to Q1 2020.

What are the implications of the recent rental market trends for investors?

The significant discounts and falling rents may indicate a challenging environment for investors, particularly in Manhattan and Brooklyn, necessitating a cautious approach.

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