SEPTEMBER HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: HARRIS AND TRUMP DEAD EVEN IN FINAL STRETCH
The September Harvard CAPS / Harris poll reveals a dead heat in the presidential race between Harris and Trump, both at 50%. Harris' favorability and job approval ratings stand at 47%, while Trump holds a 47% favorability rating and 52% job approval rating. Key findings include:
- Voters perceive Harris as stronger on abortion, climate change, and racial equality, while Trump is seen as better on economy, immigration, crime, and China.
- The congressional race is also neck-and-neck.
- Less than half of voters approve of the current administration, with Biden's approval at 42%.
- 63% believe the U.S. economy is on the wrong track, with 42% naming inflation as the top issue.
- 69% support continuing the Israel-Hamas conflict until Hamas is removed and hostages released.
- 60% support U.S. sanctions on Venezuela for alleged election fraud.
Il sondaggio di settembre Harvard CAPS / Harris rivela un risultato pari nella corsa presidenziale tra Harris e Trump, entrambi al 50%. I tassi di gradimento e approvazione lavorativa di Harris sono al 47%, mentre Trump ha un tasso di gradimento del 47% e un tasso di approvazione lavorativa del 52%. I risultati chiave includono:
- Gli elettori percepiscono Harris come più forte su aborto, cambiamento climatico e uguaglianza razziale, mentre Trump è visto come migliore su economia, immigrazione, crimine e Cina.
- La corsa congressuale è anch'essa in parità.
- Meno della metà degli elettori approva l'attuale amministrazione, con l'approvazione di Biden al 42%.
- Il 63% ritiene che l'economia degli Stati Uniti sia sulla strada sbagliata, con il 42% che indica l'inflazione come il problema principale.
- Il 69% sostiene di continuare il conflitto Israele-Hamas fino alla rimozione di Hamas e al rilascio degli ostaggi.
- Il 60% supporta le sanzioni statunitensi contro il Venezuela per presunti frodi elettorali.
La encuesta de septiembre de Harvard CAPS / Harris revela un empate en la carrera presidencial entre Harris y Trump, ambos con un 50%. Las calificaciones de favorabilidad y aprobación de Harris se mantienen en 47%, mientras que Trump tiene un 47% de favorabilidad y un 52% de aprobación laboral. Los hallazgos clave incluyen:
- Los votantes perciben a Harris como más fuerte en aborto, cambio climático e igualdad racial, mientras que Trump es visto como mejor en economía, inmigración, crimen y China.
- La carrera congresual también está muy reñida.
- Menos de la mitad de los votantes aprueban la administración actual, con la aprobación de Biden en el 42%.
- El 63% cree que la economía de EE.UU. va por el mal camino, con el 42% mencionando la inflación como el principal problema.
- El 69% apoya continuar el conflicto entre Israel y Hamas hasta que Hamas sea eliminado y los rehenes liberados.
- El 60% apoya las sanciones de EE.UU. a Venezuela por presunta fraude electoral.
9월 하버드 CAPS / 해리스 여론조사는 해리스와 트럼프 간의 대등한 지지율을 보여주며, 둘 다 50%로 동률을 이루고 있습니다. 해리스의 호감도 및 직무 승인율은 47%로, 트럼프는 47%의 호감도와 52%의 직무 승인율을 보이고 있습니다. 주요 발견 사항은 다음과 같습니다:
- 유권자들은 해리스를 낙태, 기후 변화, 인종 평등에 강하다고 인식하는 반면, 트럼프는 경제, 이민, 범죄, 중국에 대해 더 나은 것으로 보입니다.
- 의회 선거 또한 접전입니다.
- 현 정부에 대한 승인율은 절반 이하로, 바이든의 승인율은 42%입니다.
- 63%는 미국 경제가 잘못된 방향으로 가고 있다고 보고하며, 42%는 인플레이션을 가장 중요한 문제로 언급합니다.
- 69%는 하마스 제거와 인질 석방까지 이스라엘-하마스 갈등 지속을 지지합니다.
- 60%는 선거 부정 혐의로 베네수엘라에 대한 미국의 제재를 지지합니다.
Le sondage de septembre Harvard CAPS / Harris révèle une égalité dans la course à la présidence entre Harris et Trump, tous deux à 50%. Les taux de faveur et d'approbation de Harris se situent à 47%, tandis que Trump affiche un taux de faveur de 47% et un taux d'approbation de 52%. Les principaux résultats incluent :
- Les électeurs perçoivent Harris comme plus fort sur l'avortement, le changement climatique et l'égalité raciale, tandis que Trump est considéré comme meilleur sur l'économie, l'immigration, la criminalité et la Chine.
- La course au Congrès est également très serrée.
- Moins de la moitié des électeurs approuvent l'administration actuelle, avec un taux d'approbation de Biden à 42%.
- 63% pensent que l'économie américaine est sur la mauvaise voie, 42% citant l'inflation comme le principal problème.
- 69% soutiennent la poursuite du conflit Israël-Hamas jusqu'à ce que Hamas soit éliminé et que les otages soient libérés.
- 60% soutiennent les sanctions américaines contre le Venezuela pour fraude électorale présumée.
Die September-Umfrage von Harvard CAPS / Harris zeigt ein Unentschieden im Präsidentschaftsrennen zwischen Harris und Trump, beide bei 50%. Harris' Beliebtheits- und Zustimmungswerte liegen bei 47%, während Trump eine Beliebtheit von 47% und eine Zustimmungsquote von 52% hat. Wichtige Ergebnisse sind:
- Wähler nehmen Harris als stärker in Abtreibung, Klimawandel und Rassengleichheit wahr, während Trump als besser in Wirtschaft, Einwanderung, Kriminalität und China eingeschätzt wird.
- Auch das Rennen um den Kongress ist sehr eng.
- Weniger als die Hälfte der Wähler billigt die derzeitige Regierung, wobei Bidens Zustimmungsrate bei 42% liegt.
- 63% glauben, dass die US-Wirtschaft auf dem falschen Weg ist, wobei 42% die Inflation als das Hauptproblem nennen.
- 69% unterstützen, dass der Israel-Hamas-Konflikt fortgesetzt wird, bis Hamas entfernt und Geiseln befreit sind.
- 60% unterstützen US-Sanktionen gegen Venezuela wegen angeblichen Wahlbetrugs.
- Stagwell (STGW) continues to conduct influential political polls, maintaining its relevance in the market
- The poll's results are likely to generate significant media attention, potentially increasing Stagwell's visibility
- None.
The presidential horse race now sits at 50-50. Harris' favorability and job approval ratings remain at
Voters believe Harris would do a better job on abortion, climate change, and racial equality, while Trump would do a better job on the economy, immigration, crime, and
"Harris has drawn to dead even but Trump has an edge in the underlying numbers given his higher job approval and the overall low approval of the Biden administration," said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO.
CONGRESSIONAL AND PRESIDENTIAL HORSE RACES BOTH NECK-AND-NECK
- The presidential horse race is tied at 50-50.
- Both presidential candidates are winning their respective party bases: male (
50% ), white (54% ), and rural (59% ) voters favor Trump, while Black (71% ), urban (57% ), and college-educated (52% ) voters favor Harris. Independent voters are split almost evenly and33% of them say they are still weighing their final choice. 50% of Hispanic voters say they will vote for Harris, while43% say they will vote for Trump — only a 7-point gap.7% of Hispanic voters say they are still unsure.
CANDIDATES ARE PERCEIVED AS WIDELY DIFFERENT ON THE ISSUES
- Major differences emerged between how voters see Trump and how they see Harris on the issues. Harris is seen more often than not as favoring open borders, compassionate enforcement of laws, free healthcare to immigrants, and the switch to electric vehicles. Trump is seen as a stronger ally to
Israel , harsher onChina , and more of a defender of free speech on social media than Harris. - Trump is seen as favoring a national ban on abortion while Harris is seen as opposing such a ban.
49% of voters say Harris is to the left of them politically, while50% say Trump is to the right of them politically.
LESS THAN HALF OF VOTERS APPROVE OF CURRENT ADMINISTRATION
- Biden approval rating stayed steady at
42% from July. Among minority voters,66% of Black voters approve, but only39% of Hispanic voters approve. - Less than half of voters approve of Biden's performance across all issues, with racial equity his highest (
47% ) and the Israel-Hamas conflict his lowest (34% ). 47% of voters approve of the job Harris is doing as Vice President, with high approval from Democrats (87% ), Black (71% ), and urban (60% ) voters.
PERCEPTIONS TOWARD ECONOMY REMAIN PESSIMISTIC
63% of voters believe theU.S. economy is on the wrong track and62% characterize it as weak, consistent with perceptions over the past year.42% of voters named inflation as the most important issue facing the country today, up 5 points from July.48% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting worse, especially among female (53% ), 55-64 year-old (55% ), and rural (57% ) voters.
SUPPORT FOR
69% of voters say a ceasefire of the Israel-Hamas war should only happen after Hamas is removed from power and all hostages are released (ages 18-24:45% ; ages 65+:84% ). When asked to choose betweenIsrael and Hamas without the choice to remain undecided,79% continue to favorIsrael while21% favor Hamas.71% of voters say the execution of six hostages was the fault of Hamas over that of the Israeli government.- More than half of voters have at least heard about the Venezuelan election, but
38% of voters say the Venezuelan election was not stolen by incumbent President Nicolás Maduro (ages 18-24:49% ; ages 25-34:48% ; ages 65+:27% ). 57% of voters say they support the protesters inVenezuela , and60% supportU.S. sanctions onVenezuela for allegations of election fraud, but56% believe theU.S. government should not engage in another international issue.
The September Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within
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SOURCE Stagwell Inc.
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