JANUARY HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: IMMIGRATION IS NOW VOTERS' TOP CONCERN
- President Joe Biden's approval rating is at 42%
- Economic sentiment remains even
- Voters seek a bipartisan deal on immigration
- Public opinion on the 2024 horse race and the Israel-Hamas war is covered in the poll
- President Joe Biden's immigration rating sank to 35%
TRUMP WIDENS LEAD BUT A JANUARY 6 CONVICTION COULD SWING ELECTION
President Joe Biden's approval rating is
"For all the talk of international crises, Americans are focused on America and themselves first," said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. "They are very concerned about immigration, inflation and crime and that's why many of them are saying they want a new president."
IMMIGRATION CONCERNS ARE NOW FRONT AND CENTER
- Immigration is now the top concern for voters, up 7 points since last month to
35% (with inflation at second,32% ). 77% of voters believe the Biden administration should make a deal with the Republicans to increase border security – including65% of Democrats.68% believe the Biden administration should make it tougher to get into theU.S. illegally – including50% of Democrats.
JANUARY 6 MIGHT BE THE ONLY TRUMP CONVICTION THAT COULD SWING ELECTION TO BIDEN
- Trump currently leads the head-to-head against Biden by 7 points.
- If Trump is convicted for mishandling of classified documents, he wins against Biden by 6 points.
- If Trump is convicted on RICO charges for influencing the
Georgia 2020 election results, he wins against Biden by 2 points. - But if Trump is convicted for inciting Capitol riots on January 6, Biden wins by 4 points.
TRUMP'S GOP LEAD GROWS DESPITE BALLOT ACCESS CONTROVERSIES
- Trump leads the GOP primary with
71% support, up 4 points since last month. 61% of voters believe Ron DeSantis does not have a viable path to the GOP nomination;58% believe Nikki Haley does not have a viable path.55% think the Supreme Court should put Trump back on theColorado ballot, and64% predict the Supreme Court will do so.
VIEWS ON THE ECONOMY SHOW LITTLE MOVEMENT
44% of voters believe their personal economics right now are good or excellent, while42% say theU.S. economy is strong.
80% of voters supportIsrael over Hamas, steady over the past few months (ages 18-24:57% ; ages 65+:93% ).67% believe a ceasefire should happen only after the hostages are released and Hamas removed from power (ages 18-24:37% ; ages 65+:90% ).77% believe the Houthis inYemen are a terrorist group (ages 18-24:53% ; ages 65+:91% ).74% support the retaliatory attacks by theU.S. and multinational coalition forces against the Houthis (ages 18-24:61% ; ages 65+:90% ).
The January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within
About The Harris Poll & HarrisX
The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the
HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the
About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of
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