S&P 500 Q1 2024 Buybacks Increase 8.1% from Q4 2023; 12-month Expenditure Declines 4.8% from Previous Year, Earnings Per Share Impact Reverses Showing First Gain in Five Quarters; Buybacks Tax Results in a 0.47% Reduction in Q1 Operating Earnings and 0.41% Reduction in 12-month Earnings
The S&P 500 Q1 2024 buybacks totaled $236.8 billion, up 8.1% from Q4 2023 and 9.9% from Q1 2023. However, the 12-month expenditure to March 2024 was $816.5 billion, a 4.8% decrease from the previous year. Consumer Staples increased spending by 32.7%, while Consumer Discretionary decreased by 44.1%. Information Technology saw a minor uptick of 1.8%, and Health Care surged by 93.5%. The 1% buyback tax reduced Q1 2024 operating earnings by 0.47% and GAAP earnings by 0.54%. EPS impact showed a positive change for the first time in five quarters. Total shareholder returns for Q1 2024 were $388.4 billion, a 4.1% increase from Q4 2023. Despite the 1% tax, buybacks were not significantly impacted.
- Q1 2024 buybacks increased by 8.1% from Q4 2023.
- Q1 2024 buybacks rose 9.9% from Q1 2023.
- Total shareholder returns for Q1 2024 were $388.4 billion, up 4.1% from Q4 2023.
- Consumer Staples increased buyback spending by 32.7%.
- Health Care buybacks surged by 93.5% in Q1 2024.
- EPS impact showed the first gain in five quarters.
- Top 20 companies accounted for 50.9% of Q1 2024 buybacks, indicating strong buyback activity among leading firms.
- 12-month buyback expenditure decreased by 4.8% to $816.5 billion.
- Consumer Discretionary sector reduced buyback spending by 44.1%.
- The 1% buyback tax reduced Q1 2024 operating earnings by 0.47% and GAAP earnings by 0.54%.
- Q1 2024 dividends decreased by 1.6% to $151.6 billion from Q4 2023.
- The total shareholder returns for the 12 months ending March 2024 decreased by 1.5%.
Insights
The recent increase in stock buybacks for Q1 2024 indicates a return to confidence among companies in the S&P 500. Buybacks surged by
Consumer Staples saw a significant increase of
From a retail investor standpoint, this data implies companies are optimistic about their future cash flows and profitability, using buybacks to support share prices. However, the long-term sustainability of such buybacks could be questioned if economic conditions or cash flows deteriorate. Notably, market concentration remains high, with the top 20 companies accounting for
The sectoral breakdown reveals fascinating dynamics. Information Technology continues to lead in buybacks, representing
The decline in the Consumer Discretionary sector’s buybacks by
While the overall shareholder returns from buybacks and dividends increased by
- S&P 500 Q1 2024 buybacks were
, up$236.8 billion 8.1% from Q4 2023's and up$219.1 billion 9.9% from Q1 2023's$215.5 billion - The 12-month March 2024 expenditure of
was down$816.5 billion 4.8% from the prior 12-month expenditure of$857.2 billion - Consumer Staples increased spending by
32.7% , as Consumer Discretionary reduced spending by44.1% ; Information Technology ticked up1.8% and Health Care jumped93.5% - The net buyback
1% tax reduced Q1 2024 operating earnings by0.47% and As Reported GAAP by0.54%
Historical data on S&P 500 buybacks is available at www.spdji.com/indices/equity/sp-500.
Key Takeaways:
- Q1 2024 share repurchases were
, up$236.8 billion 8.1% from Q4 2023's expenditure, and up$219.1 billion 9.9% from Q1 2023's .$215.5 billion - For the 12-months ending March 2024, buybacks were
, down from$816.5 billion for the prior 12-month March 2023 period; the 12-month peak was in June 2022 with$867.2 billion .$1.00 5 trillion - 352 companies reported buybacks of at least
for the quarter, up from 313 in Q4 2023 and down from 358 in Q1 2023; 380 companies did some buybacks for the quarter, up from 373 in Q4 2023 and down from 390 in Q1 2023; 419 companies did some buybacks in the last 12-month period, down from 432 in the prior 12-month period.$5 million - Buybacks concentration declined but remained top heavy, with the top 20 S&P 500 companies accounting for
50.9% of Q1 2024 buybacks, down from Q4 2023's54.1% , but above the historical average of47.5% , and above the pre-COVID historical average of44.5% . 13.3% of companies reduced share counts used for earnings per share (EPS) by at least4% year-over-year, up from Q4 2023's12.6% and down from Q1 2023's18.5% , it was the first EPS impact increase since Q3 2022; for Q1 2024 196 issues increased their shares used for EPS over Q4 2023, and 255 reduced them.- S&P 500 Q1 2024 dividends decreased
1.6% to from the prior Q4 2023 record of$151.6 billion and were$154.1 billion 3.3% greater than the in Q1 2023. For the 12-month's ending March 2024, dividends set a record$146.8 billion payments, up$593.1 billion 3.4% on an aggregate basis from the prior 12-month March 2023's .$573.7 billion - Total shareholders return of buybacks and dividends increased to
in Q1 2024, up$388.4 billion 4.1% from Q4 2023's and up$373.2 billion 7.2% from Q1 2023's . Total shareholder returns for the 12-months ending March 2024 decreased$362.3 billion 1.5% to from the prior 12-month March 2023's$1.41 0 trillion .$1.43 1 trillion - The
1% tax on net buybacks, which started in 2023, reduced the Q1 2024 S&P 500 operating earnings by0.47% , up from Q4 2023's0.44% impact, and As Reported GAAP earnings by0.54% up from the prior0.50% ; for the 12-month March 2024 period they reduced earnings0.41% for operating and0.46% for As Reported.
"The share count impact on EPS increased for the first time after five consecutive quarters of declines as companies increased their overall buyback expenditure by
"Given the market's current expectations for interest rates to decline later in the year and the continued uncertainty over geopolitical and domestic issues, companies may be shy to finance buybacks going forward as discretionary buybacks, which reduce share count, may need to be financed from ongoing operations. Top-tier cash-flow issues however are seen as continuing their buybacks and positively impacting their EPS."
The
Silverblatt added: "The
Q1 2024 GICS® Sector Analysis:
Information Technology maintained its lead in buybacks, representing
Financials increased their buybacks by
Healthcare significantly increased their Q1 2024 expenditure by
Consumer Staples increased their spending in Q1 2024 by
Consumer Discretionary decreased their spending by
Issues:
The five issues with the highest total buybacks for Q1 2024 were:
- Apple (AAPL): continued to dominate the issue level buybacks, as it again spent the most of any issue with its Q1 2024 expenditure ranking as the 6th highest in S&P 500 history. For the quarter, the company spent
, up from Q4 2023's$23.5 billion (the 10th largest in index history). Apple holds 18 of the top 20 record quarters (Meta Platforms holds #14 and QUALCOMM holds #16). For the 12-months ending March 2024, Apple spent$22.7 billion on buybacks, down from the prior 12-month period's$87.4 billion . Over the five-year period Apple has spent$91.1 billion , and$429 billion over the ten-year period.$664 billion - Meta Platforms (META):
for Q1 2024, up from the$18.2 billion in Q4 2023; the 12-month expenditure was$8.2 billion versus the prior expenditure of$34.6 billion .$31.5 billion - Alphabet (GOOG/L):
for Q1 2024, down from$15.7 billion in Q4 2023; the 12-month expenditure was$16.2 billion versus$62.6 billion .$60.6 billion - NVIDA (NVDA):
for Q1 2024, up from$9.5 billion in Q4 2023; the 12-month expenditure was$3.5 billion versus$21.3 billion .$9.5 billion - Wells Fargo (WFC):
$6.0 billion for Q1 2024, up from in Q4 2023; the 12-month expenditure was$2.4 billion versus 2022's$13.8 billion .$4.0 billion
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S&P Dow Jones Indices | |||
S&P 500 proforma net buyback tax impact | |||
TAX | TAX % OF | TAX % OF | |
$ BILLIONS | OPERATING | AS REPORTED | |
12 Mo Mar,'24 | 0.41 % | 0.46 % | |
12 Mo Mar,'23 | 0.47 % | 0.54 % | |
Q1 2024 | 0.47 % | 0.54 % | |
Q4 2023 | 0.44 % | 0.50 % | |
Q3 2023 | 0.39 % | 0.42 % | |
Q2 2023 | 0.34 % | 0.38 % | |
Q1 2023 | 0.45 % | 0.49 % | |
2023 | 0.40 % | 0.45 % | |
2022 proforma | 0.51 % | 0.58 % | |
2021 proforma | 0.45 % | 0.47 % |
S&P Dow Jones Indices | ||||||||
S&P 500, $ | (preliminary in bold) | |||||||
PERIOD | MARKET | OPERATING | AS REPORTED | DIVIDEND & | ||||
VALUE | EARNINGS | EARNINGS | DIVIDENDS | BUYBACKS | DIVIDEND | BUYBACK | BUYBACK | |
$ BILLIONS | $ BILLIONS | $ BILLIONS | $ BILLIONS | $ BILLIONS | YIELD | YIELD | YIELD | |
12 Mo Mar,'24 Prelim. | 1.35 % | 1.85 % | 3.20 % | |||||
12 Mo Mar,'23 | 1.67 % | 2.50 % | 4.17 % | |||||
2023 | 1.47 % | 1.99 % | 3.46 % | |||||
2022 | 1.76 % | 2.87 % | 4.63 % | |||||
2021 | 1.27 % | 2.18 % | 3.45 % | |||||
2020 | 1.53 % | 1.64 % | 3.17 % | |||||
2019 | 1.81 % | 2.72 % | 4.54 % | |||||
2018 | 2.17 % | 3.84 % | 6.01 % | |||||
3/28/2024 Prelim. | 1.35 % | 1.85 % | 3.20 % | |||||
12/31/2023 | 1.47 % | 1.99 % | 3.46 % | |||||
9/30/2023 | 1.61 % | 2.19 % | 3.81 % | |||||
6/30/2023 | 1.55 % | 2.19 % | 3.74 % | |||||
3/31/2023 | 1.67 % | 2.50 % | 4.17 % | |||||
12/31/2022 | 1.76 % | 2.87 % | 4.63 % | |||||
9/30/2022 | 1.83 % | 3.26 % | 5.09 % | |||||
6/30/2022 | 1.70 % | 3.15 % | 4.85 % | |||||
3/31/2022 | 1.37 % | 2.57 % | 3.94 % | |||||
12/31/2021 | 1.27 % | 2.18 % | 3.45 % | |||||
9/30/2021 | 1.37 % | 2.03 % | 3.40 % | |||||
6/30/2021 | 1.33 % | 1.68 % | 3.01 % | |||||
3/31/2021 | 1.43 % | 1.48 % | 2.91 % | |||||
12/31/2020 | 1.53 % | 1.64 % | 3.17 % | |||||
9/30/2020 | 1.75 % | 2.05 % | 3.80 % | |||||
6/30/2020 | 1.93 % | 2.52 % | 4.45 % | |||||
3/31/2020 | 2.31 % | 3.37 % | 5.68 % |
S&P Dow Jones Indices | |||||||
S&P 500 SECTOR BUYBACKS | |||||||
SECTOR $ MILLIONS | Q1,'24 | Q4,'23 | Q1,'23 | 12MoMar,'24 | 12MoMar,'23 | 5-YEARS | 10-YEARS |
Consumer Discretionary | |||||||
Consumer Staples | |||||||
Energy | |||||||
Financials | |||||||
Healthcare | |||||||
Industrials | |||||||
Information Technology | |||||||
Materials | |||||||
Real Estate | |||||||
Communication Services | |||||||
Utilities | |||||||
TOTAL | |||||||
SECTOR BUYBACK MAKEUP % | Q1,'24 | Q4,'23 | Q1,'23 | 12MoMar,'24 | 12MoMar,'23 | 5-YEARS | 10-YEARS |
Consumer Discretionary | 6.78 % | 13.11 % | 8.49 % | 9.95 % | 9.83 % | 9.30 % | 11.47 % |
Consumer Staples | 5.07 % | 4.13 % | 2.92 % | 3.71 % | 4.12 % | 4.06 % | 5.36 % |
Energy | 5.98 % | 7.33 % | 8.96 % | 7.92 % | 8.70 % | 4.62 % | 3.99 % |
Financials | 18.19 % | 13.43 % | 21.76 % | 16.48 % | 13.26 % | 18.30 % | 18.56 % |
Healthcare | 10.78 % | 6.02 % | 10.76 % | 8.22 % | 9.91 % | 9.71 % | 11.33 % |
Industrials | 7.12 % | 12.37 % | 6.61 % | 8.68 % | 8.35 % | 7.84 % | 9.49 % |
Information Technology | 24.19 % | 25.69 % | 21.31 % | 25.63 % | 27.57 % | 29.28 % | 28.59 % |
Materials | 2.21 % | 1.35 % | 1.75 % | 2.04 % | 2.88 % | 2.35 % | 2.31 % |
Real Estate | 0.26 % | 0.11 % | 0.24 % | 0.22 % | 0.37 % | 0.31 % | 0.30 % |
Communication Services | 19.05 % | 15.85 % | 16.61 % | 16.81 % | 14.78 % | 13.89 % | 8.29 % |
Utilities | 0.37 % | 0.62 % | 0.60 % | 0.34 % | 0.24 % | 0.34 % | 0.31 % |
TOTAL | 100.00 % | 100.00 % | 100.00 % | 100.00 % | 100.00 % | 100.00 % | 100.00 % |
S&P Dow Jones Indices | ||||||||||
S&P 500 20 LARGEST Q1 2024 BUYBACKS, $ MILLIONS | ||||||||||
Company | Ticker | Sector | Q1 2024 | Q4 2023 | Q1 2023 | 12-Months | 12-Months | 5-Year | 10-Year | Indicated |
Buybacks | Buybacks | Buybacks | Mar,'24 | Mar,'23 | Buybacks | Buybacks | Dividend | |||
$ Million | $ Million | $ Million | $ Million | $ Million | $ Million | $ Million | $ Million | |||
Apple | AAPL | Information Technology | ||||||||
Meta Platforms | META | Communication Services | ||||||||
Alphabet | GOOGL | Communication Services | ||||||||
NVIDIA | NVDA | Information Technology | ||||||||
Wells Fargo | WFC | Financials | ||||||||
Caterpillar | CAT | Industrials | ||||||||
Microsoft | MSFT | Information Technology | ||||||||
Cigna Group | CI | Health Care | ||||||||
T-Mobile US | TMUS | Communication Services | ||||||||
UnitedHealth Group | UNH | Health Care | ||||||||
CVS Health | CVS | Health Care | ||||||||
Exxon Mobil | XOM | Energy | ||||||||
Thermo Fisher Scientific | TMO | Health Care | ||||||||
Chevron | CVX | Energy | ||||||||
JPMorgan Chase | JPM | Financials | ||||||||
Visa | V | Financials | ||||||||
Goldman Sachs | GS | Financials | ||||||||
Comcast | CMCSA | Communication Services | ||||||||
Berkshire Hathaway | BRK.b | Financials | ||||||||
Bank of America | BAC | Financials | ||||||||
Top 20 | ||||||||||
S&P 500 | ||||||||||
Top 20 % of S&P 500 | 50.85 % | 39.07 % | 43.47 % | 44.61 % | 38.66 % | 39.92 % | 32.33 % | 20.97 % | ||
Gross values are not adjusted for float |
S&P Dow Jones Indices | ||||
S&P 500 Q1 2024 Buyback Report | ||||
SECTOR | DIVIDEND | BUYBACK | COMBINED | |
YIELD | YIELD | YIELD | ||
Consumer Discretionary | 0.79 % | 1.87 % | 2.67 % | |
Consumer Staples | 2.59 % | 1.20 % | 3.79 % | |
Energy | 3.19 % | 3.89 % | 7.08 % | |
Financials | 1.70 % | 2.40 % | 4.11 % | |
HealthCare | 1.65 % | 1.23 % | 2.88 % | |
Industrials | 1.47 % | 1.92 % | 3.39 % | |
Information Technology | 0.66 % | 1.46 % | 2.12 % | |
Materials | 1.86 % | 1.66 % | 3.52 % | |
Real Estate | 3.70 % | 0.19 % | 3.88 % | |
Communications Services | 1.13 % | 4.10 % | 5.23 % | |
Utilities | 3.24 % | 0.35 % | 3.59 % | |
S&P 500 | 1.40 % | 1.86 % | 3.25 % | |
Uses full values (unadjusted for float) | ||||
Dividends based on indicated; buybacks based on the last 12-months ending Q1,'24 |
Share Count Changes | ||
(Y/Y diluted shares used for EPS) | >= | <=- |
Q1 2024 | 4.62 % | 13.25 % |
Q4 2023 | 3.81 % | 12.63 % |
Q3 2023 | 4.60 % | 13.80 % |
Q2 2023 | 4.22 % | 16.27 % |
Q1 2023 | 4.02 % | 18.47 % |
Q4 2022 | 5.01 % | 19.44 % |
Q3 2022 | 7.21 % | 21.24 % |
Q2 2022 | 8.42 % | 19.84 % |
Q1 2022 | 7.62 % | 17.64 % |
Q4 2021 | 10.06 % | 14.89 % |
Q3 2021 | 10.22 % | 7.41 % |
Q2 2021 | 11.02 % | 5.41 % |
Q1 2021 | 10.40 % | 5.80 % |
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FAQ
How did the S&P 500 buybacks change in Q1 2024 compared to Q4 2023?
What was the impact of the 1% buyback tax on Q1 2024 earnings?
How did the Consumer Staples sector change its buyback spending in Q1 2024?
What was the total shareholder return for Q1 2024?
How did Q1 2024 buybacks affect the EPS impact for the S&P 500?