Olin Announces Fourth Quarter 2023 Results
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Insights
The reported net income of $52.9 million for Q4 2023, compared to $196.6 million in the same quarter the previous year, indicates a significant decline in profitability for Olin Corporation. This reduction in earnings per share from $1.43 to $0.43 is a key metric for investors, as it reflects the company's ability to generate profits from its operations. The decrease in adjusted EBITDA from $441.8 million in Q4 2022 to $210.1 million in Q4 2023 further emphasizes a substantial decrease in operational efficiency and profitability. These financial indicators may influence investor sentiment and stock valuation, potentially leading to volatility in Olin's stock price.
Another critical aspect is the aggressive share repurchase program, with $711.3 million spent in 2023 to buy back approximately 10% of outstanding shares. This strategy can be seen as a move to return value to shareholders and may support the stock price by reducing the number of shares outstanding, thus increasing earnings per share. However, the effectiveness of this strategy should be evaluated in the context of the company's long-term growth prospects and debt levels.
Olin's liquidity position, with a cash balance of $170.3 million and net debt of approximately $2.5 billion, results in a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.9 times. This leverage ratio is within a reasonable range for many industries, but it is crucial to monitor this in relation to the company's cash flow generation capability, especially given the current challenging economic environment and the company's expectation of improved adjusted EBITDA in 2024.
The 'value accelerator initiative' mentioned by Olin Corporation is an operational strategy aimed at enhancing the value of their electrochemical unit (ECU) and improving the financial performance of their Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment. The initiative's success and its continuation through February 2024 suggest a strategic approach to managing market participation and prices, which could be a positive signal to investors about management's commitment to reversing negative trends and improving margins.
However, the reported decline in sales for the Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment, from $1,172.8 million in Q4 2022 to $906.1 million in Q4 2023, coupled with a decrease in segment earnings, primarily due to lower volumes and pricing, indicates a challenging market environment. This performance may raise concerns about the company's competitive position and pricing power in its core chemical markets.
On the other hand, the Winchester segment's performance is a bright spot, with increased sales and segment earnings attributed to higher commercial ammunition shipments and military sales. The acquisition of the White Flyer business and its inclusion in the Winchester segment could provide diversification and growth opportunities, potentially offsetting some of the challenges faced by the chemical segments.
Olin Corporation's financial results are reflective of broader economic trends, including the challenging economic environment of 2023. The company's acknowledgment of these difficulties and their impact on the chemical industry is crucial for understanding the macroeconomic factors at play. The global economic downturn has likely affected industrial demand, which in turn impacts pricing and sales volumes for chemical products like caustic soda. This macroeconomic perspective is important for stakeholders to consider when evaluating the company's performance and future outlook.
Furthermore, the company's efforts to maintain an investment-grade balance sheet amidst these economic headwinds are commendable. Achieving additional investment-grade credit ratings could lower borrowing costs and improve financial flexibility, which is particularly valuable in uncertain economic times. Stakeholders should monitor how Olin's financial strategies and operational adjustments align with economic cycles and industry-specific challenges.
Highlights
- Fourth quarter 2023 net income of
$52.9 million $0.43 - Quarterly adjusted EBITDA of
$210.1 million - Share repurchases of
$711.3 million - Expect 2024 adjusted EBITDA to improve from 2023
Scott Sutton, Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, said, "Through the challenging economic environment of 2023, Olin successfully demonstrated our unique winning model by delivering
"In fourth quarter 2023, we executed a 'value accelerator initiative' designed to halt the decline in our electrochemical unit ("ECU") values and accelerate a favorable inflection point for our Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls business. We are seeing success with our 'value accelerator initiative' but expect to continue to limit our market participation through February 2024, as we remain disciplined in our approach to ECU values. We anticipate our initiative supports an improved 2024 adjusted EBITDA as compared to 2023. Considering the ongoing difficult global economic environment and our 'value accelerator initiative,' we expect first quarter 2024 results from our Chemical businesses to be slightly higher than fourth quarter 2023 levels. We also expect our Winchester business first quarter 2024 results to increase sequentially from fourth quarter 2023. Overall, we expect Olin's first quarter 2024 adjusted EBITDA to improve by approximately
SEGMENT REPORTING
Olin defines segment earnings as income (loss) before interest expense, interest income, other operating income (expense), non-operating pension income, other income, and income taxes.
CHLOR ALKALI PRODUCTS AND VINYLS
In first quarter 2023, the Blue Water Alliance joint venture began operations and is consolidated in our Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls segment. Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls sales for the fourth quarter 2023 were
EPOXY
Epoxy sales for the fourth quarter 2023 were
WINCHESTER
In fourth quarter 2023, we completed the acquisition of the White Flyer business, which was included in our Winchester segment. White Flyer designs, manufactures and sells recreational trap, skeet, international and sporting clay targets. Winchester sales for the fourth quarter 2023 were
CORPORATE AND OTHER COSTS
Other corporate and unallocated costs in fourth quarter of 2023 decreased
LIQUIDITY AND SHARE REPURCHASES
The cash balance on December 31, 2023, was
During fourth quarter 2023, approximately 2.5 million shares of common stock were repurchased at a cost of
CONFERENCE CALL INFORMATION
Olin senior management will host a conference call to discuss fourth quarter 2023 financial results at 9:00 a.m. Eastern time on Friday, January 26, 2024. Remarks will be followed by a question-and-answer session. Associated slides, which will be available the evening before the call, and the conference call webcast will be accessible via Olin's website, www.olin.com, under the fourth quarter conference call icon. An archived replay of the webcast will also be available in the Investor Relations section of Olin's website beginning at 12:00 p.m. Eastern time. A final transcript of the call will be posted the next business day.
COMPANY DESCRIPTION
Olin Corporation is a leading vertically-integrated global manufacturer and distributor of chemical products and a leading
Visit www.olin.com for more information on Olin.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This communication includes forward-looking statements. These statements relate to analyses and other information that are based on management's beliefs, certain assumptions made by management, forecasts of future results, and current expectations, estimates and projections about the markets and economy in which we and our various segments operate. The statements contained in this communication that are not statements of historical fact may include forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties.
We have used the words "anticipate," "intend," "may," "expect," "believe," "should," "plan," "outlook," "project," "estimate," "forecast," "optimistic," "target," and variations of such words and similar expressions in this communication to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements regarding the Company's intent to repurchase, from time to time, the Company's common stock. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve certain risks, uncertainties, and assumptions, which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from those matters expressed or implied in such forward-looking statements. We undertake no obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of future events, new information or otherwise. The payment of cash dividends is subject to the discretion of our board of directors and will be determined in light of then-current conditions, including our earnings, our operations, our financial conditions, our capital requirements and other factors deemed relevant by our board of directors. In the future, our board of directors may change our dividend policy, including the frequency or amount of any dividend, in light of then-existing conditions.
The risks, uncertainties and assumptions involved in our forward-looking statements, many of which are discussed in more detail in our filings with the SEC, including without limitation the "Risk Factors" section of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, and our Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and other reports furnished or filed with the SEC, include, but are not limited to, the following:
Business, Industry and Operational Risks
- sensitivity to economic, business and market conditions in
the United States and overseas, including economic instability or a downturn in the sectors served by us; - declines in average selling prices for our products and the supply/demand balance for our products, including the impact of excess industry capacity or an imbalance in demand for our chlor alkali products;
- unsuccessful execution of our strategic operating model, which prioritizes Electrochemical Unit (ECU) margins over sales volumes;
- failure to control costs and inflation impacts or failure to achieve targeted cost reductions;
- our reliance on a limited number of suppliers for specified feedstock and services and our reliance on third-party transportation;
- the occurrence of unexpected manufacturing interruptions and outages, including those occurring as a result of labor disruptions, production hazards and weather-related events;
- availability of and/or higher-than-expected costs of raw material, energy, transportation, and/or logistics;
- the failure or an interruption of our information technology systems;
- failure to identify, attract, develop, retain and motivate qualified employees throughout the organization and ability to manage executive officer and other key senior management transitions;
- our inability to complete future acquisitions or joint venture transactions or successfully integrate them into our business;
- risks associated with our international sales and operations, including economic, political or regulatory changes;
- the negative impact from a public health crisis, such as a pandemic, epidemic or outbreak of infectious disease, including the COVID-19 pandemic and the global response to the pandemic, including without limitation adverse impacts in complying with governmental mandates;
- our indebtedness and debt service obligations;
- weak industry conditions affecting our ability to comply with the financial maintenance covenants in our senior credit facility;
- adverse conditions in the credit and capital markets, limiting or preventing our ability to borrow or raise capital;
- the effects of any declines in global equity markets on asset values and any declines in interest rates or other significant assumptions used to value the liabilities in, and funding of, our pension plans;
- our long-range plan assumptions not being realized causing a non-cash impairment charge of long-lived assets;
Legal, Environmental and Regulatory Risks
- changes in, or failure to comply with, legislation or government regulations or policies, including changes regarding our ability to manufacture or use certain products and changes within the international markets in which we operate;
- new regulations or public policy changes regarding the transportation of hazardous chemicals and the security of chemical manufacturing facilities;
- unexpected outcomes from legal or regulatory claims and proceedings;
- costs and other expenditures in excess of those projected for environmental investigation and remediation or other legal proceedings;
- various risks associated with our Lake City U.S. Army Ammunition Plant contract and performance under other governmental contracts; and
- failure to effectively manage environmental, social and governance (ESG) issues and related regulations, including climate change and sustainability.
All of our forward-looking statements should be considered in light of these factors. In addition, other risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or that we consider immaterial could affect the accuracy of our forward-looking statements.
2024 - 01
Olin Corporation | ||||||
Consolidated Statements of Operations (a) | ||||||
Three Months | Years Ended | |||||
Ended December 31, | December 31, | |||||
(In millions, except per share amounts) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||
Sales | $ 1,614.6 | $ 1,977.0 | $ 6,833.0 | $ 9,376.2 | ||
Operating Expenses: | ||||||
Cost of Goods Sold | 1,430.9 | 1,594.5 | 5,667.5 | 7,194.3 | ||
Selling and Administrative | 102.8 | 97.9 | 406.7 | 393.9 | ||
Restructuring (Income) Charges (b) | (2.4) | 11.0 | 89.6 | 25.3 | ||
Other Operating Income (c) | 15.7 | - | 42.9 | 16.3 | ||
Operating Income | 99.0 | 273.6 | 712.1 | 1,779.0 | ||
Interest Expense | 47.2 | 40.5 | 181.1 | 143.9 | ||
Interest Income | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 2.2 | ||
Non-operating Pension Income | 7.0 | 9.7 | 24.0 | 38.7 | ||
Income before Taxes | 59.9 | 243.8 | 559.3 | 1,676.0 | ||
Income Tax Provision (d) | 11.1 | 47.2 | 107.3 | 349.1 | ||
Net Income | 48.8 | 196.6 | 452.0 | 1,326.9 | ||
Net Loss Attributable to Noncontrolling Interests | (4.1) | - | (8.2) | - | ||
Net Income Attributable to Olin Corporation | $ 52.9 | $ 196.6 | $ 460.2 | $ 1,326.9 | ||
Net Income Attributable to Olin Corporation Per Common Share: | ||||||
Basic | $ 0.44 | $ 1.46 | $ 3.66 | $ 9.16 | ||
Diluted | $ 0.43 | $ 1.43 | $ 3.57 | $ 8.94 | ||
Dividends Per Common Share | $ 0.20 | $ 0.20 | $ 0.80 | $ 0.80 | ||
Average Common Shares Outstanding - Basic | 121.0 | 134.5 | 125.9 | 144.9 | ||
Average Common Shares Outstanding - Diluted | 123.5 | 137.7 | 128.8 | 148.5 | ||
(a) | Unaudited. | |||||
(b) | Restructuring income for the three months ended December 31, 2023 was primarily attributed to revised contract termination costs associated with our operational cessation at our Terneuzen, | |||||
(c) | Other operating income for both the three months and year ended December 31, 2023 included an insurance recovery of | |||||
(d) | Income tax provision for the year ended December 31, 2022 included a benefit of | |||||
Olin Corporation | ||||||||
Segment Information (a) | ||||||||
Three Months | Years Ended | |||||||
Ended December 31, | December 31, | |||||||
(In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | ||||
Sales: | ||||||||
Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls | $ 906.1 | $ 1,172.8 | $ 3,995.1 | $ 5,085.0 | ||||
Epoxy | 313.1 | 484.2 | 1,329.2 | 2,690.5 | ||||
Winchester | 395.4 | 320.0 | 1,508.7 | 1,600.7 | ||||
Total Sales | $ 1,614.6 | $ 1,977.0 | $ 6,833.0 | $ 9,376.2 | ||||
Income before Taxes: | ||||||||
Chlor Alkali Products and Vinyls | $ 65.9 | $ 252.3 | $ 664.2 | $ 1,181.3 | ||||
Epoxy | (23.1) | 30.5 | (31.0) | 388.5 | ||||
Winchester | 65.4 | 45.7 | 255.6 | 372.9 | ||||
Corporate/Other: | ||||||||
Environmental Expense (b) | (0.6) | (5.2) | (23.7) | (23.2) | ||||
Other Corporate and Unallocated Costs | (26.7) | (38.7) | (106.3) | (131.5) | ||||
Restructuring Income (Charges) (c) | 2.4 | (11.0) | (89.6) | (25.3) | ||||
Other Operating Income (d) | 15.7 | - | 42.9 | 16.3 | ||||
Interest Expense | (47.2) | (40.5) | (181.1) | (143.9) | ||||
Interest Income | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4.3 | 2.2 | ||||
Non-operating Pension Income | 7.0 | 9.7 | 24.0 | 38.7 | ||||
Income before Taxes | $ 59.9 | $ 243.8 | $ 559.3 | $ 1,676.0 | ||||
(a) | Unaudited. | |||||||
(b) | Environmental expense for both the three months and years ended December 31, 2023 and 2022, included | |||||||
(c) | Restructuring income for the three months ended December 31, 2023 was primarily attributed to revised contract termination costs associated with our operational cessation at our Terneuzen, | |||||||
(d) | Other operating income for both the three months and year ended December 31, 2023 included an insurance recovery of | |||||||
Olin Corporation | ||||
Consolidated Balance Sheets (a) | ||||
December 31, | ||||
(In millions, except per share data) | 2023 | 2022 | ||
Assets: | ||||
Cash and Cash Equivalents | $ 170.3 | $ 194.0 | ||
Accounts Receivable, Net | 874.7 | 924.6 | ||
Income Taxes Receivable | 15.3 | 43.2 | ||
Inventories, Net | 858.8 | 941.9 | ||
Other Current Assets | 54.1 | 52.7 | ||
Total Current Assets | 1,973.2 | 2,156.4 | ||
Property, Plant and Equipment | ||||
(Less Accumulated Depreciation of | 2,519.6 | 2,674.1 | ||
Operating Lease Assets, Net | 344.7 | 356.0 | ||
Deferred Income Taxes | 87.4 | 60.5 | ||
Other Assets | 1,118.5 | 1,102.5 | ||
Intangibles, Net | 245.8 | 273.8 | ||
Goodwill | 1,424.0 | 1,420.9 | ||
Total Assets | $ 7,713.2 | $ 8,044.2 | ||
Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity: | ||||
Current Installments of Long-term Debt | $ 78.8 | $ 9.7 | ||
Accounts Payable | 775.4 | 837.7 | ||
Income Taxes Payable | 154.7 | 133.4 | ||
Current Operating Lease Liabilities | 69.3 | 71.8 | ||
Accrued Liabilities | 450.0 | 508.8 | ||
Total Current Liabilities | 1,528.2 | 1,561.4 | ||
Long-term Debt | 2,591.3 | 2,571.0 | ||
Operating Lease Liabilities | 283.1 | 292.5 | ||
Accrued Pension Liability | 225.8 | 234.5 | ||
Deferred Income Taxes | 476.2 | 507.3 | ||
Other Liabilities | 340.3 | 333.9 | ||
Total Liabilities | 5,444.9 | 5,500.6 | ||
Commitments and Contingencies | ||||
Shareholders' Equity: | ||||
Common Stock, | ||||
Issued and Outstanding 120.2 Shares (132.3 in 2022) | 120.2 | 132.3 | ||
Additional Paid-in Capital | 24.8 | 682.7 | ||
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Loss | (496.3) | (495.9) | ||
Retained Earnings | 2,583.7 | 2,224.5 | ||
Olin Corporation's Shareholders' Equity | 2,232.4 | 2,543.6 | ||
Noncontrolling Interests | 35.9 | - | ||
Total Equity | 2,268.3 | 2,543.6 | ||
Total Liabilities and Equity | $ 7,713.2 | $ 8,044.2 | ||
(a) Unaudited. |
Olin Corporation | |||
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows (a) | |||
Years Ended | |||
December 31, | |||
(In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | |
Operating Activities: | |||
Net Income | $ 452.0 | $ 1,326.9 | |
Gains on Disposition of Property, Plant and Equipment | (27.0) | (13.0) | |
Stock-based Compensation | 18.6 | 14.1 | |
Depreciation and Amortization | 533.4 | 598.8 | |
Deferred Income Taxes | (55.6) | (32.4) | |
Write-off of Equipment and Facility included in Restructuring Charges | 17.7 | - | |
Qualified Pension Plan Contributions | (1.1) | (1.3) | |
Qualified Pension Plan Income | (21.0) | (33.1) | |
Changes in: | |||
Receivables | 65.4 | 160.8 | |
Income Taxes Receivable/Payable | 45.8 | (2.9) | |
Inventories | 94.4 | (86.3) | |
Other Current Assets | (3.1) | 15.9 | |
Accounts Payable and Accrued Liabilities | (133.9) | (22.3) | |
Other Assets | (23.4) | (2.6) | |
Other Noncurrent Liabilities | 15.8 | (0.7) | |
Other Operating Activities | (3.7) | - | |
Net Operating Activities | 974.3 | 1,921.9 | |
Investing Activities: | |||
Capital Expenditures | (236.0) | (236.9) | |
Business Acquired in Purchase Transaction, Net of Cash Acquired | (63.9) | - | |
Payments under Other Long-term Supply Contracts | (64.5) | (37.7) | |
Proceeds from Disposition of Property, Plant and Equipment | 28.8 | 14.9 | |
Other Investing Activities | (5.2) | - | |
Net Investing Activities | (340.8) | (259.7) | |
Financing Activities: | |||
Long-term Debt Borrowings (Repayments), Net | 85.9 | (201.1) | |
Common Stock Repurchased and Retired | (711.3) | (1,350.7) | |
Stock Options Exercised | 25.4 | 25.7 | |
Dividends Paid | (101.0) | (116.2) | |
Debt Issuance Costs | - | (4.4) | |
Contributions Received from Noncontrolling Interests | 44.1 | - | |
Net Financing Activities | (656.9) | (1,646.7) | |
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash and Cash Equivalents | (0.3) | (2.0) | |
Net (Decrease) Increase in Cash and Cash Equivalents | (23.7) | 13.5 | |
Cash and Cash Equivalents, Beginning of Year | 194.0 | 180.5 | |
Cash and Cash Equivalents, End of Year | $ 170.3 | $ 194.0 | |
(a) Unaudited. |
Olin Corporation | |||||
Non-GAAP Financial Measures - Adjusted EBITDA (a) | |||||
Olin's definition of Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) is net income (loss) plus an add-back for depreciation and amortization, interest expense (income), income tax provision (benefit), other expense (income), restructuring (income) charges and certain other non-recurring items. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. Management believes that this measure is meaningful to investors as a supplemental financial measure to assess the financial performance without regard to financing methods, capital structures, taxes or historical cost basis. The use of non-GAAP financial measures is not intended to replace any measures of performance determined in accordance with GAAP and Adjusted EBITDA presented may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies. Reconciliation of forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are omitted from this release because Olin is unable to provide such reconciliations without the use of unreasonable efforts. This inability results from the inherent difficulty in forecasting generally and quantifying certain projected amounts that are necessary for such reconciliations. In particular, sufficient information is not available to calculate certain adjustments required for such reconciliations, including interest expense (income), income tax provision (benefit), other expense (income) and restructuring (income) charges. Because of our inability to calculate such adjustments, forward-looking net income guidance is also omitted from this release. We expect these adjustments to have a potentially significant impact on our future GAAP financial results. | |||||
Three Months | Years Ended | ||||
Ended December 31, | December 31, | ||||
(In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | 2023 | 2022 | |
Reconciliation of Net Income to Adjusted EBITDA: | |||||
Net Income | $ 48.8 | $ 196.6 | $ 452.0 | $ 1,326.9 | |
Add Back: | |||||
Interest Expense | 47.2 | 40.5 | 181.1 | 143.9 | |
Interest Income | (1.1) | (1.0) | (4.3) | (2.2) | |
Income Tax Provision | 11.1 | 47.2 | 107.3 | 349.1 | |
Depreciation and Amortization | 128.5 | 148.5 | 533.4 | 598.8 | |
EBITDA | 234.5 | 431.8 | 1,269.5 | 2,416.5 | |
Add Back: | |||||
Restructuring (Income) Charges | (2.4) | 11.0 | 89.6 | 25.3 | |
Environmental Recoveries (b) | (6.4) | (1.0) | (6.4) | (1.0) | |
Certain Non-recurring Items (c) | (15.6) | - | (42.6) | (13.0) | |
Adjusted EBITDA | $ 210.1 | $ 441.8 | $ 1,310.1 | $ 2,427.8 | |
(a) | Unaudited. | ||||
(b) | Environmental recoveries included insurance recoveries for costs incurred and expensed in prior periods. | ||||
(c) | Certain non-recurring items for both the three months and year ended December 31, 2023 included an insurance recovery of | ||||
Olin Corporation | ||||
Non-GAAP Financial Measures - Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA (a) | ||||
Olin's definition of Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA is Net Debt divided by Adjusted EBITDA. Net Debt at the end of any reporting period is defined as the sum of our current installments of long-term debt and long-term debt, less cash and cash equivalents. Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) is net income (loss) plus an add-back for depreciation and amortization, interest expense (income), income tax provision (benefit), other expense (income), restructuring (income) charges and certain other non-recurring items. Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. Management believes that this measure is meaningful to investors as a measure of our ability to manage our indebtedness. The use of non-GAAP financial measures is not intended to replace any measures of indebtedness or liquidity determined in accordance with GAAP and Net Debt or Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA presented may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies. | ||||
December 31, | ||||
(In millions) | 2023 | 2022 | ||
Current Installments of Long-term Debt | $ 78.8 | $ 9.7 | ||
Long-term Debt | 2,591.3 | 2,571.0 | ||
Total Debt | 2,670.1 | 2,580.7 | ||
Less: Cash and Cash Equivalents | (170.3) | (194.0) | ||
Net Debt | $ 2,499.8 | $ 2,386.7 | ||
Adjusted EBITDA | $ 1,310.1 | $ 2,427.8 | ||
Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA | 1.9 | 1.0 | ||
(a) | Unaudited. | |||
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SOURCE Olin Corporation
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