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Gevo Provides Renewable Natural Gas Production Update

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Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO) has reported record production levels in its renewable natural gas (RNG) business. In May, the company achieved an annualized production rate of approximately 402,000 MMBtu, surpassing its previous record of 401,000 MMBtu in March. Despite a slight disruption due to flooding in Rock Valley, Iowa, in June, Gevo still produced 29,082 MMBtu of RNG and expects to meet its annual production target of approximately 400,000 MMBtu.

Gevo's RNG is produced by capturing methane biogas from manure digestors across three dairy farms in northwest Iowa. The company is currently operating under a California Air Resources Board (CARB) temporary pathway with a carbon intensity score of -150 gCO2e/MJ. Gevo has applied for a permanent score of -350 gCO2e/MJ, which is expected to be received by the end of 2024 and could potentially double the stand-alone non-GAAP cash EBITDA generated by its RNG business.

Positive
  • Achieved record annualized RNG production rate of 402,000 MMBtu in May
  • On track to meet annual production target of 400,000 MMBtu despite June flooding
  • Applied for permanent CARB carbon intensity score of -350 gCO2e/MJ
  • Potential to double stand-alone non-GAAP cash EBITDA from RNG business with permanent CARB score
Negative
  • Slight production disruption in June due to severe flooding event in Rock Valley, Iowa

Insights

Gevo's update on its renewable natural gas (RNG) production demonstrates an encouraging growth trajectory for the company. Achieving 402,000 MMBtu in May represents a new production high, signaling operational efficiency and reliability. While the flooding event in June was a setback, the prompt return to normal production levels underscores robust crisis management.

From a financial standpoint, investors should pay attention to the implied growth in EBITDA once the California Air Resources Board (CARB) assigns a permanent carbon intensity score. The expected improvement from -150 gCO2e/MJ to -350 gCO2e/MJ could potentially double non-GAAP cash EBITDA, which is substantial. This directly impacts the company's profitability and market appeal, especially given the increasing demand for carbon-negative energy sources.

Retail investors should be aware of the inherent risks in production disruptions due to natural events. However, Gevo's proactive measures and resilient infrastructure offer a degree of confidence. This news is a positive sign for long-term stability and growth.

The renewable natural gas sector is gaining momentum as industries pivot towards sustainable energy solutions. Gevo’s record production and the potential permanent CARB score improvement showcase the company's capability in this growing market. The demand for RNG, particularly in low-carbon fuel markets like California, is set to rise, presenting Gevo with lucrative opportunities.

Understanding the significance of a carbon intensity score is crucial. A lower score signifies higher environmental benefits, making Gevo's RNG more attractive for compliance markets and for companies aiming to reduce their carbon footprint. This strategic positioning could enhance Gevo's market share and consumer base, underpinning long-term revenue growth.

However, market volatility and regulatory uncertainties remain factors to monitor. Investors should consider these dynamics while assessing the overall market potential and Gevo’s competitive positioning.

ENGLEWOOD, Colo., July 15, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Gevo, Inc. (NASDAQ: GEVO) announced today that its renewable natural gas (“RNG”) business recently achieved record production levels.

“I am pleased that we achieved an annualized production rate of approximately 402,000 MMBtu in May, exceeding our previous record of approximately 401,000 MMBtu in March,” said Staci Bogue-Buchholz, Vice President and General Manager of Gevo’s RNG facilities. “These results show we have hit our stride from a production perspective, and I think we have room for further improvement too. The system is running well.”

On June 21, 2024, our RNG production experienced a slight disruption due to a severe flooding event that impacted the Rock Valley, Iowa community.   As a result of our mitigation efforts, we still achieved monthly RNG production of 29,082 MMBtu in June inclusive of planned downtime for maintenance, and the system has returned to its normal operational state. The company does not expect this to materially impact the annual production target of approximately 400,000 MMBtu.

Commenting on the rain and flooding in Rock Valley, Bogue-Buchholz said: “While Gevo was lucky, many of our neighbors and surrounding communities were not so fortunate. We are heartbroken for our community as they deal with this tremendous impact and are looking for opportunities to support recovery and resiliency from future flooding.”

Gevo’s RNG is produced by capturing methane biogas from manure digestors across three dairy farms in northwest Iowa. The biogas is then delivered by pipeline to a centrally located gas upgrading unit where it is brought to pipeline-quality RNG and injected into the local gas pipeline.

RNG is biogenic methane that substitutes for fossil-based methane, or “natural gas”.   The benefit of RNG from a process like Gevo’s, which is made from renewable carbon and mitigates fugitive methane emissions during production, is that the overall mitigation of greenhouse gases is large. The resulting carbon negative RNG may be purchased and claimed in California and other low-carbon fuels markets to fuel compressed natural gas heavy duty vehicles.

Gevo is currently operating under a California Air Resources Board (“CARB”) temporary pathway, which provides the RNG produced with a carbon intensity score of -150 gCO2e/MJ. Gevo has applied for, and expects to receive, a permanent score of -350 gCO2e/MJ, the timing of which is uncertain but is believed to occur by the end of 2024. It is estimated that receipt of the permanent score will approximately double the stand-alone non-GAAP cash EBITDA1 currently generated by Gevo’s RNG business.

About Gevo
Gevo’s mission is to transform renewable energy and carbon into energy-dense liquid hydrocarbons. These liquid hydrocarbons can be used for drop-in transportation fuels such as gasoline, jet fuel and diesel fuel, that when burned have potential to yield net-zero greenhouse gas emissions when measured across the full life cycle of the products. Gevo uses low-carbon renewable resource-based carbohydrates as raw materials, and is in an advanced state of developing renewable electricity and renewable natural gas for use in production processes, resulting in low-carbon fuels with substantially reduced carbon intensity (the level of greenhouse gas emissions compared to standard petroleum fossil-based fuels across their life cycle). Gevo’s products perform as well or better than traditional fossil-based fuels in infrastructure and engines, but with substantially reduced greenhouse gas emissions. In addition to addressing the problems of fuels, Gevo’s technology also enables certain plastics, such as polyester, to be made with more sustainable ingredients. Gevo’s ability to penetrate the growing low-carbon fuels market depends on the price of oil and the value of abating carbon emissions that would otherwise increase greenhouse gas emissions. Gevo believes that its proven, patented technology enabling the use of a variety of low-carbon sustainable feedstocks to produce price-competitive low-carbon products such as gasoline components, jet fuel and diesel fuel yields the potential to generate project and corporate returns that justify the build-out of a multi-billion-dollar business.

Gevo believes that the Argonne National Laboratory GREET model is the best available standard of scientific-based measurement for life cycle inventory or LCI.

Learn more at Gevo’s website: www.gevo.com

IR Contact
Eric Frey
Vice President of Finance & Strategy
IR@Gevo.com


1 Non-GAAP cash EBITDA is calculated by adding back depreciation and amortization and non-cash stock-based compensation to GAAP loss from operations.


FAQ

What was Gevo's record RNG production rate in May 2024?

Gevo achieved a record annualized RNG production rate of approximately 402,000 MMBtu in May 2024.

How did the June 2024 flooding affect Gevo's RNG production?

Despite the flooding in Rock Valley, Iowa, Gevo still produced 29,082 MMBtu of RNG in June 2024 and expects to meet its annual production target.

What is Gevo's current CARB carbon intensity score for its RNG?

Gevo is currently operating under a CARB temporary pathway with a carbon intensity score of -150 gCO2e/MJ for its RNG.

What potential impact could a permanent CARB score have on Gevo's RNG business?

Receiving a permanent CARB score of -350 gCO2e/MJ could potentially double the stand-alone non-GAAP cash EBITDA generated by Gevo's RNG business.

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