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Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Armour Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) Q126

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Armour Residential REIT (NYSE: ARR) reported a net loss available to common shareholders of $(58.0)M, or $(0.49) per share for Q1 2026, driven by mark-to-market losses despite higher carry income. Net interest income was $70.7M; losses included $182.6M on Agency securities and $10.6M on U.S. Treasuries, partly offset by $83.0M of derivative gains.

Book value fell 6.5% to $17.42 per share, producing a (2.6)% total economic return. Distributable earnings rose to $0.76 per share, covering the $0.72 quarterly dividend and reducing the payout ratio to ~95%. ARR ended the quarter with $1.1B of liquidity and an Agency-heavy portfolio.

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Positive

  • Distributable earnings of $0.76 per share covered the $0.72 dividend
  • Ended quarter with $1.1B of liquidity supporting deployment flexibility
  • Net interest income improved to $70.7M
  • Derivative gains of $83.0M partially offset mark-to-market losses

Negative

  • Net loss available to common shareholders of $(58.0)M ( $(0.49)/share )
  • Loss on Agency securities of $(182.6)M dominated headline results
  • Book value declined 6.5% to $17.42 per share, yielding a (2.6)% economic return
  • Loss on U.S. Treasuries of $(10.6)M contributed to quarter weakness

News Market Reaction – ARR

-0.06%
1 alert
-0.06% News Effect

On the day this news was published, ARR declined 0.06%, reflecting a mild negative market reaction.

Data tracked by StockTitan Argus on the day of publication.

Key Figures

Net loss to common: $(58.0)M EPS (GAAP): $(0.49)/share Net interest income: $70.7M +5 more
8 metrics
Net loss to common $(58.0)M Q1 2026 GAAP net loss available to common shareholders
EPS (GAAP) $(0.49)/share Q1 2026 net loss per common share
Net interest income $70.7M Q1 2026 net interest income, noted as improved
Loss on Agency securities $(182.6)M Q1 2026 mark-to-market loss on Agency securities
Distributable EPS $0.76/share Q1 2026 distributable earnings per common share
Book value per share $17.42/share Q1 2026 ending common book value after 6.5% decline
Economic spread 1.84% Q1 2026 economic spread highlighted as widened
Quarterly dividend $0.72 Q1 2026 total common dividend, covered by distributable earnings

Market Reality Check

Price: $17.73 Vol: Volume 3,115,661 is 1.09x...
normal vol
$17.73 Last Close
Volume Volume 3,115,661 is 1.09x its 20-day average, indicating slightly elevated trading ahead of this update. normal
Technical Shares at $17.62 are trading above the 200-day MA of $16.69 and about 8.75% below the 52-week high.

Peers on Argus

ARR slipped 0.34% while key mortgage REIT peers like DX, ARI, EFC, and CIM showe...
1 Up

ARR slipped 0.34% while key mortgage REIT peers like DX, ARI, EFC, and CIM showed gains between roughly 0.8% and 1.8%, with only LADR slightly negative, pointing to a stock-specific reaction rather than a broad sector move.

Historical Context

5 past events · Latest: Apr 21 (Neutral)
Pattern 5 events
Date Event Sentiment Move Catalyst
Apr 21 Dividend declaration Neutral +0.7% Announced May 2026 common dividend of $0.24 per share.
Apr 21 Earnings webcast notice Neutral +0.7% Scheduled webcast for discussing Q1 2026 operating results.
Apr 01 Dividend confirmation Neutral +1.5% Confirmed April 2026 common and Q2 2026 preferred dividends.
Mar 25 Dividend guidance Neutral -2.3% Provided guidance for April 2026 common dividend at $0.24.
Feb 20 Q4 2025 results Positive +1.3% Reported strong Q4 2025 earnings, higher book value, and robust spreads.
Pattern Detected

Recent news has mostly seen price moves align with the tone of announcements, with only one dividend-guidance release coinciding with a notable negative reaction.

Recent Company History

Over the past few months, ARR’s news flow has centered on dividends, investor communications, and prior strong Q4 2025 results. Dividend declarations at $0.24 per month and related guidance generally coincided with modest positive moves, except one instance on Mar 25 that saw a decline. A February update highlighted strong Q4 2025 earnings and rising book value, which was followed by a positive reaction. Today’s Q1 2026 coverage contrasts that strength with a GAAP loss and book value decline.

Market Pulse Summary

This announcement highlights a Q1 2026 GAAP net loss of $(58.0)M and a 6.5% decline in book value to...
Analysis

This announcement highlights a Q1 2026 GAAP net loss of $(58.0)M and a 6.5% decline in book value to $17.42, driven by losses on Agency securities and Treasuries. At the same time, net interest income improved to $70.7M, distributable EPS reached $0.76, and the $0.72 dividend was covered, with economic spread widening to 1.84%. Investors may track book value trends, dividend coverage, and liquidity of $1.1B alongside prior strong Q4 2025 performance.

Key Terms

mark-to-market, distributable earnings
2 terms
mark-to-market financial
"more than offset by quarter-end mark-to-market pressure across the portfolio."
"Mark-to-market" is a method of valuing assets or investments based on their current market price, rather than their original cost or value. It helps investors see the most up-to-date worth of their holdings, much like checking the latest price of a stock before deciding to buy or sell. This approach ensures that financial statements reflect real-time value, providing a clearer picture of overall financial health.
distributable earnings financial
"distributable earnings rose to $0.76/share and economic spread widened"
Distributable earnings are the portion of a company’s reported profits that management determines is safe to pay out to shareholders after accounting for cash needs, required reserves, and non-cash bookkeeping items. Think of it like the money left in your household budget after paying bills and putting aside savings — it shows what can realistically be handed out as dividends or distributions and helps investors judge how sustainable and reliable future payouts may be.

AI-generated analysis. Not financial advice.

Dallas, Texas--(Newsfile Corp. - April 24, 2026) - Armour Residential REIT, Inc. (NYSE: ARR): Stonegate Capital Partners Updates Coverage on Armour Residential REIT, Inc. (NYSE: ARR). ARR reported a net loss available to common shareholders of $(58.0)M, or $(0.49)/share, as stronger carry income was more than offset by quarter-end mark-to-market pressure across the portfolio. Net interest income improved to $70.7M, but this was outweighed by a $(182.6)M loss on Agency securities and a $(10.6)M loss on U.S. Treasuries, partially offset by $83.0M of derivative gains. The primary drag in the quarter was the 6.5% decline in book value to $17.42/share, resulting in (2.6)% total economic return, reflecting the impact of wider spreads and weaker MBS pricing late in the period.

To view the full announcement, including downloadable images, bios, and more, click here.

Key Takeaways:

  • Core earnings power improved despite mark-to-market pressure. ARR's headline loss was driven by spread-driven marks, but distributable earnings rose to $0.76/share and economic spread widened to 1.84%.
  • Dividend coverage moved back above the line. The $0.72 quarterly dividend was covered by distributable earnings, lowering the payout ratio to ~95% from ~101% in 4Q25.
  • Liquidity and Agency-heavy positioning support flexibility. ARR ended with $1.1B of liquidity, an Agency-focused portfolio, and continued capital access, preserving deployment capacity despite book value pressure.

Cannot view this image? Visit: https://images.newsfilecorp.com/files/7294/294214_armour%201.jpg

Click image above to view full announcement.


About Stonegate
Stonegate Capital Partners is a leading capital markets advisory firm providing investor relations, equity research, and institutional investor outreach services for public companies. Our affiliate, Stonegate Capital Markets (member FINRA) provides a full spectrum of investment banking services for public and private companies.

Contacts:

Stonegate Capital Partners
(214) 987-4121
info@stonegateinc.com

Source: Stonegate, Inc.

To view the source version of this press release, please visit https://www.newsfilecorp.com/release/294214

FAQ

Why did ARR (NYSE: ARR) report a net loss in Q1 2026?

The net loss was primarily due to mark-to-market writedowns on securities. According to the company, an $182.6M loss on Agency securities and a $10.6M loss on Treasuries outweighed higher carry income and derivative gains.

Did Armour Residential cover its Q1 2026 dividend (ARR)?

Yes. Distributable earnings covered the dividend for the quarter. According to the company, distributable earnings were $0.76 per share versus a $0.72 quarterly dividend, lowering the payout ratio to ~95%.

How much liquidity did ARR report at quarter-end April 24, 2026?

ARR reported substantial liquidity at quarter-end. According to the company, the firm ended the period with $1.1B of available liquidity, supporting capital access and deployment capacity despite book value pressure.

What happened to ARR's book value per share in Q1 2026?

Book value declined during the quarter. According to the company, book value fell 6.5% to $17.42 per share, producing a (2.6)% total economic return for the period.

How did ARR's core earnings metrics perform in Q1 2026?

Core metrics showed mixed results: net interest income improved but headline loss persisted. According to the company, net interest income rose to $70.7M while distributable earnings increased to $0.76 per share.