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Uptick in Auto Insurance Shopping Follows Uneven Activity for Most of 2020

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TransUnion's Insurance Shopping Snapshot Report reveals a 6.2% year-over-year increase in personal auto insurance shopping in December 2020. Economic factors such as strong stock market performance, improving consumer confidence, and vaccine advancements contributed to this uptick. Despite this rise, shopping levels remained below 2019 figures for most of the year, indicating ongoing challenges. Higher-risk consumers faced financial hardships, leading to decreased shopping rates. The report, based on 500 million transactions, will be updated quarterly to track ongoing trends.

Positive
  • 6.2% year-over-year increase in personal auto insurance shopping observed in December 2020.
  • Strong stock market performance and rising consumer confidence contributed to improved shopping rates.
Negative
  • Insurance shopping levels remained below 2019 figures throughout most of 2020.
  • Higher-risk consumer shopping rates significantly trended below 2019 levels, indicating ongoing economic challenges.

New TransUnion research reveals impact of COVID-19 on insurance shopping

CHICAGO, March 09, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The percentage of consumers shopping for personal auto insurance increased at the end of 2020 following large fluctuations – both on an increasing and decreasing basis – observed after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. New research from TransUnion’s (NYSE: TRU) Insurance Shopping Snapshot Report reveals the rate of personal auto insurance shopping in 2020 rose 6.2% on a year-over-year (YoY) basis during the month of December.

The YoY shopping uptick observed in the weeks following Thanksgiving likely reflects strong stock market performance, improving consumer confidence, promising vaccine advancements and an increase in new car sales.1

“While insurance shopping remained below 2019 levels throughout much of the second half of 2020, rates began to rise once again YoY in the last few weeks of the year – a promising trend heading into 2021,” said Mark McElroy, executive vice president and head of TransUnion’s insurance business. “Various factors such as the next round of economic stimulus payments, vaccine distribution and leading financial indicators will be important considerations as we continue to watch insurance shopping in the months ahead.”

Insurance shopping levels varied in the second half of the year as a result of the pandemic. Rates spiked to +12.6% YoY for the week ending July 5, building on the increases reported in June 20202 and coinciding with an uptick in used vehicle sales.3 These trends quickly cooled off toward the end of July and August, followed by a spike then dip in early September resulting from blunted renewal shopping activity tied to a pandemic-shortened March busy season.

Subsequent levels remained below 2019 shopping rates through the end of October. Notably, shopping dropped even further in early November to -9.7% for the week ending November 8, as insurance advertising took a back seat to election cycle ad spend.

Second Half of 2020: Largest Weekly Year-over-Year Changes in Auto Insurance Shopping

 Week Of (2020)YoY % Shopping Change 2020 vs. 2019
Four Largest YoY Shopping Increases
(Q3-Q4)
Jun. 29-Jul. 5+12.6%
Aug. 31-Sept. 6+8.4%
Nov. 30-Dec. 6+6.6%
Dec. 7-13+6.2%
Four Largest YoY Shopping Decreases (Q3-Q4)
Jul. 27-Aug. 2-3.3%
Sept. 7-13-14.2%
Oct. 26-Nov. 1-8.1%
Nov. 2-8-9.7%

“We’ll likely see the economic challenges of 2020 continue to impact drivers well into 2021, especially among the higher-risk groups that also have a higher concentration of younger drivers,” said David Drotos, vice president of insurance solutions at TransUnion. “As a result of the exacerbated financial impact of the pandemic, the industry will likely observe higher amounts of customers electing to go without insurance altogether or shopping for lower-cost insurance.”

Insurance shopping for higher-risk consumers decreased, impacted by COVID-19 financial hardship

Financial hardship resulting from COVID-19 challenges4 continues to significantly impact businesses and consumers nationwide and were also reflected in 2020 insurance shopping rates, particularly when looking at consumer risk. As observed for much of the first half of 2020,2 YoY rates of higher-risk auto insurance shoppers trended significantly below 2019 levels from July to December 2020, further underscoring that economic recovery continues to be a challenge for this group.

Rates for lower-risk auto insurance shoppers remained flat-to-slightly elevated during the same July-December 2020 time period, compared to 2019.

“COVID-19’s headwinds remain very real for American businesses and consumers, and we will continue tracking insurance shopping trends throughout 2021 in an effort to equip the industry with insights that can help enable trust with customers,” concluded Drotos.

TransUnion’s Insurance Shopping Snapshot Report will be shared on a quarterly basis to highlight changes to insurance shopping across market segments and geographies to provide insights that can help inform carriers’ acquisition and retention efforts. For additional insights into auto insurance shopping trends by region, customer risk and generation, the full report can be accessed here.

1 2020 Market Performance. Morningstar. January 5, 2021. https://www.morningstar.com/articles/1016670/2020-market-performance-in-7-charts
1 Global Consumer Confidence Survey. The Conference Board. January 12, 2021. https://conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=15
1 COVID-19 Vaccine Distribution: The Process. U.S. Department of Health & Human Services. https://www.hhs.gov/coronavirus/covid-19-vaccines/distribution/index.html
1 January 2021 NADA Market Beat. NADA. https://www.nada.org/WorkArea/DownloadAsset.aspx?id=21474862658
2 June 2020 Insurance Shopping Snapshot Report. TransUnion. June 12, 2020. https://content.transunion.com/v/ins-shopping-june-snapshot-report.
3 Retail Sales: Used Car Dealers. Economic Research, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MRTSSM44112USN.
4 Consumer Financial Hardship Study. TransUnion. https://www.transunion.com/financial-hardship-study.

About TransUnion’s Insurance Shopping Snapshot Report

The quarterly Insurance Shopping Snapshot Report is based entirely on TransUnion’s internal studies. The auto insurance shopping trends reported are based on TransUnion’s report which is derived from TransUnion’s extensive database of credit data. It includes information on more than 500 million auto insurance shopping transactions from January 2016 to December 2020. The report focuses on the credit population, highlighting TransUnion’s data. It also explores a subset of the total insurance shopping population. The report excludes data from auto insurance customers in California, Hawaii and Massachusetts, where credit-based insurance scoring information is not used for auto insurance rating or underwriting.

About TransUnion (NYSE: TRU)

TransUnion is a global information and insights company that makes trust possible in the modern economy. We do this by providing a comprehensive picture of each person so they can be reliably and safely represented in the marketplace. As a result, businesses and consumers can transact with confidence and achieve great things. We call this Information for Good.®

A leading presence in more than 30 countries across five continents, TransUnion provides solutions that help create economic opportunity, great experiences and personal empowerment for hundreds of millions of people.

http://www.transunion.com/business

Contact    Dave Blumberg
TransUnion
   
E-mail david.blumberg@transunion.com
   
Telephone 312-972-6646
   

FAQ

What did TransUnion's report reveal about personal auto insurance shopping in December 2020?

TransUnion's report indicated a 6.2% year-over-year increase in personal auto insurance shopping in December 2020.

How did COVID-19 impact insurance shopping rates in 2020?

Insurance shopping rates fluctuated due to COVID-19, remaining below 2019 levels for most of the year but rising towards the end.

What factors contributed to the increase in insurance shopping at the end of 2020?

The increase was attributed to strong stock market performance, improving consumer confidence, and vaccine advancements.

What challenges did higher-risk consumers face regarding auto insurance shopping?

Higher-risk consumers experienced significant financial hardships, leading to decreased auto insurance shopping rates.

How often will TransUnion update its Insurance Shopping Snapshot Report?

TransUnion will update its Insurance Shopping Snapshot Report quarterly to track changes in insurance shopping trends.

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