Talos Energy Increases 2024 Operational and Financial Guidance Following Early Closing of QuarterNorth Acquisition
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Insights
The early closure of Talos Energy's acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy Inc. indicates a strategic expansion that is expected to enhance Talos's production capabilities. The upward revision of the average daily production forecast for 2024 to 89.0-95.0 MBoe/d reflects the projected positive impact of this acquisition on Talos's operational scale. Investors should note the increased production volume, as it typically correlates with higher revenue potential, assuming oil and natural gas prices remain favorable.
However, the financial guidance also reveals a significant investment in capital expenditures, particularly in upstream activities and plug and abandonment (P&A) operations. The forecasted range of $570-600 million for upstream capital expenditures and $90-100 million for P&A suggests a focus on both development and decommissioning obligations. The balance between growth and compliance with environmental regulations could be a point of interest for stakeholders concerned with sustainable practices in the energy sector.
The inclusion of approximately ten months of QuarterNorth's contributions in Talos's financial guidance is a testament to the company's confidence in the acquired assets. This confidence may be grounded in the quality of QuarterNorth's reserves or operational efficiencies that Talos anticipates post-acquisition. Additionally, the guidance accounts for $15 million in expenses related to the HP-I drydock and maintenance, which is crucial for maintaining production efficiency and safety standards.
Market trends in the oil and gas sector, such as fluctuations in commodity prices and geopolitical events, could impact the actual performance against this guidance. Therefore, while the increased production estimates are positive, the actual benefit to Talos's bottom line will depend on how these external factors play out over the year.
The operational details provided in the guidance, such as the expected planned downtime and the potential risks associated with unplanned downtime and weather-related events, offer insights into Talos's risk management strategies. The acknowledgment of these factors is indicative of a realistic and comprehensive approach to operational planning. Workover projects aimed at increasing or reinstating production are also highlighted, which could improve the recovery rates of existing wells and extend their productive life, thus optimizing the company's asset utilization.
For industry stakeholders, the efficiency of these workover operations and the management of downtime are critical factors that could influence Talos's ability to meet its production targets and control cash operating expenses within the projected range of $510-530 million.
For the full year 2024, Talos expects average daily production between 89.0 and 95.0 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day ("MBoe/d"), an increase from the previous guidance of between 87.0 and 93.0 MBoe/d. This updated guidance includes approximately ten months of QuarterNorth contributions, as well as expected planned downtime and risking for unplanned downtime and weather-related events.
Full year 2024 Cash Expenses guidance includes approximately ten months of QuarterNorth and a full twelve-month impact of the EnVen transaction, compared to only approximately ten and a half months incurred in 2023. Talos expects approximately
For the first quarter 2024, Talos expects average daily production between 78.0 and 80.0 MBoe/d, an increase from the previous guidance of between 70.0 and 72.0 MBoe/d. First quarter guidance includes March impacts of approximately one month of contribution from QuarterNorth, partial impact of the planned HP-I dry-dock shut-in and planned downtime at the Tarantula facility, impacting production from the Katmai field.
The following update summarizes Talos's full-year 2024 operational and financial guidance:
FY 2024 | |||||||
($ Millions, unless highlighted): | Low | High | |||||
Production | Oil (MMBbl) | 23.4 | 24.7 | ||||
Natural Gas (Mcf) | 40.0 | 44.2 | |||||
NGL (MMBbl) | 2.5 | 2.7 | |||||
Total Production (MMBoe) | 32.6 | 34.8 | |||||
Avg Daily Production (MBoe/d) | 89.0 | 95.0 | |||||
Cash Expenses | Cash Operating Expenses(1)(2)(4)* | $ | 510 | $ | 530 | ||
Workovers | $ | 45 | $ | 55 | |||
G&A(2)(3)* | $ | 100 | $ | 110 | |||
Capex | Upstream Capital Expenditures(5) | $ | 570 | $ | 600 | ||
P&A Expenditures | P&A, Decommissioning | $ | 90 | $ | 100 | ||
Interest | Interest Expense(6) | $ | 175 | $ | 185 |
(1) | Includes Lease Operating Expenses and Maintenance. |
(2) | Includes insurance costs. |
(3) | Excludes non-cash equity-based compensation. |
(4) | Includes reimbursements under production handling agreements. |
(5) | Excludes acquisitions. |
(6) | Includes cash interest expense on debt and finance lease, surety charges and amortization of deferred financing costs and original issue discounts. |
*Due to the forward-looking nature a reconciliation of Cash Operating Expenses and G&A to the most directly comparable GAAP measure could not reconciled without unreasonable efforts. | |
ABOUT TALOS ENERGY
Talos Energy (NYSE: TALO) is a technically driven, innovative, independent energy company focused on safely and efficiently maximizing long-term value through its Upstream Exploration & Production and Low Carbon Solutions businesses. We currently operate in
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CAUTIONARY STATEMENT ABOUT FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This communication may contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical fact included in this communication, regarding the acquisition of QuarterNorth, including the expected benefits of the transaction, our strategy, pro forma descriptions of the combined company and future operations, financial position, estimated revenues and losses, projected costs, prospects, plans and objectives of management are forward-looking statements. When used in this communication, the words "will," "could," "believe," "anticipate," "intend," "estimate," "expect," "project," "forecast," "may," "objective," "plan" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain such identifying words. These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and assumptions about future events and are based on currently available information as to the outcome and timing of future events.
We caution you that these forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control. These risks include, but are not limited to, changes in market conditions affecting the oil and gas industry or long-term oil and gas price levels; political or regulatory developments; reservoir performance; the outcome of future exploration efforts; timely completion of development projects; technical or operating factors; the uncertainty inherent in projecting ultimate recoverable resources and future rates of production and cash flows and access to capital; the timing of development expenditures; potential adverse reactions or competitive responses to our acquisitions and other transactions, including our acquisition of QuarterNorth; the possibility that the anticipated benefits of our acquisitions, including QuarterNorth, are not realized when expected or at all, including as a result of the impact of, or problems arising from, the integration of acquired assets and operations; risks related to disruption of management time from ongoing business operations due to integration of our acquisitions; and the other risks discussed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023. Should one or more of the risks or uncertainties described herein occur, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, our actual results and plans could differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements, expressed or implied, included in this communication are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. This cautionary statement should also be considered in connection with any subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements that we or persons acting on our behalf may issue. Except as otherwise required by applicable law, we disclaim any duty to update any forward-looking statements, all of which are expressly qualified by the statements in this section, to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this communication.
PRODUCTION ESTIMATES
Estimates for our future production volumes are based on assumptions of capital expenditure levels and the assumption that market demand and prices for oil and gas will continue at levels that allow for economic production of these products. The production, transportation, marketing and storage of oil and gas are subject to disruption due to transportation, processing and storage availability, mechanical failure, human error, adverse weather conditions such as hurricanes, global political and macroeconomic events and numerous other factors. Our estimates are based on certain other assumptions, such as well performance, which may vary significantly from those assumed. Therefore, we can give no assurance that our future production volumes will be as estimated.
USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
This release includes the use of certain measures that have not been calculated in accordance with
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SOURCE Talos Energy
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