Voters Seek New Presidential Challengers, Believe Country and Economy are on the 'Wrong Track' in June Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll

Rhea-AI Summary

On July 1, 2022, Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) released results from the July Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, revealing a worsening national mood with 64% of voters reporting a declining financial situation amid inflation. Key findings include President Biden's approval rating at a record low of 38%, with 71% of voters opposed to his reelection. The poll indicates a rising interest in moderate independent candidates, with 60% open to voting for one if Biden and Trump run again. Additionally, the Supreme Court's decision on Roe v. Wade faces opposition from 55% of voters.

Positive

• 60% of voters are open to considering moderate independent candidates for president, indicating a potential shift in political dynamics.

Negative

• Biden's approval rating has dropped to 38%, tying for the lowest ever recorded.
• 71% of voters do not want Biden to run for reelection, largely due to negative perceptions of his presidency.
• 64% of voters feel their financial situation is worsening, reflecting broader economic concerns.

NEW YORK, July 1, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the findings of the July Harvard CAPS/ Harris Poll, a monthly research collaboration between the Harvard Center for American Political Studies and the Harris Poll, a Stagwell research & insights firm. Findings show the country's mood continues to worsen as voters feel the pinch of inflation where it hurts most, with 64% reporting their financial situation is getting worse, almost double from the offset of the pandemic.

Other topics covered in this month's poll: Biden approval rating, the 2024 Presidential candidate field, the Supreme Court's decision on Roe v. Wade, and more.

"This month's findings on the economy, Roe v. Wade, and the 2024 presidential elections are bad news for the incumbents and good news for challengers seeking to tap into American discontent," said Chairman of the Harvard-CAPS Harris Poll Mark Penn. "'Wrong track metrics' about the direction of the country and the economy are the worst they have ever been in our poll. And, crucially, our observed aversion to the former and current president as voters begin thinking about 2024 tickets is a major opening for an independent presidential ticket – 60% would consider voting for a moderate independent candidate for president if Biden and Trump both ran."

Key Findings: 

• Biden Approval – President Biden's approval rating in June is at 38%, tied for the lowest it has ever been.
• 40% of voters think Biden is mentally fit to serve as president, down 48% from one month ago
• 64% say he's showing he is too old
• Only a third of the Democratic base would support him in a presidential primary (though he leads the pack, this is still a very low figure of support for an incumbent)
• New Presidential Challengers
• 71% of all voters do not want Biden to run for reelection and the plurality say it's because he is a bad president. Similarly , 61% do not want Trump to run in 2024 either and they are largely divided as to why, with a third each saying Trump is erratic, he will divide America, and he's responsible for Jan. 6.
• Jan. 6 Riots – Voters remain divided on whether Trump incited or encouraged the Jan. 6 riots, but are leaning slightly toward saying 'Yes.' Note that this is a highly partisan issue with deep partisan breaks. Further, while voters believe the commission hearings are harming Trump politically, a small majority remain concerned that the commission's work is biased, that it is having the effect of dividing Americans further, and that it will be used to silence voices on the right.

• Supreme Court Decision to Overturn Roe v. Wade
• 55% oppose the decision; 69% believe SCOTUS' decision has created turmoil; however, a plurality believe abortion standards should be set by state legislatures (44%) compared to a Congressional vote (31%) or SCOTUS itself (25%).
• And despite the decision, 63% of voters view the court as legitimate and 59% believe it is wrong for Democrats to call the court illegitimate.
• Lastly, it looks like abortion may not have a major impact on midterm elections – voters are just as likely to vote Democrat as they are GOP given the split nature of this issue.

The survey was fielded among 1,308 registered voters between June 28-29. Full findings can be found on the Harvard-CAPS Harris Poll website.. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/  or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.

About Stagwell

Stagwell is the challenger network built to transform marketing. We deliver scaled creative performance for the world's most ambitious brands, connecting culture-moving creativity with leading-edge technology to harmonize the art and science of marketing. Led by entrepreneurs, our 12,000+ specialists in 34+ countries are unified under a single purpose: to drive effectiveness and improve business results for their clients. Join us at www.stagwellglobal.com.

Contact:

Beth Sidhu
202-423-4414
pr@stagwellglobal.com

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SOURCE Stagwell Inc.

FAQ

What are the key findings of the July Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released by STGW?

The poll highlights that 64% of voters feel their financial situation is worsening, with Biden's approval rating at 38%.

What percentage of voters do not want Biden to run for reelection according to the STGW poll?

71% of voters do not want Biden to run for reelection.

How might the poll impact STGW's business outlook?

The poll's findings on voter sentiment and economic concerns could influence STGW's marketing strategies and client engagements.

What percentage of voters would consider a moderate independent candidate for president?

60% of voters indicated they would consider voting for a moderate independent candidate if Biden and Trump both ran.

How has voter sentiment changed regarding the economy according to STGW's findings?

Voter sentiment has declined significantly, with 64% stating their financial situation is worsening, nearly doubling since the pandemic began.