New Report from S&P Global Market Intelligence Unveils Three Tools Utilizing Alternative Data and AI to Address Potential Trump Administration Tariffs
S&P Global Market Intelligence has released a new report analyzing the impact of potential Trump administration tariffs using alternative data and AI tools. The study reveals that companies with significant international operations and high U.S. sales underperformed peers by 3.9% in stock prices from 2017 to 2019, while companies with higher U.S. headcount and lower U.S. revenue earned an 11% equity premium.
The report, titled 'Three Tools for Trump Tariffs 2.0,' utilizes advanced AI techniques including social media headcount data, business relationship algorithms, and ProntoNLP. Key findings show that tariff-targeted firms experienced a 17% change in supply chain strategy from 2017-2019, with Automobiles & Components sector seeing a 37% disruption. Analysis of earnings calls showed a 50.7% increase in supplier diversification discussions, reaching 57% in Q3 2024.
S&P Global Market Intelligence ha rilasciato un nuovo rapporto che analizza l'impatto delle potenziali tariffe dell'amministrazione Trump utilizzando dati alternativi e strumenti AI. Lo studio rivela che le aziende con operazioni internazionali significative e alte vendite negli Stati Uniti hanno sottoperformato rispetto ai concorrenti del 3,9% nei prezzi delle azioni dal 2017 al 2019, mentre le aziende con un maggiore numero di dipendenti negli Stati Uniti e un fatturato statunitense più basso hanno guadagnato un premio azionario dell'11%.
Il rapporto, intitolato 'Tre Strumenti per le Tariffe di Trump 2.0,' utilizza tecniche AI avanzate tra cui dati sul numero di dipendenti sui social media, algoritmi di relazioni commerciali e ProntoNLP. Le principali scoperte mostrano che le aziende mirate dalle tariffe hanno subito un cambiamento del 17% nella strategia della catena di approvvigionamento dal 2017 al 2019, con il settore Automobile e Componenti che ha registrato una disruption del 37%. L'analisi delle conference call sulle entrate ha mostrato un incremento del 50,7% nelle discussioni sulla diversificazione dei fornitori, raggiungendo il 57% nel terzo trimestre del 2024.
S&P Global Market Intelligence ha lanzado un nuevo informe que analiza el impacto de los posibles aranceles de la administración Trump utilizando datos alternativos y herramientas de IA. El estudio revela que las empresas con operaciones internacionales significativas y altas ventas en EE. UU. sufrieron un rendimiento inferior a sus pares del 3,9% en los precios de las acciones entre 2017 y 2019, mientras que las empresas con un mayor número de empleados en EE. UU. y menores ingresos en EE. UU. obtuvieron una prima de capital del 11%.
El informe, titulado 'Tres Herramientas para los Aranceles de Trump 2.0', utiliza técnicas avanzadas de IA que incluyen datos de recuento de empleados en redes sociales, algoritmos de relaciones comerciales y ProntoNLP. Los hallazgos clave muestran que las empresas objetivo de los aranceles experimentaron un cambio del 17% en la estrategia de la cadena de suministro de 2017 a 2019, con el sector de Automóviles y Componentes viendo una disrupción del 37%. El análisis de las llamadas de ganancias mostró un aumento del 50,7% en las discusiones sobre diversificación de proveedores, alcanzando el 57% en el tercer trimestre de 2024.
S&P Global Market Intelligence가 대체 데이터와 AI 도구를 활용하여 잠재적인 트럼프 행정부의 관세 영향을 분석한 새로운 보고서를 발표했습니다. 이 연구는 해외에 많은 운영을 갖고 있으며 미국에서 높은 매출을 내는 기업들이 2017년부터 2019년까지 동종 업체들에 비해 주가가 3.9% 하락한 것으로 나타났고, 미국의 인력이 많고 미국 매출이 낮은 기업들이 11%의 주식 프리미엄을 얻었다고 밝혔습니다.
'트럼프 관세 2.0을 위한 세 가지 도구'라는 제목의 이 보고서는 고급 AI 기술을 활용하여 소셜 미디어 인력 데이터, 비즈니스 관계 알고리즘, 그리고 ProntoNLP를 포함합니다. 주요 발견은 관세 대상 기업들이 2017년부터 2019년까지 공급망 전략에 17%의 변화가 있었으며, 자동차 및 부품 부문에서 37%의 혼란을 겪었다고 나타났습니다. 수익 전화 분석 결과, 공급자 다양성에 대한 논의가 50.7% 증가했으며, 2024년 3분기에는 57%에 도달했습니다.
S&P Global Market Intelligence a publié un nouveau rapport analysant l'impact des tarifs potentiels de l'administration Trump en utilisant des données alternatives et des outils d'IA. L'étude révèle que les entreprises ayant d'importantes opérations internationales et des ventes élevées aux États-Unis ont sous-performé par rapport à leurs pairs de 3,9 % sur les prix des actions entre 2017 et 2019, tandis que les entreprises avec un plus grand nombre d'employés aux États-Unis et des revenus américains plus faibles ont gagné une prime d'équité de 11 %.
Le rapport, intitulé 'Trois Outils pour les Tarifs de Trump 2.0,' utilise des techniques AI avancées comprenant des données sur le nombre d'employés sur les réseaux sociaux, des algorithmes de relations commerciales et ProntoNLP. Les principales conclusions montrent que les entreprises ciblées par les tarifs ont subi un changement de 17 % dans leur stratégie de chaîne d'approvisionnement entre 2017 et 2019, le secteur des automobiles et composants connaissant une perturbation de 37 %. L'analyse des appels de résultats a montré une augmentation de 50,7 % des discussions sur la diversification des fournisseurs, atteignant 57 % au troisième trimestre de 2024.
S&P Global Market Intelligence hat einen neuen Bericht veröffentlicht, der die Auswirkungen potenzieller Zölle der Trump-Administration unter Verwendung alternativer Daten und KI-Tools analysiert. Die Studie zeigt, dass Unternehmen mit erheblichen internationalen Aktivitäten und hohen US-Verkäufen von 2017 bis 2019 im Vergleich zu ihren Mitbewerbern um 3,9 % bei den Aktienkursen unterperformten, während Unternehmen mit einer höheren Mitarbeiterzahl in den USA und niedrigeren US-Einnahmen eine Eigenkapitalprämie von 11 % erzielten.
Der Bericht mit dem Titel 'Drei Werkzeuge für Trump-Zölle 2.0' verwendet fortschrittliche KI-Techniken, darunter Daten zur Mitarbeiterzahl in sozialen Medien, Algorithmen für Geschäftsbeziehungen und ProntoNLP. Die wichtigsten Ergebnisse zeigen, dass tarifbetroffene Unternehmen zwischen 2017 und 2019 eine 17%ige Veränderung in ihrer Lieferkettenstrategie erlebten, wobei der Sektor Automobile und Komponenten eine Störung von 37 % verzeichnete. Die Analyse der Erlösanrufe ergab einen Anstieg von 50,7 % bei Diskussionen über die Diversifizierung von Lieferanten, die im dritten Quartal 2024 57 % erreichte.
- Development of AI-powered tools for real-time tariff impact analysis
- Companies with higher U.S. headcount and lower U.S. revenue earned 11% equity premium
- Sharp decline in tariff-related negative sentiment from 420 to below 20 since Q3 2021
- Companies with high U.S. sales and international operations underperformed peers by 3.9%
- Tariff-targeted firms faced 17% supply chain strategy disruption
- Recent spike in tariff discussions indicates potential market concerns
Insights
This report showcases S&P Global's technological evolution and strategic positioning in the financial intelligence market. The integration of alternative data sources with advanced AI capabilities represents a significant competitive advantage, particularly as concerns about tariffs resurface in the political landscape.
The toolset's demonstrated ability to identify a
Three key developments are particularly noteworthy:
- The integration of social media-derived workforce data provides unique insights unavailable through traditional financial metrics
- The sharp decline in tariff-related negativity from 420 to below 20 suggests improved corporate adaptation capabilities
- The
50.7% increase in supplier diversification discussions indicates growing strategic preparedness
For S&P Global investors, these innovations strengthen the company's competitive moat in the financial intelligence sector. The timing is particularly strategic given the potential political shifts and renewed focus on trade policies. This positions S&P Global to capture increased demand for sophisticated tariff impact analysis tools, potentially driving higher subscription revenue and client retention rates.
The market implications of this technological advancement extend beyond the immediate tariff analysis capabilities. S&P Global's enhanced data analytics platform represents a strategic evolution in financial intelligence services, potentially expanding its addressable market and strengthening its competitive position against rivals like Moody's and Factset.
The development of these AI-powered tools demonstrates S&P Global's successful integration of recent acquisitions and technological investments. The ability to process complex datasets and provide actionable insights positions the company favorably in the growing alternative data market, estimated to reach
Two critical market implications emerge:
- The tools' demonstrated accuracy in predicting market performance gaps creates new revenue opportunities in the institutional investor segment
- The rapid development of custom LLMs for earnings call analysis shows S&P Global's ability to monetize AI investments effectively
This technological advancement strengthens S&P Global's market position at a important time when demand for sophisticated financial intelligence tools is rising. The company's ability to provide near real-time impact analysis at both macro and micro levels should drive sustained revenue growth and market share expansion.
Titled "Three Tools for Trump Tariffs 2.0," the report utilizes alternative data and advanced AI techniques, including headcount data sourced from social media job profiles, business relationships estimated using a patented data science algorithm, and natural language processing from the company's recently acquired ProntoNLP.
"Combining unique alternative data and AI allows us to quantify and monitor impacts in near real time, down to the company and product level," said Daniel Sandberg, managing director at S&P Global Market Intelligence. "In today's complex and unpredictable landscape, it's crucial for stakeholders to effectively forecast and nowcast the implications of tariffs on their strategies."
Key highlights from the report include:
- During the last Trump Administration, tariff-targeted firms experienced a
17% change in their overall supply chain strategy from 2017 to 2019, which is 5 percentage points higher than non-target peers. Some tariff-targeted industries faced even larger disruptions, such as Automobiles & Components at37% . - Analysis of earnings call transcripts processed with a bespoke large language model showed that executives emphasized supplier diversification in response to tariff-related questions, with
57% of responses highlighting this strategy in Q3 2024, up50.7% since the start of the post-pandemic period. - Despite a significant increase in tariff discussions in Q3 2024, the net negativity associated with these mentions remains muted, having declined sharply from over 420 during the first Trump Administration to below 20 since Q3 2021. However, with tariff mentions recently spiking, stakeholders can watch net negativity as a bellwether.
To request a copy of the full report or speak with our experts, please contact press.mi@spglobal.com.
S&P Global Market Intelligence's opinions, quotes, and credit-related and other analyses are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact or recommendation to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security.
About S&P Global Market Intelligence
At S&P Global Market Intelligence, we understand the importance of accurate, deep and insightful information. Our team of experts delivers unrivaled insights and leading data and technology solutions, partnering with customers to expand their perspective, operate with confidence, and make decisions with conviction.
S&P Global Market Intelligence is a division of S&P Global (NYSE: SPGI). S&P Global is the world's foremost provider of credit ratings, benchmarks, analytics and workflow solutions in the global capital, commodity and automotive markets. With every one of our offerings, we help many of the world's leading organizations navigate the economic landscape so they can plan for tomorrow, today. For more information, visit www.spglobal.com/marketintelligence.
Media Contact
Amanda Oey
S&P Global Market Intelligence
P. +1 212-438-1904
E. amanda.oey@spglobal.com or press.mi@spglobal.com
View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/new-report-from-sp-global-market-intelligence-unveils-three-tools-utilizing-alternative-data-and-ai-to-address-potential-trump-administration-tariffs-302362499.html
SOURCE S&P Global Market Intelligence
FAQ
How did SPGI's analysis show tariffs affecting international companies with high U.S. sales?
What supply chain changes did tariff-targeted companies experience according to SPGI's report?
How has the sentiment around tariff discussions changed since Trump's first administration according to SPGI?
What percentage of companies discussed supplier diversification in Q3 2024 according to SPGI's analysis?
Which industry faced the largest tariff-related disruptions according to SPGI's report?
