Ovintiv to Acquire Core Midland Basin Assets
Ovintiv has announced a significant $4.275 billion acquisition of assets from Black Swan Oil & Gas and others, expanding its Permian Basin inventory by 65,000 net acres and adding 1,050 well locations. The deal, valued at 2.8 times next twelve months Adjusted EBITDA, promises a 19% cash flow yield. It is projected to enhance cash returns per share by over 25% in the next year and 40% in 2024. In conjunction, Ovintiv plans to divest its Bakken assets for approximately $825 million. The acquisition is expected to be immediately accretive to key financial metrics and will support the company's investment-grade balance sheet with a leverage ratio targeting 1.0 times.
- Acquisition increases Permian Basin assets by 65,000 net acres and 1,050 well locations.
- Valued at 2.8 times NTM Adjusted EBITDA with a projected 19% cash flow yield.
- Expected to raise cash returns per share by over 25% in the next 12 months and 40% in 2024.
- Deal immediately accretive to Non-GAAP Cash Flow per share and net asset value per share.
- Commitment to maintain a strong investment-grade balance sheet.
- Financing the acquisition may strain resources, requiring new debt financing.
- The need to sell non-core Bakken assets indicates a shift in strategic focus.
Transaction Expands Permian Premium Inventory, Enhances Shareholder Returns
Company to Exit Bakken Position with Announced Asset Sale
Highlights:
- Acquiring approximately 65,000 net acres of largely undeveloped resource in Martin and Andrews Counties, highly complementary with
Ovintiv 's existingPermian Basin position - Valued at approximately 2.8 times next twelve months ("NTM") Adjusted EBITDA with a
19% NTM Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow Yield at current commodity strip pricing - Adds approximately 1,050 net well locations, including approximately 800 premium(1) return well locations and approximately 250 high potential upside locations
- Immediately accretive to Non-GAAP Cash Flow per share, Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow per share, net asset value per share and shareholder returns at current commodity strip pricing
- Increases NTM cash returns per share by more than
25% and 2024 cash returns per share by more than40% - Agreement reached to divest entirety of Bakken assets for proceeds of approximately
$825 million - At closing, the Company's leverage ratio is expected to be approximately 1.4 times Debt to Adjusted EBITDA, based on twelve month projected Adjusted EBITDA at
March 30, 2023 strip prices Ovintiv will steward towards a 1.0 times leverage ratio and of total debt$4.0 billion Ovintiv remains committed to an investment grade balance sheet and expects the ratings agencies to affirm its investment grade rating20% per share increase to base dividend announced, effective for theJune 2023 record date- Strong first quarter production exceeds Company guidance with total volumes of approximately 510 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day ("MBOE/d"), including approximately 165 thousand barrels per day ("Mbbls/d") of oil and condensate; expected first quarter capital of
to$610 $620 million
1) | Premium return well locations defined as generating a greater than |
Under the terms of the agreement, the NMB sellers will receive approximately 32.6 million shares of
"We are acquiring a unique undeveloped asset in the
Combined Transaction Overview:
- Immediately Accretive – The combined transactions are expected to be immediately accretive across key per share operational and financial metrics including Non-GAAP Cash Flow per share, Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow per share, net asset value per share and shareholder returns.
The Midland Basin transaction was attractively valued at approximately 2.8 times NTM Adjusted EBITDA and19% NTM Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow Yield. - Extends Permian Scale and Inventory Life –
The Midland Basin transaction will significantly expandOvintiv 's premium Permian inventory, adding approximately 1,050 net 10,000 foot locations, including approximately 800 premium return locations and approximately 250 high potential upside locations.Ovintiv 's land position in the Permian is expected to increase to approximately 179 thousand net acres;97% of the acquired acreage is held by production with an average operated working interest of82% . At closing, the Company's pro forma Permian oil and condensate production is expected to nearly double to approximately 125 Mbbls/d. The Company expects to realize significant well cost savings across its combined Permian assets resulting from optimized operations and economies of scale. - Enhances Capital Efficiency and Margins –
Ovintiv expects the transaction will enhance its go forward oil and condensate capital efficiency by approximately15% . The Company also expects to achieve a three to five percent reduction in both operating expense and transportation and processing expense per BOE. - Streamlines Portfolio and Operations – Following the transactions,
Ovintiv 's portfolio will be focused in four premier North American basins each with more than 125,000 net acres of land. - Maintains Strong Balance Sheet –
Ovintiv 's leverage metrics are expected to remain strong. At closing, the Company's leverage ratio is expected to be approximately 1.4 times Debt to Adjusted EBITDA, based on twelve month projected Adjusted EBITDA atMarch 30, 2023 strip. Going forward,Ovintiv will steward towards a 1.0 times leverage ratio and of total debt.$4.0 billion Ovintiv remains committed to an investment grade balance sheet and expects the ratings agencies to affirm its investment grade rating.
Refer to Note 1 for information regarding Non-GAAP Measures in this release.
Pro Forma Permian Position at close:
Ovintiv Standalone | Pro Forma | Change | |
114 | 179 | +57 % | |
Oil & C5+ Production (Mbbls/d) | 65 | 125 | +92 % |
Total Production (MBOE/d) | 115 | 190 | +65 % |
% Oil | 55 % | 65 % | +18 % |
Assumes transaction closes |
Bakken Disposition
McCracken added, "The sale of our Bakken asset is aligned with our track record of unlocking significant value from non-core assets while high grading our portfolio and extending inventory runway in our core areas. We are grateful for the hard work of our Bakken team and pleased to receive full value for the asset."
Base Dividend Increase
On
Updated 2023 Guidance:
Original 2023 | Updated 2023 | |
Total Production (MBOE/d) | 500 – 525 | 520 – 545 |
Oil & Condensate (Mbbls/d) | 165 – 175 | 185 – 195 |
Other Natural Gas Liquids ("NGLs") (Mbbls/d) | 80 – 85 | 80 – 85 |
Natural Gas (MMcf/d) | 1,525 – 1,575 | 1,525 – 1,575 |
2024 Outlook
The acquired acreage competes for capital immediately. Following the closing of the
First Quarter 2023 Operational Update
Timing and Approvals
The effective date of the acquisition of the
The Company intends to rely on the exemption set forth in Section 602.1 of the TSX Company Manual, which provides that the
Advisors
Conference Call Information
A conference call and webcast to discuss the transactions will be held at
To join the conference call, please dial 888-664-6383 (toll-free in
The live audio webcast of the conference call, including presentation slides, will be available on
Important information
Unless otherwise noted,
NI 51-101 Exemption
The Canadian securities regulatory authorities have issued a decision document (the "Decision") granting
NOTE 1: Non-GAAP Measures
Certain measures in this news release do not have any standardized meaning as prescribed by
- Non-GAAP Cash Flow is a non-GAAP measure. Non-GAAP Cash Flow is defined as cash from (used in) operating activities excluding net change in other assets and liabilities, and net change in non-cash working capital.
Ovintiv has not provided a reconciliation of Non-GAAP Cash Flow to cash from operating activities, the most comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. Cash from operating activities includes certain items which may be significant and difficult to project with a reasonable degree of accuracy. Therefore, cash from operating activities, and a reconciliation of Non-GAAP Cash Flow to cash from operating activities, are not available without unreasonable effort. - Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow and Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow Yield are non-GAAP measures. Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow is defined as Non-GAAP Cash Flow in excess of capital expenditures, excluding net acquisitions and divestitures. Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow Yield is defined as Annualized Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow compared to the Company's market capitalization.
Ovintiv has not provided a reconciliation of Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow to cash from operating activities or a reconciliation of Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow Yield to annualized net cash from operating activities compared to market capitalization, the most comparable financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. Cash from operating activities includes certain items which may be significant and difficult to project with a reasonable degree of accuracy. Therefore, cash from operating activities, and a reconciliation of Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow to cash from operating activities and Non-GAAP Free Cash Flow Yield to annualized cash from operating activities compared to market capitalization, are not available without unreasonable effort. - Adjusted EBITDA is defined as trailing 12-month net earnings (loss) before income taxes, DD&A, impairments, accretion of asset retirement obligation, interest, unrealized gains/losses on risk management, foreign exchange gains/losses, gains/losses on divestitures and other gains/losses.
Ovintiv has not provided a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net income (loss), the most comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. Net income (loss) includes certain items which may be significant and difficult to project with a reasonable degree of accuracy. Therefore, net income (loss), and a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA to net income (loss), are not available without unreasonable effort. - Debt to Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure monitored by management as an indicator of the Company's overall financial strength. Ovintiv has not provided a reconciliation of Debt to Adjusted EBITDA to total debt to net income (loss), the most comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP. Total debt to net income (loss) includes certain items which may be significant and difficult to project with a reasonable degree of accuracy. Therefore, total debt to net income (loss), and a reconciliation of Debt to Adjusted EBITDA to total debt to net income (loss), are not available without unreasonable effort.
ADVISORY REGARDING OIL AND GAS INFORMATION – The conversion of natural gas volumes to barrels of oil equivalent ("BOE") is on the basis of six thousand cubic feet to one barrel. BOE is based on a generic energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent economic value equivalency at the wellhead. Readers are cautioned that BOE may be misleading, particularly if used in isolation. The term "liquids" is used to represent oil, NGLs and condensate. The term "condensate" refers to plant condensate.
ADVISORY REGARDING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS – This news release contains forward-looking statements or information (collectively, "forward-looking statements") within the meaning of applicable securities legislation, including Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, except for statements of historical fact, that relate to the anticipated future activities, plans, strategies, objectives or expectations of the Company are forward-looking statements. When used in this news release, the use of words and phrases including "anticipates," "believes," "continue," "could," "estimates," "expects," "focused on," "forecast," "guidance," "intends," "maintain," "may," "opportunities," "outlook," "plans," "potential," "strategy," "targets," "will," "would" and other similar terminology is intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain such identifying words or phrases. Readers are cautioned against unduly relying on forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations and, by their nature, involve numerous assumptions that are subject to both known and unknown risks and uncertainties (many of which are beyond our control) that may cause such statements not to occur, or actual results to differ materially and/or adversely from those expressed or implied. These assumptions include, without limitation: future commodity prices and basis differentials; future foreign exchange rates; the Company's ability to consummate any pending acquisition transactions (including the transactions described herein); other risks and uncertainties related to the closing of pending acquisition transactions (including the transactions described herein); the ability of the Company to access credit facilities and capital markets; data contained in key modeling statistics; the availability of attractive commodity or financial hedges and the enforceability of risk management programs; the Company's ability to capture and maintain gains in productivity and efficiency; benefits from technology and innovations; expectations that counterparties will fulfill their obligations pursuant to gathering, processing, transportation and marketing agreements; access to adequate gathering, transportation, processing and storage facilities; assumed tax, royalty and regulatory regimes; expectations and projections made in light of, and generally consistent with, the Company's historical experience and its perception of historical industry trends, including with respect to the pace of technological development; and the other assumptions contained herein. Risks and uncertainties that may affect the Company's financial or operating performance include: market and commodity price volatility, including widening price or basis differentials, and the associated impact to the Company's stock price, credit rating, financial condition, oil and natural gas reserves and access to liquidity; uncertainties, costs and risks involved in our operations, including hazards and risks incidental to both the drilling and completion of wells and the production, transportation, marketing and sale of oil, condensate, NGLs and natural gas; availability of equipment, services, resources and personnel required to perform the Company's operating activities; service or material cost inflation; our ability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet our obligations and reduce debt; the impact of a pandemic, epidemic or other widespread outbreak of an infectious disease (such as the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic) on commodity prices and the Company's operations; our ability to secure adequate transportation and storage for oil, condensate, NGLs and natural gas, as well as access to end markets or physical sales locations; interruptions to oil, condensate, NGLs and natural gas production, including potential curtailments of gathering, transportation or refining operations; variability and discretion of the Company's Board of Directors to declare and pay dividends, if any; the timing and costs associated with drilling and completing wells, and the construction of well facilities and gathering and transportation pipelines; business interruption, property and casualty losses (including weather related losses) or unexpected technical difficulties and the extent to which insurance covers any such losses; counterparty and credit risk; the actions of members of
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