GeoPark Announces Consolidated 2022 Certified 2P Reserves of 128 Million BOE With Net Present Value (after Tax) of $1.8 Billion
GeoPark Limited (GPRK) announced an independent assessment of its oil and gas reserves as of December 31, 2022, revealing significant figures. The company holds certified 2P reserves of 110 million BOE, with a net present value (after tax) of $1.6 billion. The 1P reserves total 69.9 million BOE with an NPV10 after tax of $1.1 billion. The company expects to generate an adjusted EBITDA of $510-580 million in 2023 and a free cash flow of $120-140 million. Looking forward, GeoPark aims to return 40-50% of free cash flow to shareholders while continuing to expand production and drilling operations.
- Certified 2P reserves of 110 million BOE with a net present value of $1.6 billion.
- 2023 production guidance of 39,500-41,500 boepd.
- Expected adjusted EBITDA of $510-580 million and free cash flow of $120-140 million for 2023.
- Plan to return 40-50% of free cash flow to shareholders.
- None.
In
2022 Certified 2P Reserves of 110 Million BOE
With Net Present Value (after Tax) of
All reserves included in this release refer to
2022 Year-End D&M Certified Oil and Gas Reserves and Highlights:
Colombia Reserves
-
PD Reserves: Proven developed (PD) reserves in
Colombia of 50.4 mmboe, with a PD reserve life index (RLI) of 4.1 years
-
1P Reserves: Proven (1P) reserves in
Colombia of 69.9 mmboe, with a 1P RLI of 5.7 years. Net present value after tax discounted at10% (NPV10 after tax) of 1P reserves of$1.1 billion
-
2P Reserves: Proven and probable (2P) reserves in
Colombia of 109.9 mmboe, with a 2P RLI of 8.9 years. NPV10 after tax of 2P reserves of$1.6 billion
-
3P Reserves: Proven, probable and possible (3P) reserves in
Colombia of 163.6 mmboe, with a 3P RLI of 13.3 years. NPV10 after tax of 3P reserves of$2.2 billion
-
Future Development Capital : Future development capital to develop 1P, 2P and 3P reserves inColombia of per barrel,$2.2 per barrel and$2.1 per barrel, respectively$2.2
Consolidated Reserves
- PD Reserves: PD reserves of 56.0 mmboe, with a PD RLI of 4.0 years
-
1P Reserves: 1P reserves of 76.1 mmboe, with a 1P RLI of 5.4 years. NPV10 after tax of 1P reserves of
$1.2 billion
-
2P Reserves: 2P reserves of 128.4 mmboe, with a 2P RLI of 9.1 years. NPV10 after tax of 2P reserves of
$1.8 billion
-
3P Reserves: 3P reserves of 196.3 mmboe, with a 3P RLI of 13.9 years. NPV10 after tax of 3P reserves of
$2.6 billion
-
Future Development Capital : Future development capital to develop 1P, 2P and 3P reserves of per barrel,$2.1 per barrel and$2.7 per barrel, respectively$2.8
Net Present Value and Value Per Share
-
2P NPV10 after tax of
$1.8 billion -
Net debt-adjusted 2P NPV10 after tax of
per share ($24.7 per share in$21.0 Colombia )
Recent Events (Not included in the 2022 Year-End D&M Certification)
-
Llanos 34 (
GeoPark operated,45% WI): Guaco Sur 1 exploration well was spudded and reached total depth inDecember 2022 . Initial testing activities carried out in the Guadalupe formation currently show a production rate of 976 bopd of 22 degrees API with11% water cut, after two days of testing -
CPO-5 (
GeoPark non-operated,30% WI): Spudded the Yarico 1 exploration prospect in lateJanuary 2023 , targeting an exploration prospect adjacent to the Mariposa field, expecting to reach total depth in late February or earlyMarch 2023 . Yarico 1 is expected to be followed by the Halcon 1 exploration well, targeting an exploration prospect in the northern part of the block, adjacent to the Llanos 34 block -
Llanos 87 (
GeoPark operated,50% WI): Tororoi 1 exploration well reached total depth inDecember 2022 , with preliminary logging information indicating hydrocarbons in the Ubaque,Guadalupe (Barco) and Mirador formations. Currently drilling the Zorzal 1 exploration well, targeting to reach total depth bymid-February 2023
-
Platanillo (
GeoPark operated,100% WI): Alea NW 1 exploration well was spudded inSeptember 2022 with preliminary logging information indicating hydrocarbons in the U and N formations. Production tests in the N formation started inJanuary 2023 , with initial rates of 245 bopd
2023 Work Program: Growing Production, Drilling More Wells and Giving Back to Shareholders
- 2023 production guidance of 39,500-41,500 boepd (assuming no production from the exploration drilling program)
-
Self-funded 2023 capital expenditures program of
to drill 50-55 gross wells (including 10-15 low-risk high-potential exploration and appraisal wells)$200 -220 million -
At
per bbl Brent,$80 -90GeoPark expects to generate an Adjusted EBITDA of and a free cash flow1 of$510 -580 million 2$120 -140 million -
Targeting to return approximately 40
-50% of free cash flow after taxes to shareholders
_____________________________ |
1 The Company is unable to present a quantitative reconciliation of the 2023 Adjusted EBITDA which is a forward-looking non-GAAP measure, because the Company cannot reliably predict certain of the necessary components, such as write-off of unsuccessful exploration efforts or impairment loss on non-financial assets, etc. Since free cash flow is calculated based on Adjusted EBITDA, for similar reasons, the Company does not provide a quantitative reconciliation of the 2023 free cash flow forecast. |
2 Free cash flow is used here as Adjusted EBITDA less capital expenditures, mandatory interest payments and cash taxes. 2023 cash taxes include GeoPark’s preliminary estimates of the full impact of the new tax reform in |
Net Present Value per Share by Country
The table below presents GeoPark’s 2P NPV after tax per share, by country, as of
2022 Net Present Value per Share |
|
|
|
|
Total |
|||||
2P Reserves (mmboe) |
109.9 |
14.6 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
128.4 |
|||||
2P NPV10 after tax ($ mm) |
1,580 |
159 |
33 |
21 |
1,793 |
|||||
Shares Outstanding (mm) |
57.6 |
57.6 |
57.6 |
57.6 |
57.6 |
|||||
($/share) |
27.4 |
2.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
31.1 |
The table below illustrates the details of the net debt adjusted 2P NPV10 after tax per share:
2022 Net Debt Adjusted 2P NPV10 After Tax per Share |
|
Total |
||
2P NPV10 after tax ($ mm) |
1,580 |
1,793 |
||
Shares Outstanding (mm) |
57.6 |
57.6 |
||
Subtotal ($/share) |
27.4 |
31.1 |
||
Net Debta/Share ($/share) |
-6.4 |
-6.4 |
||
Net Debt Adjusted 2P NPV10 After Tax per Share ($/share) |
21.0 |
24.7 |
(a) Net debt adjusted 2P NPV10 after tax per share is shown on a consolidated basis. Net debt considers financial debt of
2021 Year-End to 2022 Year-End Reserves Evolution
|
PD |
1P |
2P |
3P |
||||
2021 Year-End Reserves |
49.9 |
82.2 |
135.8 |
211.0 |
||||
2022 Production |
-12.3 |
-12.3 |
-12.3 |
-12.3 |
||||
Discoveries and Extensions |
12.0 |
0.2 |
1.9 |
4.8 |
||||
Technical Revisions (*) |
1.2 |
2.3 |
-11.0 |
-35.5 |
||||
Economic Factors |
-0.3 |
-2.5 |
-4.4 |
-4.4 |
||||
2022 Year-End Reserves |
50.4 |
69.9 |
109.9 |
163.6 |
||||
2022 Reserve Life (years) |
4.1 |
5.7 |
8.9 |
13.3 |
Total (mmboe) |
PD |
1P |
2P |
3P |
||||
2021 Year-End Reserves |
58.1 |
91.6 |
159.2 |
248.3 |
||||
2022 Production |
-14.1 |
-14.1 |
-14.1 |
-14.1 |
||||
Discoveries and Extensions |
12.7 |
1.1 |
4.1 |
8.7 |
||||
Technical Revisions (*) |
1.7 |
2.9 |
-12.7 |
-38.1 |
||||
Economic Factors |
-0.5 |
-2.8 |
-4.5 |
-4.4 |
||||
Divestments ( |
-2.0 |
-2.6 |
-3.5 |
-4.1 |
||||
2022 Year-End Reserves |
56.0 |
76.1 |
128.4 |
196.3 |
||||
2022 Reserve Life (years) |
4.0 |
5.4 |
9.1 |
13.9 |
(*) Negative technical revisions of 2P and 3P reserves were mainly associated with the Llanos 34 and CPO-5 blocks and to a lesser extent in the Fell block, partially offset by positive technical revisions in the Platanillo block.
The tables below present D&M’s best estimate of future development capital (undiscounted)3 and the unit value per boe by category of certified reserves as of
|
PD |
1P |
2P |
3P |
||||
|
30.3 |
150.6 |
235.4 |
358.8 |
||||
Reserves (mmboe) |
50.4 |
69.9 |
109.9 |
163.6 |
||||
|
0.6 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
||||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Total |
PD |
1P |
2P |
3P |
||||
|
30.3 |
159.2 |
349.2 |
543.8 |
||||
Reserves (mmboe) |
56.0 |
76.1 |
128.4 |
196.3 |
||||
|
0.5 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
_____________________________ |
3 Based on development plans provided by the Company. |
2022 Year-End Reserves Summary
Following oil and gas production of 14.1 mmboe in 2022, D&M certified 2P reserves of 128.4 mmboe (
Reserves Summary by Country and Category
Country |
Reserves
|
|
% Oil |
|
% Change |
|||||
|
PD |
50.4 |
|
49.9 |
|
|||||
1P |
69.9 |
|
82.2 |
- |
||||||
|
2P |
109.9 |
|
135.8 |
- |
|||||
|
3P |
163.6 |
|
211.0 |
- |
|||||
|
PD |
3.4 |
|
3.8 |
- |
|||||
|
1P |
4.1 |
|
4.4 |
- |
|||||
|
2P |
14.6 |
|
17.3 |
- |
|||||
|
3P |
27.0 |
|
30.4 |
- |
|||||
|
PD |
1.7 |
|
2.5 |
- |
|||||
|
1P |
1.7 |
|
2.5 |
- |
|||||
|
2P |
2.0 |
|
2.6 |
- |
|||||
|
3P |
2.1 |
|
2.8 |
- |
|||||
|
PD |
0.5 |
|
- |
- |
|||||
|
1P |
0.5 |
|
- |
- |
|||||
|
2P |
1.8 |
|
- |
- |
|||||
|
3P |
3.5 |
|
- |
- |
|||||
|
PD |
- |
- |
2.0 |
- |
|||||
|
1P |
- |
- |
2.6 |
- |
|||||
|
2P |
- |
- |
3.5 |
- |
|||||
|
3P |
- |
- |
4.1 |
- |
|||||
Total |
PD |
56.0 |
|
58.1 |
- |
|||||
(D&M Certified) |
1P |
76.1 |
|
91.6 |
- |
|||||
2P |
128.4 |
|
159.2 |
- |
||||||
|
3P |
196.3 |
|
248.3 |
- |
|||||
Total Pro forma |
PD |
56.0 |
|
56.1 |
|
|||||
(Excluding Argentina) |
1P |
76.1 |
|
89.0 |
- |
|||||
2P |
128.4 |
|
155.7 |
- |
||||||
|
3P |
196.3 |
|
244.2 |
- |
|||||
|
Analysis by Country
Llanos 34 block
Llanos 34 average gross production increased by
GeoPark’s drilling plan in 2022 in the Llanos 34 block was focused on low-risk development projects that resulted in net PD reserve additions with an
The Llanos 34 block represented
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in the Llanos 34 block in
As of
The 1P RLI was 6.3 years, while the 2P RLI was 9.4 years.
Gross original oil in place in the Llanos 34 block is estimated to be 0.85-1 billion barrels5. Cumulative production since 2012 to 2022 of approximately 156 mmbbl gross, representing a recovery of approximately 15
CPO-5 block
CPO-5 average gross production reached a new record high and increased by
The 2022 drilling plan executed by the operator in the CPO-5 block included successful development drilling in the Indico field and a new oil discovery,
During 2022, D&M updated its review of the geological model in the Indico field that included a reinterpretation of the 3D seismic and structural geology based on new information provided by new wells drilled that resulted in negative technical revisions to net 2P reserves for approximately 7 mmbbl and to net 3P reserves for approximately 31 mmbbl. The 2023 work program includes drilling activities to continue delineating the northwestern part of the Indico field.
The CPO-5 block represented
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in CPO-5 totaled 12.6 mmbbl in 2022 compared to 20.0 mmbbl in 2021, mainly reflecting 2.0 mmbbl production and negative technical revisions of approximately 7 mmbbl, partially offset by discoveries of 1.9 mmbbl.
The 1P RLI was 3.8 years, while the 2P RLI was 6.2 years.
The 2023 drilling campaign includes the drilling of 4-6 gross wells, including 1-2 development wells and 3-4 exploration wells. The exploration program targets high-potential nearfield projects adjacent to and on trend with the Llanos 34 block.
_____________________________ |
4 D&M best estimate. |
5 D&M best estimate of 1P-3P gross original oil in place. |
Total
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in
As of
The 1P RLI was 5.7 years, while the 2P RLI was 8.9 years.
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in
The 1P RLI was 4.8 years and the 2P RLI was 17.1 years.
The Fell block (
The 2P D&M reserves in
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in
The 1P RLI was 3.0 years and the 2P RLI was 3.7 years.
The Manati field (
The 2P D&M reserves in
GeoPark’s 2P D&M certified reserves in
The 1P RLI was 1.5 years and the 2P RLI was 5.8 years.
The
The 2P D&M reserves in
The 2023 drilling campaign includes drilling of 3-4 gross appraisal and exploration wells in the Espejo and
_____________________________ |
6 D&M best estimate. |
In
Net Present Value After Tax Summary
The table below details D&M certified NPV10 after tax as of
Country |
Reserves
|
NPV10 After Tax
|
NPV10 After Tax
|
|||
|
|
|
||||
|
1P |
1,088 |
1,274 |
|||
|
2P |
1,580 |
2,019 |
|||
|
3P |
2,240 |
2,918 |
|||
|
1P |
41 |
52 |
|||
|
2P |
159 |
223 |
|||
|
3P |
320 |
409 |
|||
|
1P |
26 |
46 |
|||
|
2P |
33 |
52 |
|||
|
3P |
35 |
54 |
|||
|
1P |
14 |
- |
|||
|
2P |
21 |
- |
|||
|
3P |
34 |
- |
|||
|
1P |
- |
12 |
|||
|
2P |
- |
20 |
|||
|
3P |
- |
28 |
|||
Total |
1P |
1,169 |
1,384 |
|||
(D&M Certified) |
2P |
1,793 |
2,313 |
|||
|
3P |
2,629 |
3,409 |
Tax Reform in
In
After considering the recently approved tax reform, GeoPark’s consolidated NPV10 after tax of 1P and 2P reserves were lowered by approximately 10
_____________________________ |
7 Based on internal estimates. |
Oil Price Forecast
The price assumptions used to estimate the feasibility of PRMS reserves and NPV10 after tax in 2022 and 2021 D&M reports are detailed in the table below:
Brent Oil Price ($/bbl)
|
2023 |
|
2024 |
|
2025 |
|
2026 |
|
2027 |
|
2028 and
|
|
2022 Reserves Report |
92.5 |
|
67.3 |
|
68.9 |
|
70.6 |
|
72.2 |
|
73.9-80.0 |
|
2021 Reserves Report |
66.4 |
|
67.7 |
|
69.1 |
|
70.5 |
|
71.9 |
|
73.3-80.0 |
OTHER NEWS
Reporting Date for 4Q2022 Results Release, Conference Call and Webcast
In conjunction with the 4Q2022 results press release,
To listen to the call, participants can access the webcast located in the Invest with Us section of the Company’s website at www.geo-park.com, or by clicking below:
https://events.q4inc.com/attendee/741237333
Interested parties may participate in the conference call by dialing the numbers provided below:
United States Participants: 844-200-6205
International Participants: +1 929-526-1599
Passcode: 824273
Please allow extra time prior to the call to visit the website and download any streaming media software that might be required to listen to the webcast.
An archive of the webcast replay will be made available in the Invest with Us section of the Company’s website at www.geo-park.com after the conclusion of the live call.
GLOSSARY
|
|
1P |
Proven Reserves |
2P |
Proven plus Probable Reserves |
3P |
Proven plus Probable plus Possible Reserves |
boe |
Barrels of oil equivalent (6,000 cf marketable gas per bbl of oil equivalent). Marketable gas is defined as the total gas produced from the reservoir after reduction for shrinkage resulting from field separation; processing, including removal of nonhydrocarbon gas to meet pipeline specifications; and flare and other losses but not from fuel usage |
boepd |
Barrels of oil equivalent per day |
bopd |
Barrels of oil per day |
Certified Reserves |
Refers to |
EUR |
Estimated Ultimate Recovery |
mboed |
Thousands of barrels of oil equivalent per day |
mmboed |
Millions of barrels of oil equivalent per day |
mmbbl |
Millions of barrels of oil |
mcfpd |
Thousands of standard cubic feet per day |
mmcfpd |
Millions of standard cubic feet per day |
NPV10 After Tax |
Net Present Value after tax discounted at |
PD |
Proven Developed Reserves |
PUD |
Proven Undeveloped Reserves |
PRMS |
Petroleum Resources Management System |
RLI |
Reserve Life Index |
RRR |
Reserve Replacement Ratio |
sq km |
Square kilometers |
WI |
Working Interest |
NOTICE
Additional information about
The reserve estimates provided in this release are estimates only, and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may eventually prove to be greater than, or less than, the estimates provided herein. Statements relating to reserves are by their nature forward-looking statements.
Gas quantities estimated herein are reserves to be produced from the reservoirs, available to be delivered to the gas pipeline after field separation prior to compression. Gas reserves estimated herein include fuel gas.
Rounding amounts and percentages: Certain amounts and percentages included in this press release have been rounded for ease of presentation. Percentage figures included in this press release have not in all cases been calculated on the basis of such rounded figures, but on the basis of such amounts prior to rounding. For this reason, certain percentage amounts in this press release may vary from those obtained by performing the same calculations using the figures in the financial statements. In addition, certain other amounts that appear in this press release may not sum due to rounding.
Oil and gas production figures included in this release are stated before the effect of royalties paid in kind, consumption and losses.
All evaluations of future net revenue contained in the D&M Reports are after the deduction of cash royalties, development costs, operating expenses, production and profit taxes, fees, earn out payments, well abandonment costs, and country income taxes from the future gross revenue. It should not be assumed that the estimates of future net revenues presented in the tables represent the fair market value of the reserves. The actual production, revenues, taxes and development, and operating expenditures with respect to the reserves associated with the Company's properties may vary from the information presented herein, and such variations could be material. In addition, there is no assurance that the forecast price and cost assumptions contained in the D&M Report will be attained, and variances could be material.
CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS RELEVANT TO FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
This press release contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements. Many of the forward looking statements contained in this press release can be identified by the use of forward-looking words such as ‘‘anticipate,’’ ‘‘believe’’, ‘‘could,’’ ‘‘expect,’’ ‘‘should,’’ ‘‘plan,’’ ‘‘intend,’’ ‘‘will,’’ ‘‘estimate’’ and ‘‘potential,’’ among others.
Forward-looking statements that appear in a number of places in this press release include, but are not limited to, statements regarding the intent, belief or current expectations, regarding various matters including NPV10 after tax and NPV10 after tax/share estimations, our reserves, the estimated future revenues, capital expenditures, Adjusted EBITDA, free cash flows, expected production guidance, oil price forecast and shareholder returns. Forward-looking statements are based on management’s beliefs and assumptions, and on information currently available to the management. Such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to various factors.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update them in light of new information or future developments or to release publicly any revisions to these statements in order to reflect later events or circumstances or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. For a discussion of the risks facing the Company which could affect whether these forward-looking statements are realized, see the Company’s filings with the
This press release contains a number of oil and gas metrics, including NPV after tax per share, reserve life index, net debt-adjusted NPV per share, etc., which do not have standardized meanings or standard methods of calculation and therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies and should not be used to make comparisons. Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with additional measures to evaluate the Company's performance; however, such measures are not reliable indicators of the future performance of the Company and future performance may not compare to the performance in previous periods.
Information about oil and gas reserves: The
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20230201005945/en/
INVESTORS:
ssteimel@geo-park.com
Shareholder Value Director
T: +562 2242 9600
mbello@geo-park.com
Market Access Director
T: +562 2242 9600
dgully@geo-park.com
Investor Relations Director
T: +5411 4312 9400
MEDIA:
communications@geo-park.com
Source:
FAQ
What are GeoPark's certified reserves as of December 31, 2022?
What is GeoPark's net present value of 2P reserves?
What is GeoPark's production guidance for 2023?
How much free cash flow is GeoPark expecting for 2023?