Forecast for Housing Activity Revised Slightly in April Outlook
Fannie Mae has released its April 2025 Economic and Housing Outlook, revising key housing market projections. The forecast indicates single-family home sales will reach 4.86 million units in 2025, while new single-family construction is expected to total 964,000 units.
Key projections include:
- Economic Growth: 0.5% for 2025 and 1.9% for 2026
- Mortgage Rates: Expected to end at 6.2% in 2025 and 6.0% in 2026
- Home Prices: Projected to rise 4.1% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026, according to the Fannie Mae Home Price Index
These forecasts reflect adjustments based on recent market data and updated macroeconomic expectations. The outlook provides valuable insights for housing market stakeholders, though Fannie Mae notes these projections are subject to change based on various market factors and assumptions.
Fannie Mae ha pubblicato il suo Rapporto Economico e Previsioni del Mercato Immobiliare di aprile 2025, rivedendo le principali proiezioni del mercato abitativo. La previsione indica che le vendite di case unifamiliari raggiungeranno 4,86 milioni di unità nel 2025, mentre la nuova costruzione di case unifamiliari dovrebbe totalizzare 964.000 unità.
Le principali proiezioni includono:
- Crescita Economica: 0,5% per il 2025 e 1,9% per il 2026
- Tassi Ipotecari: previsti in chiusura al 6,2% nel 2025 e al 6,0% nel 2026
- Prezzi delle Case: previsti in aumento del 4,1% nel 2025 e del 2,0% nel 2026, secondo l'Indice dei Prezzi delle Case di Fannie Mae
Queste previsioni riflettono aggiustamenti basati sui dati recenti del mercato e sulle aspettative macroeconomiche aggiornate. L’outlook offre preziose indicazioni per gli operatori del mercato immobiliare, anche se Fannie Mae sottolinea che tali proiezioni possono variare in base a diversi fattori e ipotesi di mercato.
Fannie Mae ha publicado su Perspectiva Económica y del Mercado de Vivienda de abril de 2025, revisando las principales proyecciones del mercado inmobiliario. El pronóstico indica que las ventas de viviendas unifamiliares alcanzarán 4.86 millones de unidades en 2025, mientras que la nueva construcción de viviendas unifamiliares se espera que totalice 964,000 unidades.
Las proyecciones clave incluyen:
- Crecimiento Económico: 0.5% para 2025 y 1.9% para 2026
- Tasas Hipotecarias: se espera que terminen en 6.2% en 2025 y en 6.0% en 2026
- Precios de Viviendas: se proyecta un aumento del 4.1% en 2025 y del 2.0% en 2026, según el Índice de Precios de Viviendas de Fannie Mae
Estas previsiones reflejan ajustes basados en datos recientes del mercado y expectativas macroeconómicas actualizadas. La perspectiva ofrece valiosos conocimientos para los actores del mercado inmobiliario, aunque Fannie Mae señala que estas proyecciones están sujetas a cambios según diversos factores y supuestos del mercado.
패니 메이(Fannie Mae)는 2025년 4월 경제 및 주택 전망 보고서를 발표하며 주요 주택 시장 전망을 수정했습니다. 전망에 따르면 단독 주택 판매량은 2025년에 486만 채에 달할 것으로 예상되며, 신규 단독 주택 건설은 96만 4천 채에 이를 것으로 보입니다.
주요 전망 내용은 다음과 같습니다:
- 경제 성장률: 2025년 0.5%, 2026년 1.9%
- 모기지 금리: 2025년 말 6.2%, 2026년 6.0%로 예상
- 주택 가격: 패니 메이 주택 가격 지수에 따르면 2025년 4.1%, 2026년 2.0% 상승할 것으로 전망
이러한 전망은 최근 시장 데이터와 최신 거시경제 기대치를 반영한 조정 결과입니다. 이번 전망은 주택 시장 이해관계자들에게 유용한 정보를 제공하지만, 패니 메이는 다양한 시장 요인과 가정에 따라 전망이 변경될 수 있음을 명시하고 있습니다.
Fannie Mae a publié ses Perspectives économiques et immobilières d'avril 2025, révisant les principales projections du marché du logement. Les prévisions indiquent que les ventes de maisons unifamiliales atteindront 4,86 millions d'unités en 2025, tandis que la construction neuve de maisons unifamiliales devrait totaliser 964 000 unités.
Les projections clés comprennent :
- Croissance économique : 0,5 % pour 2025 et 1,9 % pour 2026
- Taux hypothécaires : prévus à 6,2 % fin 2025 et 6,0 % en 2026
- Prix des logements : une hausse projetée de 4,1 % en 2025 et de 2,0 % en 2026, selon l'indice des prix des logements de Fannie Mae
Ces prévisions reflètent des ajustements basés sur les données récentes du marché et les attentes macroéconomiques mises à jour. Les perspectives fournissent des informations précieuses pour les acteurs du marché immobilier, bien que Fannie Mae précise que ces projections peuvent évoluer en fonction de divers facteurs et hypothèses de marché.
Fannie Mae hat seinen Wirtschafts- und Wohnungsmarkt-Ausblick für April 2025 veröffentlicht und dabei wichtige Prognosen für den Wohnungsmarkt überarbeitet. Die Prognose zeigt, dass der Verkauf von Einfamilienhäusern im Jahr 2025 4,86 Millionen Einheiten erreichen wird, während der Neubau von Einfamilienhäusern voraussichtlich 964.000 Einheiten betragen wird.
Wichtige Prognosen umfassen:
- Wirtschaftswachstum: 0,5 % für 2025 und 1,9 % für 2026
- Hypothekenzinsen: Erwartet, am Ende 2025 bei 6,2 % und 2026 bei 6,0 % zu liegen
- Hauspreise: Laut dem Fannie Mae Hauspreisindex wird ein Anstieg von 4,1 % im Jahr 2025 und 2,0 % im Jahr 2026 prognostiziert
Diese Prognosen spiegeln Anpassungen basierend auf aktuellen Marktdaten und aktualisierten makroökonomischen Erwartungen wider. Der Ausblick bietet wertvolle Einblicke für Akteure des Wohnungsmarktes, wobei Fannie Mae darauf hinweist, dass diese Prognosen je nach verschiedenen Marktbedingungen und Annahmen Änderungen unterliegen können.
- Home prices projected to rise 4.1% in 2025 and 2.0% in 2026
- Single-family home sales forecast at 4.86 million units in 2025
- New single-family construction expected to reach 964,000 units in 2025
- Mortgage rates expected to decrease from current levels, reaching 6.2% by end of 2025 and 6.0% in 2026
- Economic growth forecast remains low at 0.5% for 2025
- Home price growth expected to slow significantly from 4.1% in 2025 to 2.0% in 2026
Visit the Economic and Strategic Research site at fanniemae.com to read the full April 2025 Economic and Housing Outlook, including the Economic Developments Commentary, Economic Forecast, and Housing Forecast. To receive email updates with other housing market research from Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group, please click here.
Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views of Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae's business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. How this information affects Fannie Mae will depend on many factors. Although the ESR Group bases its opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views on information it considers reliable, it does not guarantee that the information provided in these materials is accurate, current, or suitable for any particular purpose. Changes in the assumptions or the information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views published by the ESR Group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management.
About the ESR Group
Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group, led by Chief Economist Mark Palim, studies current data, analyzes historical and emerging trends, and conducts surveys of consumer and mortgage lender groups to provide forecasts and analyses on the economy, housing, and mortgage markets.
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