Fannie Mae Announces Publication of National Home Price Index
Fannie Mae has released the Fannie Mae Home Price Index (FNM-HPI), showing an unprecedented annual home price growth of 20.0% in Q1 2022, up from 19.1% in Q4 2021. Seasonally adjusted prices rose 4.8% quarterly. This acceleration is attributed to strong homebuying demand and limited inventory. Despite this growth, rising mortgage rates may cool demand and price growth as the year progresses. The index, available from Q1 1975, will be released quarterly.
- FNM-HPI increased to 20.0% annual growth in Q1 2022, highest in 47 years.
- Quarterly seasonally adjusted home prices rose by 4.8%.
- FNM-HPI will be publicly available, enhancing transparency in housing market data.
- Rising mortgage rates could temper homebuying demand and price growth moving forward.
FNM-HPI Measured Home Price Growth at Annual Rate of
WASHINGTON, April 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) announced today the publication of the Fannie Mae Home Price Index (FNM-HPI), a national, repeat-transaction home price index measuring the average, quarterly price change for all single-family properties in the United States, excluding condos. The FNM-HPI accelerated in Q1 2022 to its fastest annual pace in the 47-year history of the index, measuring 20.0 percent year over year, non-seasonally adjusted, up from the 19.1 percent annual rate recorded in Q4 2021. On a quarterly basis, home prices rose a seasonally adjusted 4.8 percent in Q1 2022.
"We're pleased to begin sharing the Fannie Mae Home Price Index with external audiences. We have long used this index within the company, including as part of our quarterly financial disclosures, and we believe it will be a highly accurate, timely indicator for measuring home price growth for both economists and housing industry stakeholders alike," said Doug Duncan, Fannie Mae Senior Vice President and Chief Economist. "After decelerating toward the end of 2021, the FNM-HPI sped up in the first quarter due to continued strong homebuying demand and a lack of inventory. We believe recent homebuying demand was augmented by many homebuyers pulling forward their home purchase plans in anticipation of rising mortgage rates. Now, with rates having sharply risen since the start of the year – and some of that homebuying demand now met – we expect price growth to begin cooling as the year progresses."
The FNM-HPI is produced by aggregating county-level data to create both seasonally adjusted and non-seasonally adjusted national indices that are representative of the whole country and designed to serve as indicators of general single-family home price trends. Beginning today, the FNM-HPI will be publicly available at the national level as a quarterly series with a start date of Q1 1975 and extending to the most recent quarter, Q1 2022. Fannie Mae plans to publish the FNM-HPI approximately mid-month during the first month of each new quarter.
For more information on the FNM-HPI, including a description of the methodology and the Q1 2022 data file, please visit our Research & Insights page on fanniemae.com.
To receive e-mail updates regarding future FNM-HPI updates and other housing market research from Fannie Mae's Economic & Strategic Research Group, please click here.
Fannie Mae's home price estimates are based on preliminary data available as of the date of index estimation and are subject to change as additional data become available. Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views of Fannie Mae's Economic & Strategic Research (ESR) group included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae's business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. How this information affects Fannie Mae will depend on many factors. Although the ESR group bases its opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, and other views on information it considers reliable, it does not guarantee that the information provided in these materials is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. Changes in the assumptions or the information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts, and other views published by the ESR group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management.
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