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Expert Panel Anticipates Home Price Growth Will Moderate

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Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) released its Q3 2025 Home Price Expectations Survey (HPES), showing experts project home price growth to moderate in the coming years. The survey, conducted with over 100 housing experts, forecasts average home price growth of 2.4% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026, down from previous quarter's estimates of 2.9% and 2.8% respectively.

This follows a stronger 5.3% growth in 2024. The survey also explored factors driving home price deceleration, first-time homebuyer age trends, mortgage rate triggers for sales activity, and younger buyers' views on homeownership.

["Survey indicates continued home price growth, albeit at a moderate pace", "Large expert panel (100+ housing experts) provides comprehensive market insights", "Housing market showing stability with positive growth projections for 2025-2026"]

Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) ha pubblicato il Q3 2025 Home Price Expectations Survey (HPES), secondo cui gli esperti prevedono una moderazione della crescita dei prezzi delle case nei prossimi anni. Il sondaggio, condotto su oltre 100 esperti del settore immobiliare, prevede una crescita media dei prezzi 2,4% nel 2025 e 2,1% nel 2026, rispetto alle stime del trimestre precedente di 2,9% e 2,8%.

Questo seguito a una crescita più forte del 5,3% nel 2024. Il sondaggio ha esplorato anche i fattori che guidano la decelerazione dei prezzi, le tendenze di età dei primi acquirenti, i trigger dei tassi ipotecari per l’attività di vendita e le opinioni dei compratori più giovani sull’acquisto di una casa.

Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) publicó su Encuesta de Expectativas de Precios de Vivienda (HPES) del tercer trimestre de 2025, que muestra que los expertos prevén una moderación en el crecimiento de los precios de las viviendas en los próximos años. La encuesta, realizada con más de 100 expertos del sector, pronostica un crecimiento medio de los precios del 2,4% en 2025 y 2,1% en 2026, por debajo de las estimaciones del trimestre anterior de 2,9% y 2,8% respectivamente.

Esto sigue al fuerte crecimiento del 5,3% en 2024. La encuesta también exploró los factores que impulsan la desaceleración de los precios, las tendencias de edad de los compradores primerizos, los desencadenantes de las tasas hipotecarias para la actividad de ventas y las perspectivas de los compradores más jóvenes sobre la posesión de vivienda.

패니 메이(Fannie Mae, OT CQB: FNMA)가 2025년 3분기 주택가격 전망 설문조사(HPES)를 발표했다. 전문가는 향후 몇 년간 주택가격 상승이 완만해질 것으로 예측한다. 100명이 넘는 주택 전문가가 참여한 이번 설문조사는 2025년 주택가격이 평균 2.4%, 2026년에는 2.1% 상승할 것으로 전망하며, 이전 분기의 추정치인 2.9%와 2.8%보다 낮다.

이는 2024년의 stronger한 5.3% 성장에 따른 것이다. 설문은 주택가격의 둔화 요인, 첫 주택 구매자의 연령 추세, 판매 활동을 촉진하는 모기지 금리 트리거, 그리고 젊은 구매자들의 주택 소유에 대한 시각도 다뤘다.

Fannie Mae (OTCQB : FNMA) a publié son enquête HPES sur les attentes en matière de prix des logements pour le T3 2025, montrant que les experts prévoient une modération de la croissance des prix des logements dans les années à venir. L’enquête, réalisée avec plus de 100 experts du secteur, anticipe une croissance moyenne des prix des logements de 2,4% en 2025 et de 2,1% en 2026, en dessous des estimations du trimestre précédent de 2,9% et 2,8% respectivement.

Cela fait suite à une forte croissance de 5,3% en 2024. L’enquête a également exploré les facteurs qui soutiennent la décélération des prix, les tendances d’âge des primo-accédants, les déclencheurs de taux hypothécaires pour l’activité des ventes et les points de vue des jeunes acheteurs concernant la propriété.

Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) hat ihren HPES-Bericht zu den Home Price Expectations im dritten Quartal 2025 veröffentlicht, der zeigt, dass Experten erwarten, dass das Wachstum der Immobilienpreise in den kommenden Jahren moderater ausfallen wird. Die Umfrage, an der mehr als 100 Immobilienexperten teilnahmen, prognostiziert ein durchschnittliches Preiswachstum von 2,4% im Jahr 2025 und 2,1% im Jahr 2026, gegenüber den Schätzungen des Vorquartals von 2,9% bzw. 2,8%.

Dies folgt auf ein stärkeres Wachstum von 5,3% im Jahr 2024. Die Umfrage untersuchte auch Faktoren, die die Preisabkühlung antreiben, Alterstrends bei Erstkäufern, Trigger von Hypothekenzinsen für Verkaufsaktivitäten und die Ansichten junger Käufer zum Eigenheim.

أصدرت فاني ماي (Fannie Mae) تقريرها عن توقعات أسعار المنازل للربع الثالث من 2025 (HPES)، موضحة أن الخبراء يتوقعون تباطؤ نمو أسعار المنازل في السنوات المقبلة. شارك في الاستطلاع أكثر من 100 خبير في الإسكان، ويتوقع معدل النمو المتوسط للأسعار 2.4% في 2025 و 2.1% في 2026، بانخفاض عن تقديرات الربع السابق البالغة 2.9% و 2.8% على التوالي.

ويأتي ذلك عقب نمو أقوى قدره 5.3% في 2024. كما استكشف الاستطلاع العوامل التي تدفع تباطؤ الأسعار، اتجاهات عمر المشترين لأول مرة، ومحفّزات معدلات الرهون العقارية للنشاط البيعي، وآراء المشترين الأصغر سنًا حول امتلاك منزل.

Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMA) 发布了其 2025 年第 3 季度《房价预期调查》(HPES),显示专家预计未来几年房价将趋于温和增长。此次调查在 100 多位房地产专家参与下进行,预测房价在 2025 年增长 2.4%,在 2026 年增长 2.1%,低于上季度的 2.9%2.8% 的预测。

这与 2024 年 5.3% 的更强劲增长相呼应。调查还探讨推动房价降温的因素、首次购房者的年龄趋势、对销售活动的抵押贷款利率触发因素,以及年轻买家对拥有住房的看法。

Positive
  • None.
Negative
  • Downward revision in growth forecasts from previous quarter
  • Significant slowdown in price growth expected (from 5.3% in 2024 to 2.4% in 2025)
  • Housing market showing signs of cooling

WASHINGTON, Sept. 30, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Following national home price growth of 5.3% in 2024, a panel of more than 100 housing experts forecast home price growth to average 2.4% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026, according to the Q3 2025 Fannie Mae (OTCQB: FNMAHome Price Expectations Survey (HPES), produced in partnership with Pulsenomics, LLC. The panel's latest estimates represent revisions from last quarter's expectations of 2.9% for 2025 and 2.8% for 2026, as measured by the Fannie Mae Home Price Index (FNM-HPI). As part of this quarter's survey, panelists were also asked for their opinions on the factors driving home price deceleration, the age trend for first-time homebuyers, the mortgage rate level that might trigger a significant acceleration in home sales activity, and the importance of homeownership to younger potential homebuyers.

The full HPES data sets and special topic research can be found here.

Opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views of Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research (ESR) Group, Pulsenomics, LLC, and the surveyed experts included in these materials should not be construed as indicating Fannie Mae's business prospects or expected results, are based on a number of assumptions, and are subject to change without notice. How this information affects Fannie Mae will depend on many factors. Although the ESR Group bases its opinions, analyses, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views on information it considers reliable, it does not guarantee that the information provided in these materials is accurate, current, or suitable for any particular purpose. Changes in the assumptions or the information underlying these views could produce materially different results. The analyses, opinions, estimates, forecasts, beliefs, and other views published by the ESR Group represent the views of that group as of the date indicated and do not necessarily represent the views of Fannie Mae or its management.

About Fannie Mae's Home Price Expectations Survey
Fannie Mae's Home Price Expectations Survey (HPES), produced in partnership with Pulsenomics, LLC, polls more than 100 experts across the housing and mortgage industry and academia for forecasts of national home price percentage changes in each of the coming five calendar years, with the Fannie Mae Home Price Index as the benchmark. On a quarterly basis, Fannie Mae plans to publish the latest panelist-level expectations. The Q3 2025 HPES had 114 respondents and was conducted by Pulsenomics, LLC, between August 11, 2025, and August 25, 2025.

About the ESR Group
Fannie Mae's Economic and Strategic Research Group, led by Chief Economist Mark Palim, studies current data, analyzes historical and emerging trends, and conducts surveys of consumers and mortgage lenders to inform forecasts and analyses on the economy, housing, and mortgage markets.

About Pulsenomics
Pulsenomics® is an independent research and index product development firm that leverages expertise in data analytics, opinion research, financial markets, and economics to deliver insight and market intelligence to institutional clients, partners, and the public at large. To learn more, visit pulsenomics.com.

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SOURCE Fannie Mae

FAQ

What is Fannie Mae's home price growth forecast for 2025?

According to Fannie Mae's Q3 2025 survey, housing experts forecast average home price growth of 2.4% in 2025, revised down from the previous quarter's expectation of 2.9%.

How much did home prices grow in 2024 according to Fannie Mae?

According to the survey, national home price growth was 5.3% in 2024.

What is the projected home price growth for 2026 by FNMA experts?

The expert panel projects home price growth of 2.1% in 2026, revised down from the previous forecast of 2.8%.

What topics were covered in Fannie Mae's Q3 2025 Home Price Expectations Survey?

The survey covered factors driving home price deceleration, first-time homebuyer age trends, mortgage rate triggers for sales activity, and younger buyers' views on homeownership.

How many experts participated in Fannie Mae's Q3 2025 housing survey?

The survey included input from more than 100 housing experts.
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