National House Prices Hover Near Historical Norms, According to First American Data & Analytics Monthly Home Price Index Report

Rhea-AI Summary

First American Data & Analytics released its November 2024 Home Price Index (HPI) report, showing national house prices are 54.7% higher compared to pre-pandemic levels. The report indicates a 3.9% year-over-year increase and a slight -0.01% month-over-month change.

According to Chief Economist Mark Fleming, national house prices have modestly re-accelerated for the first time since December 2023, maintaining alignment with historical norms. The market shows resilience despite higher mortgage rates, with prices declining in only two markets year-over-year: Tampa (-3.3%) and Oakland (-0.3%).

The top performing markets include Anaheim (+7.7%), Cambridge (+5.4%), New York (+5.3%), Warren (+5.1%), and Washington (+5.0%). The report segments price changes into starter, mid, and luxury tiers, with New York showing the strongest starter tier growth at +7.9%.

—Steady, single-digit house price growth signals a return to normal following the pandemic-to-post-pandemic roller-coaster ride, says Chief Economist Mark Fleming—

SANTA ANA, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- First American Data & Analytics, a leading national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions and a division of First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF), today released its November 2024 Home Price Index (HPI) report. The report tracks home price changes less than four weeks behind real time at the national, state and metropolitan (Core-Based Statistical Area) levels and includes metropolitan price tiers that segment sale transactions into starter, mid and luxury tiers. The full report can be found here.

November¹ National House Price Index

First American Data & Analytics’ National Non-Seasonally Adjusted (NSA) HPI
Metric	Change in HPI
October-November 2024 (month over month)	-0.01 percent
November 2023-November 2024 (year over year)	+3.9 percent

Highlights

• House prices nationally are now 54.7 percent higher compared to pre-pandemic levels (February 2020).
• House price growth reported in last month’s HPI for September 2024 to October 2024 was revised down 0.03 percentage points, from -0.048 percent to -0.075 percent.

Chief Economist Analysis:

“After a nearly year-long slow down, national house prices re-accelerated modestly for the first time since December 2023 on an annualized basis, but remain in line with historical norms,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. “As the housing market adjusts to the new normal of higher mortgage rates, buyers and sellers are gradually returning, supported by a healthy labor market and more homes for sale compared to last year. The result is steady, single-digit house price growth, reflecting a market returning to normal following the pandemic-to-post-pandemic roller-coaster ride.”

November 2024 Local Market Price Tier Highlights

The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution; mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price distribution.

“While some may have expected sustained higher mortgage rates to drive widespread house price declines, prices have proven resilient, falling in only two markets year over year last month,” said Fleming. “House prices tend to be ‘downside sticky’ because home sellers would rather withdraw from the market than sell at a discount.”

November 2024 First American Data & Analytics Price Tier HPI Highlights²

Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) Ranked by Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in Starter Tier HPI
CBSA	Change in Starter Tier HPI	Change in Mid-Tier HPI	Change in Luxury Tier HPI
New York	+7.9 percent	+8.2 percent	+2.3 percent
Pittsburgh	+6.2 percent	+3.0 percent	+1.8 percent
Warren, Mich.	+6.1 percent	+5.8 percent	+6.2 percent
Washington	+5.7 percent	+5.8 percent	+5.6 percent
Cambridge, Mass.	+5.5 percent	+6.3 percent	+6.0 percent

Additional November 2024 First American Data & Analytics HPI Highlights

Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in HPI
CBSA	Change in HPI
Anaheim, Calif.	+7.7 percent
Cambridge, Mass.	+5.4 percent
New York	+5.3 percent
Warren, Mich.	+5.1 percent
Washington	+5.0 percent
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) with a Year-Over-Year Decease in HPI
Tampa, Fla.	-3.3 percent
Oakland, Calif.	-0.3 percent

HPI data for all 50 states and the largest 30 CBSAs by population is available here.

Visit the First American Economic Center for more research on housing market dynamics.

Next Release

The next release of the First American Data & Analytics House Price Index will take place the week of January 20, 2025.

First American Data & Analytics HPI Methodology

The First American Data & Analytics HPI report measures single-family home prices, including distressed sales, with indices updated monthly beginning in 1980 through the month of the current report. HPI data is provided at the national, state and CBSA levels and includes preliminary index estimates for the month prior to the report (i.e. the preliminary result of July transactions is reported in August). The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.

The HPI uses a repeat-sales methodology, which measures price changes for the same property over time using more than 46 million paired transactions to generate the indices. In non-disclosure states, the HPI utilizes a combination of public sales records, MLS sold and active listings, and appraisal data to estimate house prices. This comprehensive approach is particularly effective in areas where there is limited availability of accurate sale prices, such as non-disclosure states. Property type, price and location data are used to create more refined market segment indices. Real Estate-Owned transactions are not included.

Disclaimer

Opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views contained in this page are those of First American’s Chief Economist, do not necessarily represent the views of First American or its management, should not be construed as indicating First American’s business prospects or expected results, and are subject to change without notice. Although the First American Economics team attempts to provide reliable, useful information, it does not guarantee that the information is accurate, current or suitable for any particular purpose. © 2024 by First American. Information from this page may be used with proper attribution.

About First American Data & Analytics

First American Data & Analytics, a division of First American Financial Corporation, is a national provider of property-centric information, risk management and valuation solutions. First American maintains and curates the industry’s largest property and ownership dataset that includes more than 8 billion document images. Its major platforms and products include: DataTree^®, FraudGuard^®, RegsData^®, First American TaxSource™ and ACI^®. Find out more about how First American Data & Analytics powers the real estate, mortgage and title settlement services industries with advanced decisioning solutions at www.FirstAmDNA.com.

About First American

First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF) is a premier provider of title, settlement and risk solutions for real estate transactions. With its combination of financial strength and stability built over more than 135 years, innovative proprietary technologies, and unmatched data assets, the company is leading the digital transformation of its industry. First American also provides data products to the title industry and other third parties; valuation products and services; mortgage subservicing; home warranty products; banking, trust and wealth management services; and other related products and services. With total revenue of $6.0 billion in 2023, the company offers its products and services directly and through its agents throughout the United States and abroad. In 2024, First American was named one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work^® and Fortune Magazine for the ninth consecutive year, and named one of the 100 Best Workplaces for Innovators by Fast Company for the second consecutive year. More information about the company can be found at www.firstam.com.

____________________
1		The most recent index results are subject to revision as data from more transactions become available.
2		Note: Nassau-County-Suffolk County, NY is excluded from this month’s report due to data disruptions.

 

View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20241226786579/en/

Media Contact:

Marcus Ginnaty

Corporate Communications

First American Financial Corporation

(714) 250-3298



Investor Contact:

Craig Barberio

Investor Relations

First American Financial Corporation

(714) 250-5214

Source: First American Data & Analytics

FAQ

What is the current year-over-year house price growth rate according to First American's November 2024 HPI report?

According to the November 2024 HPI report, national house prices increased by 3.9% year-over-year.

Which cities showed the highest house price increases in November 2024?

Anaheim, California led with a 7.7% increase, followed by Cambridge, Massachusetts (5.4%), New York (5.3%), Warren, Michigan (5.1%), and Washington (5.0%).

How much have house prices increased since pre-pandemic levels according to First American's HPI?

House prices nationally are 54.7% higher compared to pre-pandemic levels (February 2020).

Which markets experienced house price declines in November 2024?

Only two markets showed year-over-year declines: Tampa, Florida (-3.3%) and Oakland, California (-0.3%).

What was the month-over-month price change in November 2024?

The month-over-month change from October to November 2024 was -0.01%.

Which city showed the highest starter home price growth in November 2024?

New York showed the highest starter tier home price growth at 7.9% year-over-year.