E2open Study Quantifies Supply Chain Performance Drop During the COVID-19 Pandemic, Explaining Rise in Shortages and Revealing Value Realized from Technology
E2open Parent Holdings, Inc (NYSE: ETWO) released its 10th annual Forecasting and Inventory Benchmark Study, assessing supply chain impacts during the pandemic. The study highlights a new, lower baseline performance in business, exacerbated by increased demand planning errors—up over 20%—and service levels dropping from 99% to 83%. However, leveraging AI and real-time data significantly improved forecasting accuracy, reducing errors by 32% and increasing the value from planning investments six-fold. The report emphasizes the need for companies to adapt to ongoing challenges and enhance resilience in their supply chains.
- AI and real-time data improved forecasting accuracy, reducing errors by 32%.
- The volume of business exposed to extreme forecasting error decreased by 50%.
- Investment in planning-related processes resulted in a six-fold increase in realized value.
- Demand planning error rose more than 20%, indicating significant forecasting challenges.
- Service levels fell from 99% to 83%, highlighting operational difficulties.
- Study of fast-moving consumer goods during pandemic reveals a new, lower baseline performance is the “new normal”
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Use of artificial intelligence and real-time data cut supply chain forecast error by
32% , reduced the volume of business exposed to extreme error by half and drove a six-fold increase in realized value from planning-related investments
Focus on production efficiencies as business becomes harder
Data from the study, which encompasses over
Increased volatility leads to unprecedented demand planning error
From a planning perspective, the pandemic made businesses inherently harder to forecast than in prior years. Companies lost half the value-added from their planning investments, as demand planning accuracy fell dramatically during the pandemic. Demand planning error increased more than
“It’s tempting to view the pandemic as an anomaly and stay the course in hope of a quick transition back to the old, pre-pandemic normal,” said
Use of real-time data and AI was a game-changer for companies
The study found that using AI and real-time data to understand current market realities led to dramatic improvements at all stages of the pandemic, including the tumultuous period of consumer panic buying as lockdown and stay-at-home orders were imposed. Demand sensing, which uses AI and real-time data to better predict what customers will order, cut forecast error by more than one-third, reduced the volume exposed to extreme error by half and drove a six-fold increase in realized value from investments in people, processes and technology related to planning.
“Understanding what actually happened during the pandemic helps leaders prepare for other large-scale disruptions in the future,” said
“Today’s supply chain processes span internal operations, multiple tiers of upstream and downstream trading partners, and reach down to the end consumer,” continued Farlekas. “While these are all inherently linked and interdependent, few corporations have sufficiently invested in connecting end-to-end processes and systematically leveraging current information and AI to build resilience. This is an area of strong potential for most firms – to help them better manage future disruptions and capitalize on the hidden opportunities disruption can bring.”
For a complimentary copy of the 2021 Forecasting and Inventory Benchmarking report, please visit www.e2open.com.
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