Citizens Business Conditions Index™ Reaches Highest Level in Three Years as Economic Recovery Gains Momentum
Citizens announced a significant increase in its Business Conditions Index™ (CBCI) to 57, marking the highest level in three years and a five-point rise from last year. A reading above 50 indicates economic expansion. The improvement is attributed to strong momentum from vaccinations and fiscal support, despite inflation concerns. Key positive metrics include rising ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Indexes and a decrease in initial jobless claims. Citizens, with $185.1 billion in assets, continues to provide tailored financial solutions across various banking sectors.
- Citizens Business Conditions Index™ (CBCI) rose to 57, indicating economic expansion.
- Five-point increase compared to the previous year marks the highest level in three years.
- Improvement in ISM Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Indexes supports the positive outlook.
- Decrease in initial jobless claims signals strengthening labor market.
- Concerns about inflation persist, potentially impacting future economic conditions.
Citizens announced today that the strength of the economic recovery pushed this past quarter’s national Citizens Business Conditions Index™ (CBCI) to 57, its highest reading in three years and up five points compared to last year. A reading above 50 is considered expansionary.
“What we see at this stage of the recovery is strong momentum – the payoff of vaccinations, of the ongoing power of fiscal and monetary support, and of the growing readiness to return to normal activities,” said Tony Bedikian, head of global markets at Citizens. “Inflation is worth watching and the verdict is still out on whether the inflation we have seen is transitory or beginning to surge. We are closely monitoring supply chain and labor data as well as the impacts of pent-up post-pandemic demand. Barring exogenous factors, the U.S. economy seems poised to continue its steady recovery through the second half of 2021.”
The Index is derived from a number of underlying components, many of which improved during the second quarter.
- The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing and Non-Manufacturing Indexes both rose for the quarter, helping to lift the Citizens Index.
- Initial jobless claims dropped in another positive sign while new-business applications were flat.
- Utilities and telecommunications companies led a strong quarter overall for businesses, according to the bank’s proprietary corporate activity data.
The Index draws from public information and proprietary corporate data to establish a unique view of business conditions across the country. An index value greater than 50 indicates expansion and points to positive business activity for the next quarter. For more information about this past quarter’s Index, please visit here.
Citizens is a trusted strategic and financial adviser, consistently delivering clear and objective advice. The Citizens approach puts clients first by offering great ideas combined with thorough market knowledge and excellent execution, to help our clients enhance their business and reach their potential. For more information, please visit the Citizens website.
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