Black Knight's First Look: Prepayments Hit Third Consecutive Record Low in November, While Mortgage Delinquencies Top 3.0% and Foreclosure Starts Bounce 19%
In November 2022, Black Knight reported a 15.6% drop in monthly prepayment activity, marking the lowest single month mortality rate at 0.40% since 2000. The national delinquency rate rose by 3.5% to 3.01%, driven by a significant increase in 30-day (31K, +3.9%) and 60-day (25K, +11%) delinquencies. Foreclosure starts climbed 19% to 23,400, although still 30% below pre-pandemic levels. Active foreclosure inventory increased 5.3%, but overall delinquency rates saw a year-over-year decline of 16.18%.
- Year-over-year decline in total U.S. delinquency rate by 16.18%.
- Foreclosure starts remain below pre-pandemic levels, indicating potential market stability.
- Monthly prepayment activity decreased by 15.6%, signaling reduced mortgage refinancing activity.
- National delinquency rate increased to 3.01%, indicating worsening borrower distress.
- Foreclosure starts rose 19%, reflecting a potential uptick in financial challenges for homeowners.
- Prepayment activity in November dropped
15.6% to a single month mortality (SMM) rate of0.40% – once again marking the lowest rate on record since before 2000 when Black Knight started reporting the metric - The national delinquency rate rose another
3.5% in November to3.01% , up 10 basis points since October, driven by a 31K (+3.9% ) increase in 30-day delinquencies and a 25K (+11% ) rise in 60-day delinquencies - The delinquency rate in Florida rose another 18 basis points in the month to
3.60% as the impact of Hurricane Ian on homeowners' ability to make mortgage payments continues - Improvement among seriously past-due loans continues to stagnate, with the population of 90-day delinquencies ticking down -
0.2% from the month prior - Foreclosure starts rose again (+
19% ) on the heels of October's increase, but the month's 23.4K starts are still below the recent high seen in June 2022 and remain30% below pre-pandemic levels - Foreclosure was started on
4.3% of serious delinquencies in November, up 7 basis points from October but still44% less than the rate seen in the years leading up to the pandemic - Active foreclosure inventory rose
5.3% , though 2022 volumes remain subdued after the record lows of 2021 due to widespread moratoriums and forbearance protections
JACKSONVILLE, Fla., Dec. 22, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Black Knight, Inc. (NYSE: BKI) reports the following "first look" at November 2022 month-end mortgage performance statistics derived from its loan-level database representing the majority of the national mortgage market.
Total U.S. loan delinquency rate (loans 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure):
Month-over-month change:
Year-over-year change: -
Total U.S. foreclosure pre-sale inventory rate:
Month-over-month change:
Year-over-year change:
Total U.S. foreclosure starts: 23,400
Month-over-month change:
Year-over-year change:
Monthly prepayment rate (SMM):
Month-over-month change: -
Year-over-year change: -
Foreclosure sales as % of 90+:
Month-over-month change: -
Year-over-year change:
Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 1,612,000
Month-over-month change: 55,000
Year-over-year change: -294,000
Number of properties that are 90 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure: 550,000
Month-over-month change: -1,000
Year-over-year change: -476,000
Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: 196,000
Month-over-month change: 10,000
Year-over-year change: 64,000
Number of properties that are 30 or more days past due or in foreclosure: 1,808,000
Month-over-month change: 65,000
Year-over-year change: -231,000
Mississippi: | 6.70 % |
Louisiana: | 6.08 % |
Oklahoma: | 5.03 % |
Alabama: | 4.76 % |
West Virginia: | 4.66 % |
Oregon: | 2.06 % |
Colorado: | 1.98 % |
California: | 1.90 % |
Idaho: | 1.79 % |
Washington: | 1.69 % |
Mississippi: | 2.32 % |
Louisiana: | 1.90 % |
Alabama: | 1.62 % |
Arkansas: | 1.53 % |
Oklahoma: | 1.50 % |
Alaska: | -20.97 % |
Hawaii: | -8.34 % |
New York: | -6.90 % |
New Hampshire: | 1.28 % |
Maine: | 3.04 % |
Florida: | 24.63 % |
Arizona: | 21.03 % |
Wyoming: | 16.96 % |
Iowa: | 15.97 % |
South Dakota: | 15.58 % |
*Non-current totals combine foreclosures and delinquencies as a percent of active loans in that state.
Notes:
- Totals are extrapolated based on Black Knight's loan-level database of mortgage assets.
- All whole numbers are rounded to the nearest thousand, except foreclosure starts, which are rounded to the nearest hundred.
For a more detailed view of this month's "first look" data, please visit the Black Knight newsroom. Please note that Black Knight does not release an edition of the Mortgage Monitor report over the holidays and will return to its normal publishing schedule the first week of February 2023.
For more information about gaining access to Black Knight's loan-level database, please send an email to Mortgage.Monitor@bkfs.com.
Black Knight, Inc. (NYSE:BKI) is an award-winning software, data and analytics company that drives innovation in the mortgage lending and servicing and real estate industries, as well as the capital and secondary markets. Businesses leverage our robust, integrated solutions across the entire homeownership life cycle to help retain existing customers, gain new customers, mitigate risk and operate more effectively.
Our clients rely on our proven, comprehensive, scalable products and our unwavering commitment to delivering superior client support to achieve their strategic goals and better serve their customers. For more information on Black Knight, please visit www.blackknightinc.com.
For more information:
Michelle Kersch | Mitch Cohen |
904.854.5043 | 704.890.8158 |
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SOURCE Black Knight, Inc.
FAQ
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