Xcel Energy Third Quarter 2021 Earnings Report
Xcel Energy's third-quarter 2021 GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) stood at $1.13, slightly down from $1.14 in 2020. Year-to-date EPS rose to $2.38 from $2.25 year-over-year. The company has narrowed its EPS guidance for 2021 to $2.94-$2.98 and initiated a 2022 EPS guidance of $3.10-$3.20. Strong earnings were attributed to increased electric and natural gas margins while O&M expenses decreased. Additionally, a $26 billion capital forecast for 2022-2026 aims to enhance customer benefits and support CO2 reduction goals.
- Year-to-date GAAP diluted EPS increased from $2.25 to $2.38.
- Narrowed 2021 EPS guidance to $2.94-$2.98, indicating management confidence.
- Initiated 2022 EPS guidance of $3.10-$3.20, aligning with long-term growth objectives.
- Capital forecast of $26 billion for 2022-2026 to enhance customer benefits and support CO2 reduction goals.
- Q3 2021 diluted EPS decreased from $1.14 to $1.13 compared to Q3 2020.
- Increased depreciation and lower AFUDC partially offset earnings growth.
-
Third quarter GAAP diluted earnings per share were
in 2021 compared with$1.13 in 2020.$1.14 -
Year-to-date GAAP diluted earnings per share for 2021 were
compared with$2.38 in 2020.$2.25 -
Xcel Energy narrows its 2021 EPS earnings guidance range to to$2.94 from$2.98 to$2.90 .$3.00 -
Xcel Energy initiates 2022 EPS earnings guidance of to$3.10 .$3.20
Earnings reflect higher electric and natural gas margins and lower operating and maintenance (O&M) expenses, which were offset by additional depreciation and lower allowance for funds used during construction (AFUDC).
“Xcel Energy posted strong year-to-date results, so we’re narrowing our 2021 earnings guidance to
“I’m also pleased the company is delivering on our vision to power 1.5 million electric vehicles by 2030. We just unveiled a suite of EV charging programs for our customers in
At
US Dial-In: |
(888) 204-4368 |
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International Dial-In: |
(400) 120-9101 |
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Conference ID: |
5692678 |
The conference call also will be simultaneously broadcast and archived on Xcel Energy’s website at www.xcelenergy.com. To access the presentation, click on Investors under Company. If you are unable to participate in the live event, the call will be available for replay from
Replay Numbers |
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US Dial-In: |
(888) 203-1112 |
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International Dial-In: |
(719) 457-0820 |
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Access Code: |
5692678 |
Except for the historical statements contained in this report, the matters discussed herein are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements, including the 2021 and 2022 EPS guidance, long-term EPS and dividend growth rate objectives, future sales, future expenses, future tax rates, future operating performance, estimated base capital expenditures and financing plans, projected capital additions and forecasted annual revenue requirements with respect to rider filings, expected rate increases to customers, expectations and intentions regarding regulatory proceedings, and expected impact on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows of resettlement calculations and credit losses relating to certain energy transactions, as well as assumptions and other statements are intended to be identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “outlook,” “plan,” “project,” “possible,” “potential,” “should,” “will,” “would” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we expressly disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking information. The following factors, in addition to those discussed in Xcel Energy’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended
This information is not given in connection with any sale, offer for sale or offer to buy any security.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (UNAUDITED) (amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
||||||||||||
|
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||||||
Operating revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Electric |
|
$ |
3,176 |
|
|
$ |
2,941 |
|
|
$ |
8,643 |
|
|
$ |
7,430 |
|
Natural gas |
|
268 |
|
|
219 |
|
|
1,364 |
|
|
1,082 |
|
||||
Other |
|
23 |
|
|
22 |
|
|
69 |
|
|
67 |
|
||||
Total operating revenues |
|
3,467 |
|
|
3,182 |
|
|
10,076 |
|
|
8,579 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Operating expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Electric fuel and purchased power |
|
1,210 |
|
|
981 |
|
|
3,643 |
|
|
2,611 |
|
||||
Cost of natural gas sold and transported |
|
86 |
|
|
54 |
|
|
603 |
|
|
425 |
|
||||
Cost of sales — other |
|
11 |
|
|
11 |
|
|
28 |
|
|
28 |
|
||||
Operating and maintenance expenses |
|
568 |
|
|
579 |
|
|
1,752 |
|
|
1,708 |
|
||||
Conservation and demand side management expenses |
|
78 |
|
|
73 |
|
|
222 |
|
|
215 |
|
||||
Depreciation and amortization |
|
537 |
|
|
513 |
|
|
1,586 |
|
|
1,449 |
|
||||
Taxes (other than income taxes) |
|
152 |
|
|
158 |
|
|
472 |
|
|
453 |
|
||||
Total operating expenses |
|
2,642 |
|
|
2,369 |
|
|
8,306 |
|
|
6,889 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Operating income |
|
825 |
|
|
813 |
|
|
1,770 |
|
|
1,690 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Other (expense) income, net |
|
(3 |
) |
|
1 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
(6 |
) |
||||
Earnings from equity method investments |
|
13 |
|
|
12 |
|
|
47 |
|
|
29 |
|
||||
Allowance for funds used during construction — equity |
|
21 |
|
|
30 |
|
|
53 |
|
|
91 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Interest charges and financing costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Interest charges — includes other financing costs of |
|
211 |
|
|
221 |
|
|
628 |
|
|
628 |
|
||||
Allowance for funds used during construction — debt |
|
(7 |
) |
|
(11 |
) |
|
(18 |
) |
|
(33 |
) |
||||
Total interest charges and financing costs |
|
204 |
|
|
210 |
|
|
610 |
|
|
595 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Income before income taxes |
|
652 |
|
|
646 |
|
|
1,265 |
|
|
1,209 |
|
||||
Income tax expense (benefit) |
|
43 |
|
|
43 |
|
|
(17 |
) |
|
24 |
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
609 |
|
|
$ |
603 |
|
|
$ |
1,282 |
|
|
$ |
1,185 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Weighted average common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Basic |
|
539 |
|
|
526 |
|
|
539 |
|
|
526 |
|
||||
Diluted |
|
539 |
|
|
528 |
|
|
539 |
|
|
527 |
|
||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Earnings per average common share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Basic |
|
$ |
1.13 |
|
|
$ |
1.15 |
|
|
$ |
2.38 |
|
|
$ |
2.25 |
|
Diluted |
|
1.13 |
|
|
1.14 |
|
|
2.38 |
|
|
2.25 |
|
Notes to Investor Relations Earnings Release (Unaudited)
Due to the seasonality of Xcel Energy’s operating results, quarterly financial results are not an appropriate base from which to project annual results.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing return on equity (ROE), electric margin, natural gas margin, ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that adjusts measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of
Electric and Natural Gas Margins
Electric margin is presented as electric revenues less electric fuel and purchased power expenses. Natural gas margin is presented as natural gas revenues less the cost of natural gas sold and transported. Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power and the cost of natural gas are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are generally offset in operating revenues. Management believes electric and natural gas margins provide the most meaningful basis for evaluating our operations because they exclude the revenue impact of fluctuations in these expenses. These margins can be reconciled to operating income, a GAAP measure, by including other operating revenues, cost of sales - other, O&M expenses, conservation and demand side management (DSM) expenses, depreciation and amortization and taxes (other than income taxes).
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS for
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. For the three and nine months ended
Note 1. Earnings Per Share Summary
Xcel Energy’s third quarter diluted earnings were
Summarized diluted EPS for
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
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Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||||||
PSCo |
|
$ |
0.40 |
|
|
$ |
0.42 |
|
|
$ |
0.96 |
|
|
$ |
0.87 |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
0.46 |
|
|
0.46 |
|
|
0.91 |
|
|
0.89 |
|
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SPS |
|
0.25 |
|
|
0.24 |
|
|
0.48 |
|
|
0.46 |
|
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NSP-Wisconsin |
|
0.07 |
|
|
0.08 |
|
|
0.15 |
|
|
0.16 |
|
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Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO |
|
0.01 |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
0.03 |
|
|
0.04 |
|
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Regulated utility (a) |
|
1.19 |
|
|
1.21 |
|
|
2.54 |
|
|
2.42 |
|
||||
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
|
(0.07 |
) |
|
(0.16 |
) |
|
(0.17 |
) |
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Total (a) |
|
$ |
1.13 |
|
|
$ |
1.14 |
|
|
$ |
2.38 |
|
|
$ |
2.25 |
|
(a) Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
PSCo — Earnings decreased
NSP-Minnesota — Earnings were flat for the third quarter of 2021 and increased
SPS — Earnings increased
NSP-Wisconsin — Earnings decreased
Components significantly contributing to changes in 2021 EPS compared to 2020:
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
Three Months
|
|
Nine Months
|
||||
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2020 |
|
$ |
1.14 |
|
|
$ |
2.25 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Components of change - 2021 vs. 2020 |
|
|
|
|
||||
Higher electric margin |
|
0.01 |
|
|
0.25 |
|
||
Higher natural gas margins |
|
0.03 |
|
|
0.15 |
|
||
Lower Effective Tax Rate (ETR) (a) |
|
0.01 |
|
|
0.12 |
|
||
Higher other (expense) income, net |
|
(0.01 |
) |
|
0.02 |
|
||
Lower interest charges |
|
0.01 |
|
|
— |
|
||
Lower (Higher) O&M expenses |
|
0.02 |
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
||
Lower AFUDC |
|
(0.02 |
) |
|
(0.09 |
) |
||
Higher depreciation and amortization |
|
(0.03 |
) |
|
(0.19 |
) |
||
Other, net |
|
(0.03 |
) |
|
(0.07 |
) |
||
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2021 |
|
$ |
1.13 |
|
|
$ |
2.38 |
|
(a) Includes production tax credits (PTCs) and plant regulatory amounts, which are primarily offset in electric margin. |
Note 2. Regulated Utility Results
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements. As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. However, sales true-up and decoupling mechanisms in
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
2021 vs.
|
|
2020 vs.
|
|
2021 vs. 2020 |
|
2021 vs.
|
|
2020 vs.
|
|
2021 vs. 2020 |
||||||||||||
Retail electric |
$ |
0.067 |
|
|
$ |
0.079 |
|
|
$ |
(0.012 |
) |
|
$ |
0.122 |
|
|
$ |
0.096 |
|
|
$ |
0.026 |
|
Decoupling and sales true-up |
(0.035 |
) |
|
(0.035 |
) |
|
— |
|
|
(0.076 |
) |
|
(0.044 |
) |
|
(0.032 |
) |
||||||
Electric total |
$ |
0.032 |
|
|
$ |
0.044 |
|
|
$ |
(0.012 |
) |
|
$ |
0.046 |
|
|
$ |
0.052 |
|
|
$ |
(0.006 |
) |
Firm natural gas |
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
0.004 |
|
|
(0.005 |
) |
|
0.009 |
|
||||||
Total |
$ |
0.032 |
|
|
$ |
0.044 |
|
|
$ |
(0.012 |
) |
|
$ |
0.050 |
|
|
$ |
0.047 |
|
|
$ |
0.003 |
|
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales in 2021 compared to 2020:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Actual |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
0.4 |
% |
|
0.3 |
% |
|
(7.8 |
)% |
|
(2.0 |
)% |
|
(1.0 |
)% |
Electric C&I |
|
2.1 |
|
|
3.4 |
|
|
4.4 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
|
3.1 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
1.4 |
|
|
2.3 |
|
|
1.7 |
|
|
0.8 |
|
|
1.8 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
(2.0 |
) |
|
(0.8 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(7.8 |
) |
|
(2.0 |
) |
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
2.2 |
% |
|
(0.3 |
)% |
|
(1.4 |
)% |
|
0.1 |
% |
|
0.5 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
1.8 |
|
|
3.1 |
|
|
5.3 |
|
|
2.2 |
|
|
3.2 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
1.9 |
|
|
2.0 |
|
|
3.8 |
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
2.4 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
2.2 |
|
|
4.2 |
|
|
N/A |
|
|
(4.6 |
) |
|
2.4 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Actual |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
2.1 |
% |
|
3.5 |
% |
|
(2.1 |
)% |
|
1.7 |
% |
|
2.0 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
1.0 |
|
|
2.1 |
|
|
1.5 |
|
|
3.6 |
|
|
1.7 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
1.4 |
|
|
2.5 |
|
|
0.8 |
|
|
3.0 |
|
|
1.8 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
6.9 |
|
|
(1.8 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(0.9 |
) |
|
3.7 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
2.6 |
% |
|
0.9 |
% |
|
0.4 |
% |
|
0.4 |
% |
|
1.4 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
0.9 |
|
|
1.4 |
|
|
2.0 |
|
|
3.2 |
|
|
1.5 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
1.5 |
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
1.7 |
|
|
2.4 |
|
|
1.5 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
2.4 |
|
|
(1.1 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(1.0 |
) |
|
1.0 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
3.0 |
% |
|
1.2 |
% |
|
0.7 |
% |
|
0.8 |
% |
|
1.8 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
1.3 |
|
|
1.8 |
|
|
2.4 |
|
|
3.6 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
1.9 |
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
2.0 |
|
|
2.7 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
3.2 |
|
|
(0.3 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
1.8 |
|
Weather-normalized and
Weather-adjusted sales results for each of our utility subsidiaries in 2021 reflect improving economies as the adverse effects of COVID-19 lessen. The recovery reflects increased sales in the C&I sector as businesses return to a more normal level. Residential sales remain elevated from pre-pandemic levels due to continuance of individuals working from home.
-
PSCo — Residential sales rose based on a
1.2% increase in customers combined with higher use per customer. The growth in C&I sales was due to a1.1% increase in customers and slightly higher use per customer, primarily in the services sector. -
NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales growth reflects a
1.2% increase in customers. The growth in C&I sales was due to a0.9% increase in customers and slightly higher use per customer, primarily in the manufacturing sector. -
SPS — Residential sales rose based on a
0.8% increase in customers despite slightly lower use per customer. C&I sales increased due to higher use per customer, primarily driven by the energy sector. -
NSP-Wisconsin — Residential sales growth was attributable to a
0.8% increase in customer additions. The growth in C&I sales was due to a1.1% increase in customers, primarily led by increases in the services sector.
Weather-normalized and
-
Natural gas sales primarily reflect a
1.2% increase in residential customers and a0.6% increase in C&I customers, combined with slightly higher customer use.
Electric Margin — Electric revenues and fuel and purchased power expenses are impacted by fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium. However, these price fluctuations generally have minimal impact on electric margin due to fuel recovery mechanisms that recover fuel expenses. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated, which reduce electric revenue, margin and income taxes. See Note 5 for discussion of Winter Storm Uri.
Electric revenues and margin:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
||||||||||||
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||||||
Electric revenues |
|
$ |
3,176 |
|
|
$ |
2,941 |
|
|
$ |
8,643 |
|
|
$ |
7,430 |
|
Electric fuel and purchased power |
|
(1,210 |
) |
|
(981 |
) |
|
(3,643 |
) |
|
(2,611 |
) |
||||
Electric margin |
|
$ |
1,966 |
|
|
$ |
1,960 |
|
|
$ |
5,000 |
|
|
$ |
4,819 |
|
Changes in electric margin:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months
|
|
Nine Months
|
||||
Non-fuel riders |
|
$ |
59 |
|
|
$ |
196 |
|
Regulatory rate outcomes ( |
|
30 |
|
|
106 |
|
||
Proprietary commodity trading, net of sharing (a) |
|
11 |
|
|
49 |
|
||
Sales and demand (b) |
|
10 |
|
|
20 |
|
||
Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling/sales true-up) |
|
(8 |
) |
|
(3 |
) |
||
|
|
(70 |
) |
|
(70 |
) |
||
PTCs flowed back to customers (offset by lower ETR) |
|
(31 |
) |
|
(111 |
) |
||
Other (net) |
|
5 |
|
|
(6 |
) |
||
Total increase in electric margin |
|
$ |
6 |
|
|
$ |
181 |
|
(a) |
Includes |
|
(b) |
Sales excludes weather impact, net of decoupling/sales true-up, and demand is net of sales true-up. |
|
(c) |
Impact to electric margin is due to the |
Natural Gas Margin — Natural gas expense varies with changing sales and the cost of natural gas. However, fluctuations in the cost of natural gas generally have minimal impact on natural gas margin due to cost recovery mechanisms. See Note 5 for discussion of Winter Storm Uri.
Natural gas revenues and margin:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
||||||||||||
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||||||
Natural gas revenues |
|
$ |
268 |
|
|
$ |
219 |
|
|
$ |
1,364 |
|
|
$ |
1,082 |
|
Cost of natural gas sold and transported |
|
(86 |
) |
|
(54 |
) |
|
(603 |
) |
|
(425 |
) |
||||
Natural gas margin |
|
$ |
182 |
|
|
$ |
165 |
|
|
$ |
761 |
|
|
$ |
657 |
|
Changes in natural gas margin:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months
|
|
Nine Months
|
||||
Regulatory rate outcomes ( |
|
$ |
13 |
|
|
$ |
84 |
|
Infrastructure and integrity riders |
|
3 |
|
|
7 |
|
||
Estimated impact of weather |
|
(1 |
) |
|
7 |
|
||
Other (net) |
|
2 |
|
|
6 |
|
||
Total increase in natural gas margin |
|
$ |
17 |
|
|
$ |
104 |
|
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses decreased
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months
|
|
Nine Months
|
||||
Wind |
|
$ |
14 |
|
|
$ |
36 |
|
Information technology and security |
|
3 |
|
|
20 |
|
||
Distribution |
|
9 |
|
|
16 |
|
||
Bad debt expense - PSCo settlement (See Note 4) |
|
11 |
|
|
11 |
|
||
Natural gas systems |
|
(4 |
) |
|
5 |
|
||
|
|
(17 |
) |
|
(14 |
) |
||
Benefits |
|
(24 |
) |
|
(31 |
) |
||
Other |
|
(3 |
) |
|
1 |
|
||
Total (decrease) increase in O&M expenses |
|
$ |
(11 |
) |
|
$ |
44 |
|
The year-to-date increase was primarily due to expenses associated with new wind farms, software infrastructure and security costs, additional distribution expenses (vegetation management), bad debt expense related to the PSCo settlement and natural gas damage prevention. Increases were partially offset by recognition of previous deferrals for
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased
Other (Expense) Income — Other (expense) income decreased
AFUDC, Equity and Debt — AFUDC decreased
Interest Charges — Interest charges decreased
Earnings from Equity Method Investments — Earnings from equity method investments increased
Income Taxes — Effective income tax rate:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Nine Months Ended |
||||||||||||||
|
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 vs 2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 vs 2020 |
||||||
Federal statutory rate |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
— |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
— |
% |
State tax (net of federal tax effect) |
|
5.0 |
|
|
5.0 |
|
|
— |
|
|
5.0 |
|
|
5.1 |
|
|
(0.1 |
) |
(Decreases) increases: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
Wind PTCs (a) |
|
(12.1 |
) |
|
(8.0 |
) |
|
(4.1 |
) |
|
(20.0 |
) |
|
(13.2 |
) |
|
(6.8 |
) |
Plant regulatory differences (b) |
|
(5.8 |
) |
|
(7.2 |
) |
|
1.4 |
|
|
(6.0 |
) |
|
(7.4 |
) |
|
1.4 |
|
Net operating loss carryback |
|
— |
|
|
(1.9 |
) |
|
1.9 |
|
|
— |
|
|
(1.0 |
) |
|
1.0 |
|
Other (net) |
|
(1.5 |
) |
|
(2.2 |
) |
|
0.7 |
|
|
(1.3 |
) |
|
(2.5 |
) |
|
1.2 |
|
Effective income tax rate |
|
6.6 |
% |
|
6.7 |
% |
|
(0.1 |
)% |
|
(1.3 |
)% |
|
2.0 |
% |
|
(3.3 |
)% |
(a) |
Wind PTCs are credited to customers (recorded as a reduction to revenue) and do not have a material impact on net income. |
|
(b) |
Regulatory differences for income tax primarily relate to the credit of excess deferred taxes to customers through the average rate assumption method. Income tax benefits associated with the credit of excess deferred credits are offset by corresponding revenue reductions. |
Income tax benefit increased
Note 3. Capital Structure, Liquidity, Financing and Credit Ratings
Xcel Energy’s capital structure:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
|
|
Percentage of Total
|
|
|
|
Percentage of Total
|
||||||
Current portion of long-term debt |
|
$ |
621 |
|
|
2 |
% |
|
$ |
421 |
|
|
1 |
% |
Short-term debt |
|
1,747 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
584 |
|
|
2 |
|
||
Long-term debt |
|
20,979 |
|
|
54 |
|
|
19,645 |
|
|
56 |
|
||
Total debt |
|
23,347 |
|
|
61 |
|
|
20,650 |
|
|
59 |
|
||
Common equity |
|
15,171 |
|
|
39 |
|
|
14,575 |
|
|
41 |
|
||
Total capitalization |
|
$ |
38,518 |
|
|
100 |
% |
|
$ |
35,225 |
|
|
100 |
% |
Liquidity — As of
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Credit Facility (a) |
|
Drawn (b) |
|
Available |
|
Cash |
|
Liquidity |
||||||||||
|
|
$ |
1,250 |
|
|
$ |
427 |
|
|
$ |
823 |
|
|
$ |
— |
|
|
$ |
823 |
|
PSCo |
|
700 |
|
|
8 |
|
|
692 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
699 |
|
|||||
NSP-Minnesota |
|
500 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
491 |
|
|
258 |
|
|
749 |
|
|||||
SPS |
|
500 |
|
|
55 |
|
|
445 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
447 |
|
|||||
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
150 |
|
|
— |
|
|
150 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
153 |
|
|||||
Total |
|
$ |
3,100 |
|
|
$ |
499 |
|
|
$ |
2,601 |
|
|
$ |
270 |
|
|
$ |
2,871 |
|
Term Loan (c) |
|
1,200 |
|
|
1,200 |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
|
|
(a) |
Expires |
|
(b) |
Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit. |
|
(c) |
Matures |
Term Loan Agreements — In
Bilateral Credit Agreement — In
Credit Ratings — Access to the capital markets at reasonable terms is partially dependent on credit ratings. The following ratings reflect the views of Moody’s,
Credit ratings assigned to
Credit Type |
|
Company |
|
Moody’s |
|
|
|
Fitch |
Senior unsecured debt |
|
|
|
Baa1 |
|
BBB+ |
|
BBB+ |
Senior secured debt |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
Aa3 |
|
A |
|
A+ |
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Aa3 |
|
A |
|
A+ |
|
|
PSCo |
|
A1 |
|
A |
|
A+ |
|
|
SPS |
|
A3 |
|
A |
|
A- |
Commercial paper |
|
|
|
P-2 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
P-1 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
P-1 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
|
|
PSCo |
|
P-2 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
|
|
SPS |
|
P-2 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
Capital Expenditures — Base capital expenditures and incremental capital forecasts for
|
|
Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) |
||||||||||||||||||||||
By Regulated Utility |
|
2022 |
|
2023 |
|
2024 |
|
2025 |
|
2026 |
|
2022 - 2026
|
||||||||||||
PSCo |
|
$ |
1,930 |
|
|
$ |
1,850 |
|
|
$ |
2,070 |
|
|
$ |
2,220 |
|
|
$ |
1,860 |
|
|
$ |
9,930 |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
2,250 |
|
|
2,030 |
|
|
1,830 |
|
|
2,130 |
|
|
2,010 |
|
|
10,250 |
|
||||||
SPS |
|
630 |
|
|
660 |
|
|
690 |
|
|
780 |
|
|
790 |
|
|
3,550 |
|
||||||
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
480 |
|
|
420 |
|
|
540 |
|
|
460 |
|
|
390 |
|
|
2,290 |
|
||||||
Other (a) |
|
(10 |
) |
|
— |
|
|
10 |
|
|
(30 |
) |
|
10 |
|
|
(20 |
) |
||||||
Total base capital expenditures |
|
$ |
5,280 |
|
|
$ |
4,960 |
|
|
$ |
5,140 |
|
|
$ |
5,560 |
|
|
$ |
5,060 |
|
|
$ |
26,000 |
|
|
|
Base Capital Forecast (Millions of Dollars) |
||||||||||||||||||||||
By Function |
|
2022 |
|
2023 |
|
2024 |
|
2025 |
|
2026 |
|
2022 - 2026
|
||||||||||||
Electric distribution |
|
$ |
1,485 |
|
|
$ |
1,600 |
|
|
$ |
1,520 |
|
|
$ |
1,605 |
|
|
$ |
1,720 |
|
|
$ |
7,930 |
|
Electric transmission |
|
1,105 |
|
|
1,220 |
|
|
1,575 |
|
|
1,965 |
|
|
1,555 |
|
|
7,420 |
|
||||||
Electric generation |
|
645 |
|
|
580 |
|
|
670 |
|
|
650 |
|
|
650 |
|
|
3,195 |
|
||||||
Natural gas |
|
655 |
|
|
670 |
|
|
695 |
|
|
660 |
|
|
660 |
|
|
3,340 |
|
||||||
Other |
|
725 |
|
|
545 |
|
|
450 |
|
|
340 |
|
|
450 |
|
|
2,510 |
|
||||||
Renewables |
|
665 |
|
|
345 |
|
|
230 |
|
|
340 |
|
|
25 |
|
|
1,605 |
|
||||||
Total base capital expenditures |
|
$ |
5,280 |
|
|
$ |
4,960 |
|
|
$ |
5,140 |
|
|
$ |
5,560 |
|
|
$ |
5,060 |
|
|
$ |
26,000 |
|
(a) Other category includes intercompany transfers for safe harbor wind turbines. |
The five-year capital forecast includes the proposed Colorado Pathway transmission expansion (approximately
Additional capital investment in renewable generation and transmission may be needed in the five-year forecast pending approval of regulatory filings in
Xcel Energy’s capital expenditure forecast is subject to continuing review and modification. Actual capital expenditures may vary from estimates due to changes in electric and natural gas projected load growth, safety and reliability needs, regulatory decisions, legislative initiatives (e.g., federal clean energy and tax policy), reserve requirements, availability of purchased power, alternative plans for meeting long-term energy needs, environmental initiatives and regulation, and merger, acquisition and divestiture opportunities.
Financing for Capital Expenditures through 2026 —
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
|
||
Funding Capital Expenditures |
|
|
||
Cash from operations (a) |
|
$ |
17,640 |
|
New debt (b) |
|
7,110 |
|
|
Equity through the DRIP and benefit program |
|
450 |
|
|
Other equity |
|
800 |
|
|
Base capital expenditures 2022-2026 |
|
$ |
26,000 |
|
|
|
|
||
Maturing Debt |
|
$ |
3,900 |
|
(a) |
Net of dividends and pension funding. |
|
(b) |
Reflects a combination of short and long-term debt; net of refinancing. |
2021 Financing Activity — During 2021,
Issuer |
|
Security |
|
Amount |
|
Status |
|
Tenor |
|
Coupon |
|
|
|
Unsecured Bonds |
|
$ |
800 |
|
2021 Q4 |
|
5 Year/10 Year |
|
TBD |
PSCo |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
750 |
|
Completed |
|
10 Year |
|
1.88 |
|
SPS |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
250 |
|
Completed |
|
29 Year |
|
3.15 |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
425 |
|
Completed |
|
10 Year |
|
2.25 |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
425 |
|
Completed |
|
31 Year |
|
3.20 |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
100 |
|
Completed |
|
30 Year |
|
2.82 |
Financing plans are subject to change, depending on legislative initiatives (e.g., federal tax law changes), capital expenditures, regulatory outcomes, internal cash generation, market conditions and other factors.
Note 4. Rates and Regulation
NSP-Minnesota — 2022 Minnesota Electric Rate Case — On
The request is detailed as follows:
(Amounts in Millions, Except Percentages) |
|
2022 |
|
2023 |
|
2024 |
|
Total |
||||||||
Rate request |
|
$ |
396 |
|
|
$ |
150 |
|
|
$ |
131 |
|
|
$ |
677 |
|
Increase percentage |
|
12.2 |
% |
|
4.8 |
% |
|
4.2 |
% |
|
21.2 |
% |
||||
Rate base |
|
$ |
10,931 |
|
|
$ |
11,446 |
|
|
$ |
11,918 |
|
|
|
N/A |
|
In addition, NSP-Minnesota requested interim rates, subject to refund, of
NSP-Minnesota — 2022 Minnesota Natural Gas Rate Case — NSP-Minnesota plans to file a request with the MPUC for an annual natural gas rate case in
NSP-Minnesota — 2020 North Dakota Electric Rate Case — In
-
Base revenue increase of
.$7 million -
ROE of
9.5% . -
Equity ratio of
52.5% . - Deferral of advanced grid intelligence and security (AGIS) initiative capital and O&M expenses.
-
An earnings cap mechanism, which would return to customers
100% of earnings equal to or in excess of9.75% ROE, effective until the next rate case.
NSP-Minnesota — 2021 North Dakota Natural Gas Rate Case — In
NSP-Wisconsin —
Key elements of the settlement:
-
ROE of
9.80% for 2022 and10.00% for 2023. -
Equity ratio of
52.5% for both 2022 and 2023. -
Returning
in various net regulatory liabilities to offset customer impacts in 2023.$9 million - Deferring certain pension and other post-employment benefit expense in 2021 through 2023.
- Addressing COVID-19 deferral recovery in the next rate case proceeding.
- Deferring potential changes in tax expenses due to changes in federal or state tax law in 2021 through 2023.
- Incorporating an earnings sharing mechanism for 2022 and 2023.
A PSCW decision is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2021.
NSP-Wisconsin — Michigan Electric Rate Case — In
PSCo — Colorado Electric Rate Request — In
PSCo — Settlement — Subsequent Event — On
Key terms of the proposed settlement:
-
PSCo would fully recover Winter Storm Uri deferred net natural gas, fuel and purchased energy costs of
(electric utility) and$263 million (natural gas utility) over a 24-month and 30-month period, respectively, with no carrying charges through a rider mechanism. Recovery would commence$287 million Jan. 1, 2022 for electric costs andApril 1, 2022 for natural gas costs. -
PSCo will refund electric customers
(previously deferred) related to the 2020 electric decoupling pilot program.$41 million -
PSCo agreed to forego recovery of
due to an extended outage at Comanche Unit 3 being offline during 2020.$14 million -
PSCo agreed to not seek recovery of COVID-19 related bad debt expense, previously deferred as a regulatory asset, and recorded an additional
of incremental bad debt expense for the period ended$11 million Sept. 30, 2021 .
SPS —
The request was based on a ROE of
In
-
Base rate revenue increase of
.$62 million -
ROE of
9.35% for purposes of filings related to (1) the Hale and Sagamore wind projects; and (2) reconciliation of the settlement revenue requirement. -
Equity ratio of
54.72% . -
Increase in depreciation expense of
. This includes a change in the depreciable lives of the Tolk power plant to 2032 and coal handling assets at the Harrington facility to 2024.$6 million
A NMPRC decision and implementation of final rates is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2021.
SPS —
The request is based on a ROE of
The request includes the effect of losing approximately 400 MW from a wholesale transmission customer and changes to depreciation lives of SPS’ Tolk power plant (from 2037 to 2032) and coal handling assets at the Harrington facility (to 2024).
In
Once final rates are approved, a surcharge will be requested from
Note 5. Winter Storm Uri
In
Regulatory Overview —
Proceedings initiated:
Utility Subsidiary |
Jurisdiction |
Regulatory Status |
||
NSP-Minnesota |
|
NSP-Minnesota filed with the MPUC seeking recovery of
In |
||
|
|
Winter Storm Uri had no impact on |
||
|
|
In June, the NDPSC approved recovery of |
||
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
In March, the PSCW approved NSP-Wisconsin’s proposal to recover |
||
|
|
In May, the |
||
PSCo |
|
In May, PSCo filed a request with the CPUC to recover
In September, intervenors filed testimony. The CPUC Staff recommended disallowances of approximately
A decision is expected in the first quarter of 2022. In addition, the CPUC is considering prospective changes in fuel cost recovery. |
||
SPS |
|
As part of the
In the third quarter, SPS filed a supplemental application and testimony to recover an additional
In |
||
|
|
The NMPRC approved SPS' request to recover |
Note 6. Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Key assumptions as compared with 2020 levels unless noted:
- Constructive outcomes in all rate case and regulatory proceedings.
- Modest impacts from COVID-19.
- Normal weather patterns for the remainder of the year.
-
Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~1.5 to
2% . -
Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to increase ~1 to
2% . -
Capital rider revenue is projected to increase
to$100 million (net of PTCs). PTCs are credited to customers, through capital riders, fuel clause or base rates and results in a reduction to electric margin.$110 million -
O&M expenses are projected to increase ~
1% . -
Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately
to$170 million .$180 million -
Property taxes are projected to increase approximately
to$25 million .$35 million -
Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase
to$20 million .$30 million -
AFUDC - equity is projected to decline approximately
to$40 million .$50 million -
ETR is projected to be (
4% ) to (5% ). The ETR reflects benefits of PTCs which are credited to customers through electric margin and will not have a material impact on net income.
Key assumptions as compared with 2021 levels unless noted:
- Constructive outcomes in all rate case and regulatory proceedings.
- Normal weather patterns for the year.
-
Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~
1% . - Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to be relatively flat.
-
Capital rider revenue is projected to increase
to$30 million (net of PTCs). PTCs are credited to customers, through capital riders and reductions to electric margin.$40 million -
O&M expenses are projected to increase approximately
1% . -
Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately
to$260 million .$270 million -
Property taxes are projected to increase approximately
to$35 million .$45 million -
Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase
to$45 million .$55 million - AFUDC - equity is projected to be relatively flat.
-
ETR is projected to be ~(
5% ) to (6% ). The ETR reflects benefits of PTCs which are credited to customers through electric margin and will not have a material impact on net income.
(a) |
Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. |
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives —
-
Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of
5% to7% based off of a 2021 base of per share, which represents the mid-point of the revised 2021 guidance range of$2.96 to$2.94 per share.$2.98 -
Deliver annual dividend increases of
5% to7% . -
Target a dividend payout ratio of
60% to70% . - Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.
EARNINGS RELEASE SUMMARY (UNAUDITED) (amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
||||||
|
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||
Operating revenues: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric and natural gas |
|
$ |
3,444 |
|
|
$ |
3,160 |
|
Other |
|
23 |
|
|
22 |
|
||
Total operating revenues |
|
3,467 |
|
|
3,182 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
609 |
|
|
$ |
603 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding |
|
539 |
|
|
528 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of EPS — Diluted |
|
|
|
|
||||
Regulated utility |
|
$ |
1.19 |
|
|
$ |
1.21 |
|
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
|
(0.07 |
) |
||
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS (a)(b) |
|
$ |
1.13 |
|
|
$ |
1.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
28.12 |
|
|
$ |
26.10 |
|
Cash dividends declared per common share |
|
0.4575 |
|
|
0.43 |
|
|
|
Nine Months Ended |
||||||
|
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||
Operating revenues: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric and natural gas |
|
$ |
10,007 |
|
|
$ |
8,512 |
|
Other |
|
69 |
|
|
67 |
|
||
Total operating revenues |
|
10,076 |
|
|
8,579 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
1,282 |
|
|
$ |
1,185 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding |
|
539 |
|
|
527 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of EPS — Diluted |
|
|
|
|
||||
Regulated utility |
|
$ |
2.54 |
|
|
$ |
2.42 |
|
|
|
(0.16 |
) |
|
(0.17 |
) |
||
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS (a) |
|
2.38 |
|
|
2.25 |
|
||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
28.14 |
|
|
$ |
26.15 |
|
Cash dividends declared per common share |
|
1.373 |
|
|
1.29 |
|
(a) |
For the three and nine months ended |
|
(b) |
Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20211028005147/en/
For news media inquiries only, please call Xcel Energy Media Relations, (612) 215-5300
Source:
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