Xcel Energy 2021 Year End Earnings Report
Xcel Energy Inc. reported 2021 earnings of $1.60 billion, translating to $2.96 per share, an increase from $2.79 in 2020. The growth stemmed from higher electric and natural gas revenues, although this was partially offset by increased costs related to fuel and power purchases. The company reaffirmed its 2022 EPS guidance of $3.10 to $3.20 per share, marking the 17th consecutive year of achieving earnings guidance. Additionally, Xcel reached significant regulatory settlements in Colorado and Texas supporting its clean energy initiatives and rate adjustments.
- 2021 EPS increased to $2.96 from $2.79 in 2020.
- Reaffirmed 2022 EPS guidance of $3.10 to $3.20 per share.
- Achieved earnings guidance for 17 consecutive years.
- Constructive regulatory settlements in Colorado and Texas.
- Increased costs of electric fuel and purchased power.
- Higher costs of natural gas sold and transported.
- Additional depreciation impacted profit margins.
-
2021 earnings per share were
compared with$2.96 per share in 2020.$2.79
-
Xcel Energy reaffirms 2022 EPS earnings guidance of to$3.10 per share.$3.20
Earnings reflect higher electric and natural gas revenues, which were partially offset by increases in electric fuel and purchased power, costs of natural gas sold and transported, additional depreciation and lower allowance for funds used during construction (AFUDC).
“We had a solid year delivering earnings of
“We also reached constructive regulatory settlements in
“Finally, I must extend my appreciation to the entire
At
US Dial-In: |
(800) 289-0720 |
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International Dial-In: |
(400) 120-9264 |
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Conference ID: |
4764710 |
The conference call also will be simultaneously broadcast and archived on Xcel Energy’s website at www.xcelenergy.com. To access the presentation, click on Investors under Company. If you are unable to participate in the live event, the call will be available for replay from
Replay Numbers |
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US Dial-In: |
(888) 203-1112 |
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International Dial-In: |
(719) 457-0820 |
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Access Code: |
4764710 |
Except for the historical statements contained in this report, the matters discussed herein are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements, including the 2022 EPS guidance, long-term EPS and dividend growth rate objectives, future sales, future expenses, future tax rates, future operating performance, estimated base capital expenditures and financing plans, projected capital additions and forecasted annual revenue requirements with respect to rider filings, expected rate increases to customers, expectations and intentions regarding regulatory proceedings, and expected impact on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows of resettlement calculations and credit losses relating to certain energy transactions, as well as assumptions and other statements are intended to be identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “outlook,” “plan,” “project,” “possible,” “potential,” “should,” “will,” “would” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we expressly disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking information. The following factors, in addition to those discussed in Xcel Energy’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended
This information is not given in connection with any sale, offer for sale or offer to buy any security.
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CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (UNAUDITED) |
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(amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
|
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||||||
Operating revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Electric |
|
$ |
2,562 |
|
|
$ |
2,372 |
|
|
$ |
11,205 |
|
|
$ |
9,802 |
|
Natural gas |
|
|
768 |
|
|
|
554 |
|
|
|
2,132 |
|
|
|
1,636 |
|
Other |
|
|
25 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
94 |
|
|
|
88 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
3,355 |
|
|
|
2,947 |
|
|
|
13,431 |
|
|
|
11,526 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Operating expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Electric fuel and purchased power |
|
|
1,090 |
|
|
|
901 |
|
|
|
4,733 |
|
|
|
3,512 |
|
Cost of natural gas sold and transported |
|
|
478 |
|
|
|
264 |
|
|
|
1,081 |
|
|
|
689 |
|
Cost of sales — other |
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
38 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
Operating and maintenance expenses |
|
|
569 |
|
|
|
616 |
|
|
|
2,321 |
|
|
|
2,324 |
|
Conservation and demand side management expenses |
|
|
82 |
|
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
304 |
|
|
|
288 |
|
Depreciation and amortization |
|
|
535 |
|
|
|
499 |
|
|
|
2,121 |
|
|
|
1,948 |
|
Taxes (other than income taxes) |
|
|
158 |
|
|
|
159 |
|
|
|
630 |
|
|
|
612 |
|
Total operating expenses |
|
|
2,922 |
|
|
|
2,521 |
|
|
|
11,228 |
|
|
|
9,410 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Operating income |
|
|
433 |
|
|
|
426 |
|
|
|
2,203 |
|
|
|
2,116 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Other income (expense), net |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
(6 |
) |
Earnings from equity method investments |
|
|
15 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
62 |
|
|
|
40 |
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — equity |
|
|
20 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
115 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Interest charges and financing costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Interest charges — includes other financing costs of |
|
|
214 |
|
|
|
212 |
|
|
|
842 |
|
|
|
840 |
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — debt |
|
|
(8 |
) |
|
|
(9 |
) |
|
|
(26 |
) |
|
|
(42 |
) |
Total interest charges and financing costs |
|
|
206 |
|
|
|
203 |
|
|
|
816 |
|
|
|
798 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Income before income taxes |
|
|
262 |
|
|
|
258 |
|
|
|
1,527 |
|
|
|
1,467 |
|
Income tax benefit |
|
|
(53 |
) |
|
|
(30 |
) |
|
|
(70 |
) |
|
|
(6 |
) |
Net income |
|
$ |
315 |
|
|
$ |
288 |
|
|
$ |
1,597 |
|
|
$ |
1,473 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Basic |
|
|
541 |
|
|
|
530 |
|
|
|
539 |
|
|
|
527 |
|
Diluted |
|
|
542 |
|
|
|
532 |
|
|
|
540 |
|
|
|
528 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
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Earnings per average common share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Basic |
|
$ |
0.58 |
|
|
$ |
0.54 |
|
|
$ |
2.96 |
|
|
$ |
2.79 |
|
Diluted |
|
|
0.58 |
|
|
|
0.54 |
|
|
|
2.96 |
|
|
|
2.79 |
|
Notes to Investor Relations Earnings Release (Unaudited)
Due to the seasonality of Xcel Energy’s operating results, quarterly financial results are not an appropriate base from which to project annual results.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing return on equity (ROE), ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that adjusts measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS for
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. For the three and twelve months ended
Note 1. Earnings Per Share Summary
Xcel Energy’s 2021 earnings were
Summarized diluted EPS for
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Three Months Ended |
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Twelve Months Ended |
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Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||||||
PSCo |
|
$ |
0.27 |
|
|
$ |
0.25 |
|
|
$ |
1.22 |
|
|
$ |
1.11 |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
|
0.22 |
|
|
|
0.23 |
|
|
|
1.12 |
|
|
|
1.12 |
|
SPS |
|
|
0.11 |
|
|
|
0.10 |
|
|
|
0.59 |
|
|
|
0.56 |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
0.05 |
|
|
|
0.04 |
|
|
|
0.20 |
|
|
|
0.20 |
|
Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
0.05 |
|
|
|
0.05 |
|
Regulated utility (a) |
|
|
0.65 |
|
|
|
0.63 |
|
|
|
3.18 |
|
|
|
3.04 |
|
|
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
|
|
(0.09 |
) |
|
|
(0.22 |
) |
|
|
(0.25 |
) |
Total (a) |
|
$ |
0.58 |
|
|
$ |
0.54 |
|
|
$ |
2.96 |
|
|
$ |
2.79 |
|
(a) Amounts may not add due to rounding.
PSCo — Earnings increased
NSP-Minnesota — Earnings were flat for 2021 compared to 2020, reflecting capital investment recovery offset by additional depreciation and interest charges.
SPS — Earnings increased
NSP-Wisconsin — Earnings were flat for 2021 compared to 2020.
Components significantly contributing to changes in 2021 EPS compared with 2020:
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
Three Months
|
|
Twelve Months
|
||||
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2020 |
|
$ |
0.54 |
|
|
$ |
2.79 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of change — 2021 vs. 2020 |
|
|
|
|
||||
Higher electric revenues, net of electric fuel and purchased power |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.26 |
|
Lower ETR (a) |
|
|
0.05 |
|
|
|
0.17 |
|
Higher natural gas revenues, net of cost of natural gas sold and transported |
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.15 |
|
Lower O&M expenses |
|
|
0.07 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Changes in taxes (other than income taxes) |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
(0.03 |
) |
Lower AFUDC |
|
|
(0.01 |
) |
|
|
(0.10 |
) |
Higher depreciation and amortization |
|
|
(0.05 |
) |
|
|
(0.24 |
) |
Other (net) |
|
|
(0.03 |
) |
|
|
(0.04 |
) |
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2021 |
|
$ |
0.58 |
|
|
$ |
2.96 |
(a) |
Includes production tax credits (PTCs) and plant regulatory amounts, which are primarily offset as a reduction to electric revenues. |
ROE for
2021 |
|
NSP-
|
|
PSCo |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-
|
|
Operating
|
|
|
GAAP and ongoing ROE |
|
8.45 % |
|
8.23 % |
|
9.22 % |
|
9.92 % |
|
8.58 % |
|
10.58 % |
2020 |
|
NSP-
|
|
PSCo |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-
|
|
Operating
|
|
|
GAAP and ongoing ROE |
|
9.20 % |
|
8.06 % |
|
9.54 % |
|
10.52 % |
|
8.87 % |
|
10.59 % |
Note 2. Regulated Utility Results
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements. As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. However, sales true-up and decoupling mechanisms in
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
2021 vs.
|
|
2020 vs.
|
|
2021 vs. 2020 |
|
2021 vs.
|
|
2020 vs.
|
|
2021 vs. 2020 |
||||||||||||
Retail electric |
$ |
(0.026 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.005 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.021 |
) |
|
$ |
0.096 |
|
|
$ |
0.090 |
|
|
$ |
0.006 |
|
Decoupling and sales true-up |
|
0.011 |
|
|
|
0.003 |
|
|
|
0.008 |
|
|
|
(0.066 |
) |
|
|
(0.041 |
) |
|
|
(0.025 |
) |
Electric total |
$ |
(0.015 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.002 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.013 |
) |
|
$ |
0.030 |
|
|
$ |
0.049 |
|
|
$ |
(0.019 |
) |
Firm natural gas |
|
(0.030 |
) |
|
|
(0.006 |
) |
|
|
(0.024 |
) |
|
|
(0.025 |
) |
|
|
(0.011 |
) |
|
|
(0.014 |
) |
Total |
$ |
(0.045 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.008 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.037 |
) |
|
$ |
0.005 |
|
|
$ |
0.038 |
|
|
$ |
(0.033 |
) |
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales in 2021 compared to 2020:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Actual |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
(6.6 |
)% |
|
(2.2 |
)% |
|
(13.7 |
)% |
|
(3.1 |
)% |
|
(5.6 |
)% |
Electric C&I |
|
(1.4 |
) |
|
2.9 |
|
|
7.1 |
|
|
3.7 |
|
|
2.7 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
(3.2 |
) |
|
1.2 |
|
|
3.2 |
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
0.3 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
(16.2 |
) |
|
(8.2 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(12.7 |
) |
|
(13.5 |
) |
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Weather-normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
(2.1 |
)% |
|
(1.4 |
)% |
|
(5.3 |
)% |
|
(2.0 |
)% |
|
(2.3 |
)% |
Electric C&I |
|
(1.0 |
) |
|
2.5 |
|
|
7.3 |
|
|
3.6 |
|
|
2.8 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
(1.4 |
) |
|
1.2 |
|
|
4.8 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
|
1.3 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
(0.6 |
) |
|
(4.4 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(9.9 |
) |
|
(2.3 |
) |
|
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Actual |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
— |
% |
|
2.2 |
% |
|
(4.7 |
)% |
|
0.5 |
% |
|
0.3 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
0.4 |
|
|
2.3 |
|
|
2.9 |
|
|
3.6 |
|
|
2.0 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
0.3 |
|
|
2.2 |
|
|
1.4 |
|
|
2.7 |
|
|
1.4 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
(1.1 |
) |
|
(4.0 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(5.0 |
) |
|
(2.2 |
) |
|
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Weather-normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
1.5 |
% |
|
0.3 |
% |
|
(1.0 |
)% |
|
(0.2 |
)% |
|
0.5 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
0.4 |
|
|
1.7 |
|
|
3.3 |
|
|
3.3 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
0.8 |
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
2.5 |
|
|
2.2 |
|
|
1.4 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
1.3 |
|
|
(2.2 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(4.1 |
) |
|
(0.1 |
) |
|
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
|||||
Weather-normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
1.7 |
% |
|
0.6 |
% |
|
(0.7 |
)% |
|
0.1 |
% |
|
0.8 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
0.7 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
|
3.6 |
|
|
3.6 |
|
|
2.1 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
1.1 |
|
|
1.5 |
|
|
2.7 |
|
|
2.5 |
|
|
1.7 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
1.8 |
|
|
(1.7 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(3.6 |
) |
|
0.4 |
|
Weather-normalized and
Weather-adjusted sales results for each of our utility subsidiaries in 2021 reflect improving economies as the adverse effects of COVID-19 lessen. The recovery reflects increased sales in the C&I sector as businesses return to a more normal level. Residential sales remain elevated from pre-pandemic levels due to continuance of individuals working from home.
-
PSCo — Residential sales rose based on a
1.2% increase in customers, combined with higher use per customer. The growth in C&I sales was due to a1.2% increase in customers, partially offset by slightly lower use per customer, primarily in the services sector.
-
NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales growth reflects a
1.2% increase in customers, partially offset by a lower use per customer. The growth in C&I sales was due to a0.9% increase in customers and higher use per customer, primarily in the manufacturing, retail and services sectors.
-
SPS — Residential sales declined as lower use per customer offset a
0.9% increase in customers. C&I sales increased due to a0.5% increase in customers and higher use per customer, primarily driven by the oil and gas and professional services sectors.
-
NSP-Wisconsin — Residential sales growth was attributable to a
0.8% increase in customer additions, partially offset by slightly lower use per customer. The growth in C&I sales was due to a1.1% increase in customers, primarily led by increases in the manufacturing, health care and retail trade sectors.
Weather-normalized and
-
Natural gas sales primarily reflect a
1.2% increase in residential customers and a0.5% increase in C&I customers, partially offset by a decrease in use per customer.
Electric Margin — Electric margin is presented as electric revenues less electric fuel and purchased power expenses. Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are generally offset in operating revenues.
Electric revenues and fuel and purchased power expenses are impacted by fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium. However, these price fluctuations generally have minimal impact on earnings impact due to fuel recovery mechanisms. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated, which reduce electric revenue and income taxes. See Note 5 for discussion of Winter Storm Uri.
Electric revenues, fuel and purchased power and margin:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||||||
Electric revenues |
|
$ |
2,562 |
|
|
$ |
2,372 |
|
|
$ |
11,205 |
|
|
$ |
9,802 |
|
Electric fuel and purchased power |
|
|
(1,090 |
) |
|
|
(901 |
) |
|
|
(4,733 |
) |
|
|
(3,512 |
) |
Electric margin |
|
$ |
1,472 |
|
|
$ |
1,471 |
|
|
$ |
6,472 |
|
|
$ |
6,290 |
|
Change in electric margin:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months
|
|
Twelve Months
|
||||
Non-fuel riders |
|
$ |
22 |
|
|
$ |
221 |
|
Regulatory rate outcomes ( |
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
114 |
|
Proprietary commodity trading, net of sharing (a) |
|
|
(8 |
) |
|
|
40 |
|
Sales and demand (b) |
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
29 |
|
PTCs flowed back to customers (offset by lower ETR) |
|
|
(37 |
) |
|
|
(149 |
) |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
(70 |
) |
Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling/sales true-up) |
|
|
(9 |
) |
|
|
(12 |
) |
Other (net) |
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
Increase in electric margin |
|
$ |
1 |
|
|
$ |
182 |
|
(a) |
Includes |
|
(b) |
Sales excludes weather impact, net of decoupling/sales true-up, and demand is net of sales true-up. |
|
(c) |
Impact is due to the |
Natural Gas Margin — Natural gas margin is presented as natural gas revenues less the cost of natural gas sold and transported. Expenses incurred for the cost of natural gas sold are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are generally offset in operating revenues.
Natural gas expense varies with changing sales and the cost of natural gas. However, fluctuations in the cost of natural gas generally have minimal earnings impact due to cost recovery mechanisms. See Note 5 for discussion of Winter Storm Uri.
Natural gas revenues, cost of natural gas sold and transported and margin:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||||||
Natural gas revenues |
|
$ |
768 |
|
|
$ |
554 |
|
|
$ |
2,132 |
|
|
$ |
1,636 |
|
Cost of natural gas sold and transported |
|
|
(478 |
) |
|
|
(264 |
) |
|
|
(1,081 |
) |
|
|
(689 |
) |
Natural gas margin |
|
$ |
290 |
|
|
$ |
290 |
|
|
$ |
1,051 |
|
|
$ |
947 |
|
Change in natural gas margin:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months
|
|
Twelve Months
|
||||
Regulatory rate outcomes ( |
|
$ |
7 |
|
|
$ |
90 |
|
Infrastructure and integrity riders |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
12 |
|
Conservation incentive |
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
3 |
|
Estimated impact of weather |
|
|
(17 |
) |
|
|
(10 |
) |
Other (net) |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
Change |
|
$ |
— |
|
|
$ |
104 |
|
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses decreased
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased
Other Income (Expense) — Other income (expense) increased
AFUDC, Equity and Debt — AFUDC decreased
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased
Earnings from Equity Method Investments — Earnings from equity method investments increased
Income Taxes — Effective income tax rate:
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||||
|
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 vs 2020 |
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
|
2021 vs 2020 |
||||||
Federal statutory rate |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
— |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
— |
% |
State tax (net of federal tax effect) |
|
4.9 |
|
|
4.8 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
5.0 |
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
Increases (decreases): |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
Wind PTCs (a) |
|
(39.9 |
) |
|
(27.7 |
) |
|
(12.2 |
) |
|
(23.4 |
) |
|
(15.7 |
) |
|
(7.7 |
) |
Plant regulatory differences (b) |
|
(7.2 |
) |
|
(8.9 |
) |
|
1.7 |
|
|
(6.2 |
) |
|
(7.6 |
) |
|
1.4 |
|
Net operating loss (NOL) carryback |
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
— |
|
|
(0.9 |
) |
|
0.9 |
|
Other tax credits, NOL allowances (net) and tax credit allowances |
|
(1.4 |
) |
|
(1.6 |
) |
|
0.2 |
|
|
(1.1 |
) |
|
(1.2 |
) |
|
0.1 |
|
Other (net) |
|
2.4 |
|
|
0.8 |
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
(0.9 |
) |
|
1.0 |
|
Effective income tax rate |
|
(20.2 |
)% |
|
(11.6 |
)% |
|
(8.6 |
)% |
|
(4.6 |
)% |
|
(0.4 |
)% |
|
(4.2 |
)% |
(a) |
Wind PTCs are credited to customers (recorded as a reduction to revenue) and do not have a material impact on net income. |
|
(b) |
Regulatory differences for income tax primarily relate to the credit of excess deferred taxes to customers through the average rate assumption method. Income tax benefits associated with the credit of excess deferred credits are offset by corresponding revenue reductions. |
Income tax benefit increased
Note 3. Capital Structure, Liquidity, Financing and Credit Ratings
Xcel Energy’s capital structure:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
|
|
Percentage of Total
|
|
|
|
Percentage of Total
|
||||
Current portion of long-term debt |
|
$ |
601 |
|
1 |
% |
|
$ |
421 |
|
1 |
% |
Short-term debt |
|
|
1,005 |
|
3 |
|
|
|
584 |
|
2 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
|
21,779 |
|
56 |
|
|
|
19,645 |
|
56 |
|
Total debt |
|
|
23,385 |
|
60 |
|
|
|
20,650 |
|
59 |
|
Common equity |
|
|
15,612 |
|
40 |
|
|
|
14,575 |
|
41 |
|
Total capitalization |
|
$ |
38,997 |
|
100 |
% |
|
$ |
35,225 |
|
100 |
% |
Liquidity — As of
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Credit Facility (a) |
|
Drawn (b) |
|
Available |
|
Cash |
|
Liquidity |
|||||
|
|
$ |
1,250 |
|
$ |
548 |
|
$ |
702 |
|
$ |
1 |
|
$ |
703 |
PSCo |
|
|
700 |
|
|
336 |
|
|
364 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
371 |
NSP-Minnesota |
|
|
500 |
|
|
21 |
|
|
479 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
486 |
SPS |
|
|
500 |
|
|
309 |
|
|
191 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
196 |
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
150 |
|
|
117 |
|
|
33 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
34 |
Total |
|
$ |
3,100 |
|
$ |
1,331 |
|
$ |
1,769 |
|
$ |
21 |
|
$ |
1,790 |
(a) |
Credit facilities expire in |
|
(b) |
Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit. |
Term Loan Agreements — In the fourth quarter of 2021,
Bilateral Credit Agreement — In
ATM Equity Offering — In
Credit Ratings — Access to the capital markets at reasonable terms is partially dependent on credit ratings. The following ratings reflect the views of Moody’s,
Credit ratings assigned to
Credit Type |
|
Company |
|
Moody’s |
|
|
|
Fitch |
Senior Unsecured Debt |
|
|
|
Baa1 |
|
BBB+ |
|
BBB+ |
Senior Secured Debt |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
Aa3 |
|
A |
|
A+ |
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Aa3 |
|
A |
|
A+ |
|
|
PSCo |
|
A1 |
|
A |
|
A+ |
|
|
SPS |
|
A3 |
|
A |
|
A- |
Commercial Paper |
|
|
|
P-2 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
P-1 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
P-1 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
|
|
PSCo |
|
P-2 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
|
|
SPS |
|
P-2 |
|
A-2 |
|
F2 |
2021 Financing Activity — During 2021,
Issuer |
|
Security |
|
Amount
|
|
Status |
|
Tenor |
|
Coupon |
||
|
|
Unsecured Bonds |
|
$ |
500 |
|
Completed |
|
5 Year |
|
1.75 |
% |
|
|
Unsecured Bonds |
|
|
300 |
|
Completed |
|
10 Year |
|
2.35 |
|
PSCo |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
|
750 |
|
Completed |
|
10 Year |
|
1.875 |
|
SPS |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
|
250 |
|
Completed |
|
29 Year |
|
3.15 |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
|
425 |
|
Completed |
|
10 Year |
|
2.25 |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
|
425 |
|
Completed |
|
31 Year |
|
3.20 |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
|
100 |
|
Completed |
|
30 Year |
|
2.82 |
|
2022 Planned Financing Activities — During 2022,
-
Xcel Energy Inc. — approximately in unsecured bonds during Q2.$600 million
-
PSCo — approximately
of first mortgage bonds during Q2.$650 million
-
SPS — approximately
of first mortgage bonds during Q2.$150 million
-
NSP-Minnesota — approximately
of first mortgage bonds during Q2.$500 million
-
NSP-Wisconsin — approximately
of first mortgage bonds during Q3.$100 million
Financing plans are subject to change, depending on capital expenditures, regulatory outcomes, internal cash generation, market conditions, changes in tax policies and other factors.
Note 4. Rates and Regulation
NSP-Minnesota — 2022 Minnesota Electric Rate Case — In
(Amounts in Millions, Except Percentages) |
|
2022 |
|
2023 |
|
2024 |
|
Total |
||||||||
Rate request |
|
$ |
396 |
|
|
$ |
150 |
|
|
$ |
131 |
|
|
$ |
677 |
|
Increase percentage |
|
|
12.2 |
% |
|
|
4.8 |
% |
|
|
4.2 |
% |
|
|
21.2 |
% |
Rate base |
|
$ |
10,931 |
|
|
$ |
11,446 |
|
|
$ |
11,918 |
|
|
|
N/A |
|
In addition, NSP-Minnesota requested interim rates, subject to refund, of
-
Intervenor testimony:
Oct. 3, 2022
-
Rebuttal testimony:
Nov. 8, 2022
-
Public hearing:
Dec. 13-16, 2022
-
Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) Report:
March 31, 2023
-
MPUC Order:
June 30, 2023
NSP-Minnesota — 2022 Minnesota Natural Gas Rate Case — In
-
Intervenor testimony:
Aug. 30, 2022
-
Rebuttal testimony:
Oct. 4, 2022
-
Public hearing:
Nov. 1-4, 2022
-
ALJ Report:
Feb. 6, 2023
-
MPUC Order:
April 26, 2023
NSP-Minnesota — 2021 North Dakota Natural Gas Rate Case — In
-
Intervenor testimony:
March 1, 2022
-
Rebuttal testimony:
April 1, 2022
-
Hearings:
June 1-3, 2022
NSP-Wisconsin —
-
An increase in electric rates of
($35 million 4.9% ) for 2022 and an incremental increase ($18 million 2.5% ) for 2023.
-
An increase in natural gas rates of
($10 million 8.4% ) for 2022 and an incremental ($3 million 2.3% ) for 2023.
-
ROE of
9.80% for 2022 and10.00% for 2023.
-
Equity ratio of
52.5% for both 2022 and 2023.
-
Returning
in various net regulatory liabilities to offset customer impacts in 2023.$9 million
- Deferring certain pension and other post-employment benefit expense in 2021 through 2023.
- Incorporating an earnings sharing mechanism for 2022 and 2023.
NSP-Wisconsin — Michigan Electric Rate Case — In
PSCo — Colorado Electric Rate Request — In
In
-
A net electric rate increase of
. The total change in base rates is$177 million , which includes$299 million of revenue previously collected through various rider mechanisms.$122 million
-
A ROE of
9.3% and an equity ratio of55.69% .
-
A current 2021 test year (average rate base) with the transfer of
Cheyenne Ridge , Wildfire Mitigation Plan and Advanced Grid Intelligence and Security (AGIS) investments at year-end rate base.
- Approval of all of PSCo’s proposed depreciation adjustments.
- Continuation of the property tax, qualified pension, and non-qualified pension trackers.
-
Continuation of
AGIS deferral including interest equivalent to PSCo's weighted average cost of capital once the balance exceeds .$50 million
- Continuation of the Wildfire Mitigation Plan deferral, with a debt return.
PSCo — Resource Plan Settlement — In
-
Early retirement ofHayden : Unit 2 in 2027 (was 2036); and Unit 1 in 2028 (was 2030).
-
Conversion of
Pawnee to burn natural gas by 2026.
-
Early retirement ofComanche 3 in 2034 with reduced operations beginning in 2025.
- Addition of ~2,300 MW of wind.
- Addition of ~1,600 MW of universal-scale solar.
- Addition of 400 MW of storage.
- Addition of 1,300 MW of flexible, dispatchable generation.
- Addition of ~1,200 MW of distributed solar resources through our renewable energy programs.
PSCo — Pathway Transmission Expansion Settlement — In
- The parties agreed that PSCo met the burden of proof demonstrating that the project was needed to facilitate the renewables in the Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) and is in the public interest.
-
Agreed to a cost estimate of
and recovery through the transmission rider.$1.7 billion
-
The Pathway project will also include a Performance Incentive Mechanism such that applicable costs in a given year above or below a
5% dead band would allow for a ROE penalty or adder.
-
Parties agreed to conditional CPCN approval for 345 kV extension project subject to the project being included in the final approved IRP plan with a cost estimate of
.$247 million
PSCo — Natural Gas Rate Case — On
Additionally, PSCo’s request includes step revenue increases of
The request supports fundamental infrastructure investments to serve customers, consistent with PSCo’s obligation to provide safe, reliable service while enabling PSCo to continue to be a leader of the clean energy transition in partnership with the CPUC to achieve clean heat goals.
Revenue Request (millions of dollars) |
|
2022 |
||
Changes since 2020 rate case: |
|
|
||
Plant related investments (a) |
|
$ |
210 |
|
Operations and maintenance, amortization and other expenses |
|
|
11 |
|
Property tax expense |
|
|
11 |
|
Sales growth |
|
|
(17 |
) |
Net increase to revenue |
|
|
215 |
|
Previously authorized costs: |
|
|
||
Transfer of costs previously recovered through the PSIA rider |
|
|
(108 |
) |
Total base revenue request |
|
$ |
107 |
|
|
|
|
||
Projected 2022 year-end rate base (billions of dollars) |
|
$ |
3.6 |
|
(a) Includes approximately
SPS —
In
SPS —
The request is based on a ROE of
On
-
A base rate increase of approximately
effective back to$89 million March 15, 2021 .
-
A
9.35% ROE and7.01% weighted average cost of capital for AFUDC purposes only.
- The depreciation lives for Tolk moved up to 2034 and Harrington coal assets moved up to 2024.
A PUCT decision is expected in the first quarter of 2022.
Note 5. Winter Storm Uri
In
Regulatory Overview —
Proceedings initiated:
Utility Subsidiary |
Jurisdiction |
Regulatory Status |
NSP-Minnesota |
|
NSP-Minnesota filed with the MPUC seeking recovery of
In
In
|
|
|
Winter Storm Uri had no impact on |
|
|
In June, the NDPSC approved recovery of |
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
In March, the PSCW approved NSP-Wisconsin’s proposal to recover |
|
|
In May, the |
PSCo |
|
In May, PSCo filed a request with the CPUC to recover
In September, intervenors filed testimony. The CPUC Staff recommended disallowances of approximately
In October, a partial settlement was reached with the CPUC Staff and the COEO, allowing full recovery of Winter Storm Uri deferred net natural gas, fuel and purchased energy costs of
A decision is expected in the first quarter of 2022. In addition, the CPUC is considering prospective changes in fuel cost recovery. |
SPS |
|
As part of the
In the third quarter, SPS filed a supplemental application and testimony to recover an additional
In
In
In |
|
|
The NMPRC approved SPS' request to recover |
Note 6. Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Key assumptions as compared with 2021 levels unless noted:
- Constructive outcomes in all rate case and regulatory proceedings.
- Normal weather patterns for the year.
-
Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~
1% .
-
Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to be
0% to1% .
-
Capital rider revenue is projected to increase
to$35 million (net of PTCs). PTCs are credited to customers, through capital riders and reductions to other regulatory mechanisms.$45 million
-
O&M expenses are projected to increase approximately
1% to2% .
-
Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately
to$255 million .$265 million
-
Property taxes are projected to increase approximately
to$40 million .$50 million
-
Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase
to$55 million .$65 million
- AFUDC - equity is projected to be relatively flat.
-
ETR is projected to be ~(
3% ) to (5% ). The ETR reflects benefits of PTCs which are credited to customers through electric margin and will not have a material impact on net income.
(a) |
Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. |
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives —
-
Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of
5% to7% based off of a 2021 base of per share, which represents the mid-point of the revised 2021 guidance range of$2.96 to$2.94 per share.$2.98 -
Deliver annual dividend increases of
5% to7% . -
Target a dividend payout ratio of
60% to70% . - Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.
|
||||||||
EARNINGS RELEASE SUMMARY (UNAUDITED) |
||||||||
(amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
||||||
|
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||
Operating revenues: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric and natural gas |
|
$ |
3,330 |
|
|
$ |
2,926 |
|
Other |
|
|
25 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
3,355 |
|
|
|
2,947 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
315 |
|
|
$ |
288 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding |
|
|
542 |
|
|
|
532 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of EPS — Diluted |
|
|
|
|
||||
Regulated utility |
|
$ |
0.65 |
|
|
$ |
0.63 |
|
|
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
|
|
(0.09 |
) |
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS (a)(b) |
|
$ |
0.58 |
|
|
$ |
0.54 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
28.83 |
|
|
$ |
27.40 |
|
Cash dividends declared per common share |
|
|
0.4575 |
|
|
|
0.43 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||
|
|
2021 |
|
2020 |
||||
Operating revenues: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric and natural gas |
|
$ |
13,337 |
|
|
$ |
11,438 |
|
Other |
|
|
94 |
|
|
|
88 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
13,431 |
|
|
|
11,526 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
1,597 |
|
|
$ |
1,473 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding |
|
|
540 |
|
|
|
528 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of EPS — Diluted |
|
|
|
|
||||
Regulated utility |
|
$ |
3.18 |
|
|
$ |
3.04 |
|
|
|
|
(0.22 |
) |
|
|
(0.25 |
) |
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS (a)(b) |
|
$ |
2.96 |
|
|
$ |
2.79 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
28.93 |
|
|
$ |
27.60 |
|
Cash dividends declared per common share |
|
|
1.83 |
|
|
|
1.72 |
|
(a) |
For the three and twelve months ended |
|
(b) | Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220127005160/en/
For news media inquiries only, please call Xcel Energy Media Relations, (612) 215-5300
Source:
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