Turquoise Hill Announces Third Quarter 2022 Production and Oyu Tolgoi Mine and Funding Update
Turquoise Hill Resources Ltd. (TSX: TRQ) reported Q3 2022 production results, revealing a 13% drop in copper output to 36.3k tonnes year-over-year but a 19% increase from Q2. Gold production fell by 67% to 42.7k ounces, down 10% from Q2. Despite these declines, the company raised gold production guidance for 2022 to 165k-185k ounces. Capital expenditures for underground projects were revised down to $1.0-1.1 billion. The company aims to finalize funding initiatives by December 15, 2022, with potential equity raises of $1.05 billion to cover liquidity needs.
- Increased gold production guidance for 2022: 165,000 – 185,000 ounces due to improved grade performance.
- Capital expenditures on underground projects reduced to $1.0 billion - $1.1 billion, improving cost management.
- Q3 2022 copper production decreased by 13% year-over-year and only increased by 19% from the previous quarter.
- Q3 2022 gold production decreased by 67% year-over-year and 10% quarter-over-quarter.
- Dependence on potential equity raises due to uncertain funding initiatives and existing lenders' participation in the Oyu Tolgoi project financing.
Q3 2022 Highlights
-
Q3’22 Copper production of 36.3 thousand tonnes of copper in concentrate, a decrease of
13% vs Q3’21 and an increase of19% vs Q2’22 -
Q3’22 Gold production of 42.7 thousand ounces of gold in concentrate, a decrease of
67% vs Q3’21 and a decrease of10% vs Q2’22 - Copper production guidance for 2022 remains within the range of 110,000 to 150,000 tonnes
- Gold production guidance for 2022 has been revised from a range of 150,000 – 170,000 ounces to 165,000 – 185,000 ounces. The higher gold guidance reflects more reliable grade performance from mining of Phase 5 during Q3’22 with correlating higher recoveries. This builds on the higher gold production from completion of Phase 4B in H1’22.
-
Expenditures on property, plant and equipment for 2022 remains within the guidance range of
to$140 million for surface operations.$170 million -
Capital expenditures on the underground project1 are now expected to be
to$1.0 billion for 2022 compared to previous guidance of$1.1 billion to$1.1 billion as a result of improvements to construction productivity and the slower ramp-up of on-site construction resources that continued during Q3’22.$1.3 billion -
Total Operating Cash Costs2 for 2022 are now expected to be in the range of
to$855 million compared to previous guidance of$910 million to$850 million , which is largely due to deferral of non-critical activities to contain inflationary pressures for key inputs, including fuel and ammonium nitrate.$925 million -
Mill throughput of 10.68 million tonnes in Q3’22 was
14% higher than Q3’21 and10% higher than Q2’22, which is in line with expectations due to higher mill availability. - Continued good progress in underground on-footprint construction and blasting saw firing of the 7th drawbell during Q3’23 and commencement of commissioning of the second truck chute.
Open Pit Operations,
During Q3’22, the combined open pit and underground operations produced 36.3 thousand tonnes of copper in concentrate and 42.7 thousand ounces of gold in concentrate. Consistent with expectations, copper production was higher and gold production was lower compared with Q2’22. Mill feed for Q3’22 included approximately 543 thousand tonnes @
Shaft 3 and Shaft 4 cumulative sinking level were at 2883 metres and 4103 metres, respectively, below ground level. The rate of progress in shafts improved during Q3’22 due to an optimisation program, which commenced in Q1’22, and continued progress on these initiatives is necessary to continue to be aligned with the 2022 schedule update. Shaft 3 and 4 commissioning is expected in mid-2024, remaining aligned with the Company’s previous disclosure. Construction of the final major stage of materials handling infrastructure continues, including civil and underground works for the conveyor to surface. Undercut blasting and on-footprint construction work continued to progress. Commissioning of the second truck chute has commenced, and the 8th drawbell was fired on
Study work for Panels 1 and 2, which are required to support the ramp-up to 95,000 tonnes of ore per day, remains on track from completion in H1’23.
____________________________
1 |
Capital expenditures on the underground project is a supplementary financial measure. Refer to the section “Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Other Financial Measures” of this press release. |
2 |
Total operating cash costs is a non-GAAP financial measure and is not a standardized financial measure. It is not intended to replace measures prepared in accordance with IFRS and might not be comparable to similar financial measures disclosed by other issuers. Refer to the section “Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Other Financial Measures” of this press release. |
3 |
As at |
Milestone |
2020 OTTR |
Q1 2022 MD&A
|
Actual or Currently
|
Start Undercut blasting |
|
|
|
MHS 1 (including Crusher 1) commissioning |
Q4’21 |
|
|
First drawbell blasted (1) |
|
Q3’22 |
|
Sustainable Production (sustainable cave propagation) |
(~30 drawbells active(2)) |
H1’23 (~21 drawbells active(2) ) |
Q1’23 (~16-21 drawbells active(2)) |
Shaft 3 commissioned |
H1’22 |
H1’24(3) |
H1’24(3) |
Shaft 4 commissioned |
H1’22 |
H1’24(3) |
H1’24(3) |
First drawbell Panel 2 |
Q4’24 |
H1’26 |
H1’26(4) |
First drawbell Panel 1 |
H2’26 |
H1’27 |
H1’27(4) |
1. | Despite an approximate 6-month delay to Undercut commencement, first drawbell timing remained broadly in line with the 2020TR. |
|
2. | Design refinements identified that a minor modification to undercut sequence following additional geotechnical assessment of cave initiation conditions, changed the estimated number of drawbells to reach critical hydraulic radius, which is the point at which sustainable production is anticipated to commence. Critical hydraulic radius is an estimated factor, based on the best available data but some variability in the exact number of drawbells needed to reach critical hydraulic radius could occur, with the potential for the requirement to be between 16 and 21 drawbells. |
|
3. | Shaft 3 and 4 progress continues to be closely monitored against the 2022 schedule update. |
|
4. | A preliminary assessment of the impact of the previously announced shaft delays on the commencement of Panel 1 and Panel 2 is included in these updated milestones. |
COVID-19
Safety continues to be the Company’s top priority and COVID-19 controls remain in place at site to protect our people. During Q3’22, COVID-19 cases identified at Oyu Tolgoi have continued at low levels and the testing regime has been eased. Following the recent relaxation of COVID-19 government-initiated restrictions in
Update of Funding Initiatives under 3rd A&R HOA
As provided for in the Third Amended and Restated Heads of Agreement dated as of
Substantial progress has been made on reaching agreement on the commercial terms and conditions of the Re-profiling, with the commercial terms and conditions now substantially agreed. Certain existing commercial bank lenders under the OT Project Financing have indicated that they are unable or unwilling to participate in the Re-profiling. Consequently, Rio Tinto and the Company are pursuing several potential solutions, including but not limited to: engaging existing lenders that are currently participating in the Re-profiling with a view to increasing their current participation levels, and engaging with new potential commercial bank lenders who could replace any banks that ultimately decide to exit.
If Rio Tinto and the Company are not successful in their efforts to secure the Re-profiling on or before
If the Re-profiling and SSD funding contemplated by the 3rd A&R HoA are not wholly successful, or the principal repayment of
The Company’s incremental funding requirement, and quantum and timing of any incremental equity raises, continue to be impacted by various factors, many of which are outside of its control and, as a result, their actual quantum and/or timing could be different from the estimates provided and such variance may be significant. See the sections “Funding of
Oyu Tolgoi Production Data
All data represents full production and sales on a
3Q |
|
4Q |
|
1Q |
|
2Q |
|
3Q |
|
9 months |
|
9 months |
|
Full Year |
||
2021 |
2021 |
2022 |
2022 |
2022 |
2022 |
2021 |
2021 |
|||||||||
Open pit material mined (‘000 tonnes) | 22,588 |
23,979 |
24,386 |
25,550 |
26,102 |
76,038 |
61,005 |
84,983 |
||||||||
Ore treated (‘000 tonnes) | 9,336 |
10,573 |
9,581 |
9,685 |
10,685 |
29,951 |
28,550 |
39,124 |
||||||||
Average mill head grades: | ||||||||||||||||
Copper (%) | 0.53 |
0.46 |
0.40 |
0.40 |
0.42 |
0.41 |
0.52 |
0.50 |
||||||||
Gold (g/t) | 0.63 |
0.38 |
0.32 |
0.26 |
0.22 |
0.27 |
0.60 |
0.54 |
||||||||
Silver (g/t) | 1.29 |
1.27 |
1.25 |
1.15 |
1.32 |
1.24 |
1.26 |
1.26 |
||||||||
Concentrates produced (‘000 tonnes) | 191.9 |
182.7 |
144.3 |
146.0 |
173.6 |
463.9 |
567.0 |
749.6 |
||||||||
Average concentrate grade (% Cu) | 21.9 |
21.3 |
21.0 |
20.9 |
20.9 |
20.9 |
21.9 |
21.7 |
||||||||
Production of metals in concentrates: | ||||||||||||||||
Copper (‘000 tonnes) | 41.9 |
38.9 |
30.3 |
30.6 |
36.3 |
97.1 |
124.1 |
163.0 |
||||||||
Gold (‘000 ounces) | 131 |
79 |
59 |
48 |
43 |
150 |
390 |
468 |
||||||||
Silver (‘000 ounces) | 249 |
238 |
211 |
201 |
256 |
668 |
739 |
977 |
||||||||
Concentrate sold (‘000 tonnes) | 224.4 |
165.9 |
148.3 |
175.3 |
211.1 |
534.7 |
503.3 |
669.2 |
||||||||
Sales of metals in concentrates: | ||||||||||||||||
Copper (‘000 tonnes) | 46.4 |
34.4 |
29.9 |
35.3 |
41.8 |
107.0 |
105.0 |
139.4 |
||||||||
Gold (‘000 ounces) | 149 |
102 |
57 |
68 |
56 |
181 |
333 |
435 |
||||||||
Silver (‘000 ounces) | 278 |
192 |
179 |
224 |
282 |
684 |
591 |
783 |
||||||||
Metal recovery* (%) | ||||||||||||||||
Copper | 83.9 |
80.1 |
78.1 |
81.4 |
80.9 |
80.2 |
83.6 |
82.8 |
||||||||
Gold | 68.7 |
59.3 |
59.0 |
59.1 |
56.6 |
58.6 |
70.3 |
68.4 |
||||||||
Silver | 64.1 |
55.1 |
54.3 |
57.8 |
57.0 |
56.4 |
64.0 |
61.6 |
||||||||
*Metal recovery is a function of head grade and reflects grades delivered in the quarter. |
Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Other Financial Measures
This press release contains certain non-GAAP (Generally Accepted Accounting Principles) financial measures such as total operating cash costs and supplementary financial measures such as capital expenditures on the underground project. Non-GAAP financial measures have non-standardized meaning under International Financial Reporting Standards (“IFRS”). As such, these financial measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other issuers. These financial measures are presented in order to provide investors and other stakeholders with additional understanding of performance and operations at the Oyu Tolgoi mine and are not intended to be used in isolation from, or as a replacement for, measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. Management believes that, in addition to conventional measures prepared in accordance with IFRS, these non-GAAP financial measures and supplementary financial measures provide additional insight into the Company’s operating performance and financial position and certain investors may use this information to evaluate the Company’s performance from period to period. However, these non-GAAP financial measures and supplementary financial measures have limitations and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. Additional details and information for this non-GAAP financial measure and these financial measures can be found in the section titled “Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures” between pages 28 and 31 of Company’s Q2 2022 MD&A filed with the securities regulatory authorities in
Technical Information included in this Press Release
Disclosure of information of a scientific or technical nature in this press release in respect of the Oyu Tolgoi mine was approved by
Forward-looking statements and forward-looking information
Certain statements made herein, including statements relating to matters that are not historical facts and statements of the Company’s beliefs, intentions and expectations about developments, results and events which will or may occur in the future, constitute “forward-looking information” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation and “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the “safe harbour” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements and information relate to future events or future performance, reflect current expectations or beliefs regarding future events and are typically identified by words such as “anticipate”, “believe”, “could”, “estimate”, “expect”, “intend”, “likely”, “may”, “plan”, “seek”, “should”, “will” and similar expressions suggesting future outcomes or statements regarding an outlook. These include, but are not limited to, statements and information regarding: the nature of the Company’s ongoing relationship and interaction with the Government of
Forward-looking statements and information are made based upon certain assumptions and other important factors that, if untrue, could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such statements or information. There can be no assurance that such statements or information will prove to be accurate. Such statements and information are based on numerous assumptions regarding present and future business strategies, local and global economic conditions, and the environment in which the Company will operate in the future, including: the price of copper, gold and silver; projected gold, copper and silver grades; anticipated capital and operating costs; anticipated future production and cash flows; the anticipated location of certain infrastructure in Hugo North Lift 1 and sequence of mining within and across panel boundaries; the nature of the Company’s ongoing relationship and interaction with the Government of
Certain important factors that could cause actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements and information include, among others: copper, gold and silver price volatility; discrepancies between actual and estimated production; mineral reserves and resources and metallurgical recoveries; development plans for processing resources; public health crises such as COVID-19; matters relating to proposed exploration or expansion; mining operational and development risks, including geotechnical risks and ground conditions; litigation risks, including the outcome of the class action complaint filed against the Company; the outcome of the international arbitration proceedings, including the likelihood of the parties being able to amicably resolve the ongoing tax issues; regulatory restrictions (including environmental regulatory restrictions and liability);
With respect to specific forward-looking information concerning the continued operation and development of the Oyu Tolgoi project, the Company has based its assumptions and analyses on certain factors which are inherently uncertain. Uncertainties and assumptions include, among others: the nature of the Company’s ongoing relationship and interaction with the Government of
The cost, timing and complexities of mine construction and development are increased by the remote location of a property such as Oyu Tolgoi. It is common in mining operations and in the development or expansion of existing facilities to experience unexpected problems and delays during development, construction and mine start-up. Additionally, although Oyu Tolgoi has achieved commercial production, there is no assurance that future development activities will result in profitable mining operations.
Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information or statements. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve numerous assumptions, inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, which contribute to the possibility that the predicted outcomes will not occur. Events or circumstances could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from those estimated or projected and expressed in, or implied by, these forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ from these forward-looking statements are included in the “Risk Factors” section in the Company’s annual information form for the year ended
Readers are further cautioned that the lists of factors enumerated in the “Risk Factors” section of the AIF and in the “Risks and Uncertainties” section of the Q2 2022 MD&A that may affect future results are not exhaustive. Investors and others should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other uncertainties and potential events and should not rely on the Company’s forward-looking statements and information to make decisions with respect to the Company. Furthermore, the forward-looking statements and information contained herein are made as of the date of this document and the Company does not undertake any obligation to update or to revise any of the included forward-looking statements or information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. The forward-looking statements and information contained herein are expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
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Vice President Investors Relations and Communications
roy.mcdowall@turquoisehill.com
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