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Millicom (Tigo) Q1 2024 Earnings Release

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Millicom (Tigo) announced its Q1 2024 results, showing an 8.6% revenue growth driven by service revenue up 8.8%. Operating profit increased by 70.6%, EBITDA grew 24.5% despite restructuring costs, and net income rose significantly. Colombia EBITDA saw a 50.3% increase. Operating cash flow rose 53.0% to $519 million, with a reduction in capex. Leverage declined to 3.10x. Millicom CEO highlighted positive performance across all countries, with strong EBITDA and OCF growth, record margins in Colombia, and positive service revenue returns in Guatemala and Panama.

Positive
  • Revenue grew by 8.6% in Q1 2024, with service revenue up 8.8%, driven by stronger currencies and organic growth.

  • Operating profit increased by 70.6% due to revenue growth and a decline in operating expenses.

  • EBITDA grew by 24.5%, reaching 20.0% organically, despite $30 million in restructuring costs.

  • Colombia's EBITDA rose by 50.3% with a record EBITDA margin of 36.5%, reaching 41.4% excluding one-off charges.

  • Operating cash flow surged by 53.0% organically, hitting $519 million, attributed to robust EBITDA growth and capex reduction.

  • Net income saw a significant increase to $92 million, reflecting the rise in operating profit.

Negative
  • None.

Insights

Reviewing the financial performance of Millicom (Tigo) for Q1 2024 reveals several key takeaways for investors. Primarily, the notable revenue growth of 8.6% and service revenue increase of 8.8% are indicative of strong market demand and effective corporate strategies. The growth in organic revenue, although at a modest 3.8%, suggests a solid underlying performance, tempered by economic dynamics. Operational efficiency is highlighted by the 70.6% surge in operating profit and the decline in operating expenses by 3.4%. Furthermore, the EBITDA growth of 24.5% demonstrates effective cost management, even after accounting for the significant restructuring costs.

Investor confidence may also be bolstered by the robust increase in operating cash flow and the dramatic 38.9% reduction in capital expenditures. The commitment to reducing leverage is shown by the decline from 3.29x to 3.10x, which can be favorable for the stock's risk profile. The net income increase to $92 million, up from $3 million in Q1 2023, is remarkable and could potentially lead to a positive reevaluation of the stock by the market. However, it is essential to consider the sustainability of such growth rates and the potential impact of any macroeconomic changes.

From a market perspective, Millicom's strategic initiatives, such as Project Everest, have started to yield tangible results. The B2B sector's performance in Panama and the positive growth in Guatemala are strategic wins that could signal increased competitiveness and market share gain. Colombia's record EBITDA margin of 36.5%, even after a substantial restructuring charge, signifies remarkable operational efficiency and sets a precedent for sustainability of future cash flows.

The cessation of operations by a third mobile operator in Panama is a significant market event, likely contributing to Millicom's strengthened positioning. This, along with robust postpaid mobile net additions, could lead to increased investor interest in Millicom's market dynamics. Nonetheless, it's important to monitor the competitive landscape to ensure these gains are not eroded over time by new entrants or aggressive competitive strategies.

In the telecommunications industry, Millicom's Q1 results reflect the impact of currency fluctuations and the importance of strategic geographic positioning. The improvement in mobile pricing in Guatemala and the company's ability to cement itself in Panama through large B2B contracts underscore the significance of local market dynamics. The telecom industry is characterized by intense competition and rapid technological advancements and Millicom's ability to adapt and capitalize on these elements, evidenced by their Q1 performance, illustrates their competitiveness within the sector.

The increase in Equity Free Cash Flow is particularly promising, as it demonstrates not just profitability but also the ability to generate cash after accounting for capital expenditures and working capital needs. For investors, the ability of a telecom company to effectively manage its cash flow is critical, as it impacts its capacity to invest in infrastructure, service quality improvements and potentially dividends or share buybacks.

Millicom (Tigo) Q1 2024 Earnings Release

Luxembourg, May 8, 2024 – Millicom is pleased to announce its first quarter 2024 results. Please find below links to the Q1 2024 Earnings Release and IAS 34 Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements.

Highlights*

  • Revenue grew 8.6% driven by Service revenue up 8.8%, due to stronger currencies and organic growth of 3.8%, up from 3.2% in Q4 attributable to large B2B contracts in Panama and a return to positive growth in Guatemala.
  • Operating profit increased 70.6%, reflecting the revenue increase and a 3.4% decline in operating expenses, while EBITDA grew 24.5% (20.0% organically) despite $30 million of restructuring costs incurred in the period.
  • Colombia EBITDA rose 50.3% (24.2% organically) with a record EBITDA margin of 36.5% despite an $18 million restructuring charge. Excluding this one-off, Colombia's EBITDA margin was 41.4%.
  • Operating cash flow rose 53.0% organically to $519 million, reflecting both the robust EBITDA growth and a 38.9% reduction in capex due mostly to slower phasing of investments in 2024 compared to 2023.
  • Net income of $92 million in Q1 2024 was up strongly from $3 million in Q1 2023, reflecting the significant increase in operating profit.
  • Leverage declined to 3.10x at the end of March 2024 from 3.29x at year-end 2023. 
Financial highlights ($ millions)Q1 2024Q1 2023% changeOrganic % Change
Revenue1,4871,3698.6%3.8%
Operating Profit32419070.6% 
Net Profit923NM 
Non-IFRS measures (*)    
Service Revenue1,3761,2648.8%3.8%
EBITDA63250724.5%20.0%
Capex113185(38.9)% 
Operating Cash Flow51932261.0%53.0%
Equity Free Cash Flow1(133)NM 

*See page 10 for a description of non-IFRS measures and for reconciliations to the nearest equivalent IFRS measures.

Millicom Chief Executive Officer Mauricio Ramos commented:

"I am very pleased to report that 2024 is off to a good start, as the combination of key investments and strategic initiatives implemented over the last several years, combined with savings from both phases of Project Everest, produced strong Q1 performance on many fronts:

  • EBITDA grew 20% organically, with all countries up between 8% and 26%;
  • OCF grew even faster, up 53% organically, as we optimized investment and benefited from favorable phasing;
  • Colombia EBITDA margin hit a new record and is on track to generate positive and sustainable EFCF in 2024, after years of heavy investment;
  • Guatemala returned to positive service revenue and EBITDA growth, aided by improved mobile pricing; and,
  • Panama cemented its market leadership with record postpaid mobile net additions, as the third mobile operator ceased operations on April 20.

Q1 benefited from large B2B contracts, favorable capex phasing, stronger FX and other tailwinds, yet Q1 results demonstrate the cash flow generation potential of the business, and strengthen our ability to achieve our 2024 Equity Free Cash Flow target of $550 million.
As recently-communicated, Millicom's Board of Directors appointed Marcelo Benitez to succeed me as Millicom's next CEO. I will continue as Chair of the Board of Directors, subject to shareholder approval at the upcoming AGM. The entire Board and I look forward to working with Marcelo to ensure a smooth transition and continued success in his incredible journey with Millicom over the past 30 years."

• Q1 2024 Earnings Release

• IAS 34 Interim Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements

Millicom is planning to host a video conference for the global financial community on May 8, 2024, at 14:00 (Stockholm) / 13:00 (London) / 08:00 (Miami).

Registration for the interactive event is required at the following link. After registering, you will receive a confirmation email containing details about joining the video conference. Participants who wish to ask a question during the live event must notify the Investor Relations team via email to investors@millicom.com after the start of the event.

Participants may also join the conference in listen-only mode by dialing any of the following numbers and entering the Webinar ID: 822 3803 6738:

US: +1 929 205 6099                                                   Sweden: +46 850 539 728

UK: +44 330 088 5830                                                Luxembourg: +352 342 080 9265

Additional international numbers are available at the following link. Accompanying slides and a replay of the event will be available on the Millicom investors website.

For further information, please contact:

Press:
Sofía Corral, Communications Director
press@millicom.com
Investors:
Michel Morin, VP Investor Relations
investors@millicom.com

About Millicom

Millicom (NASDAQ U.S.: TIGO, Nasdaq Stockholm: TIGO_SDB) is a leading provider of fixed and mobile telecommunications services in Latin America. Through our TIGO® and Tigo Business® brands, we provide a wide range of digital services and products, including TIGO Money for mobile financial services, TIGO Sports for local entertainment, TIGO ONEtv for pay TV, high-speed data, voice, and business-to-business solutions such as cloud and security. As of March 31, 2024, Millicom, including its Honduras Joint Venture, employed approximately 15,500 people and provided mobile and fiber-cable services through its digital highways to more than 45 million customers, with a fiber-cable footprint about 14 million homes passed. Founded in 1990, Millicom International Cellular S.A. is headquartered in Luxembourg.

Regulatory Statement

This information was prior to this release inside information and is information that Millicom is obliged to make public pursuant to the EU Market Abuse Regulation. This information was submitted for publication, through the agency of the contact person set out above, at 12:00 CET on May 8, 2024.

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