Talos Energy Announces Strategic Acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy
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Insights
The acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy by Talos Energy represents a strategic expansion of Talos's portfolio in the Gulf of Mexico. The deal, valued at $1.29 billion, is significant as it involves a mix of stock and cash, with the issuance of 24.8 million shares and $965 million in cash. This structure indicates Talos's confidence in funding the acquisition without over-leveraging its balance sheet.
This transaction is characterized as immediately accretive, which implies that it is expected to increase Talos's earnings per share upon completion. The addition of 30 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day to Talos's production capacity is a notable increase that could enhance the company's market position and revenue streams. However, investors should consider the potential dilution of shares due to the new stock issuance and the impact on the company's liquidity due to the substantial cash outlay.
In the long-term, the acquisition could lead to accelerated de-leveraging of Talos's balance sheet, assuming that the integration of QuarterNorth's assets is executed efficiently and the projected synergies are realized. The favorable base decline profile of the acquired assets suggests that these are mature, steady-producing fields, which could provide a reliable cash flow to support the de-leveraging process.
The Gulf of Mexico is a region with established infrastructure and known reserves, which makes it a strategic location for oil exploration and production companies like Talos Energy. The acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy can potentially provide Talos with competitive advantages such as increased production capacity and access to proven reserves. Furthermore, the attractive future development opportunities mentioned could indicate unexploited reserves or planned enhancements to existing fields, which may contribute to Talos's growth trajectory.
It is important to assess the market conditions for oil and gas, including the current price levels and demand forecasts, as these will significantly influence the success of the acquisition. If the energy sector experiences sustained prices at current or higher levels, the added production could translate into significant revenue growth for Talos. Conversely, a downturn in commodity prices could challenge the return on investment.
Stakeholders should also consider the operational and integration risks associated with merging two companies' assets and operations. Effective management of these risks is crucial for realizing the projected benefits of the acquisition.
The Transaction between Talos Energy and QuarterNorth Energy underscores the ongoing consolidation trend in the energy sector, particularly within the offshore exploration and production niche. By acquiring a privately-held company, Talos is likely to benefit from the consolidation of administrative functions and potential economies of scale in operations. The Gulf of Mexico is known for its deepwater assets, which are typically more complex and capital-intensive than onshore projects. Talos's expertise in this area could be further solidified with this acquisition.
It is essential to evaluate the environmental and regulatory aspects of such transactions, as they can have significant implications for the feasibility and timing of future development opportunities. The Gulf of Mexico is subject to stringent regulations and any changes in environmental policies could impact the profitability of the acquired assets.
From a strategic perspective, the Transaction may position Talos as a more attractive partner for future joint ventures or as a potential acquisition target itself due to the increased scale and production capacity. The industry's response to this acquisition will be a critical factor in assessing its impact on Talos's market position.
Consideration for the Transaction consists of 24.8 million shares of Talos's common stock and approximately
Key Transaction Highlights:
- Adds production of approximately 30 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day ("MBoe/d") expected for the full year 2024, averaging about
75% oil from approximately95% operated assets. - Adds proved reserves1 of approximately 69 million barrels of oil equivalent ("MMBoe") with a PV-10 of
.$1.7 billion - High margin, low decline production, with low reinvestment rate requirements to sustain production and no meaningful near-term asset retirement obligations ("ARO") conducive to long-term high free cash flow generation.
- Accretive to key financial metrics, including Cash Flow Per Share, Free Cash Flow Per Share, and Net Asset Value Per Share.
- Annual run-rate synergies of approximately
are expected to be achieved by year-end 2024.$50 million - Improves balance sheet strength with expected year-end 2024 leverage ratio2 of 1.0x or less.
Talos President and Chief Executive Officer Timothy S. Duncan commented: "Today's announcement
STRATEGIC AND FINANCIAL DETAILS
Immediately Accretive to Key Metrics
The Transaction is accretive to key financial metrics based on management's 2024 and 2025 estimates3. This approach is consistent with Talos's disciplined acquisition strategy to execute transactions that create shareholder value. This Transaction is accretive on the following metrics at current strip pricing4:
- >
65% accretive on 2024E and 2025E Free Cash Flow Per Share3,5. - >
15% accretive on 2024E and 2025E Cash Flow Per Share. - Accretive on Net Asset Value Per Share.
- Accretive on Proved Reserves Per Share.
- Accretive on 2024E and 2025E Production Per Share.
High Quality Asset Base with Low Production Decline
Talos estimates QuarterNorth average daily production for the full year 2024 of approximately 30 MBoe/d (
QuarterNorth's assets bring significant reserves upside beyond current production from both producing probable zones and near-term development opportunities in 2024 and 2025. The Transaction also brings a high-quality inventory of drilling opportunities that will high-grade Talos's already robust inventory and will immediately compete for capital.
QuarterNorth operates and holds a
Material and Tangible Synergies
Talos expects to realize annual run-rate synergies of approximately
Additional asset management and drilling & completions optimizations are also expected to create meaningful synergies in the combined business, which will be incremental to the expected
Reduction of Asset Retirement Obligations per Barrel
QuarterNorth's assets have no meaningful near-term ARO obligations. On a pro forma basis, future ARO obligations will represent a reduction of Talos's average ARO per barrel of oil equivalent ("Boe") of reserves and ARO per Boe of production, representing another "accretive" metric for Talos's shareholders.
Fully Committed Financing
Talos has secured
GOVERNANCE, TIMING AND APPROVALS
Leadership, Governance, and Equity Holders
The Talos senior management team will remain unchanged. Talos's Board of Directors will be expanded to include one additional independent director.
QuarterNorth's top equity holders, representing approximately
Timing And Approvals
The Transaction, which is expected to close by the end of the first quarter of 2024, is subject to customary closing conditions, including the expiration or termination of the waiting period under the Hart-Scott-Rodino Antitrust Improvements Act of 1976. Both the Talos and QuarterNorth boards of directors have unanimously approved the Transaction.
ADVISORS
PJT Partners and Greenhill (Mizuho Securities M&A) are serving as lead financial advisors to Talos. J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and Intrepid Partners, LLC are also serving as financial advisors to Talos. Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld LLP is serving as legal advisor to Talos. Barclays is serving as financial advisor to QuarterNorth and
CONFERENCE CALL AND WEBCAST INFORMATION
Talos will host a conference call, which will be broadcast live over the internet, on Tuesday, January 16, 2024 at 8:30 AM Eastern Time (7:30 AM Central Time). Listeners can access the conference call through a webcast link on the Company's website at: https://www.talosenergy.com/investor-relations/events-calendar/. Alternatively, the conference call can be accessed by dialing (888) 348-8927 (
ABOUT TALOS ENERGY
Talos Energy (NYSE: TALO) is a technically driven, innovative, independent energy company focused on safely and efficiently maximizing long-term value through its Upstream Exploration & Production and Low Carbon Solutions businesses. We currently operate in
INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACT
CAUTIONARY STATEMENT ABOUT FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
This communication may contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical fact included in this communication, regarding the proposed transaction with QuarterNorth, including our ability to satisfy the conditions to closing and the expected timing and benefits of the transaction, our strategy, pro forma descriptions of the combined company and future operations, financial position, estimated revenues and losses, projected costs, prospects, plans and objectives of management are forward-looking statements. When used in this communication, the words "will," "could," "believe," "anticipate," "intend," "estimate," "expect," "project," "forecast," "may," "objective," "plan" and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain such identifying words. These forward-looking statements are based on our current expectations and assumptions about future events and are based on currently available information as to the outcome and timing of future events.
We caution you that these forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, most of which are difficult to predict and many of which are beyond our control. These risks include, but are not limited to, changes in market conditions affecting the oil and gas industry or long-term oil and gas price levels; political or regulatory developments; reservoir performance; the outcome of future exploration efforts; timely completion of development projects; technical or operating factors; the uncertainty inherent in projecting ultimate recoverable resources and future rates of production and cash flows and access to capital; the timing of development expenditures; potential adverse reactions or competitive responses to our acquisitions and other transactions, including the proposed Transaction with QuarterNorth; the possibility that the anticipated benefits of our acquisitions, including the proposed Transaction with QuarterNorth, are not realized when expected or at all, including as a result of the impact of, or problems arising from, the integration of acquired assets and operations; our ability to satisfy the conditions to closing to the proposed Transaction; the occurrence of any event, change or other circumstances that could give rise to the termination of the merger agreement; risks related to disruption of management time from ongoing business operations due to the Transaction; our ability to access or obtain alternative equity and/or debt financings on terms satisfactory to us or at all; and the other risks discussed in Part I, Item 1A. "Risk Factors" of Talos Energy Inc.'s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022, filed with the SEC on February 28, 2023 and Part II, Item 1A. "Risk Factors" of Talos Energy Inc's Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the period ended March 31, 2023, filed with the SEC on March 1, 2023. Should one or more of the risks or uncertainties described herein occur, or should underlying assumptions prove incorrect, our actual results and plans could differ materially from those expressed in any forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements, expressed or implied, included in this communication are expressly qualified in their entirety by this cautionary statement. This cautionary statement should also be considered in connection with any subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements that we or persons acting on our behalf may issue. Except as otherwise required by applicable law, we disclaim any duty to update any forward-looking statements, all of which are expressly qualified by the statements in this section, to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this communication.
Estimates for our future production volumes are based on assumptions of capital expenditure levels and the assumption that market demand and prices for oil and gas will continue at levels that allow for economic production of these products. The production, transportation, marketing and storage of oil and gas are subject to disruption due to transportation, processing and storage availability, mechanical failure, human error, hurricanes and numerous other factors. Our estimates are based on certain other assumptions, such as well performance, which may vary significantly from those assumed. Therefore, we can give no assurance that our future production volumes will be as estimated
NO OFFER OR SOLICITATION
This communication does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities, or a solicitation of any vote or approval, nor shall there be any sale of securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to registration or qualification under the securities laws of any such jurisdiction.
USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
This communication includes the use of certain measures that have not been calculated in accordance with
USE OF PROJECTIONS
This communication contains projections, including expected production volumes, capital expenditures, investment rates, PV-10, Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted Free Cash Flow, Net Asset Value, Net Debt leverage ratio, and cost-savings via synergies. Our independent auditors have not audited, reviewed, compiled, or performed any procedures with respect to the projections for the purpose of their inclusion in this communication, and accordingly, have not expressed an opinion or provided any other form of assurance with respect thereto for the purpose of this communication. These projections are for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as being indicative of future results. The assumptions and estimates underlying the projected information are inherently uncertain and are subject to a wide variety of significant business, economic and competitive risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the projected information. Even if our assumptions and estimates are correct, projections are inherently uncertain due to a number of factors outside our control. Accordingly, there can be no assurance that the projected results are indicative of our future performance after completion of the Transaction or that actual results will not differ materially from those presented in the projected information. Inclusion of the projected information in this communication should not be regarded as a representation by any person that the results contained in the projected information will be achieved.
RECONCILIATION TO STANDARDIZED MEASURE
PV-10 is a non-GAAP financial measure and generally differs from Standardized Measure, the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure, because it does not include the effects of income taxes on future net revenues. PV-10 is not an estimate of the fair market value of the Company's properties. Talos and others in the industry use PV-10 as a measure to compare the relative size and value of proved reserves held by companies and of the potential return on investment related to the companies' properties without regard to the specific tax characteristics of such entities. PV-10 may be reconciled to the Standardized Measure of discounted future net cash flows at such dates by adding the discounted future income taxes associated with such reserves to the Standardized Measure.
The table below presents the reconciliation of PV-10 to Standardized Measure:
($ in millions) | As of | |||
Standardized measure(1)(2) | $ | 1,429 | ||
Present value of future income taxes discounted at | 296 | |||
PV-10 (Non-GAAP) | $ | 1,725 |
(1) | All estimated future costs to settle asset retirement obligations associated with proved reserves have been included in the calculation of the standardized measure. |
(2) | Standardized measure is based on management estimates and is not audited by third party reserve engineers. |
1 Reserves and associated PV-10 as of September 30, 2023 as determined by Netherland Sewell & Associates, Inc. using SEC base pricing of
2 Year-End Net Debt leverage ratio defined as estimated pro forma net debt at December 31, 2024 divided by the last twelve months pro forma Adjusted EBITDA.
3 See "Cautionary Statement About Forward-Looking Statements."
4 These accretion metrics take into account all currently contemplated financing scenarios for this transaction.
5 For the purpose of these metrics, management defines free cash flow as management's estimates of EBITDA minus estimates of interest expense and capital expenditures. This definition differs from Talos's definition of historical adjusted free cash flow, as normally presented in Talos's quarterly filings.
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SOURCE Talos Energy
FAQ
What is the value of the acquisition of QuarterNorth Energy Inc. by Talos Energy Inc.?
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