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MARCH HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: TRUMP APPROVAL RATING DROPS SLIGHTLY BUT 54% SAY HE IS DOING A BETTER JOB THAN BIDEN AS PRESIDENT

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The March 2025 Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, conducted by Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW), reveals Trump's approval rating at 49%, dropping 3 points from February. Despite the decline, 54% of voters believe Trump is performing better than Biden did as President. The poll shows strong support for Trump's policies on deportation (80%), border closure (74%), and government waste elimination (72%).

The survey indicates 38% of voters view the U.S. economy positively, with inflation remaining the top concern for 43% of voters. The Democratic Party's approval remains low at 37%, with 71% of voters calling for new moderate leadership. On fiscal matters, 79% prefer reducing government expenditures over tax increases to balance the budget.

The poll also covered immigration policies, constitutional rights, and foreign policy, showing 77% support for Israel and mixed attitudes toward trade tariffs. The survey was conducted among 2,746 registered voters on March 26-27, 2025.

Il sondaggio Harvard CAPS / Harris di marzo 2025, condotto da Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW), rivela che il tasso di approvazione di Trump è al 49%, in calo di 3 punti rispetto a febbraio. Nonostante il calo, il 54% degli elettori crede che Trump stia facendo meglio di Biden come presidente. Il sondaggio mostra un forte sostegno per le politiche di Trump sull'espulsione (80%), la chiusura dei confini (74%) e l'eliminazione degli sprechi governativi (72%).

Il sondaggio indica che il 38% degli elettori ha una visione positiva dell'economia statunitense, con l'inflazione che rimane la principale preoccupazione per il 43% degli elettori. L'approvazione del Partito Democratico rimane bassa al 37%, con il 71% degli elettori che chiede una nuova leadership moderata. In materia fiscale, il 79% preferisce ridurre le spese governative piuttosto che aumentare le tasse per bilanciare il budget.

Il sondaggio ha anche trattato le politiche sull'immigrazione, i diritti costituzionali e la politica estera, mostrando il 77% di sostegno per Israele e atteggiamenti misti nei confronti delle tariffe commerciali. Il sondaggio è stato condotto tra 2.746 elettori registrati il 26-27 marzo 2025.

La encuesta Harvard CAPS / Harris de marzo de 2025, realizada por Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW), revela que la tasa de aprobación de Trump es del 49%, cayendo 3 puntos desde febrero. A pesar de la caída, el 54% de los votantes cree que Trump está desempeñándose mejor que Biden como presidente. La encuesta muestra un fuerte apoyo a las políticas de Trump sobre deportaciones (80%), cierre de fronteras (74%) y eliminación del despilfarro gubernamental (72%).

La encuesta indica que el 38% de los votantes ve la economía de EE. UU. de manera positiva, con la inflación siendo la principal preocupación para el 43% de los votantes. La aprobación del Partido Demócrata sigue baja en un 37%, con el 71% de los votantes pidiendo un nuevo liderazgo moderado. En cuestiones fiscales, el 79% prefiere reducir el gasto gubernamental en lugar de aumentar impuestos para equilibrar el presupuesto.

La encuesta también cubrió políticas de inmigración, derechos constitucionales y política exterior, mostrando un 77% de apoyo a Israel y actitudes mixtas hacia los aranceles comerciales. La encuesta se realizó entre 2,746 votantes registrados del 26 al 27 de marzo de 2025.

2025년 3월 하버드 CAPS / 해리스 여론조사는 Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW)가 실시했으며, 트럼프의 지지율이 49%에 달한다고 밝혔습니다. 이는 2월보다 3포인트 하락한 수치입니다. 그럼에도 불구하고, 54%의 유권자는 트럼프가 바이든보다 더 잘하고 있다고 믿고 있습니다. 이 여론조사는 트럼프의 추방 정책(80%), 국경 폐쇄(74%), 정부 낭비 제거(72%)에 대한 강한 지지를 보여줍니다.

조사에 따르면 38%의 유권자가 미국 경제를 긍정적으로 보고 있다고 하며, 인플레이션은 43%의 유권자에게 가장 큰 걱정거리로 남아 있습니다. 민주당의 지지율은 37%로 낮은 수준을 유지하고 있으며, 71%의 유권자가 새로운 중도적 리더십을 요구하고 있습니다. 재정 문제에 있어서는 79%가 예산 균형을 위해 세금 인상보다 정부 지출 감소를 선호합니다.

여론조사는 이민 정책, 헌법적 권리 및 외교 정책에 대해서도 다루었으며, 이스라엘에 대한 77%의 지지를 나타냈습니다 그리고 무역 관세에 대한 혼합된 태도를 보였습니다. 이 조사는 2025년 3월 26-27일에 2,746명의 등록 유권자를 대상으로 실시되었습니다.

Le sondage Harvard CAPS / Harris de mars 2025, réalisé par Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW), révèle que le taux d'approbation de Trump est de 49%, en baisse de 3 points par rapport à février. Malgré cette baisse, 54% des électeurs estiment que Trump se débrouille mieux que Biden en tant que président. Le sondage montre un fort soutien aux politiques de Trump sur les expulsions (80%), la fermeture des frontières (74%) et l'élimination du gaspillage gouvernemental (72%).

Le sondage indique que 38% des électeurs ont une opinion positive de l'économie américaine, l'inflation restant la principale préoccupation pour 43% des électeurs. L'approbation du Parti Démocrate reste faible à 37%, avec 71% des électeurs appelant à un nouveau leadership modéré. En matière fiscale, 79% préfèrent réduire les dépenses publiques plutôt que d'augmenter les impôts pour équilibrer le budget.

Le sondage a également couvert les politiques d'immigration, les droits constitutionnels et la politique étrangère, montrant 77% de soutien pour Israël et des attitudes mitigées envers les droits de douane. L'enquête a été réalisée auprès de 2 746 électeurs enregistrés les 26 et 27 mars 2025.

Die Harvard CAPS / Harris Umfrage vom März 2025, durchgeführt von Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW), zeigt, dass Trumps Zustimmungsrate bei 49% liegt, was einen Rückgang um 3 Punkte im Vergleich zu Februar bedeutet. Trotz des Rückgangs glauben 54% der Wähler, dass Trump besser abschneidet als Biden als Präsident. Die Umfrage zeigt eine starke Unterstützung für Trumps Politiken zur Abschiebung (80%), zur Grenzschließung (74%) und zur Beseitigung von Regierungsverschwendung (72%).

Die Umfrage zeigt, dass 38% der Wähler die US-Wirtschaft positiv sehen, wobei Inflation die größte Sorge für 43% der Wähler bleibt. Die Zustimmung zur Demokratischen Partei bleibt mit 37% niedrig, während 71% der Wähler eine neue moderate Führung fordern. In finanziellen Angelegenheiten bevorzugen 79% eine Reduzierung der Staatsausgaben gegenüber Steuererhöhungen zur Haushaltsausgleichung.

Die Umfrage behandelte auch Einwanderungspolitik, verfassungsmäßige Rechte und Außenpolitik und zeigte 77% Unterstützung für Israel sowie gemischte Einstellungen zu Handelszöllen. Die Umfrage wurde unter 2.746 registrierten Wählern vom 26. bis 27. März 2025 durchgeführt.

Positive
  • Economic outlook improving with 38% viewing economy positively, up 10 points from January 2025
  • 33% of voters report improving personal financial situation, up 2 points from February
  • Strong majority support (80%) for key policy initiatives
Negative
  • Trump's approval ratings dropped across all key issues
  • 42% of voters say Trump is performing worse than expected, up 7 points from February
  • Only 42% believe expenditure reduction goals will be achieved

DEMOCRATIC PARTY APPROVAL REMAINS UNDERWATER WITH 71% OF VOTERS SAYING IT NEEDS NEW MODERATE LEADERS

79% OF VOTERS WANT THE GOVERNMENT TO BALANCE THE BUDGET BY REDUCING EXPENDITURES BUT NEARLY HALF ARE UNSURE BY HOW MUCH

ELON MUSK FAVORABILITY DROPS FROM NEUTRAL TO 10-POINT NET UNFAVORABLE

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., March 31, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the March Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.

In his second month in office, President Donald Trump's approval rating is at 49%, 3 points lower than February 2025, with majority approval among Republican, male, 25-64 y.o., white, and rural voters. Most of his policies continue to see strong support, with the deportation of illegal immigrants who have committed crimes (80%), closing the border (74%), and eliminating fraud and waste in government expenditures (72%) most popular. Tariffs on China, Mexico, and Canada (50%) and renaming the Gulf of Mexico (39%) are his least popular policies. This month's poll also covered public opinion on immigration, separation of powers, the budget, tariffs, and U.S. foreign policy in the Middle East and Ukraine. Download key results here.

"There's still strong support for most of Trump's policies while Democratic Party approval continues to nosedive," said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. "Opinions are still in formation as people are unsure how tariffs will affect the economy, but voters generally believe he is doing a better job than Biden."

GENERAL MOOD ABOUT THE DIRECTION OF THE COUNTRY REMAINS MORE OPTIMISTIC THAN BIDEN TERM

  • 38% of voters say the U.S. economy is on the right track, consistent with last month and up 10 points from January 2025.
  • 33% of voters say their personal financial situation is improving (+2 pts. from February 2025), though more Democrats, Independents, women, 18-24 year-olds, Hispanics, and rural voters feel their situation worsening than improving.
  • Inflation, the economy, and immigration remain the top three issues for voters, with 43% of voters saying inflation is the most important issue to them personally.

TRUMP APPROVAL RATINGS SEE SLIGHT DROP FROM LAST MONTH; KEY REPUBLICANS SEE MIXED FAVORABILITY

  • 42% of voters say Trump is doing worse than expected (+7 pts, Feb. 2025), but 54% say Trump is doing a better job than Joe Biden as President (Democrats: 19%; Republicans: 89%; Independents: 50%).
  • Trump's approval ratings on key issues have dropped across the board, with voters most approving of his performance on immigration (53%), reducing the cost of the government (49%), and returning America to its values (49%).
  • Voters have a more favorable view of Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (+7 more favorable than unfavorable), and a more unfavorable view of Elon Musk (-10) and Pete Hegseth (-5). Voters are split on Marco Rubio and Trump.

DEMOCRATIC PARTY APPROVAL RATINGS REMAIN AT RECORD-LOW; MOST SAY THE PARTY NEEDS NEW MODERATE LEADERS

  • 37% of voters approve of the Democratic Party (the lowest since at least March 2018 aside from February 2025 (36%)), with the majority of voter groups other than Democrats and Black voters disapproving. 34% of Democrats and 43% of Black voters disapprove.
  • 71% of voters say the Democratic Party needs new moderate figures to lead the party into the 2026 midterms and 2028 election, including 57% of Democrat voters.
  • 55% of voters support moderate Democrats who are willing to compromise with Trump on issues (Democrats: 27%; Republicans: 78%; Independents: 59%) over Democrats who want to fight harder against the administration.
  • 57% of voters approve of Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and other Democrats supporting the GOP spending bill that funds the government until September 30 rather than holding the line on Democratic demands risking government shutdown (Democrats: 46%; Republicans: 71%; Independents: 51%).

MIXED VIEWS ON CONSTITUTIONAL RIGHTS OF ILLEGAL, STUDENT VISA, AND GREEN CARD MIGRANTS

  • 58% of voters support birthright U.S. citizenship for the children of illegal immigrants (Democrats: 80%; Republicans: 40%; Independents: 56%), with 64% and a majority across parties believing it to be a constitutional requirement.
  • 62% of voters say illegal immigrants should not have the same First Amendment rights as U.S. citizens and should be subject to deportation if they support causes counter to U.S. foreign policy.
  • But 53% of voters say legal migrants on student visas have such rights, and 63% of voters say the same for green card holders (Democrats: 75%; Republicans: 40%; Independents: 64%).
  • 69% of voters believe the federal government should have the authority to revoke green cards and deport individuals if it can prove active support for U.S.-designated terrorist organizations like Hamas (Democrats: 55%; Republican: 86%; Independents: 64%).

MAJORITY OF VOTERS BELIEVE POWER TO HALT A NATIONWIDE PROGRAM SHOULD BE RESERVED FOR A PANEL OF MULTIPLE JUDGES

  • 56% of voters say the administration is exceeding its authority and getting hit with fair injunctions restraining its powers (Democrats: 73%; Republicans: 40%; Independents: 56%).
  • 52% of voters say the president should be able to deport suspected members of Venezuelan criminal gangs without a court trial.
  • 50% of voters believe a federal judge has the authority to turn around military planes under suspicion of wrongful immigration procedures.
  • 52% of voters say federal judges are in general acting appropriately within their authority (Democrats: 66%; Republicans: 41%; Independents: 49%).
  • But 69% of voters and a majority across parties say the power to halt a nationwide program should be reserved for a panel of judges rather than a single federal judge.

AMERICANS WANT TO BALANCE THE BUDGET AND CUT DOWN GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES BUT DON'T KNOW HOW MUCH TO CUT AND WHETHER MUSK AND DOGE ARE HELPING

  • The majority of voters continue to say the current level of U.S. federal government debt is unsustainable (68%), the government should move to balance the budget in the next few years (83%), and it should do so by reducing government expenditures rather than increasing taxes (79%). But the plurality of voters (47%) are unsure how much expenditure to cut.
  • 63% of voters perceive government expenditures are filled with waste, fraud, and inefficiency.
  • 68% of voters support the goal of cutting $1 trillion of government expenditures, but only 42% believe Musk and DOGE will be able to hit the goal by the end of the year.
  • 56% of voters say DOGE and Musk are helping make major cuts in government expenditures (Democrats: 33%; Republicans: 83%; Independents: 50%).

VOTERS BELIEVE U.S. SHOULD RESET TRADE AND TARIFF POLICIES WITH CHINA, MEXICO, AND CANADA

  • Voters are split on whether Trump's tariffs will end on better terms for the U.S. (51%) or if they will be counterproductive and worsen the economy (49%).
  • 59% of voters say the U.S. should reset trade and tariff policies with China, Mexico, and Canada (Democrats: 45%; Republicans: 72%; Independents: 60%).
  • The majority of voters believe China (67%) and Mexico (53%) are taking advantage of the U.S. in trade and tariff policies, while 54% believe Canada is acting fairly.

U.S. ACTIONS AGAINST IRAN AND HOUTHI TERRORISTS RECEIVE SUPPORT BUT MOST SAY IT WAS WRONG TO HOLD DISCUSSION ON SIGNAL APP

  • Support for Israel over Hamas in the conflict (77%) remains unchanged. 54% of voters support Trump's handling of the conflict (+21 points, Biden in January 2025).
  • 72% of voters support destroying Iran's nuclear weapons facilities, and 59% of voters say the U.S. should support Israel in airstrikes to do so.
  • 71% of voters support the administration's air strikes against Houthi terrorists who were firing missiles at U.S. warships and blocking shipping at the Suez Canal (Democrats: 58%; Republicans: 86%; Independents: 68%), with 60% of voters agreeing the U.S. was right to engage rather than leave it to Europe.
  • 60% of voters, however, say it was wrong to hold the discussion on Houthi strikes over the Signal app. 56% believe the journalist was added deliberately.
  • 54% of voters think the Signal app incident is a big deal with major ramifications (Democrats: 70%; Republicans: 41%; Independents: 52%) and National Security Adviser Mike Waltz should be fired.

MOST VOTERS WANT AN END TO THE WAR IN UKRAINE BUT ATTITUDES TOWARD TRUMP NEGOTIATIONS ARE MIXED

  • 70% of voters want Ukraine to negotiate a settlement over continuing the war against Russia.
  • 56% of voters are satisfied with how Trump is managing negotiations to end the war.
  • 53% of voters do not perceive Trump as abandoning Ukraine in favor of Russia (Democrats: 29%; Republicans: 73%; Independents: 55%).
  • Voters are split on whether Trump has been too tough on dealing with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy (Too tough: 35%; Not tough enough: 34%; About right: 31%), but a majority (61%) think he has not been tough enough on dealing with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The March Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on March 26-27, 2025, among 2,746 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms. 

About The Harris Poll & HarrisX

The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

Contact:
Carrie Hsu
pr@stagwellglobal.com  

The Harvard-CAPS Harris Poll is a monthly research collaboration between the Harvard Center for American Political Studies and the Harris Poll (PRNewsfoto/Stagwell Inc.)

 

Cision View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/march-harvard-caps--harris-poll-trump-approval-rating-drops-slightly-but-54-say-he-is-doing-a-better-job-than-biden-as-president-302415624.html

SOURCE Stagwell Inc.

FAQ

What is the current approval rating for Trump according to the March 2025 Stagwell (STGW) Harvard CAPS poll?

Trump's approval rating stands at 49%, showing a 3-point decrease from February 2025.

How do voters view Trump's performance compared to Biden according to the STGW poll?

54% of voters say Trump is doing a better job than Biden as President, including 19% of Democrats, 89% of Republicans, and 50% of Independents.

What percentage of voters support reducing government expenditures according to the latest STGW Harvard poll?

79% of voters want to balance the budget by reducing government expenditures rather than increasing taxes.

What is the Democratic Party's current approval rating in the March 2025 STGW poll?

The Democratic Party has a 37% approval rating, the lowest since March 2018 except for February 2025 (36%).

Which Trump policies receive the highest support according to the March 2025 STGW Harvard poll?

The most popular policies are deportation of illegal immigrants who committed crimes (80%), closing the border (74%), and eliminating fraud and waste in government expenditures (72%).
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