ONCOR REPORTS 2024 RESULTS; ANNOUNCES $36 BILLION 2025-2029 CAPITAL PLAN
Rhea-AI Summary
Oncor Electric Delivery reported strong 2024 results with net income of $968 million, up from $864 million in 2023. The company announced an ambitious $36.1 billion capital plan for 2025-2029, including $7.1 billion for 2025, to support Texas' unprecedented growth in energy demand.
The increased net income was driven by higher revenues from updated interim rates, increased transmission billing units, customer growth, and base rates implemented in May 2023. These gains were partially offset by lower consumption due to milder weather, higher interest and depreciation expenses, and increased operation and maintenance costs.
Oncor added 77,000 premises in 2024 and placed over $2 billion of transmission projects into service. The company set records for transmission point-of-interconnection requests, with 976 active requests in queue by year-end—a 28% increase from 2023. Large commercial and industrial load growth accelerated significantly, with interconnection requests exceeding 137 gigawatts.
The new capital plan represents a $12 billion increase from the previous five-year plan, with additional potential incremental opportunities of approximately $12 billion identified. Oncor is contemplating filing a comprehensive base rate review later this year and received approval for its System Resiliency Plan in November 2024.
Positive
- Net income increased to $968 million in 2024, up $104 million from 2023
- Near-record growth with 77,000 new premises added in 2024
- Placed over $2 billion of transmission projects into service in 2024
- Record 976 active transmission POI requests in queue, a 28% increase from 2023
- Large commercial and industrial interconnection queue exceeded 137 GW, a 250% increase from 2023
- Announced new five-year capital plan of $36.1 billion for 2025-2029
- Identified additional $12 billion in potential incremental capital opportunities
- Key safety metrics improved in 2024, with injury rates decreasing by over 25%
- System Resiliency Plan approved by PUCT in November 2024
Negative
- Higher interest expense and depreciation expense associated with increases in invested capital
- Higher operation and maintenance expense, including increased insurance premiums
- Lower customer consumption primarily due to milder weather compared to prior period
- Q4 2024 net income decreased to $168 million from $181 million in Q4 2023
Insights
Oncor's 2024 financial results reveal substantial growth, with net income rising to $968 million, a 12% increase year-over-year. This performance significantly outpaces the average utility sector growth rate of 4-6%. The growth was primarily driven by rate adjustments reflecting capital investments, increased transmission billing units, and customer additions, though partially offset by weather-related consumption decreases and higher operational expenses. Notably, Q4 showed a 7.2% year-over-year decline in net income to $168 million, indicating some headwinds from rising interest expenses and operational costs.
The announcement of a $36.1 billion capital plan for 2025-2029 represents a 50% increase from the previous five-year outlook and signals an extraordinary growth trajectory. This capital deployment strategy is exceptionally aggressive even for high-growth utilities, with annual capex of approximately $7.2 billion representing nearly 65% of Oncor's estimated rate base. The plan's focus on system resiliency ($3 billion), Permian Basin projects ($2 billion), and large customer interconnections positions Oncor at the center of Texas' economic expansion.
Particularly impressive is Oncor's customer growth metrics in a competitive Texas market. The addition of 77,000 premises in 2024 represents about 2% organic growth, while the 250% surge in large commercial and industrial interconnection requests to 137 GW reflects Texas' emergence as a data center and industrial hub. The diversification beyond data centers is crucial, with non-data center customers representing 18 GW of the queue.
From a financial perspective, Oncor's $3.1 billion liquidity position provides solid near-term flexibility, but the planned issuance of $8-10 billion in senior secured notes over the next two years will significantly alter its capital structure. This debt issuance, representing approximately 70-90% of current market cap, will likely increase leverage ratios but remains manageable given regulated returns on these investments.
The regulatory environment appears supportive, with PUCT approval of the System Resiliency Plan and ongoing rate adjustment mechanisms. However, the contemplated comprehensive base rate review later this year introduces some regulatory uncertainty that investors should monitor closely. The sheer volume of regulatory filings planned for 2025 (averaging two Certificates of Convenience and Necessity monthly) reflects both the scale of growth and the regulatory workload ahead.
For Sempra investors, Oncor's performance and growth trajectory represent a significant positive catalyst. As Oncor contributes approximately 40-45% of Sempra's earnings, this accelerated capital plan should drive above-average EPS growth for the parent company over the next five years, potentially supporting multiple expansion if execution remains strong.
Oncor's ambitious $36.1 billion five-year capital plan represents one of the most aggressive grid expansion programs in U.S. utility history, with annual investments averaging $7.2 billion – nearly double the deployment rate of most large utilities. This unprecedented scale reflects Texas' extraordinary energy demand growth trajectory, with ERCOT projecting peak demand to surge 76% from 85GW to 150GW by 2030, driven by industrial expansion, population growth, and electrification trends.
The infrastructure metrics reveal the magnitude of this transformation. Oncor's interconnection queue has exploded to 976 active transmission requests (up 28% year-over-year) and 137GW of large commercial and industrial load requests – equivalent to 1.6 times ERCOT's current peak demand. This growth vastly exceeds comparable transmission operators in California (~30GW queue) or Arizona (~20GW queue). The diversified nature of these requests is particularly significant, with the generation mix balanced between solar (44%), storage (44%), wind (7%), and gas (4%), while non-data center industrial load represents 18GW of demand.
From an execution perspective, Oncor faces substantial implementation challenges. The planned construction of approximately 5,000-6,000 miles of transmission and distribution lines annually will strain supply chains for critical components like transformers (facing 18-24 month lead times) and high-voltage equipment. The company's ability to execute two Certificate of Convenience and Necessity filings monthly throughout 2025 will test both internal resources and regulatory capacity at the PUCT.
The $3 billion System Resiliency Plan represents a critical reliability investment following Texas' historic 2021 grid failures. These hardening measures – including advanced line sensors, strategic undergrounding, and enhanced cybersecurity – should significantly improve Oncor's SAIDI (System Average Interruption Duration Index) and SAIFI (System Average Interruption Frequency Index) metrics, potentially reducing outage minutes by 15-20% according to industry benchmarks for similar programs.
The technological architecture of these investments will shape Texas' grid for decades. Oncor's transmission expansions must accommodate not just capacity growth but increasingly bidirectional power flows from distributed resources. The 44% of interconnection requests from energy storage will require advanced control systems and power electronics to manage grid stability with declining system inertia.
For ratepayers, these investments create a complex value proposition. While the massive capital deployment will eventually flow into Oncor's rate base, potentially increasing distribution charges by 3-5% annually, the economic development benefits and congestion reduction from transmission expansions should partially offset these increases through lower wholesale energy costs and economic growth benefits.
"I want to begin by recognizing the Oncor team for their incredible resilience and dedication to our customers, our mission, and each other. Last month, Oncor received a prestigious EEI Emergency Response Award due to their hard work and around the clock storm restoration efforts. I am so proud of what they do, and their relentless focus on safety, reliability, and service to our communities," Oncor CEO Allen Nye said. "The Oncor team is also rising to the challenge of the most significant growth period in our company's history, working every day to meet the demand and customer growth across both the transmission and distribution sides of our business while also making a substantial investment in making our grid more resilient. With this significant projected growth, we are announcing a new five-year,
Oncor reported net income of
As
Oncor increased its premise count by a near-company record 77,000 in 2024 as compared to 73,000 in 2023, reinforcing
In 2024, Oncor set company records for annual active and new transmission POI requests in queue. At December 31, 2024, Oncor had 976 active transmission POI requests in queue, representing a
Oncor's large commercial and industrial ("LC&I") load growth in particular has continued to accelerate, and its LC&I interconnection queue of customer requests, including requests without signed agreements, exceeded 137 gigawatts ("GW") as of December 31, 2024, an approximately
Oncor's growth reflects rising demand in the Electric Reliability Council of
Capital Plan Update
Today, Oncor is announcing a new five-year capital plan of approximately
Oncor's 2025-2029 capital plan has increased approximately
- Nearly
for Oncor's System Resiliency Plan approved by the PUCT last year;$3 billion for brownfield local common projects in the Permian Basin Reliability Plan;$2 billion for transmission projects in the$1 billion Delaware Basin Load Integration Plan andWest Texas 345 kV Infrastructure Plan; for interconnection of generation and LC&I customers with executed agreements; and$2 billion for distribution upgrades and other capital needs.$4 billion
Notably, Oncor's capital plan only includes expected spend for major transmission projects for which all regulatory approvals have been obtained. Additionally, with regard to LC&I customers seeking interconnection at the transmission level, like data centers, the capital plan only includes those projects for which customers have executed an agreement with Oncor.
As a result, Oncor has identified approximately
Operational Highlights
In January 2025, Oncor was awarded the EEI Emergency Response Award for its response to significant storm activity across its service territory in May 2024. The award recognizes member companies that put forth outstanding efforts to restore service promptly to the public following a storm or natural disaster, underscoring the company's ongoing commitment to grid resiliency.
Oncor's key safety metrics improved in 2024, including its Days Away, Restricted or Transferred rate and Lost Time Injury rate, which improved by
Regulatory Update
Oncor is contemplating filing a comprehensive base rate review later this year. To date in 2025, Oncor has already filed requests for an interim transmission cost of service rate adjustment and an interim distribution cost recovery factor rate adjustment. Oncor also expects to file an average of two Certificates of Convenience and Necessity per month in 2025, primarily attributable to Oncor's projects identified in the Permian Basin Reliability Plan. This pace not only reflects the urgency of
Additionally, in November 2024, the PUCT approved Oncor's System Resiliency Plan, which provides for approximately
Liquidity
As of February 24, 2025, Oncor's available liquidity, consisting of cash on hand and available borrowing capacity under its existing credit facilities, commercial paper program and accounts receivable facility ("AR Facility"), totaled approximately
Sempra Internet Broadcast Today
Sempra (NYSE: SRE) (BMV: SRE) will broadcast a live discussion of its earnings results over the Internet today at 12 p.m. ET, which will include discussion of 2024 results and other information relating to Oncor. Oncor Chief Executive Allen Nye will also participate in the broadcast. Access to the broadcast is available by logging onto the Investors section of Sempra's website, sempra.com/investors. Prior to the conference call, an accompanying slide presentation will be posted on sempra.com/investors. For those unable to participate in the live webcast, it will be available on replay a few hours after its conclusion at sempra.com/investors.
Annual Report on Form 10-K
Oncor's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024 will be filed with the
Oncor Electric Delivery Company LLC | |||||||||||
Q4 '24 | Q4 '23 | TME '24 | TME '23 | ||||||||
Operating revenues | $ | 1,472 | $ | 1,359 | $ | 6,082 | $ | 5,586 | |||
Operating expenses: | |||||||||||
Wholesale transmission service | 341 | 326 | 1,394 | 1,291 | |||||||
Operation and maintenance | 361 | 320 | 1,293 | 1,150 | |||||||
Depreciation and amortization | 273 | 249 | 1,060 | 978 | |||||||
Provision in lieu of income taxes | 36 | 39 | 208 | 185 | |||||||
Taxes other than amounts related to income taxes | 140 | 124 | 571 | 552 | |||||||
Write-off of rate base disallowances | - | - | - | 55 | |||||||
Total operating expenses | 1,151 | 1,058 | 4,526 | 4,211 | |||||||
Operating income | 321 | 301 | 1,556 | 1,375 | |||||||
Other (income) and deductions – net | (18) | (21) | (63) | (31) | |||||||
Non-operating provision (benefit) in lieu of income taxes | (1) | 1 | (2) | (8) | |||||||
Interest expense and related charges | 172 | 140 | 653 | 536 | |||||||
Write-off of non-operating rate base disallowances | - | - | - | 14 | |||||||
Net income | $ | 168 | $ | 181 | $ | 968 | $ | 864 | |||
Oncor Electric Delivery Company LLC | |||||
TME '24 | TME '23 | ||||
Cash flows – operating activities: | |||||
Net income | $ | 968 | $ | 864 | |
Adjustments to reconcile net income to cash provided by operating activities: | |||||
Depreciation and amortization, including regulatory amortization | 1,233 | 1,117 | |||
Write-off of rate base disallowances | - | 69 | |||
Provision in lieu of deferred income taxes – net | 155 | 61 | |||
Other – net | 1 | (10) | |||
Changes in operating assets and liabilities: | |||||
Accounts receivable | (29) | (43) | |||
Inventories | (121) | (137) | |||
Accounts payable – trade | 78 | 42 | |||
Regulatory assets – deferred revenues | 15 | 1 | |||
Regulatory assets – self-insurance reserve | (327) | (232) | |||
Customer deposits | 86 | 42 | |||
Other – assets | (177) | (22) | |||
Other – liabilities | 105 | 48 | |||
Cash provided by operating activities | 1,987 | 1,800 | |||
Cash flows – financing activities: | |||||
Issuances of senior secured notes | 1,992 | 2,200 | |||
Repayments of senior secured notes | (500) | - | |||
Borrowings under term loans | - | 775 | |||
Repayments under term loans | - | (875) | |||
Borrowings under AR Facility | 900 | 600 | |||
Repayments under AR Facility | (900) | (600) | |||
Borrowings under | 500 | - | |||
Repayments under | (20) | - | |||
Net change in short-term borrowings | 312 | 84 | |||
Capital contributions from members | 1,211 | 452 | |||
Distributions to members | (753) | (552) | |||
Debt discount, financing and reacquisition costs – net | (24) | (46) | |||
Cash provided by financing activities | 2,718 | 2,038 | |||
Cash flows – investing activities: | |||||
Capital expenditures | (4,683) | (3,824) | |||
Sales tax audit settlement refund | 56 | - | |||
Reimbursement from third party in joint project | - | 1 | |||
Proceeds from sales of non-utility properties | 2 | 9 | |||
Other – net | 31 | 29 | |||
Cash used in investing activities | (4,594) | (3,785) | |||
Net change in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash | 111 | 53 | |||
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash – beginning balance | 151 | 98 | |||
Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash – ending balance | $ | 262 | $ | 151 | |
Oncor Electric Delivery Company LLC | |||||
At 12/31/24 | At 12/31/23 | ||||
ASSETS | |||||
Current assets: | |||||
Cash and cash equivalents | $ | 36 | $ | 19 | |
Restricted cash, current | 20 | 24 | |||
Accounts receivable – net | 970 | 944 | |||
Amounts receivable from members related to income taxes | 30 | 4 | |||
Materials and supplies inventories – at average cost | 462 | 341 | |||
Prepayments and other current assets | 124 | 101 | |||
Total current assets | 1,642 | 1,433 | |||
Restricted cash, noncurrent | 206 | 108 | |||
Investments and other property | 183 | 158 | |||
Property, plant and equipment – net | 31,769 | 28,057 | |||
Goodwill | 4,740 | 4,740 | |||
Regulatory assets | 1,671 | 1,556 | |||
Right-of-use operating lease and other assets | 240 | 142 | |||
Total assets | $ | 40,451 | $ | 36,194 | |
LIABILITIES AND MEMBERSHIP INTERESTS | |||||
Current liabilities: | |||||
Short-term borrowings | $ | 594 | $ | 282 | |
Accounts payable – trade | 770 | 600 | |||
Amounts payable to members related to income taxes | 29 | 27 | |||
Accrued taxes other than amounts related to income | 274 | 261 | |||
Accrued interest | 149 | 117 | |||
Operating lease and other current liabilities | 367 | 338 | |||
Total current liabilities | 2,183 | 1,625 | |||
Long-term debt, noncurrent | 15,234 | 13,294 | |||
Liability in lieu of deferred income taxes | 2,552 | 2,320 | |||
Regulatory liabilities | 2,973 | 3,000 | |||
Employee benefit plan obligations | 1,384 | 1,442 | |||
Operating lease and other obligations | 495 | 305 | |||
Total liabilities | 24,821 | 21,986 | |||
Commitments and contingencies | |||||
Membership interests: | |||||
Capital account ― number of units outstanding 2024 and 2023 – 635,000,000 | 15,814 | 14,388 | |||
Accumulated other comprehensive loss | (184) | (180) | |||
Total membership interests | 15,630 | 14,208 | |||
Total liabilities and membership interests | $ | 40,451 | $ | 36,194 | |
Oncor Electric Delivery Company LLC | |||||||||||||||
Q4 '24 | Q4 '23 | TME '24 | TME '23 | ||||||||||||
Operating statistics: | |||||||||||||||
Electric energy volumes (gigawatt-hours): | |||||||||||||||
Residential | 9,331 | 9,146 | 46,444 | 47,112 | |||||||||||
Commercial, industrial, small business and other | 29,496 | 26,760 | 116,247 | 109,365 | |||||||||||
Total electric energy volumes | 38,827 | 35,906 | 162,691 | 156,477 | |||||||||||
Residential system weighted weather data (a): | |||||||||||||||
Cooling degree days | 187 | 112 | 2,071 | 2,268 | |||||||||||
Heating degree days | 150 | 222 | 610 | 608 | |||||||||||
Reliability statistics (b): | |||||||||||||||
System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI) (non-storm) | 74.7 | 70.0 | |||||||||||||
System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI) | 1.1 | 1.0 | |||||||||||||
Customer Average Interruption Duration Index (CAIDI) | 69.8 | 70.7 | |||||||||||||
Electricity points of delivery (end of period and in | |||||||||||||||
Electricity distribution points of delivery (based on number | 4,046 | 3,969 | |||||||||||||
Operating revenues ($ millions): | |||||||||||||||
Revenues contributing to earnings: | |||||||||||||||
Distribution base revenues | |||||||||||||||
Residential (c) | $ 311 | $ 290 | $ 1,477 | $ 1,334 | |||||||||||
LC&I (d) | 323 | 302 | 1,283 | 1,162 | |||||||||||
Other (e) | 33 | 30 | 126 | 132 | |||||||||||
Total Distribution base revenues (f) | 667 | 622 | 2,886 | 2,628 | |||||||||||
Transmission base revenues (TCOS revenues) | |||||||||||||||
Billed to third-party wholesale customers | 263 | 238 | 1,050 | 959 | |||||||||||
Billed to REPs serving Oncor distribution customers, | 143 | 134 | 574 | 539 | |||||||||||
Total TCOS revenues | 406 | 372 | 1,624 | 1,498 | |||||||||||
Other miscellaneous revenues | 39 | 26 | 112 | 109 | |||||||||||
Total revenues contributing to earnings | 1,112 | 1,020 | 4,622 | 4,235 | |||||||||||
Revenues collected for pass-through expenses: | |||||||||||||||
TCRF – third-party wholesale transmission service | 341 | 326 | 1,394 | 1,291 | |||||||||||
EECRF and other revenues | 19 | 13 | 66 | 60 | |||||||||||
Total revenues collected for pass-through expenses | 360 | 339 | 1,460 | 1,351 | |||||||||||
Total operating revenues | $ 1,472 | $ 1,359 | $ 6,082 | $ 5,586 | |||||||||||
______________ | |
(a) | Degree days are measures of how warm or cold it is throughout Oncor's service territory. A degree day compares the average of the hourly outdoor temperatures during each day to a 65° Fahrenheit standard temperature. The more extreme the outside temperature, the higher the number of degree days. A high number of degree days generally results in higher levels of energy use for space cooling or heating. |
(b) | SAIDI is the average number of minutes electric service is interrupted per consumer in a 12-month period. SAIFI is the average number of electric service interruptions per consumer in a 12-month period. CAIDI is the average duration in minutes per electric service interruption in a 12-month period. In each case, Oncor's non-storm reliability performance reflects electric service interruptions of one minute or more per customer. Each of these results excludes outages during significant storm events. |
(c) | Distribution base revenues from residential customers are generally based on actual monthly consumption (kWh). On a weather-normalized basis, distribution base revenues from residential customers increased |
(d) | Depending on size and annual load factor, distribution base revenues from LC&I customers are generally based either on actual monthly demand (kilowatts) or the greater of actual monthly demand (kilowatts) or |
(e) | Includes distribution base revenues from small business customers whose billing is generally based on actual monthly consumption (kWh), lighting sites and other miscellaneous distribution base revenues. |
(f) | The |
About Oncor
Headquartered in Dallas, Oncor Electric Delivery Company LLC is a regulated electricity transmission and distribution business that uses superior asset management skills to provide reliable electricity delivery to consumers. Oncor (together with its subsidiaries) operates the largest transmission and distribution system in
Forward-Looking Statements
This news release contains forward-looking statements relating to Oncor within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, that are included in this news release, as well as statements made in presentations, in response to questions or otherwise, that address activities, events or developments that Oncor expects or anticipates to occur in the future, including such matters as projections, capital allocation, future capital expenditures, business strategy, competitive strengths, goals, future acquisitions or dispositions, development or operation of facilities, market and industry developments and the growth of Oncor's business and operations (often, but not always, through the use of words or phrases such as "intends," "plans," "will likely result," "expects," "are expected to," "will continue," "is anticipated," "estimated," "forecast," "should," "projection," "target," "goal," "objective" and "outlook"), are forward-looking statements. Although Oncor believes that in making any such forward-looking statement its expectations are based on reasonable assumptions, any such forward-looking statement involves risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Factors that could cause Oncor's actual results to differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements include: legislation, governmental policies and orders, and regulatory actions; legal and administrative proceedings and settlements, including the exercise of equitable powers by courts; weather conditions and other natural phenomena, including any weather impacts due to climate change and damage to Oncor's system caused by severe weather events, natural disasters or wildfires; cyber-attacks on Oncor or Oncor's third-party vendors; changes in expected ERCOT and service territory growth; changes in, or cancellations of, anticipated projects, including customer requested interconnection projects; physical attacks on Oncor's system, acts of sabotage, wars, terrorist activities, wildfires, fires, explosions, natural disasters, hazards customary to the industry, or other emergency events and the possibility that Oncor may not have adequate insurance to cover losses or third-party liabilities related to any such event; actions by credit rating agencies to downgrade Oncor's credit ratings or place those ratings on negative outlook; health epidemics and pandemics, including their impact on Oncor's business and the economy in general; interrupted or degraded service on key technology platforms, facilities failures, or equipment interruptions; economic conditions, including the impact of a recessionary environment, inflation, supply chain disruptions, foreign policy, global trade restrictions, tariffs, competition for goods and services, service provider availability, and labor availability and cost; unanticipated changes in electricity demand in ERCOT or Oncor's service territory; ERCOT grid needs and ERCOT market conditions, including insufficient electricity generation within the ERCOT market or disruptions at power generation facilities that supply power within the ERCOT market; changes in business strategy, development plans or vendor relationships; changes in interest rates, foreign currency exchange rates, or rates of inflation; significant changes in operating expenses, liquidity needs and/or capital expenditures; inability of various counterparties to meet their financial and other obligations to Oncor, including failure of counterparties to timely perform under agreements; general industry and ERCOT trends; significant decreases in demand or consumption of electricity delivered by Oncor, including as a result of increased consumer use of third-party distributed energy resources or other technologies; changes in technology used by and services offered by Oncor; significant changes in Oncor's relationship with its employees, including the availability of qualified personnel, and the potential adverse effects if labor disputes or grievances were to occur; changes in assumptions used to estimate costs of providing employee benefits, including pension and retiree benefits, and future funding requirements related thereto; significant changes in accounting policies or critical accounting estimates material to Oncor; commercial bank and financial market conditions, macroeconomic conditions, access to capital, the cost of such capital, and the results of financing and refinancing efforts, including availability of funds and the potential impact of any disruptions in
Further discussion of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from management's current projections, forecasts, estimates and expectations is contained in filings made by Oncor with the
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SOURCE Oncor Electric Delivery Company LLC