Vacation-Home Boom Continues Into 2022, With Demand Up Nearly 90% From Pre-Pandemic Levels

Rhea-AI Summary

Redfin reported a significant surge in homebuyer demand for second homes, which rose by 87% from pre-pandemic levels in January, marking the highest level in a year. Meanwhile, demand for primary residences also climbed 42% from pre-pandemic levels. This trend is attributed to affluent buyers locking in mortgage rates before further increases, as mortgage rates exceeded 3.5% for the first time since March 2020. Home prices in seasonal towns increased by 20% year-over-year, outpacing non-seasonal towns where prices rose by 13%.

Positive

• Homebuyer demand for second homes surged by 87% from pre-pandemic levels.
• Primary residence demand increased by 42% from pre-pandemic levels.
• Home prices in seasonal towns rose by 20% year-over-year.

Negative

• Potential decline in second-home demand expected in the coming year as mortgage rates increase.

Demand for second homes hit its highest level in a year in January, with affluent Americans locking in mortgage rates before they increase further. Meanwhile, demand for primary residences was up 42% from pre-pandemic levels.

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) — Homebuyer demand for second homes was up 87% from pre-pandemic levels in January, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. This is the highest level in a year and just shy of the record 90% gain in September 2020.

Demand for second-home mortgages is outpacing demand for primary residences, which was up 42% from pre-pandemic levels in January. Redfin’s report uses residential mortgage-rate lock data to measure demand.

Interest in second homes started skyrocketing in mid-2020 as affluent Americans took advantage of remote work and low mortgage rates to escape to and invest in vacation destinations. Demand declined last spring—though it remained well above pre-pandemic levels—before bouncing back in the fall.

“Demand for second homes was strong in January as buyers tried to lock in relatively low mortgage payments,” said Redfin Deputy Chief Economist Taylor Marr. “Mortgage rates surpassed 3.5% in January for the first time since March 2020, encouraging buyers who were on the fence about purchasing a vacation home to commit before rates increase further. While I expect demand for second homes to remain higher than it was before the pandemic, mostly because of remote work, it may fall slightly in the coming year as mortgage rates continue to go up and fees for second-home loans increase.”

Redfin economists predict that the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate will rise to 3.9% over the course of 2022.

Home prices in seasonal towns up 20%, outpacing non-seasonal towns

Home prices in seasonal towns–where second homes are often located–are up more than prices in non-seasonal towns. The typical home in a seasonal town sold for $501,000 in December–the most recent month for which data is available–a 20% year-over-year increase. That marks 18 straight months of double-digit price growth.

In non-seasonal towns, the median sale price rose 13% year over year to $408,000. For this analysis, a seasonal town is defined as an area where more than 30% of housing is used for seasonal or recreational purposes according to the 2019 Census.

Meanwhile, the number of homes for sale in seasonal towns was down 29% year over year in the fourth quarter, versus a 16% decline in non-seasonal towns. Demand from second-home buyers is likely contributing to the comparatively stronger price growth and tighter inventory in seasonal towns.

To read the full report, including methodology and charts, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/vacation-homes-january-2022

About Redfin

Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, instant home-buying (iBuying), rentals, lending, title insurance, and renovations services. We sell homes for more money and charge half the fee. We also run the country's #1 real-estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Customers selling a home can take an instant cash offer from Redfin or have our renovations crew fix up their home to sell for top dollar. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than $1 billion in commissions. We serve more than 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 6,000 people.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220210005326/en/

Redfin Journalist Services:

Ally Braun, 206-588-6863

press@redfin.com

Source: Redfin

FAQ

What was the increase in demand for second homes as reported by Redfin in January?

Demand for second homes increased by 87% from pre-pandemic levels in January.

How did primary residence demand change in January according to Redfin?

Primary residence demand was up 42% from pre-pandemic levels in January.

What mortgage rate trend is affecting homebuyer decisions according to Redfin?

Mortgage rates surpassed 3.5% in January, prompting buyers to secure lower rates before increases.

What are Redfin's predictions for the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in 2022?

Redfin economists predict the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate will rise to 3.9% in 2022.

How have home prices changed in seasonal towns compared to non-seasonal towns?

Home prices in seasonal towns increased by 20% year-over-year, while non-seasonal towns saw a 13% increase.