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Redfin (NASDAQ: RDFN) reports that U.S. median asking rents fell 0.3% year over year to $1,594 in December 2024, reaching the lowest level since March 2022. This represents a 6.2% decline from the August 2022 peak of $1,700.
The decline is attributed to increased housing supply, with apartment completions surging 58.1% year over year in Q3 2024, reaching the highest level since 1974. This has led to an 8% vacancy rate for buildings with five or more units.
The report shows declining rents across all apartment types, with 3+ bedrooms experiencing the largest drop (-2.5% to $1,950). Among major metros, Austin saw the steepest decline (-16.3%), followed by Tampa (-10.4%) and Jacksonville (-6.7%). Conversely, Providence led rent increases (12.6%), followed by Virginia Beach (10.9%).
Redfin's latest housing market report shows mixed signals at the start of 2025. The company's Homebuyer Demand Index recorded a 2% increase in tours and buying services both month-over-month and year-over-year. However, this hasn't translated into sales, with pending home sales falling 3.1% year-over-year.
The market is seeing daily average mortgage rates hit a seven-month high of 7.17%, while new listings decreased by 2.5%. Despite challenges, active listings are up 10.6% with the median sale price at $379,988, representing a 5.5% increase year-over-year. The median monthly mortgage payment stands at $2,525 at a 6.91% rate.
Regional variations are significant, with Milwaukee leading price increases at 19.5%, while Austin showed a 1% decline. Only 22.1% of homes sold above list price, down from 24% the previous year.
Redfin's recent survey reveals that 34% of U.S. homeowners say they'll never sell their homes, while 27% won't consider selling for at least 10 years. The survey shows generational differences, with 43% of baby boomers, 34% of Gen X, and 28% of millennial/Gen Z owners planning to never sell.
Among homeowners not planning to sell soon, 39% cite having their home paid off or nearly paid off as the main reason, while 37% simply like their current home. 30% are deterred by high home prices, and 18% want to keep their low mortgage rates. The current housing market shows home prices up about 40% since pre-pandemic, with average mortgage rates at 6.91%, compared to 4% in 2019.
This reluctance to sell has contributed to new listings remaining below pre-pandemic levels, with only 25 of every 1,000 U.S. homes changing hands in the first eight months of 2024, marking the lowest turnover rate in decades.
Redfin's latest report indicates that housing affordability in 2024 did not worsen for the first time in four years. However, the cost of buying a home remains high. A household earning the median US income of $83,782 would need to spend 41.8% of their earnings on the median-priced home at $429,734, down slightly from 42.2% in 2023 but still above the ideal 30% threshold.
Homebuyers need an income of $116,782 to afford the median-priced home, which is significantly higher than the median household income. The median monthly housing payment reached a record $2,920, up 4.3% from 2023 and 86% from 2019. Wage growth of around 4% year-over-year contributed to a slight improvement in affordability.
Texas metros like Austin, San Antonio, Dallas, and Fort Worth saw the most significant improvements in affordability, while Anaheim and Chicago experienced the steepest declines. California metros remain the least affordable, with Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Anaheim topping the list. In contrast, Rust Belt metros like Pittsburgh and Detroit are among the most affordable.
Despite the slight improvement, Redfin's Senior Economist Elijah de la Campa notes that buying a home remains out of reach for many Americans, with prices expected to rise in 2025 due to low inventory.
Redfin (NASDAQ: RDFN) reports an 8% year-over-year increase in new listings during the four weeks ending December 29, 2024, while total homes for sale rose 10%. The median sale price reached $383,750, up 6.4% year-over-year, marking the biggest increase since October 2022. Pending sales showed a slight decline of 1.1%, with mortgage rates remaining near 7%.
The median monthly mortgage payment stood at $2,515 at a 6.91% rate, up 8.1%. Market indicators show mixed signals, with mortgage-purchase applications down 13% from two weeks earlier. Among metro areas, Milwaukee led with the highest year-over-year price increase (17.4%), while San Francisco showed the strongest growth in new listings (48%).
Redfin (RDFN) reports that active housing listings reached their highest level since 2020 in November, increasing 0.5% month-over-month and 12.1% year-over-year. However, this surge is largely attributed to unsold homes, with 54.5% of listings remaining on the market for 60+ days - the highest November share since 2019.
The typical home took 43 days to sell, marking the slowest November pace since 2019. Miami leads among top 50 metros with 63.8% of stale listings, followed by Austin (62.4%) and Fort Lauderdale (62.3%). Florida and Texas show the highest shares of stale inventory due to increased construction, rising HOA fees, insurance costs, and natural disaster risks. Conversely, Providence, RI has the lowest share at 38.2% of listings staying on market for 60+ days.
Redfin (NASDAQ: RDFN) reports that 33.6% of U.S. renters have lived in their homes for at least five years, up from 28.4% a decade ago. This trend is driven by soaring home purchase costs and high moving expenses. 25.6% of renters move within 12 months, while 40.8% move between 1-4 years.
The analysis shows geographical variations, with Denver (38%), Austin (37.8%), and Salt Lake City (36.9%) having the highest percentage of renters moving within 12 months. Conversely, New York (14.9%), Los Angeles (16.7%), and Riverside (18.9%) show the lowest mobility rates. Notably, rental tenure patterns vary by generation, with 34.1% of baby boomers staying in the same home for 10+ years, while 52.4% of Gen Z renters moved within a year.
Redfin (NASDAQ: RDFN) reports that active housing listings increased 12% year-over-year during the four weeks ending December 22, 2024, marking the smallest increase since March. The median sale price rose 6% to $383,725, while pending sales declined 3.4%, marking the first drop in three months. The housing market shows mixed signals with a median monthly mortgage payment of $2,519 at a 6.85% rate, up 7.1% year-over-year.
Regional variations are significant, with Philadelphia leading price increases at 17.1%, while markets like San Antonio saw the largest declines in pending sales (-17.4%) and new listings (-18.3%). The market currently shows 4 months of supply, with homes spending a median of 45 days on market, 6 days longer than the previous year.
U.S. home prices increased 0.5% month-over-month in November 2024, marking the third consecutive month with this growth rate. Year-over-year prices rose 5.7%, the lowest annual increase since October 2023 and the sixth straight month of slowing annual price growth.
Among the 50 most populous U.S. metros, 13 (26%) saw seasonally adjusted price drops in November. Fort Lauderdale and Tampa, Florida experienced the largest declines (-1.1% each), while Nassau County, NY recorded the highest gain (1.6%). According to Redfin Senior Economist Sheharyar Bokhari, home prices are expected to continue rising steadily throughout 2025, driven by competition over housing inventory due to homeowners retaining their low mortgage rates.
Redfin reports a significant surge in home sales in West Coast markets, with Portland, OR leading at a 27.6% year-over-year increase in November, the highest among the top 50 U.S. metros. Other notable increases were seen in San Jose (26.2%), Seattle (19.5%), San Francisco (17.7%), Sacramento (17.6%), and San Diego (15.2%). Nationwide, home sales rose by 4.8%. These markets have median sale prices above the national median of $430,107. New listings in Portland decreased by 20.3%, the most significant drop after Austin, TX. New listings in Oakland, San Jose, and Sacramento also fell more than the national average of 6.6%. In the Bay Area, over half of the homes sold for more than their asking price, with San Jose at 58.6% and San Francisco at 52.9%. Nationwide, 26.6% of homes sold above their list price. The median sale prices in San Jose and San Francisco are $1.5 million.
