Home Prices Soared 14% in September, a Record-Setting Month for Price, Sales and Speed

Rhea-AI Summary

The national median home price surged 14.4% year-over-year to $333,900 in September 2020, marking the largest annual increase since 2012. Influenced by record-low mortgage rates and housing supply shortages, home sales rose 17.6% compared to last year, with 620,100 homes sold. Active listings fell 22.8%, leading to a competitive market where 33.9% of homes sold above list price. Areas like Bridgeport, CT, and Memphis, TN, saw the highest price increases, while homes sold faster than ever, averaging 29 days on the market.

Positive

• National median home price increased 14.4% year-over-year to $333,900.
• Home sales up 17.6% year-over-year, marking a significant increase.
• 33.9% of homes sold above list price, the highest recorded by Redfin.
• Median days on market decreased to 29 days, faster than previous records.
• New listings increased by 5.9%, the biggest rise since November 2015.

Negative

• Active listings dropped 22.8% year-over-year, indicating a supply shortage.
• Only Buffalo, NY, and Memphis, TN, saw annual declines in home sales.

SEATTLE, Oct. 19, 2020 /PRNewswire/ -- (NASDAQ: RDFN) — The national median home price rose 14.4% year over year to $333,900 in September, the biggest annual increase of any month since at least 2012, according to a new report from Redfin (www.redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. Prices continue to rise due to record-low mortgage rates, a historic shortage of housing supply and pandemic-driven demand for spacious homes.

"2020 will be known for a lot of things and a record-breaking year for real estate will certainly be one of its more unexpected legacies," said Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather. "Demand typically abates in late summer and early fall, but seasonal patterns don't stand a chance against the other factors motivating homebuyers this year. Homebuyers are seeking spacious homes in areas outside big cities to accommodate homeschooling and remote work. That plus low mortgage rates and record-low inventory are fueling historically high price growth and the fastest market in recent history."

Median prices increased year over year in every single one of the 87 largest metro areas Redfin tracks. Bridgeport, CT (+33.1%) and Memphis, TN (+29.7%) had the biggest annual increases for the second month in a row, followed by Philadelphia (+23.6%). Honolulu saw the smallest increase, though prices were still up by a strong 5.3% year over year, followed by Milwaukee (+6.1%) and Baton Rouge (+6.2%).

Market Summary	September 2020	Month-Over-Month	Year-Over-Year
Median sale price	$333,900	1.7%	14.4%
Homes sold, seasonally adjusted	620,100	4.1%	17.6%
Pending sales, seasonally adjusted	601,600	7.3%	32.9%
New listings, seasonally adjusted	661,700	1.0%	5.9%
All Homes for sale, seasonally adjusted	1,655,900	-2.1%	-22.8%
Median days on market	29	-2	-12
Months of supply	1.6	-0.1	-1.5
Sold above list	33.9%	1.7 pts†	11.3 pts†
Median Off-Market Redfin Estimate	$322,700	2.5%	3.8%
Average Sale-to-list	99.4%	0.2 pts†	1.2 pts†
† - "pts" = percentage point change

Home sales were up 17.6% in September from a year earlier on a seasonally adjusted basis, another metric that represents the biggest increase since Redfin started tracking housing market data.

Home sales increased in September from a year earlier in all but two of the largest metro areas—only Buffalo, NY (-6.7%) and Memphis (-1.8%) experienced annual drops. The largest increases were in Bridgeport, CT (+80.2%), San Francisco (+48.5%) and Lake County, IL (+47.3%).

Active listings—the count of all homes that were for sale at any time during the month—fell 22.8% year over year on a seasonally adjusted basis to their lowest level on record in September,  the thirteenth straight month of declines. Intense demand from buyers is contributing to the continuing housing shortage, as is the fast pace of the market.

"It's a great time to be a seller, but tough to be a buyer," said San Diego Redfin agent Charles Wheeler. "People walk into a home and think 'wow, this is amazing,' but 100 other people are thinking the same thing. People are listing their homes and within three days they're gone."

"Low rates are the main motivator for buyers, and they're also seeing that the pandemic isn't really slowing down and they want to move into a bigger home with a big backyard," Wheeler continued. "Because of the pandemic, people who have been lucky enough to keep their jobs are saving more money than usual because they're not going on vacations or going out to eat. They've been able to save more toward a down payment and they have the means to buy a home to make their socially distant lifestyles more comfortable."

For the second month in a row, San Francisco (+51%) and New York City (+20%) were the only two of the largest 87 metros tracked by Redfin to post a year-over-year increase in the number of homes for sale. As companies continue to loosen their work-from-home policies, people are leaving expensive cities to work remotely from places with more affordable housing markets.

Movement out of places like San Francisco and New York City is having a measurable impact on smaller, more affordable markets around the country. In Western New York, Rochester and Buffalo were two of the most competitive markets of September, with about 60% of homes in each metro selling above list price. And Tacoma, smaller and more affordable than Seattle, its neighbor to the north, was the fastest market in the country for the third month in a row.

It's also worth noting that even though listings were up significantly in San Francisco, home sales were also up by 48.5% year over year, outpacing national home-sale growth.

The number of new listings of homes for sale increased 5.9% in September from a year earlier on a seasonally adjusted basis, the third such increase in a row after four straight months of declines, starting with the onset of the pandemic in March. It's the biggest increase in new listings since November 2015. The uptick contributed to an increase in pending sales, which were up 32.9% from a year ago on a seasonally adjusted basis.

The record-high price growth is partly due to the speed of the market and competition, which both bucked the typical seasonal slowdown this time of year to set their own records.

The typical home that sold in September went under contract in 29 days, the fastest pace on record, 12 days less than a year earlier and two days less than August. This is the first time since Redfin started tracking housing data when more than half of homes nationwide went under contract in less than a month.

In September, 33.9% of homes sold above list price—the highest level ever recorded by Redfin—and up from 22.6% a year earlier.

To read the full report, including charts and additional metro-level data highlights, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-news-september-2020.

About Redfin
Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered residential real estate company, redefining real estate in the consumer's favor in a commission-driven industry. We do this by integrating every step of the home buying and selling process and pairing our own agents with our own technology, creating a service that is faster, better and costs less. We offer brokerage, iBuying, mortgage, and title services, and we also run the country's #1 real estate brokerage search site, offering a host of online tools to consumers, including the Redfin Estimate. We represent people buying and selling homes in over 90 markets in the United States and Canada. Since our launch in 2006, we have saved our customers over $800 million and we've helped them buy or sell more than 235,000 homes worth more than $115 billion.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

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SOURCE Redfin

FAQ

What was the median home price in September 2020 for RDFN?

The national median home price rose to $333,900.

How much did home sales increase in September 2020 according to RDFN?

Home sales increased by 17.6% year-over-year.

What percentage of homes sold above list price in September 2020 for RDFN?

33.9% of homes sold above list price.

What was the average days on market for homes sold in September 2020 for RDFN?

The average days on market were 29 days.