Orchid Island Capital Announces Estimated First Quarter 2025 Results, April 2025 Monthly Dividend and March 31, 2025 RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Rhea-AI Summary

Orchid Island Capital (NYSE: ORC) has announced its estimated first quarter 2025 results and April 2025 monthly dividend. The company declared a monthly cash dividend of $0.12 per share, payable May 29, 2025, to stockholders of record as of April 30, 2025.

Key financial highlights include:

• Estimated book value per share of $7.94 as of March 31, 2025
• Estimated GAAP net income of $0.18 per share for Q1 2025
• Net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments of approximately $0.17 per share
• Total return on equity of 2.6% for the quarter

The company's total stockholders' equity stands at approximately $855.9 million with 107,786,614 outstanding shares. The next dividend announcement is expected on May 7, 2025.

Positive

• Monthly dividend maintained at $0.12 per share
• Positive net income of $0.18 per share in Q1 2025
• Net realized and unrealized gains of $0.17 per share on RMBS and derivatives
• Positive total return on equity of 2.6% for Q1 2025

Negative

• Book value per share decreased by $0.15 from December 31, 2024
• Quarterly dividend payments ($0.36) exceeded net income ($0.18) by 100%

Insights

REIT Analyst

Orchid Island Capital's Q1 2025 results reveal some concerning trends beneath otherwise stable operations. While maintaining its $0.12 monthly dividend ($0.36 quarterly), the estimated GAAP earnings of $0.18 per share cover only half of this distribution. This significant earnings shortfall suggests potential dividend sustainability issues if the pattern continues.

The estimated book value of $7.94 represents a $0.15 quarterly decline despite the 2.6% total return on equity. This book value erosion, while the company trades at a 18.6% discount to book value (current price $6.46), indicates continued challenges in preserving shareholder equity.

The company's GAAP results were significantly bolstered by $0.17 per share in realized/unrealized gains on RMBS and derivatives - accounting for 94% of reported income. This heavy reliance on potentially non-recurring gains rather than core spread income is a red flag for earnings quality and consistency.

With total stockholders' equity at approximately $855.9 million, Orchid has maintained its capital base, but the substantial share count increase from 82.6 million in December 2024 to 107.8 million by March 2025 (30.5% increase) suggests significant dilution that could pressure per-share metrics going forward.

Income Investment Strategist

Orchid Island Capital's quarterly results present a mixed picture for income investors. The company's commitment to maintaining its $0.12 monthly dividend (22.3% annualized yield at current prices) appears unchanged despite concerning fundamentals. This static dividend meets REIT distribution requirements but raises questions about long-term sustainability.

The core issue is the widening gap between dividend payments and earnings power. The $0.36 quarterly dividend outpaces the $0.18 in quarterly GAAP income by 100%. Even more concerning is that $0.17 of this income derives from investment gains rather than recurring spread income, suggesting core operations alone wouldn't support even half the current dividend.

The 2.6% quarterly total return, while positive, falls short of what investors might expect from a high-yield mortgage REIT. The continued book value deterioration creates a challenging math problem - each $0.15 quarterly book value decline offsets 1.9% of the dividend yield on a price basis.

The substantial 30.5% share count increase between December and March indicates significant capital raising that, while supporting the overall equity position, introduces dilution that could complicate future per-share performance metrics. Income investors should weigh the attractive current yield against these fundamental sustainability questions.

• April 2025 Monthly Dividend of $0.12 Per Share of Common Stock
• Estimated Book Value Per Share as of March 31, 2025 of $7.94
• Estimated GAAP net income of $0.18 per share for the quarter ended March 31, 2025, including an estimated $0.17 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments
• Estimated 2.6% total return on equity for the quarter ended March 31, 2025
• Estimated book value, net income and total return on equity amounts are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm
• RMBS Portfolio Characteristics as of March 31, 2025
• Next Dividend Announcement Expected May 7, 2025

VERO BEACH, Fla., April 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (the “Company”) (NYSE: ORC) announced today that the Board of Directors of the Company declared a monthly cash dividend for the month of April 2025. The dividend of $0.12 per share will be paid May 29, 2025 to holders of record of the Company’s common stock on April 30, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of April 30, 2025. The Company plans on announcing its next common stock dividend on May 7, 2025.

The Company intends to make regular monthly cash distributions to its holders of common stock. In order to qualify as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”), the Company must distribute annually to its stockholders an amount at least equal to 90% of its REIT taxable income, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding any net capital gain. The Company will be subject to income tax on taxable income that is not distributed and to an excise tax to the extent that a certain percentage of its taxable income is not distributed by specified dates. The Company has not established a minimum distribution payment level and is not assured of its ability to make distributions to stockholders in the future.

As of April 9, 2025, the Company had 107,673,390 shares of common stock outstanding. As of March 31, 2025, the Company had 107,786,614 shares of common stock outstanding. As of December 31, 2024, the Company had 82,622,464 shares of common stock outstanding.

Estimated March 31, 2025 Book Value Per Share

The Company’s estimated book value per share as of March 31, 2025 was $7.94.  The Company computes book value per share by dividing total stockholders' equity by the total number of outstanding shares of common stock. At March 31, 2025, the Company's preliminary estimated total stockholders' equity was approximately $855.9 million with 107,786,614 shares of common stock outstanding. These figures and the resulting estimated book value per share are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. 

Estimated Net Income Per Share and Realized and Unrealized Gains on RMBS and Derivative Instruments

The Company estimates it generated net income per share of $0.18 for the quarter ended March 31, 2025, which includes an estimated $0.17 per share of net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments. These amounts compare to total dividends declared during the quarter of $0.36 per share.  Net income per common share calculated under generally accepted accounting principles can, and does, differ from our REIT taxable income.  The Company views REIT taxable income as a better indication of income to be paid in the form of a dividend rather than net income. Many components of REIT taxable income can only be estimated at this time and our monthly dividends declared are based on both estimates of REIT taxable income to be earned over the course of the current quarter and calendar year and a longer-term estimate of the REIT taxable income of the Company. These figures are preliminary, subject to change, and subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm. 

Estimated Total Return on Equity

The Company’s estimated total return on equity for the quarter ended March 31, 2025 was 2.6%. The Company calculates total return on equity as the sum of dividends declared and paid during the quarter plus changes in book value during the quarter, divided by the Company’s stockholders’ equity at the beginning of the quarter.  The total return was $0.21 per share, comprised of dividends per share of $0.36 and a decrease in book value per share of $0.15 from December 31, 2024.

RMBS Portfolio Characteristics

Details of the RMBS portfolio as of March 31, 2025 are presented below. These figures are preliminary and subject to change and, with respect to figures that will appear in the Company’s financial statements and associated footnotes as of and for the quarter ended March 31, 2025, are subject to review by the Company’s independent registered public accounting firm:

• RMBS Valuation Characteristics
• RMBS Assets by Agency
• Investment Company Act of 1940 (Whole Pool) Test Results
• Repurchase Agreement Exposure by Counterparty
• RMBS Risk Measures

About Orchid Island Capital, Inc.

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in Agency RMBS. Our investment strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency RMBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency RMBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates and collateralized mortgage obligations issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or Ginnie Mae, and (ii) structured Agency RMBS. The Company is managed by Bimini Advisors, LLC, a registered investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and other federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about the Company’s distributions. These forward-looking statements are based upon Orchid Island Capital, Inc.’s present expectations, but these statements are not guaranteed to occur. Investors should not place undue reliance upon forward-looking statements. For further discussion of the factors that could affect outcomes, please refer to the “Risk Factors” section of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024.

RMBS Valuation Characteristics
($ in thousands)
																																					Realized
																																	Realized				Jan 25 -
																																	Mar-25				Mar-25
																	Net												Weighted				CPR				CPR
																	Weighted												Average				(1-Month)				(3-Month)				Modeled Interest
	Current				Fair				% of				Current				Average												Maturity				(Reported				(Reported				Rate Sensitivity (1)
Type	Face				Value				Portfolio				Price				Coupon				GWAC				Age				(Months)				in Apr)				in Apr)				(-50 BPS)				(+50 BPS)
Fixed Rate RMBS
15yr 5.0 TBA	$	200,000			$	200,773				2.89	%			100.39				5.00	%			5.85	%			8				168				n/a				n/a			$	2,592			$	(3,014	)
15yr Total		200,000				200,773				2.89	%			100.39				5.00	%			5.85	%			8				168				n/a				n/a				2,592				(3,014	)
30yr 3.0		875,220				772,957				11.14	%			88.32				3.00	%			3.48	%			49				303				6.0	%			6.0	%			23,161				(23,362	)
30yr 3.5		172,340				158,014				2.28	%			91.69				3.50	%			4.04	%			61				286				7.6	%			5.7	%			4,443				(4,481	)
30yr 4.0		518,378				484,743				6.99	%			93.51				4.00	%			4.78	%			38				317				3.9	%			3.2	%			12,251				(13,042	)
30yr 4.5		297,917				286,165				4.12	%			96.06				4.50	%			5.44	%			33				323				15.9	%			9.9	%			6,048				(6,592	)
30yr 5.0		562,764				554,076				7.99	%			98.46				5.00	%			5.94	%			28				327				3.4	%			5.9	%			10,803				(12,181	)
30yr 5.5		695,902				701,378				10.11	%			100.79				5.50	%			6.47	%			12				344				6.5	%			5.0	%			12,295				(14,581	)
30yr 6.0		2,080,487				2,133,047				30.74	%			102.53				6.00	%			6.96	%			9				347				8.1	%			8.4	%			27,623				(35,067	)
30yr 6.5		1,272,142				1,323,906				19.08	%			104.07				6.50	%			7.44	%			12				344				12.9	%			9.2	%			11,992				(16,298	)
30yr 7.0		293,776				308,725				4.45	%			105.09				7.00	%			7.94	%			17				336				28.4	%			22.5	%			2,349				(3,009	)
30yr Total		6,768,926				6,723,011				96.89	%			99.32				5.33	%			6.20	%			22				333				9.1	%			7.8	%			110,965				(128,613	)
Total Pass-Through MBS		6,968,926				6,923,784				99.78	%			99.35				5.32	%			6.19	%			21				329				9.1	%			7.8	%			113,557				(131,627	)
Structured MBS
IO 20yr 4.0		6,605				585				0.01	%			8.86				4.00	%			4.57	%			158				75				11.6	%			9.8	%			(3	)			(6	)
IO 30yr 3.0		2,569				356				0.01	%			13.84				3.00	%			3.64	%			122				228				22.7	%			8.8	%			(2	)			(4	)
IO 30yr 4.0		69,604				12,990				0.19	%			18.66				4.00	%			4.60	%			127				224				2.7	%			3.8	%			114				180
IO 30yr 4.5		3,026				588				0.01	%			19.43				4.50	%			4.99	%			177				170				7.8	%			7.6	%			-				(2	)
IO 30yr 5.0		1,579				331				0.00	%			20.99				5.00	%			5.37	%			177				170				1.4	%			16.8	%			2				2
IO Total		83,383				14,850				0.21	%			17.81				4.01	%			4.59	%			132				209				4.2	%			4.8	%			111				170
IIO 30yr 4.0		21,343				234				0.00	%			1.09				0.00	%			4.40	%			90				258				7.8	%			3.0	%			(75	)			(129	)
Total Structured RMBS		104,726				15,084				0.22	%			14.40				3.19	%			4.55	%			123				219				4.9	%			4.5	%			36				41
Total Mortgage Assets	$	7,073,652			$	6,938,868				100.00	%							5.29	%			6.16	%			23				327				9.0	%			7.8	%		$	113,593			$	(131,586	)

					Hedge				Modeled Interest
	Notional				Period				Rate Sensitivity (1)
Hedge	Balance				End				(-50 BPS)				(+50 BPS)
3-Month SOFR Futures	$	(115,000	)			Aug-26			$	(1,150	)		$	1,150
5-Year Treasury Future(2)		(377,500	)			Jun-25				(7,873	)			7,756
10-Year Treasury Future(3)		(193,500	)			Jun-25				(6,139	)			6,049
10-Year Ultra Treasury Future(4)		(137,500	)			Jun-25				(6,162	)			5,884
Swaps		(3,909,300	)			Mar-31				(103,903	)			100,210
Hedge Total	$	(4,732,800	)						$	(125,227	)		$	121,049
Rate Shock Grand Total									$	(11,634	)		$	(10,537	)

(1)	Modeled results from Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Yield Book. Interest rate shocks assume instantaneous parallel shifts and horizon prices are calculated assuming constant SOFR option-adjusted spreads. These results are for illustrative purposes only and actual results may differ materially.
(2)	Five-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $108.16 at March 31, 2025. The market value of the short position was $408.3 million.
(3)	Ten-year Treasury futures contracts were valued at prices of $111.22 at March 31, 2025. The market value of the short position was $215.2 million.
(4)	Ten-year Ultra futures contracts were valued at prices of $114.13 at March 31, 2025. The market value of the short position was $156.9 million.

RMBS Assets by Agency
($ in thousands)
					Percentage
	Fair				of
Asset Category	Value				Portfolio
As of March 31, 2025
Fannie Mae	$	4,343,326				62.6	%
Freddie Mac		2,595,542				37.4	%
Total Mortgage Assets	$	6,938,868				100.0	%

Investment Company Act of 1940 Whole Pool Test
($ in thousands)
					Percentage
	Fair				of
Asset Category	Value				Portfolio
As of March 31, 2025
Non-Whole Pool Assets	$	200,839				2.9	%
Whole Pool Assets		6,738,029				97.1	%
Total Mortgage Assets	$	6,938,868				100.0	%

Borrowings By Counterparty
($ in thousands)
									Weighted				Weighted
					% of				Average				Average
	Total				Total				Repo				Maturity				Longest
As of March 31, 2025	Borrowings				Debt				Rate				in Days				Maturity
J.P. Morgan Securities LLC	$	360,622				5.6	%			4.46	%			44				5/21/2025
Wells Fargo Bank, N.A.		357,342				5.6	%			4.45	%			20				5/13/2025
MUFG Securities Canada, Ltd.		339,814				5.3	%			4.42	%			14				4/22/2025
Merrill Lynch, Pierce, Fenner & Smith		337,229				5.3	%			4.47	%			31				6/13/2025
ABN AMRO Bank N.V.		335,085				5.2	%			4.46	%			25				5/13/2025
Citigroup Global Markets Inc		316,891				4.9	%			4.46	%			27				4/28/2025
RBC Capital Markets, LLC		315,802				4.9	%			4.46	%			82				6/23/2025
Mirae Asset Securities (USA) Inc.		301,984				4.7	%			4.48	%			94				9/15/2025
Clear Street LLC		298,418				4.6	%			4.46	%			40				5/20/2025
DV Securities, LLC Repo		297,854				4.6	%			4.45	%			56				5/28/2025
Cantor Fitzgerald & Co		297,090				4.6	%			4.46	%			41				5/22/2025
ASL Capital Markets Inc.		295,968				4.6	%			4.45	%			43				5/21/2025
StoneX Financial Inc.		291,477				4.5	%			4.45	%			51				5/28/2025
Daiwa Securities America Inc.		278,700				4.3	%			4.46	%			31				5/21/2025
South Street Securities, LLC		271,723				4.2	%			4.45	%			31				6/13/2025
Goldman, Sachs & Co		269,917				4.2	%			4.46	%			28				4/28/2025
Marex Capital Markets Inc.		268,736				4.2	%			4.45	%			57				5/29/2025
ING Financial Markets LLC		255,390				4.0	%			4.46	%			33				5/8/2025
Bank of Montreal		236,865				3.7	%			4.47	%			23				4/25/2025
Mitsubishi UFJ Securities (USA), Inc.		201,119				3.1	%			4.46	%			71				6/12/2025
The Bank of Nova Scotia		191,609				3.0	%			4.47	%			21				4/21/2025
Banco Santander SA		140,103				2.2	%			4.46	%			17				4/17/2025
Nomura Securities International, Inc.		122,879				1.9	%			4.46	%			30				5/12/2025
Lucid Prime Fund, LLC		36,024				0.6	%			4.47	%			16				4/16/2025
Total Borrowings	$	6,418,641				100.0	%			4.46	%			40				9/15/2025

Contact:

Orchid Island Capital, Inc.
Robert E. Cauley
3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963
Telephone: (772) 231-1400

FAQ

What is Orchid Island Capital's (ORC) dividend payment for April 2025?

ORC declared a monthly dividend of $0.12 per share, payable May 29, 2025, to stockholders of record as of April 30, 2025.

How did ORC perform in Q1 2025 in terms of total return on equity?

ORC achieved a 2.6% total return on equity in Q1 2025, consisting of $0.36 in dividends and a $0.15 decrease in book value per share.

What is ORC's estimated book value per share as of March 31, 2025?

ORC's estimated book value per share as of March 31, 2025, was $7.94.

What was Orchid Island Capital's (ORC) net income per share in Q1 2025?

ORC reported estimated net income of $0.18 per share for Q1 2025, including $0.17 per share in net realized and unrealized gains on RMBS and derivative instruments.