The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® Surged in March
Consumer Confidence Index® rose to its highest level in a year, reaching 109.7 in March 2021, up from 90.4 in February. The Present Situation Index increased from 89.6 to 110.0, suggesting improved consumer perceptions of the economy. The Expectations Index also saw a rise, from 90.9 to 109.6. Despite this optimism, concerns about inflation, particularly due to rising gas prices, may affect future spending intentions. The survey indicates heightened purchasing intentions for significant items like homes and vehicles.
- Consumer Confidence Index increased from 90.4 in February to 109.7 in March.
- Present Situation Index rose to 110.0, indicating improved business and labor market conditions.
- Expectations Index improved significantly from 90.9 to 109.6.
- Percentage of consumers rating current business conditions as 'good' increased from 16.1% to 18.5%.
- Optimism regarding job market prospects increased, with more consumers expecting job availability.
- Concerns over inflation have risen, possibly impacting consumer spending.
- Percentage of consumers expecting income decreases increased from 12.9% to 13.3% in March.
NEW YORK, March 30, 2021 /PRNewswire/ -- The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® surged in March to its highest reading in a year, after a modest increase in February. The Index now stands at 109.7 (1985=100), up from 90.4 in February. The Present Situation Index—based on consumers' assessment of current business and labor market conditions—climbed from 89.6 to 110.0. The Expectations Index—based on consumers' short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions—also improved, from 90.9 last month to 109.6 in March.
The monthly Consumer Confidence Survey®, based on a probability-design random sample, is conducted for The Conference Board by Nielsen, a leading global provider of information and analytics around what consumers buy and watch. The cutoff date for the preliminary results was March 19.
"Consumer Confidence increased to its highest level since the onset of the pandemic in March 2020," said Lynn Franco, Senior Director of Economic Indicators at The Conference Board. "Consumers' assessment of current conditions and their short-term outlook improved significantly, an indication that economic growth is likely to strengthen further in the coming months. Consumers' renewed optimism boosted their purchasing intentions for homes, autos and several big-ticket items. However, concerns of inflation in the short-term rose, most likely due to rising prices at the pump, and may temper spending intentions in the months ahead."
Consumers' assessment of current conditions improved significantly in March. The percentage of consumers claiming business conditions are "good" increased from 16.1 percent to 18.5 percent, while the proportion claiming business conditions are "bad" fell from 39.7 percent to 30.5 percent. Consumers' assessment of the labor market also improved. The percentage of consumers saying jobs are "plentiful" increased from 21.6 percent to 26.3 percent, while those claiming jobs are "hard to get" declined from 22.4 percent to 18.5 percent.
Consumers' optimism about the short-term outlook improved considerably. The percentage of consumers expecting business conditions will improve over the next six months rose from 30.7 percent to 40.8 percent, while the proportion expecting business conditions will worsen declined from 17.7 percent to 11.0 percent. Consumers' outlook regarding the job market was also more favorable. The proportion expecting more jobs in the months ahead increased from 27.4 percent to 36.1 percent, while those anticipating fewer jobs declined from 21.3 percent to 13.4 percent. Regarding short-term income prospects, 15.5 percent of consumers expect their incomes to increase in the next six months, up modestly from 14.8 percent in February. However, 13.3 percent expect their incomes to decrease, up slightly from 12.9 percent last month.
Source: March 2021 Consumer Confidence Survey®
The Conference Board publishes the Consumer Confidence Index® at 10 a.m. ET on the last Tuesday of every month. Subscription information and the technical notes to this series are available on The Conference Board website: https://www.conference-board.org/data/consumerdata.cfm.
About The Conference Board
The Conference Board is the member-driven think tank that delivers trusted insights for what's ahead. Founded in 1916, we are a non-partisan, not-for-profit entity holding 501 (c) (3) tax-exempt status in the United States. www.conference-board.org.
About NIELSEN
Nielsen Holdings plc (NYSE: NLSN) is a global performance management company that provides a comprehensive understanding of what consumers watch and buy. Nielsen's Watch segment provides media and advertising clients with Total Audience measurement services for all devices on which content — video, audio and text — is consumed. The Buy segment offers consumer packaged goods manufacturers and retailers the industry's only global view of retail performance measurement. By integrating information from its Watch and Buy segments and other data sources, Nielsen also provides its clients with analytics that help improve performance. Nielsen, an S&P 500 company, has operations in over 100 countries, covering more than 90 percent of the world's population. For more information, visit www.nielsen.com.
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SOURCE The Conference Board
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