Lightbridge CEO Seth Grae Issues Update Letter to Shareholders
- Strengthening the leadership team with the addition of Sherri Goodman and Dr. Scott Holcombe.
- Agreement with Centrus Energy for a FEED study on a Lightbridge Pilot Fuel Fabrication Facility in Piketon, Ohio.
- Engineering study with Institutul de Cercetări Nucleare Pitești for assessing Lightbridge Fuel compatibility in CANDU reactors.
- Research collaborations with Texas A&M University and NuScale Power under the DOE NEUP program.
- Peer-reviewed technical paper showing Lightbridge-designed fuel rods outperform traditional MOX fuel in consuming plutonium.
- Adoption of the Technology Readiness Level system to track fuel development progress, currently positioned at TRL 4-5.
- Anticipated fuel development milestones over the next 2-3 years, including expanding the fuel development team, completing engineering studies, and manufacturing efforts.
- Insights from COP28 where nuclear energy was recognized as a key component of global decarbonization efforts, with a commitment to tripling nuclear capacity by 2050.
- Lightbridge Fuel's potential benefits in the growing nuclear market, offering enhanced safety, improved performance, and economic advantages.
- Focus on advancing technologies, expanding market presence, and collaborations with industry and academic partners.
- None.
Insights
Lightbridge Corporation's advancements in nuclear fuel technology, particularly the development of Lightbridge Fuel, could potentially disrupt the nuclear energy market. The adoption of the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) system provides a clear and industry-recognized method to communicate progress to stakeholders, which is crucial for maintaining investor confidence during the lengthy and complex process of nuclear technology development. Lightbridge's positioning at TRL 4-5 signifies a transition from theoretical research to practical application, which is a critical juncture for attracting further investment and partnerships.
The agreement with Centrus Energy to conduct a FEED study for a Lightbridge Pilot Fuel Fabrication Facility is a strategic move. Centrus's existing infrastructure and expertise in HALEU production could accelerate the development and commercialization of Lightbridge Fuel. This partnership, along with the engineering study for CANDU reactors, expands the potential applications of Lightbridge Fuel, making it a versatile solution for various reactor types, which is essential for broad market penetration.
The collaborative research initiatives with institutions like Texas A&M University and NuScale Power under the DOE NEUP R&D Awards underscore the industry's recognition of Lightbridge's potential. The focus on thermal-hydraulic modeling and neutronics analysis is fundamental to ensuring the safety and efficiency of nuclear fuel, which is a top priority for regulatory bodies and end-users alike.
The commitment announced at COP28 to triple nuclear energy capacity by 2050 underscores the growing importance of nuclear energy in the global decarbonization strategy. Lightbridge's developments come at a time when the demand for advanced nuclear fuel technology is expected to rise significantly, which could lead to increased market demand for their products. This expansion could represent a substantial opportunity for Lightbridge, provided that their advanced fuel technology continues to meet developmental milestones and gains regulatory approval for widespread use.
The enhanced plutonium disposition capability of Lightbridge-designed fuel rods presents a unique value proposition. By consuming more plutonium per rod than traditional MOX fuel, Lightbridge Fuel could address the dual challenges of nuclear waste management and non-proliferation, offering a compelling solution to one of the industry's most pressing issues. This could enhance Lightbridge's marketability and appeal to governments and private entities looking for sustainable fuel options.
The financial implications of Lightbridge's progress in nuclear fuel technology development are multifaceted. The transition to TRL 4-5 is likely to require significant capital investment to fund the extensive research and development necessary for in-reactor testing and subsequent prototype demonstrations. The ability to secure funding and manage costs effectively during this phase will be critical to Lightbridge's financial health and stock performance.
Lightbridge's collaboration with industry and academic partners, along with the initiation of the FEED study, suggests a proactive approach to risk mitigation by sharing development costs and leveraging external expertise. However, investors should be aware of the inherent risks associated with the high costs and long timeframes of nuclear technology development. Delays or setbacks in achieving the anticipated milestones could impact the company's financial projections and stock valuation.
Moreover, the potential expansion of the LPFFF to a full commercial-scale facility could lead to significant future revenue streams. However, it is essential to consider the regulatory hurdles and market adoption rates, as these factors will ultimately determine the commercial success of Lightbridge Fuel. Investors should monitor the company's progress in meeting its development milestones and securing necessary regulatory approvals.
RESTON, Va., Feb. 27, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Lightbridge Corporation (“Lightbridge”) (Nasdaq: LTBR), an advanced nuclear fuel technology company, today issued a corporate update in a letter to shareholders from President and CEO Seth Grae.
To Our Valued Shareholders,
I am pleased to present an overview of Lightbridge’s progress in 2023, a brief description of a standard framework for keeping track of progress on nuclear fuel development efforts that we are adopting going forward, and key upcoming fuel development milestones that we expect to accomplish over the next 2-3 years. I will also summarize key highlights from COP28, which I attended.
Key Milestones and Achievements in 2023
Strengthening our Leadership Team: We welcomed Sherri Goodman and Dr. Scott Holcombe to our team. Ms. Goodman, a recognized national security expert, joined Lightbridge as an independent director, bringing invaluable insights into the intersection of energy and national security. As our new Vice President of Engineering, Dr. Holcombe brings extensive expertise in nuclear fuel and materials development and management of interdisciplinary teams of engineers and subject matter experts, further bolstering our nuclear fuel technology leadership.
Agreement with Centrus Energy: We announced an agreement with Centrus Energy to conduct a front-end engineering and design (FEED) study for a Lightbridge Pilot Fuel Fabrication Facility (LPFFF) in Piketon, Ohio. Centrus hosts the only U.S.-based production facility for high assay low enriched uranium (HALEU), partnering with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) on the site. The key objective of the FEED study is to determine the scope of work, cost and schedule estimates, and identify key risk factors for establishing an LPFFF. The results from this study will form the basis for a decision on the way forward for establishing an LPFFF for manufacture of commercial-size fuel rods for demonstrating and licensing Lightbridge Fuel in commercial reactors. The LPFFF could potentially be expanded to a full commercial-scale facility.
Engineering Study for CANDU Reactors: We announced an agreement with Institutul de Cercetări Nucleare Pitești, a subsidiary of Regia Autonoma Tehnologii pentru Energia Nucleara (RATEN ICN), to perform an engineering study to assess the compatibility and suitability of Lightbridge Fuel for use in CANDU reactors. Key areas for assessment include mechanical design, neutronics analysis, and thermal-hydraulic evaluations. The study will identify any critical parameters for further evaluation and design. The findings will guide future economic evaluations and support navigating potential regulatory-licensing-related issues. Due to the unique design and operating conditions of CANDU reactors, we believe this type of reactor may offer an opportunity for faster time to market.
Collaborative Research and Development Initiatives: We announced a research study with Texas A&M University, NuScale Power, and Structural Integrity Associates as part of the DOE Nuclear Energy University Program (NEUP) R&D Awards. This project focuses on thermal-hydraulic modeling and testing and aims to increase the understanding of the overall performance of Lightbridge Fuel under simulated normal and off-normal conditions in NuScale’s SMR. This follows a similarly structured NEUP study with the Massachusetts Institute of Technology announced in 2022 that focuses on neutronics modeling and safety evaluation of Lightbridge Fuel in a NuScale SMR.
Enhanced Plutonium Disposition: We announced that a recently published peer-reviewed technical paper1 on the disposition of weapons-grade plutonium revealed that, based on computer simulations, a Lightbridge-designed fuel rod significantly outperforms traditional mixed-oxide (MOX) fuel in consuming plutonium, consuming approximately 5.5 times more plutonium per fuel rod than MOX fuel, making the Lightbridge-designed rods well-suited for consuming excess weapons-grade plutonium.
Technology Readiness Level Framework
Lightbridge is adopting the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) system to illustrate the progress of its fuel development efforts. The TRL system, originally developed by NASA2 and widely recognized across various industries, including the OECD Nuclear Energy Agency, provides a standardized framework for assessing and communicating the maturity of a particular technology. This framework encompasses a scale from 1 to 9, with TRL 1 representing the initial concept or theoretical stage, and TRL 9 denoting a technology that has been proven in its operational environment. Utilizing the TRL system allows Lightbridge to map the development of its nuclear fuel technology against a clear, standardized metric, enabling stakeholders to gauge progress in a structured and transparent manner.
Figure 1: Adapted from the OECD-NEA FIDES-II Strategic Plan 2023, page 73. Illustration of the general progression of Technical Readiness Level for innovative fuel and cladding, structural materials, and manufacturing processes, starting with investigations of fundamental properties and ending with use of full-scale fuel assemblies and components in NPPs.
Currently, Lightbridge Fuel is positioned at TRL 4-5, indicating a significant phase in our development process. At this stage, Lightbridge Fuel has moved beyond theoretical research (TRL 1-3) and entered into the realm of validation in a laboratory environment (TRL 4) and initiation of validation in representative operating conditions (TRL 5). This signifies that the core principles underlying Lightbridge Fuel have been successfully demonstrated through calculations, in a number of laboratory experiments, and in test reactor proof-of-concept experiments, where our efforts are now focused on verifying the technology's performance under conditions that closely simulate operational scenarios. This is a pivotal transition from conceptual designs and laboratory tests to in-reactor testing in representative and actual conditions the fuel will experience in commercial reactors. This phase is critical for demonstrating our fuel's design, materials, performance, and for identifying any potential challenges, allowing for adjustments and enhancements before advancing to system prototype demonstration in operational environments (TRL 6-7). Achieving TRL 4-5 is an important milestone which validates the Lightbridge Fuel design thus far and sets the stage for subsequent development steps, moving us closer to commercialization and widespread adoption of our advanced nuclear fuel (TRL 8-9).
________________________
1 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00295450.2022.2145836
2 https://www.nasa.gov/directorates/somd/space-communications-navigation-program/technology-readiness-levels/
3 https://www.oecd-nea.org/jcms/390976_Media/strategic-plan-final-2023?details=true
Key Upcoming Fuel Development Milestones Anticipated over the Next 2-3 Years
Applying the TRL framework to the upcoming fuel development milestones illustrates how each goal aligns with different TRL levels:
- Expand our fuel development team to build in-house modeling and simulation capabilities in neutronics, thermal-hydraulics, fuel performance, and transient analyses (supports TRL levels 4-9);
- Continue to execute our ongoing work at Idaho National Laboratory leading to casting and extrusion of unclad fuel material samples using enriched uranium and their subsequent insertion for irradiation testing in the Advanced Test Reactor (supports late stages of TRL level 4; the experimental data would feed into model development and validation described above);
- Complete the Engineering Study for the use of Lightbridge Fuel in CANDU reactors in collaboration with RATEN ICN (this corresponds to activities pre-TRL level 4 to confirm feasibility of using Lightbridge Fuel in another type of reactor, i.e., CANDU pressurized heavy water reactor);
- Complete the FEED study for an LPFFF in collaboration with Centrus Energy (supports TRL levels 5-8); and
- Commence manufacturing efforts relating to co-extrusion of cladded rodlets for loop irradiation testing (supports late stages of TRL level 4 and TRL levels 5-7).
COP28 Takeaways and Tripling Nuclear Capacity by 2050
Significantly, for the first time, at COP28 nuclear energy was recognized alongside other clean energy sectors in the negotiations' final statement, marking the broader acceptance of nuclear as a key component of the global decarbonization strategy. The conference was a confluence of government officials, industry leaders, and environmental activists, each bringing their perspectives to the table.
COP28 served as a platform for announcing a significant commitment by the United States and over 20 other nations to triple nuclear energy globally by 2050. To meet this highly ambitious commitment of tripling nuclear power by 2050 assumes maintaining the operation of the current roughly 400 large nuclear reactors worldwide—93 of which are in the United States. Additionally, it necessitates the construction of approximately 800 more large reactors, which would signify an unprecedented expansion in nuclear power infrastructure. If the focus shifts towards small modular reactors, the numbers required could soar into the thousands, potentially exceeding 10,000 units, depending on their capacity.
As the nuclear sector gears up for an unprecedented expansion, we believe the demand for more efficient, safer, and economically viable nuclear fuel technology will surge, positioning Lightbridge Fuel as an important player in this growing nuclear capacity and its massive addressable market. Lightbridge Fuel's anticipated benefits, such as enhanced safety, improved performance, economic benefits due to power uprate and fuel cycle extension features, and load following opportunities can offer an attractive fuel technology option to existing and future water-cooled reactors.
Conclusion
We are focused on further advancing our technologies, expanding our market presence, and continuing our collaborations with industry and academic partners. Our ongoing research and development efforts and strong intellectual property portfolio position us favorably in an industry set to expand dramatically throughout the world.
I want to thank our shareholders, employees, partners, and vendors for your continued support. We will keep you apprised of our progress and key developments.
Very truly yours,
Seth Grae
President and Chief Executive Officer
Lightbridge Corporation
About Lightbridge Corporation
Lightbridge Corporation (NASDAQ: LTBR) is focused on developing advanced nuclear fuel technology essential for delivering abundant, zero-emission, clean energy and providing energy security to the world. The Company is developing Lightbridge Fuel™, a proprietary next-generation nuclear fuel technology for existing light water reactors and pressurized heavy water reactors, significantly enhancing reactor safety, economics, and proliferation resistance. The Company is also developing Lightbridge Fuel for new small modular reactors (SMRs) to bring the same benefits plus load-following with renewables on a zero-carbon electric grid.
Lightbridge has entered into two long-term framework agreements with Battelle Energy Alliance, LLC, the United States Department of Energy’s (DOE) operating contractor for Idaho National Laboratory (INL), the United States' lead nuclear energy research and development laboratory. DOE’s Gateway for Accelerated Innovation in Nuclear (GAIN) program has twice awarded Lightbridge to support the development of Lightbridge Fuel over the past several years. Lightbridge is participating in two university-led studies through the DOE Nuclear Energy University Program at Massachusetts Institute of Technology and Texas A&M University. An extensive worldwide patent portfolio backs Lightbridge’s innovative fuel technology. Lightbridge is included in the Russell Microcap® Index. For more information, please visit www.ltbridge.com.
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Forward Looking Statements
With the exception of historical matters, the matters discussed herein are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations on the date of this news release and involve a number of risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ significantly from such estimates. The risks include, but are not limited to: Lightbridge’s ability to commercialize its nuclear fuel technology; the degree of market adoption of Lightbridge’s product and service offerings; Lightbridge’s ability to fund general corporate overhead and outside research and development costs; market competition; our ability to attract and retain qualified employees; dependence on strategic partners; demand for fuel for nuclear reactors; Lightbridge’s ability to manage its business effectively in a rapidly evolving market; the availability of nuclear test reactors and the risks associated with unexpected changes in Lightbridge’s fuel development timeline; the increased costs associated with metallization of Lightbridge’s nuclear fuel; public perception of nuclear energy generally; changes in the political environment; risks associated with war in Europe; changes in the laws, rules and regulations governing Lightbridge’s business; development and utilization of, and challenges to, Lightbridge’s intellectual property; risks associated with potential shareholder activism; potential and contingent liabilities; as well as other factors described in Lightbridge's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). Lightbridge does not assume any obligation to update or revise any such forward-looking statements, whether as the result of new developments or otherwise, except as required by law. Readers are cautioned not to put undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
A further description of risks and uncertainties can be found in Lightbridge’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2022, and in its other filings with the SEC, including in the sections thereof captioned “Risk Factors” and “Forward-Looking Statements”, all of which are available at http://www.sec.gov/ and www.ltbridge.com.
Investor Relations Contact:
Matthew Abenante, IRC
Director of Investor Relations
Tel: +1 (347) 947-2093
ir@ltbridge.com
A figure accompanying this announcement is available at:
https://www.globenewswire.com/NewsRoom/AttachmentNg/f4fd7835-a613-429d-87a1-d1e142eea0e9
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