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Borrowers Cash in on Refinances as Rates Begin to Rise, ICE Mortgage Technology Origination Insight Report Shows

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In February 2021, homeowners capitalized on low interest rates, resulting in refinances accounting for 68% of closed loans, the highest since December 2012. The average 30-year loan rate slightly increased to 2.89%. FHA and VA loan rates remained unchanged, while the average FICO score for closed loans rose to 753. The time to close loans decreased to 53 days, reflecting lenders' efficiency in managing high volumes. This upward trend in refinancing began last summer, indicating sustained borrower engagement in the refinancing market.

Positive
  • Refinance share reached 68%, highest since December 2012.
  • Average FICO score increased to 753, indicating improved borrower creditworthiness.
  • Days to close decreased to 53 days, enhancing operational efficiency.
Negative
  • Average 30-year mortgage rates increased slightly to 2.89%, potentially reducing future refinance activity.

Homeowners drove refinance share high in February, with refinances representing 68 percent of closed loans, a figure not seen since December 2012. This activity occurred as interest rates on all closed loans slightly rose for the first time since December 2019, according to the latest Origination Insight Report from ICE Mortgage TechnologyTM, part of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE), a leading operator of global exchanges and clearing houses and provider of mortgage technology, data and listings services.

The 30-year rate on all loans rose slightly to 2.89 percent in February, up from 2.88 percent the month prior. The 30-year rate on conventional loans also ticked up to 2.92 percent, up from 2.91 percent the month prior. At the same time, both 30-year rates for FHA loans and VA loans held steady month-over-month at 2.86 and 2.60 percent, respectively.

“Homeowners continue to take steps to refinance while rates remain low,” said Joe Tyrrell, president of ICE Mortgage Technology. “In February, that resulted in borrowers taking advantage of refinancing more than they have in nearly a decade.”

February’s refinance share continued an upward trajectory that began last summer, and that was marked with recent jumps from 67 percent in January and 60 percent in December.

Added Tyrrell, “We also saw days to close a loan shorten in February, as lenders continue to utilize technology to manage high loan volumes and streamline workflow efficiencies.”

Other statistics of note in February included:

  • The time to close all loans decreased to 53 days in February, down from 58 days in January.
  • Closing rates on all loans increased slightly to 76.4 percent in February, up from 76.2 percent the month prior.
  • The percentage of Adjustable Rate Mortgages held steady at 2.3 percent month-over-month.
  • Average FICO scores on all loans slightly increased to 753, up one point from January.

The Origination Insight Report leverages data from a robust sampling of approximately 80 percent of all mortgage applications that were initiated on the Encompass® Lending Platform. ICE Mortgage Technology believes the Origination Insight Report is a strong proxy of the underwriting standards employed by lenders across the country.

In addition to the Origination Insight Report, ICE Mortgage Technology also distributes data from its monthly Millennial Tracker on the first Wednesday of each month. The Millennial Tracker focuses on mortgage applications submitted by borrowers born between the years 1980 and 1999.

MONTHLY ORIGINATION OVERVIEW FOR FEBRUARY 2021

 

February
2021*

January
2021*

6 Months Ago

(August 2020*)

1 Year Ago

(February 2020*)

Closed Loans

Purpose

Refinance

68%

67%

56%

51%

Purchase

32%

32%

44%

49%

Type

FHA

8%

9%

11%

14%

Conventional

84%

84%

79%

74%

VA

5%

5%

6%

8%

Days to Close

All

53

58

49

43

Refinance

52

59

50

40

Purchase

53

57

45

45

Percentage of ARM and Fixed Loan Volume

ARM %

2.3%

2.3%

2.8%

5.3%

30-Year Rate

Average

2.89%

2.88%

3.09%

3.86%

*All references to months should be read as month ended.

PROFILES OF CLOSED LOANS FOR FEBRUARY 2021

 

Closed First-Lien Loans
(All Types)

FICO Score (FICO)

753

Loan-to-Value (LTV)

70

Debt-to-Income (DTI)

23/34

More information and analysis of closed and denied loans by loan purpose and investor are available in the full report at https://www.icemortgagetechnology.com/mortgage-data/origination-insight-reports

To get a meaningful view of lender pull-through, the company reviewed a sampling of loan applications initiated 90 days prior—or the November 2020 applications—to calculate an overall closing rate of 76.4 percent in February 2021 (see full report).

About the Origination Insight Report by ICE Mortgage Technology

The Origination Insight Report focuses on loans that closed in a specific month and compares their characteristics to similar loans. The closing rate is calculated on a 90-day cycle rather than on a monthly basis because most loan applications typically take one-and-a-half to two months from application to closing. Loans that do not close could still be active applications or applications withdrawn by consumers or denied for incompleteness or non-qualification.

The Origination Insight Report details aggregated, de-identified data pulled from the Encompass origination platform.

News organizations have the right to reuse this data, provided that ICE Mortgage Technology is credited as the source.

About ICE Mortgage Technology

ICE Mortgage Technology, a part of Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE), combines the innovation and expertise of Ellie Mae, Simplifile and MERS to automate the entire mortgage process from consumer engagement through loan registration and every step and task in between. ICE Mortgage Technology is the leading cloud-based loan origination platform provider for the mortgage industry with solutions that enable lenders to originate more loans, lower origination costs, and reduce the time to close, all while ensuring the highest levels of compliance, quality, and efficiency. Visit icemortgagetechnology.com or call (877) 355-4362 to learn more.

© 2021 Ellie Mae, Inc., doing business as ICE Mortgage Technology. All rights reserved. Encompass®, Millennial Tracker™, and the ICE Mortgage Technology logo are trademarks of the entities of ICE Mortgage Technology.

Source: Intercontinental Exchange

FAQ

What was the refinance share of closed loans in February 2021 for ICE?

In February 2021, the refinance share of closed loans for ICE was 68%, the highest since December 2012.

What was the average 30-year loan rate in February 2021 for ICE?

The average 30-year loan rate in February 2021 was 2.89%.

How long did it take to close loans in February 2021 for ICE?

The time to close loans in February 2021 was 53 days.

What is the significance of the FICO score reported by ICE in February 2021?

The average FICO score reported by ICE in February 2021 was 753, indicating improved borrower creditworthiness.

How did refinancing trends in February 2021 compare to previous months for ICE?

The refinance share increased from 67% in January 2021 and 60% in December 2020, indicating a consistent upward trend.

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