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Diebold Nixdorf Announces New Growth Acceleration Plan and Three-Year Financial Targets at 2025 Investor Day

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Diebold Nixdorf (NYSE: DBD) unveiled its new Growth Acceleration Plan and three-year financial targets during its 2025 Investor Day. The company aims to capitalize on Banking and Retail secular trends to drive growth and profitability.

Key financial targets include:

  • 2025 outlook: Revenue of $3.75-3.80 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $470-490 million, and free cash flow of $190-210 million with 40%+ conversion
  • 2027 targets: Revenue of $3.98-4.08 billion (mid-single digit annual growth), adjusted EBITDA of $550-600 million (low double-digit growth), and free cash flow of $330-360 million with 60%+ conversion

The company expects to generate approximately $800 million in cumulative free cash flow over the next three years, representing nearly half of its current market capitalization.

Diebold Nixdorf (NYSE: DBD) ha presentato il suo nuovo Piano di Accelerazione della Crescita e gli obiettivi finanziari triennali durante il suo Investor Day 2025. L'azienda punta a sfruttare le tendenze secolari nel settore Bancario e Retail per guidare la crescita e la redditività.

Gli obiettivi finanziari chiave includono:

  • Prospettive 2025: Ricavi di $3,75-3,80 miliardi, EBITDA rettificato di $470-490 milioni e flusso di cassa libero di $190-210 milioni con una conversione superiore al 40%
  • Obiettivi 2027: Ricavi di $3,98-4,08 miliardi (crescita annuale a cifra singola media), EBITDA rettificato di $550-600 milioni (crescita a doppia cifra bassa) e flusso di cassa libero di $330-360 milioni con una conversione superiore al 60%

L'azienda si aspetta di generare circa $800 milioni di flusso di cassa libero cumulativo nei prossimi tre anni, rappresentando quasi la metà della sua attuale capitalizzazione di mercato.

Diebold Nixdorf (NYSE: DBD) presentó su nuevo Plan de Aceleración del Crecimiento y sus objetivos financieros a tres años durante su Día del Inversor 2025. La empresa tiene como objetivo capitalizar las tendencias seculares en Banca y Retail para impulsar el crecimiento y la rentabilidad.

Los objetivos financieros clave incluyen:

  • Perspectivas 2025: Ingresos de $3.75-3.80 mil millones, EBITDA ajustado de $470-490 millones y flujo de caja libre de $190-210 millones con una conversión superior al 40%
  • Objetivos 2027: Ingresos de $3.98-4.08 mil millones (crecimiento anual de un solo dígito medio), EBITDA ajustado de $550-600 millones (crecimiento de dos dígitos bajo) y flujo de caja libre de $330-360 millones con una conversión superior al 60%

La empresa espera generar aproximadamente $800 millones en flujo de caja libre acumulado durante los próximos tres años, lo que representa casi la mitad de su actual capitalización de mercado.

Diebold Nixdorf (NYSE: DBD)는 2025 투자자 데이에서 새로운 성장 가속화 계획과 3년 재무 목표를 발표했습니다. 이 회사는 은행 및 소매 분야의 세속적 트렌드를 활용하여 성장과 수익성을 높일 계획입니다.

주요 재무 목표는 다음과 같습니다:

  • 2025 전망: 37.5억~38억 달러의 수익, 4억 7천만~4억 9천만 달러의 조정 EBITDA, 1억 9천만~2억 1천만 달러의 자유 현금 흐름, 40% 이상의 전환율
  • 2027 목표: 39.8억~40.8억 달러의 수익(중간 단일 성장률), 5억 5천만~6억 달러의 조정 EBITDA(저수익 성장), 3억 3천만~3억 6천만 달러의 자유 현금 흐름, 60% 이상의 전환율

회사는 향후 3년 동안 약 8억 달러의 누적 자유 현금 흐름을 생성할 것으로 예상하며, 이는 현재 시장 자본금의 거의 절반에 해당합니다.

Diebold Nixdorf (NYSE: DBD) a dévoilé son nouveau Plan d'Accélération de la Croissance et ses objectifs financiers sur trois ans lors de sa Journée des Investisseurs 2025. L'entreprise vise à tirer parti des tendances séculaires dans le secteur bancaire et de la vente au détail pour stimuler la croissance et la rentabilité.

Les objectifs financiers clés incluent:

  • Prévisions 2025: Chiffre d'affaires de 3,75 à 3,80 milliards de dollars, EBITDA ajusté de 470 à 490 millions de dollars et flux de trésorerie libre de 190 à 210 millions de dollars avec un taux de conversion supérieur à 40%
  • Objectifs 2027: Chiffre d'affaires de 3,98 à 4,08 milliards de dollars (croissance annuelle à un chiffre moyen), EBITDA ajusté de 550 à 600 millions de dollars (croissance à deux chiffres basse) et flux de trésorerie libre de 330 à 360 millions de dollars avec un taux de conversion supérieur à 60%

L'entreprise s'attend à générer environ 800 millions de dollars de flux de trésorerie libre cumulés au cours des trois prochaines années, représentant près de la moitié de sa capitalisation boursière actuelle.

Diebold Nixdorf (NYSE: DBD) hat während seines Investor Day 2025 seinen neuen Wachstumsbeschleunigungsplan und die finanziellen Ziele für die nächsten drei Jahre vorgestellt. Das Unternehmen plant, von den langfristigen Trends im Bank- und Einzelhandelssektor zu profitieren, um Wachstum und Rentabilität voranzutreiben.

Wichtige finanzielle Ziele sind:

  • Ausblick 2025: Umsatz von 3,75-3,80 Milliarden Dollar, bereinigtes EBITDA von 470-490 Millionen Dollar und freier Cashflow von 190-210 Millionen Dollar mit einer Konversionsrate von über 40%
  • Ziele 2027: Umsatz von 3,98-4,08 Milliarden Dollar (jährliches Wachstum im niedrigen einstelligen Bereich), bereinigtes EBITDA von 550-600 Millionen Dollar (niedriges zweistelliges Wachstum) und freier Cashflow von 330-360 Millionen Dollar mit einer Konversionsrate von über 60%

Das Unternehmen erwartet, in den nächsten drei Jahren insgesamt etwa 800 Millionen Dollar an kumuliertem freiem Cashflow zu generieren, was nahezu der Hälfte seiner aktuellen Marktkapitalisierung entspricht.

Positive
  • Targeting $800M cumulative free cash flow over next 3 years (~50% of market cap)
  • Free cash flow conversion improving from 40%+ to 60%+ by 2027
  • Projected low double-digit EBITDA growth to $550-600M by 2027
  • Mid-single digit annual revenue growth target through 2027
  • Strengthened balance sheet and improved financial position
Negative
  • Flat to low single-digit revenue growth expected for 2025

Insights

Diebold Nixdorf's three-year financial roadmap represents a potential inflection point in the company's investment thesis, shifting from balance sheet repair to growth acceleration. The headline target of ~$800 million cumulative free cash flow through 2027 - equivalent to nearly 50% of DBD's current $1.62 billion market cap - signals a dramatic improvement in capital generation that could fundamentally revalue the company.

The projected revenue growth acceleration from flat/low single-digits in 2025 to mid-single digits by 2027 suggests management sees strengthening demand in both Banking and Retail segments. More impressive is the expected adjusted EBITDA expansion from $470-490 million to $550-600 million, representing a 17-22% increase and implying significant margin enhancement from operational leverage.

The most compelling metric is the projected free cash flow conversion improvement from 40%+ to 60%+, which would position DBD among the top quartile of industrial technology companies. This cash generation creates optionality for accelerated debt reduction, share repurchases, or strategic M&A to further enhance growth.

Key investor questions remain around specific growth drivers in Banking and Retail, competitive differentiation sustaining this growth, and management's capital allocation priorities given the projected cash windfall. The targets appear ambitious but achievable given the company's strengthened financial foundation and apparent operational momentum.

Diebold Nixdorf's growth acceleration plan targets specific technological inflection points in banking and retail that could drive sustainable demand for its solutions portfolio. In banking, the company is likely capitalizing on three key trends: the complex refresh cycle of aging ATM infrastructure in mature markets, branch transformation initiatives that require advanced self-service technology, and the integration of physical and digital banking channels that demand sophisticated software platforms.

The retail segment opportunity appears equally compelling as merchants invest in frictionless checkout experiences, with self-checkout adoption accelerating globally. Diebold's positioning at these critical customer touchpoints creates opportunities to expand their software and services revenue streams, which typically carry higher margins and recurring characteristics that would support the projected EBITDA growth.

What's particularly significant is the company's projection of improving free cash flow conversion from 40%+ to 60%+, suggesting confidence in transitioning from hardware-centric revenue to more predictable software and services models. This shift typically reduces working capital requirements while increasing margins - a pattern seen across the enterprise technology landscape.

The key execution challenge will be balancing R&D investments across hardware refreshes and next-generation software platforms while competitors like NCR Voyix pursue similar strategies. Diebold's ability to deliver integrated solutions that address both current infrastructure needs and future digital transformation requirements will determine whether they can capture the projected growth while expanding margins in an increasingly competitive landscape.

  • Plans to capture Banking and Retail secular tailwinds, driving growth, profitability and significant cash generation
  • Targets mid-single-digit Banking and Retail revenue growth, double-digit adjusted EBITDA growth, and 60%+ free cash flow conversion, by 2027
  • Targeting ~$800 million cumulative free cash flow over the next three years, equaling nearly half of the company's current market cap

NORTH CANTON, Ohio, Feb. 26, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Diebold Nixdorf (NYSE: DBD), a world leader in transforming the way people bank and shop, will host its 2025 Investor Day today, starting at 9:00 a.m. ET, in New York City. The event will cover the company's continued progress with its strategic growth initiatives, outlining its global opportunities and vision for growth acceleration along with new three-year financial targets.

The company's senior management team will present its strategy to drive sustainable and profitable growth in its global banking and retail markets, increasing cash conversion and delivering significant shareholder returns.

Octavio Marquez, Diebold Nixdorf president and chief executive officer, said: "Over the last two years, Diebold Nixdorf has fortified its balance sheet and strengthened its financial position. Our recent progress in improving profitability and driving robust free cash flow is just the beginning. With an expanding global total addressable market, we are setting clear, new targets for the next three years, reflecting the tremendous opportunities across both our global Banking and Retail segments. We look forward to rising to this challenge and driving meaningful operating leverage and significant cash flow, aided by a culture of continuous improvement. As we execute this plan, I am confident we can generate significant value for our customers and shareholders."

Financial Targets

Reiterates prior 2025 outlook:

  • $3.75 billion to $3.80 billion in revenue (flat to low single-digit growth)
  • $470 million to $490 million adjusted EBITDA1,2 (mid-single-digit growth)
  • $190 million to $210 million free cash flow1,2 (40%+ conversion)

Introduces three-year plan and 2027 financial targets:

  • $3.98 billion to $4.08 billion in revenue (mid-single digit annual growth)
  • $550 million to $600 million adjusted EBITDA1,2 (low double-digit growth)
  • $330 million to $360 million free cash flow1,2 (60%+ conversion)

1 – Non-GAAP measure

2 – With respect to the company's adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow and free cash flow conversion (free cash flow / adjusted EBITDA) estimated outlook for 2025-2027, it is not providing reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures because it is unable to predict with reasonable certainty those items that may affect such measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP without unreasonable effort. These measures primarily exclude future restructuring and refinancing actions and net non-routine items. These reconciling items are uncertain, depend on various factors and could significantly impact, either individually or in the aggregate, operating profit and net income calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP.


Investor Day Webcast Registration

Diebold Nixdorf's 2025 Investor Day presentation is being held today in New York City and the webcast will begin at 9:00 a.m. ET. All presentations and Q&A will be accessible via the live webcast. Webcast registration is available here.  An archive and replay of the presentation will be available on the Diebold Nixdorf investor relations website at investors.dieboldnixdorf.com.

About Diebold Nixdorf

Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (NYSE: DBD) automates, digitizes and transforms the way people bank and shop. As a partner to the majority of the world's top 100 financial institutions and top 25 global retailers, our integrated solutions connect digital and physical channels conveniently, securely and efficiently for millions of consumers each day. The company has a presence in more than 100 countries with approximately 21,000 employees worldwide. Visit www.DieboldNixdorf.com for more information.

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Non-GAAP Financial Measures and Other Information

To supplement our consolidated financial information presented in accordance with GAAP, the Company considers certain financial measures that are not prepared in accordance with GAAP, including Non-GAAP results, Non-GAAP operating profit margin, adjusted diluted earnings per share, free cash flow (use) and free cash flow conversion, net debt, EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA margin and constant currency results. The Company calculates constant currency by translating the prior year results at current year exchange rates. The Company uses these Non-GAAP financial measures, in addition to GAAP financial measures, to evaluate our operating and financial performance and to compare such performance to that of prior periods and to the performance of our competitors. Also, the Company uses these Non-GAAP financial measures in making operational and financial decisions and in establishing operational goals. The Company also believes providing these Non-GAAP financial measures to investors, as a supplement to GAAP financial measures, helps investors evaluate our operating and financial performance and trends in our business, consistent with how management evaluates such performance and trends. The Company also believes these Non-GAAP financial measures may be useful to investors in comparing its performance to the performance of other companies, although its Non-GAAP financial measures are specific to the Company and the Non-GAAP financial measures of other companies may not be calculated in the same manner. We provide EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin because we believe that investors and securities analysts will find EBITDA, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin to be useful measures for evaluating our operating performance and comparing our operating performance with that of similar companies that have different capital structures and for evaluating our ability to meet our future debt service, capital expenditure and working capital requirements. We consider free cash flow (use) to be a liquidity measure that provides useful information to management and investors about the amount of cash generated by the business that, after the purchase of property and equipment and capitalized software development and changes in cash of assets held for sale and the use of cash for M&A, and excluding the use/proceeds of cash for the settlement of foreign exchange derivative instruments, can be used for debt servicing, strategic opportunities, including investing in the business, making strategic acquisitions, strengthening the balance sheet, paying dividends and share repurchases. Free Cash Flow Conversion is a liquidity ratio that measures the Company's ability to convert operating profits into free cash flow and is calculated as Free Cash Flow over Adjusted EBITDA. For more information, please refer to the section, "Notes for Non-GAAP Measures."

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release may contain forward-looking statements that are not historical information and are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements give current expectations or forecasts of future events and are not guarantees of future performance. Statements can generally be identified as forward looking because they include words such as "believes," "anticipates," "expects," "intends," "plans," "will," "estimates," "potential," "target," "predict," "project," "seek," and variations thereof or "could," "should" or words of similar meaning. Statements that describe the Company's future plans, objectives or goals are also forward-looking statements, which reflect the current views of the Company with respect to future events and are subject to assumptions, risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Although the Company believes that these forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions regarding, among other things, the economy, its knowledge of its business, and key performance indicators that impact the Company, these forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by the forward-looking statements, including the Company's ability to successfully execute its strategic priorities. For a further discussion of these and other factors that could cause the Company's future results to differ materially from any forward-looking statements, see the reports and other filings by the Company with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, as filed with the SEC on February 25, 2025. Except to the extent required by applicable law or regulation, the Company undertakes no obligation to update these forward-looking statements to reflect future events or circumstances or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events. 

 

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SOURCE Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated

FAQ

What are Diebold Nixdorf's (DBD) revenue targets for 2027?

DBD targets revenue of $3.98-4.08 billion by 2027, representing mid-single digit annual growth.

How much free cash flow does DBD expect to generate over the next three years?

DBD expects to generate approximately $800 million in cumulative free cash flow over the next three years.

What is DBD's projected EBITDA growth rate through 2027?

DBD projects low double-digit EBITDA growth, targeting $550-600 million by 2027.

What are DBD's free cash flow conversion targets for 2025 and 2027?

DBD targets 40%+ free cash flow conversion for 2025 and 60%+ conversion by 2027.

What is Diebold Nixdorf's (DBD) revenue outlook for 2025?

DBD expects 2025 revenue of $3.75-3.80 billion, representing flat to low single-digit growth.

Diebold Nixdorf

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DBD Stock Data

1.62B
36.94M
1.69%
103.38%
2.19%
Software - Application
Calculating & Accounting Machines (no Electronic Computers)
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United States
NORTH CANTON