VanEck: Bitcoin is a “Screaming Buy” for 2024; Firm’s DAPP ETF Passes $100mm in AUM as Global Assets in VanEck Crypto-Linked Funds Approach $1 Billion
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Insights
The recent performance of VanEck's Digital Transformation ETF (DAPP), with an increase of over 300% year-to-date, suggests a highly bullish market sentiment towards companies involved in the digital assets space. The increase is attributed to the performance of companies like Coinbase and Bitcoin miners. Given the cyclical nature of cryptocurrency markets, the upcoming Bitcoin halving event could potentially reduce supply and increase prices if demand remains stable or grows. However, investors should be cautious about the volatility associated with digital assets and the influence of macroeconomic factors, such as U.S. Federal Reserve policy decisions, on market liquidity and investor sentiment.
VanEck's strategic positioning with ETFs that invest in futures contracts, rather than directly in cryptocurrencies, may appeal to investors seeking exposure to digital assets without the direct risks associated with holding the underlying assets. The unique tax structure of ETFs like EFUT and XBTF as C-Corporations could offer tax efficiencies for long-term investors, although this should be weighed against the potential for tracking errors and liquidity risks inherent in futures-based investment products.
VanEck's assertion that emerging markets could continue to drive crypto adoption in 2024 aligns with broader trends of digital financial inclusion and the search for alternatives to traditional banking systems in these regions. This could provide a sustained user base for cryptocurrencies and related services. However, market share gains, such as those experienced by Coinbase, need to be monitored against competitive pressures within the cryptocurrency exchange sector and regulatory developments that could impact the operating environment and profitability of these companies.
Furthermore, the potential introduction of a spot Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. could significantly increase retail and institutional participation in the crypto market. This would likely enhance liquidity and could lead to better price discovery, although regulatory hurdles remain a key uncertainty. The performance of VanEck's crypto-linked funds approaching $1 billion in assets indicates a growing investor appetite for such products, which could spur the development of additional offerings in the space.
The anticipated 'more relaxed U.S. Federal Reserve' mentioned could have a dual impact on the cryptocurrency market. On one hand, a less hawkish monetary policy might reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets like Bitcoin, potentially attracting investment. On the other hand, if this relaxation leads to higher inflation, it could test the narrative of Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation. The interplay between Fed policy and crypto markets is complex and may not always yield predictable outcomes, given the nascent state of cryptocurrencies as an asset class.
Additionally, the reallocation of Bitcoin profits into newer projects indicates a maturing ecosystem that is diversifying beyond mere cryptocurrency speculation. This could lead to a broader base for growth in the digital assets sector, although it also introduces risks associated with the viability and adoption of these nascent projects.
As the first ETF provider to file for a Bitcoin-related ETF back in 2017, VanEck has played a leading role in bringing relevant related exposures to the marketplace for the past several years. Globally, assets in VanEck’s crypto-linked funds are fast approaching
“Crypto is the hottest part of the investment market today, and a range of factors, not the least of which being potential movement on the introduction of a spot Bitcoin ETF in the
Added Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Assets Research for VanEck: “DAPP provides an excellent window into the year that was in 2023 and an important lens through which to view the year to come. DAPP’s 2023 performance, which as of December 28 was at more than +
“Meanwhile, Coinbase, a large DAPP constituent, stands out for its market share gains, which we think are sustainable,” continued Sigel. “If we at VanEck are correct that Bitcoin will make an all-time high next year on the back of the Bitcoin halving, a more relaxed
Sigel and the VanEck team are prolific producers of digital assets-focused research, which can be accessed here.
DAPP is but one of several crypto-related funds the firm has available in the
VanEck posts frequently on crypto-related news and trends on X (formerly Twitter) at @vaneck_us and will continue to share updates with investors in the weeks to come as new developments arise.
About VanEck
VanEck has a history of looking beyond the financial markets to identify trends that are likely to create impactful investment opportunities. We were one of the first
Today, VanEck offers active and passive strategies with compelling exposures supported by well-designed investment processes. As of November 30, 2023, VanEck managed approximately
Since our founding in 1955, putting our clients’ interests first, in all market environments, has been at the heart of the firm’s mission.
Important Disclosures
Digital asset prices are highly volatile and the value of digital assets can rise or fall dramatically and quickly. If their value goes down, there’s no guarantee that it will rise again. As a result, there is a significant risk of loss of your entire principal investment.
VanEck Digital Transformation ETF (DAPP) will not invest in digital assets (including cryptocurrencies) (i) directly or (ii) indirectly through the use of digital asset derivatives. The Fund also will not invest in initial coin offerings. Therefore the Fund is not expected to track the price movement of any digital asset.
Investors in the Fund should be willing to accept a high degree of volatility in the price of the Fund’s Shares and the possibility of significant losses. An investment in the Fund involves a substantial degree of risk. An investment in the Fund is not a deposit with a bank and is not insured or guaranteed by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation or any other government agency. Therefore, you should consider carefully various risks before investing in the Fund, each of which could significantly and adversely affect the value of an investment in the Fund.
An investment in the Fund may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to investing in digital transformation companies, special risk considerations of investing in European issuers, equity securities, small- and medium-capitalization companies, information technology sector, financials sector, foreign securities, emerging market issuers, market, operational, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified and industry concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Emerging market issuers and foreign securities may be subject to securities markets, political and economic, investment and repatriation restrictions, different rules and regulations, less publicly available financial information, foreign currency and exchange rates, operational and settlement, and corporate and securities laws risks. Small- and medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks.
The technology relating to digital assets, including blockchain, is new and developing and the risks associated with digital assets may not fully emerge until the technology is widely used. Digital asset technologies are used by companies to optimize their business practices, whether by using the technology within their business or operating business lines involved in the operation of the technology. The cryptographic keys necessary to transact a digital asset may be subject to theft, loss, or destruction, which could adversely affect a company’s business or operations if it were dependent on the digital asset. There may be risks posed by the lack of regulation for digital assets and any future regulatory developments could affect the viability and expansion of the use of digital assets.
An investment in the VanEck Ethereum Strategy ETF (EFUT) may be subject to risks which include, but are not limited to, risks related to market and volatility, investment (in ETH futures), ETH and ETH futures, futures contract, derivatives, counterparty, investment capacity, target exposure and rebalancing, borrowing and leverage, credit, interest rate, liquidity, investing in other investment companies, management, new fund, non-diversified, operational, portfolio turnover, regulatory, repurchase agreements, tax, cash transactions, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, fund shares trading, premium/discount risk and liquidity of fund shares,
The value of Ethereum (ETH) and the Fund’s ETH Futures holdings, could decline rapidly, including to zero. You should be prepared to lose your entire investment. The Fund does not invest in ETH or other digital assets directly.
The further development and acceptance of the ETH network, which is part of a new and rapidly changing industry, is subject to a variety of factors that are difficult to evaluate, the slowing, stopping or reversing of the development or acceptance of the ETH network may adversely affect the price of ETH and therefore cause the Fund to suffer losses, regulatory changes or actions may alter the nature of an investment in ETH or restrict the use of ETH or the operations of the ETH network or venues on which ETH trades in a manner that adversely affects the price of ETH and, therefore, the Fund’s ETH Futures. ETH generally operates without central authority (such as a bank) and is not backed by any government, ETH is not legal tender and federal, state and/or foreign governments may restrict the use and exchange of ETH, and regulation in
An investment in the VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF (XBTF) may be subject to risks which include, among others market and volatility, investment, futures contract, derivatives, investments related to bitcoin and bitcoin futures, derivatives, counterparty, investment capacity, target exposure and rebalancing, borrowing and leverage, indirect investment, credit, interest rate, illiquidity, investing in other investment companies, management, new fund, non-diversified, operational, portfolio turnover, regulatory, repurchase agreements, tax, of cash transactions, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares,
The value of Bitcoin and the Fund’s Bitcoin Futures holdings, could decline rapidly, including to zero. You should be prepared to lose your entire investment. The Fund does not invest in bitcoin or other digital assets directly.
The further development and acceptance of the Bitcoin network, which is part of a new and rapidly changing industry, is subject to a variety of factors that are difficult to evaluate, the slowing, stopping or reversing of the development or acceptance of the Bitcoin network may adversely affect the price of bitcoin and therefore cause the Fund to suffer losses, regulatory changes or actions may alter the nature of an investment in bitcoin or restrict the use of bitcoin or the operations of the Bitcoin network or venues on which bitcoin trades in a manner that adversely affects the price of bitcoin and, therefore, the Fund’s Bitcoin Futures. Bitcoin generally operates without central authority (such as a bank) and is not backed by any government, Bitcoin is not legal tender and federal, state and/or foreign governments may restrict the use and exchange of Bitcoin, and regulation in
VanEck Ethereum Strategy ETF (EFUT) and VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF (XBTF)
Futures Contract Risk. The use of futures contracts involves risks that are in addition to, and potentially greater than, the risks of investing directly in securities and other more traditional assets. The market for Bitcoin and Ethereum Futures may be less developed, and potentially less liquid and more volatile, than more established futures markets. Bitcoin and Ethereum Futures are subject to collateral requirements and daily limits that may limit the Funds’ ability to achieve their target exposure. Margin requirements for Bitcoin and Ethereum Futures traded on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (“CME”) may be substantially higher than margin requirements for many other types of futures contracts. Futures contracts exhibit “futures basis,” which refers to the difference between the current market value of the underlying bitcoin or ethereum (the “spot” price) and the price of the cash-settled futures contracts.
This risk may be adversely affected by “negative roll yields” in “contango” markets. The Funds will “roll” out of one futures contract as the expiration date approaches and into another futures contract on bitcoin or ethereum with a later expiration date. The “rolling” feature creates the potential for a significant negative effect on the Funds’ performance that is independent of the performance of the spot prices of bitcoin and ethereum. A market where futures prices are generally greater than spot prices is referred to as a “contango” market. Therefore, if the futures market for a given commodity is in contango, then the value of a futures contract on that commodity would tend to decline over time (assuming the spot price remains unchanged), because the higher futures price would fall as it converges to the lower spot price by expiration. Extended period of contango may cause significant and sustained losses.
VanEck Absolute Return Advisers Corporation is registered with the CFTC as both commodity pool operator and commodity trading advisor, and is a member of the National Futures Association. EFUT and XBTF are speculative in nature and involves a high degree of risk. An investor may lose all or substantially all of an investment in EFUT and XBTF. Commodity futures generally are volatile and these Funds may not be suitable for all investors.
Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.
©️ Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20231228389116/en/
Chris Sullivan
Craft & Capital
917.902.0617
chris@craftandcapital.com
Source: VanEck
FAQ
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