The US has a record-high 550 'million-dollar' cities
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Insights
The surge in million-dollar cities across the U.S. reflects a persistent supply-demand imbalance in the housing market. With inventory remaining low, competition among buyers is intense, leading to sustained price appreciation, even amidst affordability challenges. This trend is particularly pronounced in states like California and New Jersey, which have seen significant year-over-year increases in the number of million-dollar cities.
From an investment perspective, this data indicates a robust market for luxury properties and suggests potential growth areas for real estate developers and investors. However, the net loss of million-dollar cities in Florida, Texas and Delaware signals a possible market correction or a shift in buyer preferences, possibly due to economic factors or saturation of high-end properties in those states.
Long-term implications for the real estate market may include a widening gap between the luxury and standard housing markets, with potential spillover effects on local economies, such as increased property taxes and cost of living. This could influence the attractiveness of these areas to new residents and businesses, potentially impacting local job markets and economies.
The increase in the number of million-dollar cities is a microcosm of the broader economic trends affecting the U.S. housing market. The data suggests a concentration of wealth and an upmarket shift in certain geographic areas. The economic impact includes potential changes to consumer spending patterns, as homeowners in these million-dollar cities may have different financial behaviors compared to those in less affluent areas.
The regional differences in the growth and decline of million-dollar cities could be indicative of broader economic shifts, such as the movement of high-income individuals and the jobs that attract them. The decline in certain states could reflect local economic issues or tax policies influencing real estate values. Additionally, the potential for lower mortgage rates could stimulate further price growth, which would have implications for housing affordability and the overall economy.
It's important to consider the potential for a market correction if the economic environment changes, such as through interest rate hikes or a slowdown in job growth. This could lead to a decrease in home values, particularly in markets that have experienced rapid price appreciation.
The dynamics of the housing market, as reflected by the increase in million-dollar cities, raise important considerations for housing policy. The current environment underscores the need for policies that address housing affordability and inventory shortages. While the rise in new listings suggests an easing of the 'rate lock' effect, it remains to be seen whether this will translate into more accessible pricing for the average buyer.
Policy measures could include incentives for new construction, particularly of affordable housing and revisions to zoning laws to allow for higher-density developments. The geographic distribution of million-dollar cities also highlights the need for regional approaches to housing policy, as the challenges and solutions may differ significantly between states like California and New York versus Florida and Texas.
Additionally, the implications for infrastructure and public services in these high-value areas must be considered, as increased property values could strain existing resources or necessitate new public investments to support growing populations and maintain quality of life.
Low inventory is keeping competition high and home values rising
- There are currently 550 U.S. cities where the typical home value is
or more, up from 491 a year ago.$1 million California easily boasts the most million-dollar cities, followed byNew York andNew Jersey .Florida ,Texas andDelaware are the only states with a net loss in million-dollar cities over the past year.
A tight housing market with few homes available has kept home values rising, even while affordability challenges have hampered buyers. The good news for buyers in the market this home-shopping season is that new listings are on the rise as the effects of "rate lock" — occurring when homeowners are financially incentivized to keep their current home because of the low rate on their current mortgage — are weakening, and the hope for lower mortgage rates later this year may mean a second wave of buyer demand this summer.
"Affordability is still a big challenge for buyers, but that hasn't stopped prices from growing," said Anushna Prakash, an economic research data scientist at Zillow. "Buyers this spring are going to see more options to choose from, but they'll also see a lot of other buyers wandering through the same open houses. Competition will stay fierce, especially for the most attractive and well-priced homes. If mortgage rates drop later this year, as many expect, we may see a surge in million-dollar cities as even more buyers jump in and drive prices higher."
While million-dollar cities were affected more than the typical
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Whether a buyer or renter is searching for a home in a million-dollar city or somewhere with home values closer to average, Zillow has tools that can help.
An affordability calculator can help a buyer better understand what they can afford and set a budget. Buyers can then use Zillow to search for homes filtered for a monthly cost they are comfortable with, instead of only by list price. Buyers can also find and connect with a knowledgeable real estate professional and loan officer on Zillow to help guide them through the home-buying process.
Million-Dollar Cities by State | ||
State | ||
210 | 198 | |
66 | 54 | |
49 | 35 | |
32 | 34 | |
31 | 27 | |
21 | 21 | |
18 | 16 | |
17 | 16 | |
14 | 15 | |
10 | 8 | |
7 | 5 | |
6 | 6 | |
6 | 5 | |
6 | 4 | |
6 | 3 | |
5 | 5 | |
4 | 4 | |
4 | 3 | |
4 | 2 | |
3 | 3 | |
3 | 2 | |
2 | 2 | |
2 | 0 | |
1 | 2 | |
1 | 1 |
Metro Areas With the Most Million-Dollar Cities | ||
Metro Area |
|
|
106 | 82 | |
69 | 69 | |
63 | 56 | |
23 | 19 | |
18 | 18 | |
17 | 15 | |
17 | 16 | |
14 | 12 | |
10 | 7 | |
9 | 9 |
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1 February 2023 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI) figures are unavailable for 11 cities with ZHVI above
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SOURCE Zillow
FAQ
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