Xcel Energy Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Report
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ: XEL) reported second quarter 2024 GAAP and ongoing earnings of $302 million, or $0.54 per share, compared to $288 million, or $0.52 per share, in Q2 2023. The company reaffirmed its 2024 EPS guidance of $3.50 to $3.60 per share. Earnings growth was attributed to increased infrastructure investments and warmer weather, partially offset by higher depreciation, interest charges, and O&M expenses.
CEO Bob Frenzel highlighted Xcel Energy's progress in meeting growing energy demand while advancing clean energy initiatives. The company filed an updated Wildfire Mitigation Plan in Colorado and supported legislation to enhance distribution system planning. In Minnesota, Xcel Energy reached a settlement in its natural gas rate case, maintaining residential rates below the national average.
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ: XEL) ha riportato un utile netto GAAP del secondo trimestre 2024 di 302 milioni di dollari, pari a 0,54 dollari per azione, rispetto ai 288 milioni di dollari, ovvero 0,52 dollari per azione, nel secondo trimestre del 2023. L'azienda ha riemesso la sua guida EPS per il 2024 compresa tra 3,50 e 3,60 dollari per azione. La crescita degli utili è stata attribuita a investimenti infrastrutturali aumentati e a un clima più caldo, parzialmente compensati da maggiori ammortamenti, spese per interessi e O&M.
Il CEO Bob Frenzel ha evidenziato i progressi di Xcel Energy nel soddisfare la crescente domanda di energia mentre promuove iniziative per l'energia pulita. L'azienda ha presentato un piano aggiornato di mitigazione degli incendi in Colorado e ha sostenuto una legislazione per migliorare la pianificazione del sistema di distribuzione. In Minnesota, Xcel Energy ha raggiunto un accordo nel suo caso tariffario sul gas naturale, mantenendo le tariffe residenziali al di sotto della media nazionale.
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ: XEL) reportó un ingreso neto GAAP de $302 millones en el segundo trimestre de 2024, o $0.54 por acción, en comparación con $288 millones, o $0.52 por acción, en el segundo trimestre de 2023. La compañía reafirmó su guía de EPS para 2024 de $3.50 a $3.60 por acción. El crecimiento de las ganancias se atribuyó al aumento de las inversiones en infraestructura y al clima más cálido, compensado parcialmente por mayores depreciaciones, cargos de interés y gastos de O&M.
El CEO Bob Frenzel destacó el progreso de Xcel Energy en satisfacer la creciente demanda de energía mientras avanza en iniciativas de energía limpia. La compañía presentó un Plan de Mitigación de Incendios actualizado en Colorado y apoyó una legislación para mejorar la planificación del sistema de distribución. En Minnesota, Xcel Energy alcanzó un acuerdo en su caso de tarifas de gas natural, manteniendo las tarifas residenciales por debajo del promedio nacional.
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ: XEL)는 2024년 2분기에 3억 2백만 달러의 GAAP 순이익을 보고했으며, 주당 0.54달러입니다. 이는 2023년 2분기의 2억 8천8백만 달러, 즉 주당 0.52달러와 비교됩니다. 이 회사는 2024년 EPS 안내치를 3.50달러에서 3.60달러로 재확인했습니다. 수익 성장은 증가한 인프라 투자와 따뜻한 날씨에 기인했지만, 더 높은 감가상각비, 이자 비용 및 O&M 비용에 의해 부분적으로 상쇄되었습니다.
CEO인 Bob Frenzel는 Xcel Energy가 증가하는 에너지 수요를 충족하면서 청정 에너지 이니셔티브를 추진해 한 진전을 강조했습니다. 이 회사는 콜로라도에서 업데이트된 산불 완화 계획을 제출했으며, 배급 시스템 계획을 개선하기 위한 법안을 지원했습니다. 미네소타에서 Xcel Energy는 천연가스 요금 사건에서 합의를 도출하여 가정용 요금을 전국 평균 이하로 유지했습니다.
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ: XEL) a annoncé un bénéfice net GAAP de 302 millions de dollars pour le deuxième trimestre 2024, soit 0,54 dollar par action, comparé à 288 millions de dollars, soit 0,52 dollar par action, au deuxième trimestre 2023. L'entreprise a réaffirmé ses prévisions de BPA pour 2024 entre 3,50 et 3,60 dollars par action. La croissance des bénéfices a été attribuée à des investissements accrus dans les infrastructures et à un temps plus chaud, partiellement compensée par des amortissements, des intérêts et des dépenses O&M plus élevés.
Le PDG Bob Frenzel a souligné les progrès d'Xcel Energy pour répondre à la demande énergétique croissante tout en faisant avancer des initiatives d'énergie propre. L'entreprise a déposé un plan de mitigation des incendies à jour dans le Colorado et a soutenu une législation pour améliorer la planification des systèmes de distribution. Au Minnesota, Xcel Energy a atteint un accord dans son affaire sur les tarifs du gaz naturel, maintenant les tarifs résidentiels en dessous de la moyenne nationale.
Xcel Energy (NASDAQ: XEL) berichtete von einem GAAP-Nettoergebnis von 302 Millionen Dollar im zweiten Quartal 2024, also 0,54 Dollar pro Aktie, verglichen mit 288 Millionen Dollar, bzw. 0,52 Dollar pro Aktie, im zweiten Quartal 2023. Das Unternehmen bestätigte seine EPS-Prognose für 2024 von 3,50 bis 3,60 Dollar pro Aktie. Das Wachstum der Gewinne wurde auf erhöhte Investitionen in die Infrastruktur und wärmeres Wetter zurückgeführt, die teilweise durch höhere Abschreibungen, Zinskosten und O&M-Ausgaben ausgeglichen wurden.
CEO Bob Frenzel hob die Fortschritte von Xcel Energy hervor, die wachsende Energienachfrage zu erfüllen und gleichzeitig Initiativen für saubere Energie voranzutreiben. Das Unternehmen reichte einen aktualisierten Wildfire-Minderungsplan in Colorado ein und unterstützte eine Gesetzgebung zur Verbesserung der Planung des Verteilungssystems. In Minnesota erzielte Xcel Energy eine Einigung in seinem Fall zu Naturgaspreisen und hielt die Wohnpreise unter dem nationalen Durchschnitt.
- Q2 2024 earnings increased to $302 million from $288 million in Q2 2023
- EPS grew to $0.54 from $0.52 year-over-year
- Company reaffirmed 2024 EPS guidance of $3.50 to $3.60
- Earnings growth driven by increased infrastructure investments
- Warmer weather positively impacted earnings
- Increased depreciation expenses affected earnings
- Higher interest charges impacted financial results
- Increased O&M expenses partially offset earnings growth
Insights
Xcel Energy's Q2 2024 earnings report reveals a modest year-over-year improvement, with GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS increasing from
Key factors driving the earnings growth include:
- Recovery of increased infrastructure investments
- Warmer than normal weather boosting energy demand
- Increased depreciation
- Higher interest charges
- Rising O&M expenses
The company's focus on clean energy transition and system resilience, particularly in Colorado and Minnesota, aligns with broader industry trends. However, these initiatives may pressure margins in the short term due to increased capital expenditures.
Investors should note that while Xcel Energy's performance is stable, the utility sector faces challenges from rising interest rates, which can impact borrowing costs and potentially squeeze margins. The company's ability to navigate regulatory environments across multiple states will be important for maintaining growth and profitability.
Xcel Energy's Q2 report underscores the company's strategic positioning in the evolving energy landscape. The emphasis on clean energy transition and system resilience reflects a proactive approach to regulatory and environmental shifts.
Key policy-related developments include:
- Updated Wildfire Mitigation Plan in Colorado, addressing climate-related risks
- Support for legislation enhancing distribution system planning in Colorado, facilitating smoother clean energy transition
- Stakeholder collaboration in Minnesota's natural gas rate case, balancing system improvements with affordability
These initiatives demonstrate Xcel's adeptness in navigating complex regulatory environments across multiple states. The company's ability to maintain residential natural gas rates below the national average while investing in improvements is particularly noteworthy, as it balances customer affordability with necessary infrastructure upgrades.
However, investors should be aware that the clean energy transition may require significant capital expenditures in the coming years. While this positions Xcel well for long-term sustainability, it could pressure near-term financial performance. The company's success will largely depend on its ability to secure favorable regulatory outcomes that allow for the recovery of these investments through rate adjustments.
-
Second quarter GAAP and ongoing diluted earnings per share were
in 2024 compared with$0.54 in 2023.$0.52 -
Xcel Energy reaffirms 2024 EPS guidance of
to$3.50 per share.$3.60
Second quarter ongoing earnings reflect recovery of increased infrastructure investments and warmer than normal weather, partially offset by increased depreciation, interest charges and O&M expenses.
“Xcel Energy continues to meet the growing demand for energy from our customers while driving forward the clean energy transition and adapting to changing regulatory and environmental conditions,” said Bob Frenzel, chairman, president and CEO of Xcel Energy. “We are reaffirming our earnings guidance of
“We continue to advance proposals to enhance the resiliency and sustainability of our system for the safety and benefit of our customers. In
At 9:00 a.m. CDT today, Xcel Energy will host a conference call to review financial results. To participate in the call, please dial in 5 to 10 minutes prior to the start and follow the operator’s instructions.
US Dial-In: |
1 (866) 580-3963 |
International Dial-In: |
(400) 120-0558 |
Conference ID: |
2632580 |
The conference call also will be simultaneously broadcast and archived on Xcel Energy’s website at www.xcelenergy.com. To access the presentation, click on Investors under Company. If you are unable to participate in the live event, the call will be available for replay from Aug. 1st through Aug. 5th.
Replay Numbers |
|
US Dial-In: |
1 (866) 583-1035 |
Access Code: |
2632580# |
Except for the historical statements contained in this report, the matters discussed herein are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements, including those relating to 2024 EPS guidance, long-term EPS and dividend growth rate objectives, future sales, future expenses, future tax rates, future operating performance, estimated base capital expenditures and financing plans, projected capital additions and forecasted annual revenue requirements with respect to rider filings, expected rate increases to customers, expectations and intentions regarding regulatory proceedings, expected pension contributions, and expected impact on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows of interest rate changes, increased credit exposure, and legal proceeding outcomes, as well as assumptions and other statements are intended to be identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “outlook,” “plan,” “project,” “possible,” “potential,” “should,” “will,” “would” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we expressly disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking information. The following factors, in addition to those discussed in Xcel Energy’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2023 and subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, could cause actual results to differ materially from management expectations as suggested by such forward-looking information: operational safety, including our nuclear generation facilities and other utility operations; successful long-term operational planning; commodity risks associated with energy markets and production; rising energy prices and fuel costs; qualified employee workforce and third-party contractor factors; violations of our Codes of Conduct; our ability to recover costs and our subsidiaries’ ability to recover costs from customers; changes in regulation; reductions in our credit ratings and the cost of maintaining certain contractual relationships; general economic conditions, including recessionary conditions, inflation rates, monetary fluctuations, supply chain constraints and their impact on capital expenditures and/or the ability of Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries to obtain financing on favorable terms; availability or cost of capital; our customers’ and counterparties’ ability to pay their debts to us; assumptions and costs relating to funding our employee benefit plans and health care benefits; our subsidiaries’ ability to make dividend payments; tax laws; uncertainty regarding epidemics, the duration and magnitude of business restrictions including shutdowns (domestically and globally), the potential impact on the workforce, including shortages of employees or third-party contractors due to quarantine policies, vaccination requirements or government restrictions, impacts on the transportation of goods and the generalized impact on the economy; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of terrorism; cybersecurity threats and data security breaches; seasonal weather patterns; changes in environmental laws and regulations; climate change and other weather events; natural disaster and resource depletion, including compliance with any accompanying legislative and regulatory changes; costs of potential regulatory penalties and wildfire damages in excess of liability insurance coverage; regulatory changes and/or limitations related to the use of natural gas as an energy source; challenging labor market conditions and our ability to attract and retain a qualified workforce; and our ability to execute on our strategies or achieve expectations related to environmental, social and governance matters including as a result of evolving legal, regulatory and other standards, processes, and assumptions, the pace of scientific and technological developments, increased costs, the availability of requisite financing, and changes in carbon markets.
This information is not given in connection with any sale, offer for sale or offer to buy any security.
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (UNAUDITED) (amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended June 30 |
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
||||||||||||
|
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
||||||||
Operating revenues |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Electric |
|
$ |
2,659 |
|
|
$ |
2,601 |
|
|
$ |
5,344 |
|
|
$ |
5,364 |
|
Natural gas |
|
|
355 |
|
|
|
393 |
|
|
|
1,296 |
|
|
|
1,681 |
|
Other |
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
57 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
3,028 |
|
|
|
3,022 |
|
|
|
6,677 |
|
|
|
7,102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Operating expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Electric fuel and purchased power |
|
|
855 |
|
|
|
1,030 |
|
|
|
1,803 |
|
|
|
2,147 |
|
Cost of natural gas sold and transported |
|
|
118 |
|
|
|
170 |
|
|
|
601 |
|
|
|
1,014 |
|
Cost of sales — other |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
23 |
|
Operating and maintenance expenses |
|
|
662 |
|
|
|
628 |
|
|
|
1,267 |
|
|
|
1,278 |
|
Conservation and demand side management expenses |
|
|
86 |
|
|
|
63 |
|
|
|
183 |
|
|
|
139 |
|
Depreciation and amortization |
|
|
703 |
|
|
|
565 |
|
|
|
1,361 |
|
|
|
1,189 |
|
Taxes (other than income taxes) |
|
|
154 |
|
|
|
137 |
|
|
|
325 |
|
|
|
321 |
|
Total operating expenses |
|
|
2,579 |
|
|
|
2,604 |
|
|
|
5,549 |
|
|
|
6,111 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Operating income |
|
|
449 |
|
|
|
418 |
|
|
|
1,128 |
|
|
|
991 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Other income, net |
|
|
22 |
|
|
|
11 |
|
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
16 |
|
Earnings from equity method investments |
|
|
8 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
20 |
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — equity |
|
|
38 |
|
|
|
18 |
|
|
|
75 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Interest charges and financing costs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Interest charges — includes other financing costs |
|
|
319 |
|
|
|
268 |
|
|
|
610 |
|
|
|
521 |
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — debt |
|
|
(16 |
) |
|
|
(12 |
) |
|
|
(30 |
) |
|
|
(22 |
) |
Total interest charges and financing costs |
|
|
303 |
|
|
|
256 |
|
|
|
580 |
|
|
|
499 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Income before income taxes |
|
|
214 |
|
|
|
200 |
|
|
|
675 |
|
|
|
565 |
|
Income tax benefit |
|
|
(88 |
) |
|
|
(88 |
) |
|
|
(115 |
) |
|
|
(141 |
) |
Net income |
|
$ |
302 |
|
|
$ |
288 |
|
|
$ |
790 |
|
|
$ |
706 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Basic |
|
|
557 |
|
|
|
551 |
|
|
|
556 |
|
|
|
551 |
|
Diluted |
|
|
557 |
|
|
|
552 |
|
|
|
556 |
|
|
|
551 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Earnings per average common share: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Basic |
|
$ |
0.54 |
|
|
$ |
0.52 |
|
|
$ |
1.42 |
|
|
$ |
1.28 |
|
Diluted |
|
|
0.54 |
|
|
|
0.52 |
|
|
|
1.42 |
|
|
|
1.28 |
|
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Notes to Investor Relations Earnings Release (Unaudited)
Due to the seasonality of Xcel Energy’s operating results, quarterly financial results are not an appropriate base from which to project annual results.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing return on equity (ROE), ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that adjusts measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of Xcel Energy or each subsidiary, adjusted for certain nonrecurring items, by each entity’s average stockholder’s equity. We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of earnings results.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS for Xcel Energy is calculated by dividing net income or loss, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period. Ongoing diluted EPS for each subsidiary is calculated by dividing the net income or loss for such subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. For instance, to present ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted earnings per share, we may adjust the related GAAP amounts for certain items that are non-recurring in nature. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as an alternative to measures calculated and reported in accordance with GAAP. For the three and six months ended June 30, 2024 and 2023, there were no such adjustments to GAAP earnings and therefore GAAP earnings equal ongoing earnings for these periods.
Note 1. Earnings Per Share Summary
Xcel Energy’s second quarter GAAP and ongoing diluted earnings were
Summarized diluted EPS for Xcel Energy:
|
|
Three Months Ended June 30 |
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
||||||||||||
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
||||||||
NSP-Minnesota |
|
$ |
0.24 |
|
|
$ |
0.23 |
|
|
$ |
0.61 |
|
|
$ |
0.48 |
|
PSCo |
|
|
0.21 |
|
|
|
0.17 |
|
|
|
0.61 |
|
|
|
0.56 |
|
SPS |
|
|
0.16 |
|
|
|
0.15 |
|
|
|
0.26 |
|
|
|
0.25 |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
0.04 |
|
|
|
0.05 |
|
|
|
0.12 |
|
|
|
0.13 |
|
Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
0.02 |
|
|
|
0.02 |
|
Regulated utility (a) |
|
|
0.66 |
|
|
|
0.60 |
|
|
|
1.62 |
|
|
|
1.43 |
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other |
|
|
(0.12 |
) |
|
|
(0.08 |
) |
|
|
(0.20 |
) |
|
|
(0.15 |
) |
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS (a) |
|
$ |
0.54 |
|
|
$ |
0.52 |
|
|
|
1.42 |
|
|
|
1.28 |
|
(a) |
Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
NSP-Minnesota — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased
PSCo — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased
SPS — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased
NSP-Wisconsin — GAAP and ongoing earnings decreased
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other — Primarily includes financing costs and interest income at the holding company and earnings from investment funds, which are accounted for as equity method investments. The decline in earnings is largely due to increased interest rates and higher debt levels.
Components significantly contributing to changes in 2024 EPS compared to 2023:
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
Three Months Ended June 30 |
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
||||
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2023 |
|
$ |
0.52 |
|
|
$ |
1.28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of change - 2024 vs. 2023 |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric regulatory rate outcomes (a) |
|
|
0.26 |
|
|
|
0.40 |
|
Higher AFUDC |
|
|
0.04 |
|
|
|
0.08 |
|
Natural gas regulatory rate outcomes (b) |
|
|
0.02 |
|
|
|
0.05 |
|
(Higher) lower O&M expenses |
|
|
(0.04 |
) |
|
|
0.02 |
|
Higher depreciation and amortization |
|
|
(0.18 |
) |
|
|
(0.23 |
) |
Higher interest charges |
|
|
(0.07 |
) |
|
|
(0.12 |
) |
Other, net |
|
|
(0.01 |
) |
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS — 2024 |
|
$ |
0.54 |
|
|
$ |
1.42 |
|
(a) |
Includes the revenue impact of regulatory rate outcomes and non-fuel riders. |
(b) |
Includes the revenue impact of natural gas regulatory rate outcomes and infrastructure and integrity riders. |
Note 2. Regulated Utility Results
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements. As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. However, electric sales true-up and gas decoupling mechanism in
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
|
Three Months Ended June 30 |
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
||||||||||||||||||||
|
2024 vs. Normal |
|
2023 vs. Normal |
|
2024 vs. 2023 |
|
2024 vs. Normal |
|
2023 vs. Normal |
|
2024 vs. 2023 |
||||||||||||
Retail electric |
$ |
0.006 |
|
|
$ |
0.001 |
|
|
$ |
0.005 |
|
|
$ |
(0.023 |
) |
|
$ |
0.003 |
|
|
$ |
(0.026 |
) |
Decoupling and sales true-up |
|
0.025 |
|
|
|
(0.017 |
) |
|
|
0.042 |
|
|
|
0.041 |
|
|
|
(0.023 |
) |
|
|
0.064 |
|
Electric total |
$ |
0.031 |
|
|
$ |
(0.016 |
) |
|
$ |
0.047 |
|
|
$ |
0.018 |
|
|
$ |
(0.020 |
) |
|
$ |
0.038 |
|
Firm natural gas |
|
(0.011 |
) |
|
|
(0.003 |
) |
|
|
(0.008 |
) |
|
|
(0.038 |
) |
|
|
0.026 |
|
|
|
(0.064 |
) |
Decoupling |
|
0.002 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.002 |
|
|
|
0.019 |
|
|
|
— |
|
|
|
0.019 |
|
Natural gas total |
$ |
(0.009 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.003 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.006 |
) |
|
$ |
(0.019 |
) |
|
$ |
0.026 |
|
|
$ |
(0.045 |
) |
Total |
$ |
0.022 |
|
|
$ |
(0.019 |
) |
|
$ |
0.041 |
|
|
$ |
(0.001 |
) |
|
$ |
0.006 |
|
|
$ |
(0.007 |
) |
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales in 2024 compared to 2023:
|
|
Three Months Ended June 30 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Actual |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
12.1 |
% |
|
(10.9 |
)% |
|
11.7 |
% |
|
(6.2 |
)% |
|
0.4 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
(0.8 |
) |
|
(5.8 |
) |
|
6.9 |
|
|
(3.4 |
) |
|
(0.4 |
) |
Total retail electric sales |
|
3.2 |
|
|
(7.4 |
) |
|
7.5 |
|
|
(4.1 |
) |
|
(0.2 |
) |
Firm natural gas sales |
|
(9.7 |
) |
|
(10.9 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(9.5 |
) |
|
(10.1 |
) |
|
|
Three Months Ended June 30 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
(0.3 |
)% |
|
1.0 |
% |
|
(0.2 |
)% |
|
(1.2 |
)% |
|
0.2 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
(4.1 |
) |
|
(3.6 |
) |
|
6.2 |
|
|
(2.5 |
) |
|
(0.8 |
) |
Total retail electric sales |
|
(2.9 |
) |
|
(2.2 |
) |
|
5.2 |
|
|
(2.2 |
) |
|
(0.5 |
) |
Firm natural gas sales |
|
(4.4 |
) |
|
(0.6 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(3.6 |
) |
|
(3.2 |
) |
|
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Actual |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
4.2 |
% |
|
(8.3 |
)% |
|
4.2 |
% |
|
(6.8 |
)% |
|
(1.9 |
)% |
Electric C&I |
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
(4.5 |
) |
|
7.2 |
|
|
(2.6 |
) |
|
0.3 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
1.2 |
|
|
(5.7 |
) |
|
6.6 |
|
|
(3.8 |
) |
|
(0.3 |
) |
Firm natural gas sales |
|
(9.3 |
) |
|
(13.6 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(13.4 |
) |
|
(10.9 |
) |
|
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
0.3 |
% |
|
— |
% |
|
(1.7 |
)% |
|
(2.2 |
)% |
|
(0.3 |
)% |
Electric C&I |
|
(1.5 |
) |
|
(2.9 |
) |
|
6.8 |
|
|
(2.0 |
) |
|
0.4 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
(0.9 |
) |
|
(2.0 |
) |
|
5.3 |
|
|
(2.1 |
) |
|
0.2 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
2.2 |
|
|
0.8 |
|
|
N/A |
|
|
(3.2 |
) |
|
1.4 |
|
|
|
Six Months Ended June 30 (Leap Year Adjusted) |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
(0.3 |
)% |
|
(0.6 |
)% |
|
(2.4 |
)% |
|
(2.8 |
)% |
|
(0.9 |
)% |
Electric C&I |
|
(2.1 |
) |
|
(3.5 |
) |
|
6.2 |
|
|
(2.5 |
) |
|
(0.1 |
) |
Total retail electric sales |
|
(1.5 |
) |
|
(2.6 |
) |
|
4.7 |
|
|
(2.6 |
) |
|
(0.4 |
) |
Firm natural gas sales |
|
1.3 |
|
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
(4.1 |
) |
|
0.4 |
|
Weather-normalized and leap-year adjusted electric sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
-
PSCo — Residential sales decreased due to a
1.6% decrease in use per customer, partially offset by customer growth of1.3% . The C&I sales decline was related to decreased use per customer, primarily in the manufacturing, information and real estate sectors.
-
NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales decreased due to a
2.1% decrease in use per customer, partially offset by a1.5% increase in customers. C&I sales declined due to decreased use per customer, largely in the manufacturing sector.
-
SPS — Residential sales declined as a result of a
2.9% decrease in use per customer, partially offset by0.5% customer growth. C&I sales increased due to higher use per customer, primarily driven by the energy sector.
-
NSP-Wisconsin — Residential sales declined due to a
3.6% decrease in use per customer, partially offset by0.8% increase in customers. C&I sales decline was associated with decreased use per customer, experienced largely in the professional services and manufacturing sectors.
Weather-normalized and leap-year adjusted natural gas sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
-
Increase in natural gas sales was driven by residential and C&I customer growth in all jurisdictions and increased use per customer in PSCo. Overall residential and C&I customer growth was
1.1% and0.6% , respectively.
Electric Revenues — Electric revenues are impacted by fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium, regulatory outcomes, market prices and seasonality. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated, which reduce electric revenue and income taxes.
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months Ended June 30, 2024 vs. 2023 |
|
Six Months Ended June 30, 2024 vs. 2023 |
||||
Recovery of lower cost of electric fuel and purchased power |
|
$ |
(155 |
) |
|
$ |
(331 |
) |
Wholesale generation revenues |
|
|
(13 |
) |
|
|
(31 |
) |
PTCs flowed back to customers (offset by lower ETR) |
|
|
(3 |
) |
|
|
(12 |
) |
Sales and demand (a) |
|
|
(25 |
) |
|
|
(10 |
) |
Regulatory rate outcomes (MN, CO, TX, NM, & WI) |
|
|
159 |
|
|
|
225 |
|
Non-fuel riders |
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
70 |
|
Conservation and demand side management (offset in expense) |
|
|
23 |
|
|
|
43 |
|
Revenue recognition for the |
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
Estimated impact of weather (net of sales true-up) |
|
|
34 |
|
|
|
27 |
|
Other, net |
|
|
(35 |
) |
|
|
(38 |
) |
Total increase (decrease) |
|
$ |
58 |
|
|
$ |
(20 |
) |
(a) |
Sales excludes weather impact, net of sales true-up mechanism in |
(b) |
Recognition of revenue from the |
Natural Gas Revenues — Natural gas revenues vary with changing sales, the cost of natural gas and regulatory outcomes.
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months Ended June 30, 2024 vs. 2023 |
|
Six Months Ended June 30, 2024 vs. 2023 |
||||
Recovery of lower cost of natural gas |
|
$ |
(51 |
) |
|
$ |
(410 |
) |
Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling) |
|
|
(4 |
) |
|
|
(33 |
) |
Regulatory rate outcomes |
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
35 |
|
Retail sales growth (net of decoupling) |
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
9 |
|
Infrastructure and integrity riders |
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
Other, net |
|
|
3 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
Total decrease |
|
$ |
(38 |
) |
|
$ |
(385 |
) |
Electric Fuel and Purchased Power — Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power are impacted by fluctuations in market prices of natural gas, coal and uranium, as well as seasonality. These incurred expenses are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Electric fuel and purchased power expenses decreased
Cost of Natural Gas Sold and Transported — Expenses incurred for the cost of natural gas sold are impacted by market prices and seasonality. These costs are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Natural gas sold and transported decreased
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses increased
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased
AFUDC, Equity and Debt — AFUDC increased
Income Taxes — Effective income tax rate:
|
|
Three Months Ended June 30 |
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
||||||||||||||
|
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
2024 vs. 2023 |
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
|
2024 vs. 2023 |
||||||
Federal statutory rate |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
— |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
— |
% |
State tax (net of federal tax effect) |
|
5.1 |
|
|
5.1 |
|
|
— |
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
4.9 |
|
|
— |
|
(Decreases) increases: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||
Wind PTCs (a) |
|
(60.3 |
) |
|
(64.0 |
) |
|
3.7 |
|
|
(36.8 |
) |
|
(44.1 |
) |
|
7.3 |
|
Plant regulatory differences (b) |
|
(7.0 |
) |
|
(6.3 |
) |
|
(0.7 |
) |
|
(6.0 |
) |
|
(5.8 |
) |
|
(0.2 |
) |
Other tax credits, net NOL & tax credit allowances |
|
(1.3 |
) |
|
(1.4 |
) |
|
0.1 |
|
|
(0.8 |
) |
|
(1.5 |
) |
|
0.7 |
|
Other, net |
|
1.4 |
|
|
1.6 |
|
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
0.7 |
|
|
0.5 |
|
|
0.2 |
|
Effective income tax rate |
|
(41.1 |
)% |
|
(44.0 |
)% |
|
2.9 |
% |
|
(17.0 |
)% |
|
(25.0 |
)% |
|
8.0 |
% |
(a) |
PTCs (net of transfer discounts) are generally credited to customers (reduction to revenue) and do not materially impact earnings. |
(b) |
Plant regulatory differences primarily relate to the credit of excess deferred taxes to customers. Income tax benefits associated with the credit are offset by corresponding revenue reductions. |
Note 3. Capital Structure, Liquidity, Financing and Credit Ratings
Xcel Energy’s capital structure:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
June 30, 2024 |
|
Percentage of Total Capitalization |
|
Dec. 31, 2023 |
|
Percentage of Total Capitalization |
||||
Current portion of long-term debt |
|
$ |
854 |
|
2 |
% |
|
$ |
552 |
|
1 |
% |
Short-term debt |
|
|
802 |
|
2 |
|
|
|
785 |
|
2 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
|
27,716 |
|
58 |
|
|
|
24,913 |
|
57 |
|
Total debt |
|
|
29,372 |
|
62 |
|
|
|
26,250 |
|
60 |
|
Common equity |
|
|
17,954 |
|
38 |
|
|
|
17,616 |
|
40 |
|
Total capitalization |
|
$ |
47,326 |
|
100 |
% |
|
$ |
43,866 |
|
100 |
% |
Liquidity — As of July 30, 2024, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries had the following committed credit facilities available to meet liquidity needs:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Credit Facility (a) |
|
Drawn (b) |
|
Available |
|
Cash |
|
Liquidity |
|||||
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
$ |
1,500 |
|
$ |
792 |
|
$ |
708 |
|
$ |
2 |
|
$ |
710 |
PSCo |
|
|
700 |
|
|
31 |
|
|
669 |
|
|
602 |
|
|
1,271 |
NSP-Minnesota |
|
|
700 |
|
|
12 |
|
|
688 |
|
|
129 |
|
|
817 |
SPS |
|
|
500 |
|
|
— |
|
|
500 |
|
|
252 |
|
|
752 |
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
150 |
|
|
— |
|
|
150 |
|
|
178 |
|
|
328 |
Total |
|
$ |
3,550 |
|
$ |
835 |
|
$ |
2,715 |
|
$ |
1,163 |
|
$ |
3,878 |
(a) |
Expires September 2027. |
(b) |
Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit. |
Credit Ratings — Access to the capital markets at reasonable terms is partially dependent on credit ratings. The following ratings reflect the views of Moody’s, S&P Global Ratings and Fitch. The highest credit rating for debt is Aaa/AAA and the lowest investment grade rating is Baa3/BBB-. The highest rating for commercial paper is P-1/A-1/F-1 and the lowest rating is P-3/A-3/F-3. A security rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. Ratings are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the credit rating agency and each rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating.
Credit ratings and long-term outlook assigned to Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries as of July 30, 2024:
|
|
|
|
Moody’s |
|
S&P Global Ratings |
|
Fitch |
||||||
Company |
|
Credit Type |
|
Rating |
|
Outlook |
|
Rating |
|
Outlook |
|
Rating |
|
Outlook |
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
Unsecured |
|
Baa1 |
|
Stable |
|
BBB |
|
Negative |
|
BBB+ |
|
Negative |
NSP-Minnesota |
|
Secured |
|
Aa3 |
|
Stable |
|
A |
|
Negative |
|
A+ |
|
Stable |
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Secured |
|
Aa3 |
|
Negative |
|
A |
|
Negative |
|
A+ |
|
Stable |
PSCo |
|
Secured |
|
A1 |
|
Stable |
|
A |
|
Negative |
|
A+ |
|
Stable |
SPS |
|
Secured |
|
A3 |
|
Stable |
|
A- |
|
Negative |
|
A- |
|
Stable |
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-1 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-1 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
PSCo |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
SPS |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
2024 Financing Activity — During 2024, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries issued the following long-term debt. No further debt issuances are planned for 2024.
Issuer |
|
Security |
|
Amount (in millions) |
|
Tenor |
|
Coupon |
||
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
Senior Unsecured Notes |
|
$ |
800 |
|
10 Year |
|
5.50 |
% |
NSP-Minnesota |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
|
700 |
|
30 Year |
|
5.40 |
|
PSCo |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
|
1,200 |
|
10 Year & 30 Year |
|
5.35 & 5.75 |
|
SPS |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
|
600 |
|
30 Year |
|
6.00 |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
|
400 |
|
30 Year |
|
5.65 |
|
Xcel Energy issued approximately
Financing plans are subject to change, depending on capital expenditures, regulatory outcomes, internal cash generation, market conditions, changes in tax policies and other factors.
Note 4. Rates, Regulation and Other
NSP-Minnesota — 2024 Minnesota Natural Gas Rate Case — In November 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the Minnesota Public Utilities Commission (MPUC) for a natural gas rate increase of approximately
In June 2024, NSP-Minnesota and various parties filed an uncontested settlement, which includes the following terms:
-
Natural gas rate increase of
, or$46 million 7.5% . -
ROE of
9.6% . -
Equity ratio of
52.5% . -
Rate base of
.$1.25 billion - No change to Commission approved decoupling.
A MPUC decision and order is expected by the end of 2024.
NSP-Minnesota — North Dakota Natural Gas Rate Case — In December 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the North Dakota Public Service Commission (NDPSC) seeking an increase in natural gas rates of
In June 2024, the
The procedural schedule is as follows:
- Surrebuttal testimony: Aug. 12-26, 2024
- Evidentiary hearings: Sept. 3-5, 2024
A NDPSC decision is expected by year-end.
NSP-Minnesota —
In May 2024, the DOC and
In July 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed reply comments in the 2023 proceeding in support of its position that no customer refund for replacement power costs is warranted. A final decision by the MPUC is expected in late 2024.
NSP-Minnesota — Sherco Unit 3 — In May 2024, the Administrative Law Judge (ALJ) recommended a customer refund of
NSP-Wisconsin —
PSCo — Colorado Natural Gas Rate Case — In January 2024, PSCo filed a request with the Colorado Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) seeking an increase to retail natural gas rates of
PSCo has proposed to defer collection of the increased rates until Feb. 15, 2025 (following expiration of the rider to recover Winter Storm Uri costs) to mitigate customer bill impacts, with revenues for the deferred period collected over a 12-month period beginning on that date.
In July 2024, three intervenors filed testimony, with CPUC Staff (Staff) and the Utility Consumer Advocate (UCA) filing comprehensive testimony. Staff and UCA opposed the deferral of collections until Feb. 15, 2025, instead proposing Nov. 1, 2024 as the effective date for new rates.
Proposed modifications:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Staff |
|
UCA |
||||
PSCo Direct Testimony |
|
$ |
171 |
|
|
$ |
171 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Recommended adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
||||
ROE |
|
|
(40 |
) |
|
|
(31 |
) |
Capital structure and cost of capital |
|
|
(27 |
) |
(a) |
|
(14 |
) |
Test year adjustments to reflect average vs. year-end balances |
|
|
(19 |
) |
|
|
(17 |
) |
Capital adjustments (subject to separate review) |
|
|
(3 |
) |
|
|
(1 |
) |
Depreciation expense |
|
|
15 |
|
|
|
— |
|
Other, net |
|
|
(4 |
) |
|
|
(17 |
) |
Total adjustments |
|
|
(78 |
) |
|
|
(80 |
) |
Proposed revenue change |
|
$ |
93 |
|
|
$ |
91 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
ROE |
|
|
8.89 |
% |
|
|
9.20 |
% |
Equity ratio |
|
|
52 |
% |
|
|
51.4 |
% |
Test Year |
|
Dec 2023 |
|
|
Dec 2023 |
|
||
Rate Base Convention |
|
13 month |
|
|
13 month |
|
(a) |
Revised estimate. |
Procedural schedule:
- Rebuttal testimony: Aug. 15, 2024
- Settlement deadline: Aug. 27, 2024
- Evidentiary hearing: Sept. 4-12, 2024
- Statement of position: Sept. 26, 2024
A CPUC decision is expected in the fourth quarter of 2024.
PSCo — Wildfire Mitigation Plan — In June 2024, PSCo filed an Updated Wildfire Mitigation Plan (the Plan) and request for recovery of costs covering the years 2025 to 2027 with the CPUC. The estimated total cost for this plan is approximately
The Plan is a key component of keeping our customers and communities safe while providing reliable and affordable electric service. The Plan integrates industry experience; incorporates evolving risk assessment methodologies; adds new technology; and expands the scope, pace and scale of our work to reduce wildfire risk in a comprehensive and efficient manner under four core programs that include the following:
- Situational awareness – Meteorology, area risk mapping and modeling, artificial intelligence cameras and continuous monitoring.
- Operational mitigations – Enhanced powerline safety settings and public safety power shutoffs (PSPS).
- System resiliency – Asset assessment and remediations, pole replacements, line rebuilds, targeted undergrounding and vegetation management.
- Customer support – Coordination and real-time data sharing with customers and other stakeholders and PSPS resiliency rebates.
Total capital investments and O&M expenses associated with the proposed plan are estimated at the following:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
2025 |
|
2026 |
|
2027 |
|
Total |
||||
Capital investments |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Situational awareness |
|
$ |
24 |
|
$ |
17 |
|
$ |
10 |
|
$ |
51 |
Operational mitigations |
|
|
58 |
|
|
66 |
|
|
83 |
|
|
207 |
System resiliency |
|
|
368 |
|
|
411 |
|
|
565 |
|
|
1,344 |
Total capital investments |
|
$ |
450 |
|
$ |
494 |
|
$ |
658 |
|
$ |
1,602 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
O&M expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Situational awareness |
|
$ |
9 |
|
$ |
10 |
|
$ |
10 |
|
$ |
29 |
Operational mitigations |
|
|
3 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
10 |
System resiliency |
|
|
44 |
|
|
69 |
|
|
77 |
|
|
190 |
Customer support |
|
|
7 |
|
|
8 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
24 |
Total O&M expenses |
|
|
63 |
|
|
90 |
|
|
100 |
|
|
253 |
Total expenditures |
|
$ |
513 |
|
$ |
584 |
|
$ |
758 |
|
$ |
1,855 |
PSCo — Clean Heat Plan — In August of 2023, PSCo filed a Clean Heat Plan to reduce natural gas local distribution company greenhouse gas emissions. PSCo proposed a diversified portfolio of electrification, efficiency and lower-carbon gas options that would create an emissions reduction pathway through 2028 consistent with achieving a 2030 target reduction of 22 percent.
In June 2024, the CPUC approved a portfolio weighted predominantly toward electrification and efficiency programs, based on a budget of
SPS — New Mexico Resource Plan (IRP) — In October 2023, SPS filed its IRP with the New Mexico Public Regulation Commission (NMPRC), which supports projected load growth and increasing reliability requirements, and secures replacement energy and capacity for retiring resources. SPS’ initial IRP modeling projected resource needs ranging from approximately 5,300 MW to 10,200 MW by 2030. In February 2024, the NMPRC accepted the IRP.
In July 2024, SPS issued a request for proposal (RFP), seeking approximately 3,000 MW of accredited generation capacity by 2030. The total capacity to be added to the system is expected to align with the approximate range identified in the SPS IRP, depending on the types of resources proposed in the RFP and their accredited capacity factors.
The RFP will be evaluated in the first quarter of 2025. SPS is expected to file for a certificate of need for the recommended portfolio in the summer of 2025. The
Note 5. Wildfire Litigation
2024 Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex — On February 26, 2024, multiple wildfires began in the Texas Panhandle, including the Smokehouse Creek Fire and the 687 Reamer Fire, which burned into the perimeter of the Smokehouse Creek Fire (together, referred to herein as the “Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex”). The Texas A&M Forest Service issued incident reports that determined that the Smokehouse Creek Fire and the 687 Reamer Fire were caused by power lines owned by SPS after wooden poles near each fire origin failed. According to the Texas A&M Forest Service’s Incident Viewer and news reports, the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex burned approximately 1,055,000 acres.
SPS is aware of approximately 21 complaints, most of which have also named Xcel Energy Services Inc. as an additional defendant, relating to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex, including one putative class action on behalf of persons or entities who owned rangelands or pastures that were damaged by the fire. The complaints generally allege that SPS’s equipment ignited the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex and seek compensation for losses resulting from the fire, asserting various causes of action under
Potential liabilities related to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex depend on various factors, including the cause of the equipment failure and the extent and magnitude of potential damages, including damages to residential and commercial structures, personal property, vegetation, livestock and livestock feed (including replacement feed), personal injuries and any other damages, penalties, fines or restitution that may be imposed by courts or other governmental entities if SPS is found to have been negligent.
Based on the current state of the law and the facts and circumstances available as of the date of this filing, Xcel Energy believes it is probable that it will incur a loss in connection with the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex and accordingly has accrued a
The aggregate liability of
Xcel Energy remains unable to reasonably estimate any additional loss or the upper end of the range because there are a number of unknown facts and legal considerations that may impact the amount of any potential liability. In the event that SPS or Xcel Energy Services Inc. was found liable related to the litigation related to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex and was required to pay damages, such amounts could exceed our insurance coverage of approximately
The process for estimating losses associated with potential claims related to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex requires management to exercise significant judgment based on a number of assumptions and subjective factors, including the factors identified above and estimates based on currently available information and prior experience with wildfires. As more information becomes available, management estimates and assumptions regarding the potential financial impact of the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex may change.
SPS records insurance recoveries when it is deemed probable that recovery will occur, and SPS can reasonably estimate the amount or range. SPS has recorded an insurance receivable for
Marshall Wildfire Litigation — In December 2021, a wildfire ignited in
According to the Sheriff’s Report, on Dec. 30, 2021, a fire ignited on a residential property in
The Sheriff’s Report states that the most probable cause of the second ignition was hot particles discharged from PSCo’s power lines after one of the power lines detached from its insulator in strong winds, and further states that it cannot be ruled out that the second ignition was caused by an underground coal fire. According to the Sheriff’s Report, no design, installation or maintenance defects or deficiencies were identified on PSCo’s electrical circuit in the area of the second ignition. PSCo disputes that its power lines caused the second ignition.
PSCo is aware of 307 complaints, most of which have also named Xcel Energy Inc. and Xcel Energy Services Inc. as additional defendants, relating to the
In September 2023, the
In the event Xcel Energy Inc. or PSCo was found liable related to this litigation and were required to pay damages, such amounts could exceed our insurance coverage of approximately
Note 6. Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Xcel Energy 2024 Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2024 ongoing earnings guidance is a range of
Key assumptions as compared with 2023 actual levels unless noted:
- Constructive outcomes in all pending rate case and regulatory proceedings.
- Normal weather patterns for the remainder of the year.
-
Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase
1% . - Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to be flat.
-
Capital rider revenue is projected to increase
to$60 million (net of PTCs).$70 million -
O&M expenses are projected to increase
1% to2% . -
Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately
to$305 million .$315 million - Property taxes are projected to be flat. This change is largely earnings neutral and is offset in revenue due to property tax trackers.
-
Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase
to$140 million , net of interest income.$150 million -
AFUDC - equity is projected to increase
to$65 million .$75 million -
ETR is projected to be ~(
6% ) to (8% ). The assumption change is largely due to an increase in the PTC rate, which is offset in revenue and is largely earnings neutral. The negative ETR is largely offset by PTCs flowing back to customers in capital riders and fuel mechanisms and is largely earnings neutral. The projected ETR does not reflect the potential impact of nuclear PTCs, which are also expected to flow back to customers.
(a) |
Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. As Xcel Energy is unable to quantify the financial impacts of any additional adjustments that may occur for the year, we are unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of the guidance for ongoing EPS to corresponding GAAP EPS. |
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives — Xcel Energy expects to deliver an attractive total return to our shareholders through a combination of earnings growth and dividend yield, based on the following long-term objectives:
-
Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of
5% to7% based off of a 2023 actual ongoing earnings base of per share.$3.35 -
Deliver annual dividend increases of
5% to7% . -
Target a dividend payout ratio of
50% to60% . - Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES EARNINGS RELEASE SUMMARY (UNAUDITED) (amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended June 30 |
||||||
|
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
||||
Operating revenues: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric and natural gas |
|
$ |
3,014 |
|
|
$ |
2,994 |
|
Other |
|
|
14 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
3,028 |
|
|
|
3,022 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
302 |
|
|
$ |
288 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding |
|
|
557 |
|
|
|
552 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of EPS — Diluted |
|
|
|
|
||||
Regulated utility |
|
$ |
0.66 |
|
|
$ |
0.60 |
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs |
|
|
(0.12 |
) |
|
|
(0.08 |
) |
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS (a) |
|
$ |
0.54 |
|
|
$ |
0.52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
32.24 |
|
|
$ |
30.66 |
|
Cash dividends declared per common share |
|
|
0.5475 |
|
|
|
0.52 |
|
|
|
Six Months Ended June 30 |
||||||
|
|
2024 |
|
2023 |
||||
Operating revenues: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric and natural gas |
|
$ |
6,640 |
|
|
$ |
7,045 |
|
Other |
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
57 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
6,677 |
|
|
|
7,102 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
790 |
|
|
$ |
706 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding |
|
|
556 |
|
|
|
551 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of EPS — Diluted |
|
|
|
|
||||
Regulated utility |
|
$ |
1.62 |
|
|
$ |
1.43 |
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs |
|
|
(0.20 |
) |
|
|
(0.15 |
) |
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS (a) |
|
$ |
1.42 |
|
|
$ |
1.28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
32.27 |
|
|
$ |
30.69 |
|
Cash dividends declared per common share |
|
|
1.095 |
|
|
|
1.04 |
|
(a) |
Amounts may not add due to rounding. |
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20240801924578/en/
Paul Johnson, Vice President - Treasurer & Investor Relations
(612) 215-4535
Roopesh Aggarwal, Senior Director - Investor Relations
(303) 571-2855
Xcel Energy website address:
www.xcelenergy.com
Source: Xcel Energy Inc.
FAQ
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