Xcel Energy First Quarter 2025 Earnings Report
-
First quarter GAAP and ongoing earnings per share were
in 2025 compared with$0.84 in 2024.$0.88 -
Xcel Energy reaffirms its 2025 ongoing EPS guidance of
to$3.75 .$3.85
First quarter ongoing earnings reflect higher O&M expenses, depreciation and interest charges, partially offset by increased recovery of infrastructure investments.
“As we continue to advance our mission to make energy work better for our customers, we are building new generation, investing in system resilience and leading the energy transition to meet the goals and aspirations of the communities we serve,” said Bob Frenzel, chairman, president and CEO of Xcel Energy. “We reached a milestone in February, when
At 9:00 a.m. CDT today, Xcel Energy will host a conference call to review financial results. To participate in the call, please dial in 5 to 10 minutes prior to the start and follow the operator’s instructions.
US Dial-In: |
1 (866) 580-3963 |
|
International Dial-In: |
(400) 120-0558 |
|
Conference ID: |
2629857 |
The conference call also will be simultaneously broadcast and archived on Xcel Energy’s website at www.xcelenergy.com. To access the presentation, click on Investors under Company. If you are unable to participate in the live event, the call will be available for replay from April 24th through April 29th.
Replay Numbers |
|
|
US Dial-In: |
1 (866) 583-1035 |
|
Access Code: |
2629857# |
Except for the historical statements contained in this report, the matters discussed herein are forward-looking statements that are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and assumptions. Such forward-looking statements, including those relating to 2025 EPS guidance, long-term EPS and dividend growth rate objectives, future sales, future expenses, future tax rates, future operating performance, estimated base capital expenditures and financing plans, projected capital additions and forecasted annual revenue requirements with respect to rider filings, expected rate increases or refunds to customers, expectations and intentions regarding regulatory proceedings, expected pension contributions, and expected impact on our results of operations, financial condition and cash flows of interest rate changes, increased credit exposure, and legal proceeding outcomes, as well as assumptions and other statements are intended to be identified in this document by the words “anticipate,” “believe,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “may,” “objective,” “outlook,” “plan,” “project,” “possible,” “potential,” “should,” “will,” “would” and similar expressions. Actual results may vary materially. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, and we expressly disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking information. The following factors, in addition to those discussed in Xcel Energy’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended Dec. 31, 2024 and subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, could cause actual results to differ materially from management expectations as suggested by such forward-looking information: operational safety, including our nuclear generation facilities and other utility operations; successful long-term operational planning; commodity risks associated with energy markets and production; rising energy prices and fuel costs; qualified employee workforce and third-party contractor factors; violations of our Codes of Conduct; our ability to recover costs and our subsidiaries’ ability to recover costs from customers; changes in regulation; reductions in our credit ratings and the cost of maintaining certain contractual relationships; general economic conditions, including recessionary conditions, inflation rates, monetary fluctuations, supply chain constraints and their impact on capital expenditures and/or the ability of Xcel Energy Inc. and its subsidiaries to obtain financing on favorable terms; availability or cost of capital; our customers’ and counterparties’ ability to pay their debts to us; assumptions and costs relating to funding our employee benefit plans and health care benefits; our subsidiaries’ ability to make dividend payments; tax laws; uncertainty regarding epidemics; effects of geopolitical events, including war and acts of terrorism; cybersecurity threats and data security breaches; seasonal weather patterns; changes in environmental laws and regulations; climate change and other weather events; natural disaster and resource depletion, including compliance with any accompanying legislative and regulatory changes; costs of potential regulatory penalties and wildfire damages in excess of liability insurance coverage; regulatory changes and/or limitations related to the use of natural gas as an energy source; challenging labor market conditions and our ability to attract and retain a qualified workforce; and our ability to execute on our strategies or achieve expectations related to environmental, social and governance matters including as a result of evolving legal, regulatory and other standards, processes, and assumptions, the pace of scientific and technological developments, increased costs, the availability of requisite financing, and changes in carbon markets.
This information is not given in connection with any sale, offer for sale or offer to buy any security.
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME (UNAUDITED) (amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 |
||||||
|
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Operating revenues |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric |
|
$ |
2,835 |
|
|
$ |
2,685 |
|
Natural gas |
|
|
1,055 |
|
|
|
941 |
|
Other |
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
23 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
3,906 |
|
|
|
3,649 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating expenses |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric fuel and purchased power |
|
|
1,020 |
|
|
|
948 |
|
Cost of natural gas sold and transported |
|
|
513 |
|
|
|
483 |
|
Cost of sales — other |
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
8 |
|
Operating and maintenance expenses |
|
|
686 |
|
|
|
605 |
|
Conservation and demand side management expenses |
|
|
110 |
|
|
|
97 |
|
Depreciation and amortization |
|
|
728 |
|
|
|
658 |
|
Taxes (other than income taxes) |
|
|
170 |
|
|
|
171 |
|
Total operating expenses |
|
|
3,229 |
|
|
|
2,970 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Operating income |
|
|
677 |
|
|
|
679 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Other income, net |
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
14 |
|
(Loss) earnings from equity method investments |
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
8 |
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — equity |
|
|
48 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Interest charges and financing costs |
|
|
|
|
||||
Interest charges — includes other financing costs |
|
|
332 |
|
|
|
291 |
|
Allowance for funds used during construction — debt |
|
|
(23 |
) |
|
|
(14 |
) |
Total interest charges and financing costs |
|
|
309 |
|
|
|
277 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Income before income taxes |
|
|
422 |
|
|
|
461 |
|
Income tax benefit |
|
|
(61 |
) |
|
|
(27 |
) |
Net income |
|
$ |
483 |
|
|
$ |
488 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Basic |
|
|
575 |
|
|
|
556 |
|
Diluted |
|
|
577 |
|
|
|
556 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Earnings per average common share: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Basic |
|
$ |
0.84 |
|
|
$ |
0.88 |
|
Diluted |
|
|
0.84 |
|
|
|
0.88 |
|
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES
Notes to Investor Relations Earnings Release (Unaudited)
Due to the seasonality of Xcel Energy’s operating results, quarterly financial results are not an appropriate base from which to project annual results.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The following discussion includes financial information prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP), as well as certain non-GAAP financial measures such as ongoing return on equity (ROE), ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted EPS. Generally, a non-GAAP financial measure is a measure of a company’s financial performance, financial position or cash flows that adjusts measures calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. Xcel Energy’s management uses non-GAAP measures for financial planning and analysis, for reporting of results to the Board of Directors, in determining performance-based compensation and communicating its earnings outlook to analysts and investors. Non-GAAP financial measures are intended to supplement investors’ understanding of our performance and should not be considered alternatives for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. These measures are discussed in more detail below and may not be comparable to other companies’ similarly titled non-GAAP financial measures.
Ongoing ROE
Ongoing ROE is calculated by dividing the net income or loss of Xcel Energy or each subsidiary, adjusted for certain nonrecurring items, by each entity’s average stockholder’s equity. We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of earnings results.
Earnings Adjusted for Certain Items (Ongoing Earnings and Ongoing Diluted EPS)
GAAP diluted EPS reflects the potential dilution that could occur if securities or other agreements to issue common stock (i.e., common stock equivalents) were settled. The weighted average number of potentially dilutive shares outstanding used to calculate Xcel Energy Inc.’s diluted EPS is calculated using the treasury stock method. Ongoing earnings reflect adjustments to GAAP earnings (net income) for certain items. Ongoing diluted EPS for Xcel Energy is calculated by dividing net income or loss, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period. Ongoing diluted EPS for each subsidiary is calculated by dividing the net income or loss for such subsidiary, adjusted for certain items, by the weighted average fully diluted Xcel Energy Inc. common shares outstanding for the period.
We use these non-GAAP financial measures to evaluate and provide details of Xcel Energy’s core earnings and underlying performance. For instance, to present ongoing earnings and ongoing diluted earnings per share, we may adjust the related GAAP amounts for certain items that are non-recurring in nature. We believe these measurements are useful to investors to evaluate the actual and projected financial performance and contribution of our subsidiaries. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered as an alternative to measures calculated and reported in accordance with GAAP. For the three months ended March 31, 2025 and 2024, there were no such adjustments to GAAP earnings and therefore GAAP earnings equal ongoing earnings for these periods.
Note 1. Earnings Per Share Summary
Xcel Energy’s first quarter GAAP and ongoing diluted earnings were
Summarized diluted EPS for Xcel Energy:
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 |
||||||
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
PSCo |
|
$ |
0.45 |
|
|
$ |
0.39 |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
|
0.32 |
|
|
|
0.38 |
|
SPS |
|
|
0.10 |
|
|
|
0.10 |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
0.07 |
|
|
|
0.08 |
|
Earnings from equity method investments — WYCO |
|
|
0.01 |
|
|
|
0.01 |
|
Regulated utility |
|
|
0.95 |
|
|
|
0.96 |
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other |
|
|
(0.11 |
) |
|
|
(0.08 |
) |
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS |
|
$ |
0.84 |
|
|
$ |
0.88 |
|
PSCo — GAAP and ongoing earnings increased
NSP-Minnesota — GAAP and ongoing earnings decreased
SPS — GAAP and ongoing earnings were flat for the first quarter of 2025 largely due to higher recovery of electric infrastructure investments and sales growth, offset by increased depreciation and O&M expenses.
NSP-Wisconsin — GAAP and ongoing earnings decreased
Xcel Energy Inc. and Other — Primarily includes financing costs and interest income at the holding company and earnings from investment funds, which are accounted for as equity method investments. The decline in earnings was largely due to higher debt levels and the performance of the equity method investments, which primarily invest in energy technology companies.
Components significantly contributing to changes in 2025 EPS compared to 2024:
Diluted Earnings (Loss) Per Share |
|
Three Months Ended March 31 |
||
GAAP and ongoing EPS — 2024 |
|
$ |
0.88 |
|
|
|
|
||
Components of change - 2025 vs. 2024 |
|
|
||
Higher electric revenues |
|
|
0.20 |
|
Higher natural gas revenues |
|
|
0.15 |
|
Higher O&M expenses |
|
|
(0.11 |
) |
Higher electric fuel and purchased power (a) |
|
|
(0.10 |
) |
Higher depreciation and amortization |
|
|
(0.09 |
) |
Higher interest charges |
|
|
(0.06 |
) |
Higher costs of natural gas sold and transported (a) |
|
|
(0.04 |
) |
Other, net |
|
|
0.01 |
|
GAAP and ongoing EPS — 2025 |
|
$ |
0.84 |
|
(a) |
Cost of electric fuel and purchased power and natural gas sold and transported are generally recovered through regulatory recovery mechanisms and offset in revenue. |
Note 2. Regulated Utility Results
Estimated Impact of Temperature Changes on Regulated Earnings — Unusually hot summers or cold winters increase electric and natural gas sales, while mild weather reduces electric and natural gas sales. The estimated impact of weather on earnings is based on the number of customers, temperature variances, the amount of natural gas or electricity historically used per degree of temperature and excludes any incremental related operating expenses that could result due to storm activity or vegetation management requirements. As a result, weather deviations from normal levels can affect Xcel Energy’s financial performance. However, electric sales true-up and gas decoupling mechanisms in
Normal weather conditions are defined as either the 10, 20 or 30-year average of actual historical weather conditions. The historical period of time used in the calculation of normal weather differs by jurisdiction, based on regulatory practice. To calculate the impact of weather on demand, a demand factor is applied to the weather impact on sales. Extreme weather variations, windchill and cloud cover may not be reflected in weather-normalized estimates.
Weather — Estimated impact of temperature variations on EPS compared with normal weather conditions:
|
Three Months Ended March 31 |
||||||||||
|
2025 vs. Normal |
|
2024 vs. Normal |
|
2025 vs. 2024 |
||||||
Retail electric |
$ |
0.006 |
|
$ |
(0.029 |
) |
|
$ |
0.035 |
|
|
Sales true-up |
|
— |
|
|
0.016 |
|
|
|
(0.016 |
) |
|
Electric total |
$ |
0.006 |
|
$ |
(0.013 |
) |
|
$ |
0.019 |
|
|
Firm natural gas |
|
0.005 |
|
|
(0.027 |
) |
|
|
0.032 |
|
|
Decoupling |
|
0.002 |
|
|
0.017 |
|
|
|
(0.015 |
) |
|
Natural gas total |
$ |
0.007 |
|
$ |
(0.010 |
) |
|
$ |
0.017 |
|
|
Total |
$ |
0.013 |
|
$ |
(0.023 |
) |
|
$ |
0.036 |
|
Sales — Sales growth (decline) for actual and weather-normalized sales in 2025 compared to 2024:
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Actual |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
1.3 |
% |
|
5.5 |
% |
|
6.2 |
% |
|
9.3 |
% |
|
4.3 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
(1.0 |
) |
|
1.1 |
|
|
3.9 |
|
|
0.2 |
|
|
1.3 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
(0.3 |
) |
|
2.5 |
|
|
4.1 |
|
|
2.9 |
|
|
2.1 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
3.2 |
|
|
17.4 |
|
|
N/A |
|
|
26.0 |
|
|
8.8 |
|
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
(0.1 |
)% |
|
0.2 |
% |
|
3.3 |
% |
|
1.9 |
% |
|
0.7 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
(1.3 |
) |
|
0.2 |
|
|
3.9 |
|
|
(0.4 |
) |
|
0.8 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
(1.0 |
) |
|
0.2 |
|
|
3.7 |
|
|
0.3 |
|
|
0.7 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
(1.7 |
) |
|
(0.3 |
) |
|
N/A |
|
|
5.1 |
|
|
(0.8 |
) |
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 (Leap Year Adjusted) |
|||||||||||||
|
|
PSCo |
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
SPS |
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Xcel Energy |
|||||
Weather-Normalized |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||
Electric residential |
|
1.1 |
% |
|
1.3 |
% |
|
4.5 |
% |
|
3.1 |
% |
|
1.8 |
% |
Electric C&I |
|
(0.2 |
) |
|
1.3 |
|
|
5.0 |
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
Total retail electric sales |
|
0.1 |
|
|
1.3 |
|
|
4.8 |
|
|
1.4 |
|
|
1.9 |
|
Firm natural gas sales |
|
(0.4 |
) |
|
1.0 |
|
|
N/A |
|
|
6.4 |
|
|
0.5 |
|
Weather-normalized and leap-year adjusted electric sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
-
PSCo — Residential sales increased due to customer growth of
1.4% , partially offset by a0.3% decrease in use per customer. The C&I sales decline was related to lower use per customer, primarily in the wholesale trade and transportation sectors. -
NSP-Minnesota — Residential sales increased due to customer growth of
1.2% and a0.1% increase in use per customer. C&I sales increased due to customer growth and higher use per customer, largely in the manufacturing sector. -
SPS — Residential sales increased as a result of a
3.7% increase in use per customer and customer growth of0.8% . C&I sales increased due to higher use per customer, primarily driven by the energy sector. -
NSP-Wisconsin — Residential sales increased due to a
2.0% increase in use per customer and customer growth of1.0% . C&I sales increased due to customer growth, experienced largely in the professional services and manufacturing sectors.
Weather-normalized and leap-year adjusted natural gas sales growth (decline) — year-to-date
- Increase in natural gas sales was driven primarily by residential and C&I customer growth in all jurisdictions and higher residential use per customer in NSP-Minnesota and NSP-Wisconsin. This was offset by decreased use per customer in PSCo residential and NSP-Minnesota C&I.
Electric Revenues — Electric revenues are impacted by fluctuations in the price of natural gas, coal and uranium, regulatory outcomes, market prices and seasonality. In addition, electric customers receive a credit for PTCs generated, which reduce electric revenue and income taxes.
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months Ended
|
||
Recovery of higher cost of electric fuel and purchased power |
|
$ |
61 |
|
Non-fuel riders |
|
|
58 |
|
Regulatory rate outcomes (MN, TX and ND) |
|
|
29 |
|
Estimated impact of weather |
|
|
14 |
|
PTCs flowed back to customers (offset by lower ETR) |
|
|
(16 |
) |
Conservation and demand side management (offset in expense) |
|
|
(7 |
) |
Other, net |
|
|
11 |
|
Total increase |
|
$ |
150 |
|
Natural Gas Revenues — Natural gas revenues vary with changing sales, the cost of natural gas and regulatory outcomes.
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Three Months Ended
|
||
Regulatory rate outcomes (CO and ND) |
|
$ |
57 |
|
Recovery of higher cost of natural gas |
|
|
30 |
|
Conservation revenue (offset in expense) |
|
|
20 |
|
Estimated impact of weather (net of decoupling) |
|
|
13 |
|
Retail sales growth (net of decoupling) |
|
|
(4 |
) |
Other, net |
|
|
(2 |
) |
Total increase |
|
$ |
114 |
|
Electric Fuel and Purchased Power — Expenses incurred for electric fuel and purchased power are impacted by fluctuations in market prices of electricity, natural gas, coal and uranium, as well as seasonality. These incurred expenses are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Electric fuel and purchased power expenses increased
Cost of Natural Gas Sold and Transported — Expenses incurred for the cost of natural gas sold are impacted by market prices and seasonality. These costs are generally recovered through various regulatory recovery mechanisms. As a result, changes in these expenses are largely offset in operating revenues and have minimal earnings impact.
Natural gas sold and transported increased
O&M Expenses — O&M expenses increased
Depreciation and Amortization — Depreciation and amortization increased
Interest Charges — Interest charges increased
Income Taxes — Effective income tax rate:
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 |
|||||||
|
|
2025 |
|
2024 |
|
2025 vs. 2024 |
|||
Federal statutory rate |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
21.0 |
% |
|
— |
% |
State income tax on pretax income, net of federal tax effect |
|
4.7 |
|
|
4.8 |
|
|
(0.1 |
) |
(Decreases) increases in tax from: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||
PTCs (a) |
|
(33.1 |
) |
|
(25.9 |
) |
|
(7.2 |
) |
Plant regulatory differences (b) |
|
(6.7 |
) |
|
(5.6 |
) |
|
(1.1 |
) |
Other tax credits, net NOL & tax credit allowances |
|
(1.2 |
) |
|
(0.6 |
) |
|
(0.6 |
) |
Other, net |
|
0.8 |
|
|
0.4 |
|
|
0.4 |
|
Effective income tax rate |
|
(14.5 |
)% |
|
(5.9 |
)% |
|
(8.6 |
)% |
(a) |
Wind and solar PTCs (net of estimated transfer discounts) are generally credited to customers (reduction to revenue) and do not materially impact earnings. |
(b) |
Plant regulatory differences primarily relate to the credit of excess deferred taxes to customers. Income tax benefits associated with the credit are offset by corresponding revenue reductions. |
Note 3. Capital Structure, Liquidity, Financing and Credit Ratings
Xcel Energy’s capital structure:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
March 31, 2025 |
|
Percentage of Total Capitalization |
|
Dec. 31, 2024 |
|
Percentage of Total Capitalization |
||||
Current portion of long-term debt |
|
$ |
1,103 |
|
2 |
% |
|
$ |
1,103 |
|
2 |
% |
Short-term debt |
|
|
719 |
|
1 |
|
|
|
695 |
|
2 |
|
Long-term debt |
|
|
29,396 |
|
58 |
|
|
|
27,316 |
|
56 |
|
Total debt |
|
|
31,218 |
|
61 |
|
|
|
29,114 |
|
60 |
|
Common equity |
|
|
19,804 |
|
39 |
|
|
|
19,522 |
|
40 |
|
Total capitalization |
|
$ |
51,022 |
|
100 |
% |
|
$ |
48,636 |
|
100 |
% |
Liquidity — As of April 21, 2025, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries had the following committed credit facilities available to meet liquidity needs:
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Credit Facility (a) |
|
Drawn (b) |
|
Available |
|
Cash |
|
Liquidity |
|||||
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
$ |
1,500 |
|
$ |
200 |
|
$ |
1,300 |
|
$ |
115 |
|
$ |
1,415 |
PSCo |
|
|
700 |
|
|
30 |
|
|
670 |
|
|
377 |
|
|
1,047 |
NSP-Minnesota |
|
|
700 |
|
|
72 |
|
|
628 |
|
|
19 |
|
|
647 |
SPS |
|
|
500 |
|
|
255 |
|
|
245 |
|
|
10 |
|
|
255 |
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
|
150 |
|
|
— |
|
|
150 |
|
|
23 |
|
|
173 |
Total |
|
$ |
3,550 |
|
$ |
557 |
|
$ |
2,993 |
|
$ |
544 |
|
$ |
3,537 |
(a) |
Expires September 2027. |
(b) |
Includes outstanding commercial paper and letters of credit. |
Credit Ratings — Access to the capital markets at reasonable terms is partially dependent on credit ratings. The following ratings reflect the views of Moody’s, S&P Global Ratings and Fitch. The highest credit rating for debt is Aaa/AAA and the lowest investment grade rating is Baa3/BBB-. The highest rating for commercial paper is P-1/A-1/F-1 and the lowest rating is P-3/A-3/F-3. A security rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities. Ratings are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the credit rating agency and each rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating.
Credit ratings and long-term outlook assigned to Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries as of April 21, 2025:
|
|
|
|
Moody’s |
|
S&P Global Ratings |
|
Fitch |
||||||
Company |
|
Credit Type |
|
Rating |
|
Outlook |
|
Rating |
|
Outlook |
|
Rating |
|
Outlook |
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
Unsecured |
|
Baa1 |
|
Stable |
|
BBB |
|
Negative |
|
BBB+ |
|
Negative |
NSP-Minnesota |
|
Secured |
|
Aa3 |
|
Stable |
|
A |
|
Negative |
|
A+ |
|
Stable |
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Secured |
|
A1 |
|
Stable |
|
A |
|
Negative |
|
A+ |
|
Stable |
PSCo |
|
Secured |
|
A1 |
|
Stable |
|
A |
|
Negative |
|
A+ |
|
Stable |
SPS |
|
Secured |
|
A3 |
|
Stable |
|
A- |
|
Negative |
|
A- |
|
Stable |
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-1 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
PSCo |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
SPS |
|
Commercial paper |
|
P-2 |
|
|
|
A-2 |
|
|
|
F2 |
|
|
2025 Financing Activity — During 2025, Xcel Energy Inc. and its utility subsidiaries have completed or plan to complete the following long-term debt issuances:
Issuer |
|
Security |
|
Amount (in millions) |
|
Status |
|
Tenor |
|
Coupon |
Xcel Energy Inc. |
|
Senior Unsecured Notes |
|
|
|
Completed |
|
3 Year & 10 Year |
|
|
PSCo |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
1,000 |
|
Completed |
|
9 Year & 30 Year |
|
|
NSP-Minnesota |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
1,100 |
|
Second Quarter |
|
10 Year & 30 Year |
|
N/A |
SPS |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
450 |
|
Second Quarter |
|
30 Year |
|
N/A |
NSP-Wisconsin |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
250 |
|
Second Quarter |
|
30 Year |
|
N/A |
PSCo |
|
First Mortgage Bonds |
|
1,000 |
|
Third Quarter |
|
10 Year & 30 Year |
|
N/A |
Xcel Energy issued approximately
Financing plans are subject to change, depending on capital expenditures, regulatory outcomes, internal cash generation, market conditions, changes in tax policies and other factors.
Note 4. Rates, Regulation and Other
NSP-Minnesota — 2024 Electric Rate Case — In November 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed an electric rate case in
In March 2025, NSP-Minnesota filed supplemental direct testimony, updating its total revenue request to
- Intervenor direct testimony: August 22, 2025
- Rebuttal testimony: October 10, 2025
- ALJ Report: April 30, 2026
- MPUC Decision: July 31, 2026
NSP-Minnesota — 2024 North Dakota Electric Rate Case — In December 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the North Dakota Public Service Commission (NDPSC) for an annual electric rate increase of approximately
NSP-Minnesota — 2024 Minnesota Natural Gas Rate Case — In November 2023, NSP-Minnesota filed a request with the Minnesota Public Utilities Commission (MPUC) for a natural gas rate increase of approximately
In February 2025, the MPUC verbally approved the uncontested settlement agreement filed by NSP-Minnesota and various parties, which includes the following terms:
-
Natural gas rate increase of
, or$46 million 7.5% . -
ROE of
9.6% . -
Equity ratio of
52.5% . -
Rate base of
.$1.25 billion - No change to Commission approved decoupling.
NSP-Minnesota —
In 2024, the DOC recommended customer refunds for 2023 replacement power costs incurred during an outage at the Prairie Island generating station (October 2023 through February 2024). NSP-Minnesota estimates that customer refunds would be approximately
In September 2024, the MPUC ruled NSP-Minnesota was imprudent in the operation of the Prairie Island nuclear plant based on an incident that resulted in the extended outage. The MPUC did not quantify the refund and referred the determination of the refund amount to the Office of Administrative Hearings. NSP-Minnesota recorded an estimated liability for a customer refund in 2024.
The procedural schedule is as follows:
- Xcel Energy testimony: May 1, 2025
- Intervenor direct testimony: July 2, 2025
- Rebuttal testimony: August 13, 2025
- ALJ Report: March 16, 2026
NSP-Minnesota — 2024 Minnesota Resource Plan Settlement — In February 2024, NSP filed its Upper Midwest Resource Plan with the MPUC. In October 2024, NSP-Minnesota filed a settlement with several parties reaching agreement on the resource plan, as well as the proposed projects to be approved in the pending 800 MW firm dispatchable resource acquisition.
In February 2025, the MPUC approved the terms of the settlement agreement, including:
- The selection of the company owned 420 MW Lyon County combustion turbine.
- The selection of the company owned 300 MW 4-hour Sherco battery energy storage system.
- Multiple PPAs to proceed to the negotiation stage.
- The addition of 3,200 MW of wind, 400 MW of solar and 600 MW of stand-alone storage to be added through 2030 based on an RFP process (a portion of which is expected to be fulfilled with the resources acquired as part of the 2024 RFPs). Of these amounts, approximately 2,800 MW of wind are projected to utilize the Minnesota Energy Connection transmission line.
-
Planned life extensions of the Prairie Island and
Monticello nuclear plants through the early 2050s.
Additionally, the MPUC approved life extensions of the
NSP-Minnesota will file additional RFPs for approved resource needs beginning in late 2025 or early 2026.
NSP-Wisconsin — Wisconsin Electric and Natural Gas Rate Case – In March 2025, NSP-Wisconsin filed a request with the PSCW for a multi-year electric and natural gas rate increase.
For the electric utility, NSP-Wisconsin is seeking a total electric revenue increase of
The rate request is primarily driven by investments in NSP-Wisconsin’s electric and natural gas systems to enhance reliability and resiliency while ensuring safe operation. The investments also enable additional clean energy generation; the benefits of wind, solar and nuclear tax credits are incorporated in the table below.
A PSCW decision is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2025.
(Millions of Dollars) |
|
Electric |
|
Natural Gas |
||||
NSPW rate base-related investment |
|
$ |
176 |
|
|
$ |
17 |
|
Interchange agreement billings (a) |
|
|
(72 |
) |
|
|
— |
|
O&M expenses |
|
|
30 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
Sales |
|
|
18 |
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
Other |
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
(2 |
) |
NSP-Wisconsin’s filed rate request |
|
$ |
151 |
|
|
$ |
24 |
|
(a) |
The Interchange Agreement is a Federal Energy Regulatory Commission cost sharing tariff under which NSP-Wisconsin and its affiliate, NSP-Minnesota allocate the costs of the integrated electric generation and transmission system. |
PSCo — 2024 Colorado Electric Resource Plan — In October 2024, PSCo filed its electric resource plan with the CPUC. The filing reflects the expected growth on the system, the generation resources needed to meet the projected growth and the future evaluation of competitive bids for new generation resources.
-
The plan reflects a base sales forecast with
7% compound annual sales growth through 2031. -
The plan also presents a low sales forecast with a
3% compound annual sales growth through 2031. - The resource plan includes forecasted need of 5-14 GW of new generation capacity through 2031, including renewables and firm dispatchable resources to meet the two different scenarios. The acquisitions of generation resources will be determined through a competitive solicitation after the CPUC determines the portfolio. The table below summarizes two of the proposed portfolios based on the different sales scenarios:
(Megawatts) |
|
Base Plan |
|
Low Load |
Wind |
|
7,250 |
|
2,800 |
Solar |
|
3,077 |
|
1,200 |
Natural gas combustion turbine |
|
1,575 |
|
1,400 |
Storage (long duration) |
|
1,600 |
|
— |
Other storage |
|
450 |
|
— |
Total |
|
13,952 |
|
5,400 |
Answer testimony was received in April 2025. The remaining procedural schedule is as follows:
- Rebuttal testimony: May 23, 2025
- Settlement deadline: June 2, 2025
- Hearing: June 10-20, 2025
- Statements of position: July 14, 2025
A CPUC decision on the resource plan is expected by the fall of 2025 (Phase I) with the competitive solicitation for resource additions expected in early 2026.
PSCo — Wildfire Mitigation Plan — In June 2024, PSCo filed an Updated Wildfire Mitigation Plan (the WMP) and request for recovery of costs covering the years 2025 to 2027 with the CPUC. The estimated total cost for this plan is approximately
The WMP integrates industry experience; incorporates evolving risk assessment methodologies; adds new technology; and expands the scope, pace and scale of our work to reduce wildfire risk in a comprehensive and efficient manner.
In April 2025, PSCo filed with the CPUC a comprehensive and unanimous settlement. Key terms include:
- Approval of the updated WMP, including scope of mitigation activities and the Public Safety Power Shutoffs plan, with certain modifications.
- Cost recovery of proposed investments through a Wildfire Mitigation Adjustment rider and recovery of transmission investments through the Transmission Cost Adjustment rider.
-
PSCo agrees to request approval to pursue securitization of an estimated
of proposed WMP investments, with a target to complete the transaction by Jan. 1, 2029.$1.2 billion -
Extension of the excess liability insurance deferral, with a cap of
after PSCo’s current policy year, which ends October 2025.$50 million
A CPUC decision is expected by the third quarter of 2025.
SPS — New Mexico Resource Plan (IRP) — In October 2023, SPS filed its IRP with the New Mexico Public Regulation Commission (NMPRC), which supports projected load growth and increasing reliability requirements, and secures replacement energy and capacity for retiring resources. SPS’ projected resource needs ranging from approximately 5,300 MW to 10,200 MW by 2030. In February 2024, the NMPRC accepted the IRP.
In July 2024, SPS issued a RFP, seeking approximately 3,200 MW of accredited generation capacity by 2030. The total capacity to be added to the system is expected to align with the range identified in the SPS IRP, depending on the types of resources proposed in the RFP and their accredited capacity factors.
Bids from the RFP were received in January and are currently being evaluated. A portfolio selection filing is expected in the second quarter of 2025 followed by a certificate of need filing for the specific assets in the third quarter of 2025. The PUCT and NMPRC are expected to rule on the portfolio in 2026.
SPS — System Resiliency Plan — In December 2024, SPS filed its Texas System Resiliency Plan (SRP) with the PUCT. Consistent with PUCT requirements, SPS’ proposed plan discusses resiliency-related risks and the five measures that have been designed to help SPS prevent, withstand, mitigate or more promptly recover from resiliency events, including wildfire.
The proposed SRP covers 2025-2028 and includes a proposed
- Distribution overhead hardening — Replacing and reinforcing key components of the distribution overhead system.
- Distribution system protection modernization — Installing enhanced reclosers, communications equipment and replacing substation relay panels and breakers.
- Communication modernization — Building out a private LTE network, installing fiber optic cable and adding remote terminal units.
- Operational flexibility — Procuring mobile substation equipment and installing additional switching devices.
- Wildfire mitigation — Weather stations, modeling, deploying artificial intelligence and vegetation management.
In April 2025, SPS filed a unanimous stipulation and settlement agreement which includes approximately
SPS expects a PUCT decision on the settlement by the third quarter of 2025.
SPS — Excess Liability Insurance Deferral — In March 2025, SPS filed a request with the PUCT and in April 2025, SPS filed a request with the NMPRC for deferred accounting treatment for incremental excess liability insurance expense incurred as a result of the October 2024 policy renewal, estimated at approximately
Note 5. Wildfire Litigation
2024 Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex — On February 26, 2024, multiple wildfires began in the Texas Panhandle, including the Smokehouse Creek Fire and the 687 Reamer Fire, which burned into the perimeter of the Smokehouse Creek Fire (together, referred to herein as the “Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex”). The Texas A&M Forest Service issued incident reports that determined that the Smokehouse Creek Fire and the 687 Reamer Fire were caused by power lines owned by SPS after wooden poles near each fire origin failed. According to the Texas A&M Forest Service’s Incident Viewer and news reports, the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex burned approximately 1,055,000 acres.
SPS is aware of approximately 25 complaints, most of which have also named Xcel Energy Services Inc. as an additional defendant, relating to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex. The complaints generally allege that SPS’ equipment ignited the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex and seek compensation for losses resulting from the fire, asserting various causes of action under
Potential liabilities related to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex depend on various factors, including the cause of the equipment failure and the extent and magnitude of potential damages, including damages to residential and commercial structures, personal property, vegetation, livestock and livestock feed (including replacement feed), personal injuries and any other damages, penalties, fines or restitution that may be imposed by courts or other governmental entities if SPS is found to have been negligent.
Based on the current state of the law and the facts and circumstances available as of the date of this filing, Xcel Energy believes it is probable that it will incur a loss in connection with the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex and accordingly has recorded
Settlements reached as of the date of this filing total
The cumulative estimated probable losses of
Xcel Energy remains unable to reasonably estimate any additional loss or the upper end of the range because there are a number of unknown facts and legal considerations that may impact the amount of any potential liability. In the event that SPS or Xcel Energy Services Inc. was found liable related to the litigation related to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex and was required to pay damages, such amounts could exceed our insurance coverage of approximately
The process for estimating losses associated with potential claims related to the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex requires management to exercise significant judgment based on a number of assumptions and subjective factors, including the factors identified above and estimates based on currently available information and prior experience with wildfires. As more information becomes available, management estimates and assumptions regarding the potential financial impact of the Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex may change.
SPS records insurance recoveries when it is deemed probable that recovery will occur, and SPS can reasonably estimate the amount or range. Insurance receivables of
Marshall Wildfire Litigation —In December 2021, a wildfire ignited in
According to the Sheriff’s Report, on Dec. 30, 2021, a fire ignited on a residential property in
The Sheriff’s Report states that the most probable cause of the second ignition was hot particles discharged from PSCo’s power lines after one of the power lines detached from its insulator in strong winds, and further states that it cannot be ruled out that the second ignition was caused by an underground coal fire. According to the Sheriff’s Report, no design, installation or maintenance defects or deficiencies were identified on PSCo’s electrical circuit in the area of the second ignition. PSCo disputes that its power lines caused the second ignition.
PSCo is aware of 307 complaints, most of which have also named Xcel Energy Inc. and Xcel Energy Services Inc. as additional defendants, relating to the
In September 2023, the
In September 2024, the Judge presiding over the consolidated cases in
Expert discovery in the case is ongoing. In addition to the Sheriff’s Report conclusions that PSCo’s power lines likely caused the second ignition and that an underground coal fire was a possible cause of the second ignition, two other theories about the cause of the second ignition have been put forth by various plaintiffs in expert reports that were submitted in the first quarter of 2025. The first is that partially unattached telecommunications equipment contacted PSCo’s power lines, and the second is that an unidentified flying object struck PSCo’s power lines.
In the event Xcel Energy Inc. or PSCo was found liable related to this litigation and were required to pay damages, such amounts could exceed our insurance coverage of approximately
Note 6. Earnings Guidance and Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives
Xcel Energy 2025 Earnings Guidance — Xcel Energy’s 2025 ongoing earnings guidance is a range of
Key assumptions as compared with 2024 actual levels unless noted:
- Constructive outcomes in all pending rate case and regulatory proceedings, including requests for deferral of incremental insurance costs associated with wildfire risk and recovery of O&M costs associated with wildfire mitigation plans.
- Normal weather patterns for the year.
-
Weather-normalized retail electric sales are projected to increase ~
3% . -
Weather-normalized retail firm natural gas sales are projected to increase ~
1% . -
Capital rider revenue is projected to increase
to$200 million (net of PTCs). The update is primarily driven by earnings neutral changes, including PTC updates.$210 million -
O&M expenses are projected to increase ~
3% . -
Depreciation expense is projected to increase approximately
to$210 million .$220 million -
Property taxes are projected to increase
to$45 million .$55 million -
Interest expense (net of AFUDC - debt) is projected to increase
to$165 million , net of interest income.$175 million -
AFUDC - equity is projected to increase
to$110 million .$120 million
(a) |
Ongoing earnings is calculated using net income and adjusting for certain nonrecurring or infrequent items that are, in management’s view, not reflective of ongoing operations. Ongoing earnings could differ from those prepared in accordance with GAAP for unplanned and/or unknown adjustments. As Xcel Energy is unable to quantify the financial impacts of any additional adjustments that may occur for the year, we are unable to provide a quantitative reconciliation of the guidance for ongoing EPS to corresponding GAAP EPS. |
Long-Term EPS and Dividend Growth Rate Objectives — Xcel Energy expects to deliver an attractive total return to our shareholders through a combination of earnings growth and dividend yield, based on the following long-term objectives:
-
Deliver long-term annual EPS growth of
6% to8% based off of per share (the mid-point of 2024 original ongoing earnings guidance of$3.55 to$3.50 per share).$3.60 -
Deliver annual dividend increases of
4% to6% . -
Target a dividend payout ratio of
50% to60% . - Maintain senior secured debt credit ratings in the A range.
XCEL ENERGY INC. AND SUBSIDIARIES EARNINGS RELEASE SUMMARY (UNAUDITED) (amounts in millions, except per share data) |
||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended March 31 |
||||||
|
|
|
2025 |
|
|
|
2024 |
|
Operating revenues: |
|
|
|
|
||||
Electric and natural gas |
|
$ |
3,890 |
|
|
$ |
3,626 |
|
Other |
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
23 |
|
Total operating revenues |
|
|
3,906 |
|
|
|
3,649 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
483 |
|
|
$ |
488 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Weighted average diluted common shares outstanding |
|
|
577 |
|
|
|
556 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Components of EPS — Diluted |
|
|
|
|
||||
Regulated utility |
|
$ |
0.95 |
|
|
$ |
0.96 |
|
Xcel Energy Inc. and other costs |
|
|
(0.11 |
) |
|
|
(0.08 |
) |
GAAP and ongoing diluted EPS |
|
$ |
0.84 |
|
|
$ |
0.88 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
34.34 |
|
|
$ |
32.09 |
|
Cash dividends declared per common share |
|
|
0.57 |
|
|
|
0.5475 |
|
View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250424886996/en/
For more information, contact:
Roopesh Aggarwal, Vice President - Investor Relations, (303) 571-2855
Xcel Energy website address: www.xcelenergy.com, (612) 215-5300
Source: Xcel Energy