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Market improves as premiums begin to stabilize in the Commercial Insurance Marketplace

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WTW (Willis Towers Watson, NASDAQ: WTW) reported that premiums and rates in the North American commercial insurance market are stabilizing. Increased competition and ample capacity have created a buyer's market, especially outside of excess casualty and terrorism. Industry-specific trends show improved conditions in construction due to growth and investment, and stable premiums in financial institutions. The report forecasts varied price changes for 2024: property rates may range from -5% to +10%, general liability could increase by 2% to 8%, and cyber premiums may remain flat or decrease by up to 5%. Political risks and terrorism-related coverages might see significant increases.

Positive
  • Premiums and rates are stabilizing across most industries and coverage areas.
  • Ample capacity is available, leading to increased competition and more consistent program structures.
  • Construction insurance market has improved due to industry growth and infrastructure investments.
  • Financial institutions insurance market has an abundance of capacity with stable premiums.
  • Some sectors, like banking, are experiencing minor premium decreases.
  • Property rates for non-CAT exposed risks may see modest increases up to 5%.
Negative
  • High hazard umbrella and excess casualty rates are expected to increase significantly, by 8% to 15% and over 10% respectively.
  • Political risk premiums could rise dramatically by 10% to 40%.
  • Terrorism and political violence insurance rates may increase by up to 30% in volatile territories.

Insights

The stabilization of premiums in the commercial insurance marketplace is a significant development for both insurers and businesses seeking coverage. The availability of ample capacity across many lines of business suggests increased competition among insurers, which typically leads to more favorable terms and pricing for clients. For investors, this stability could indicate potential for more predictable revenue streams for insurance companies, as premium rates are less likely to fluctuate wildly. Moreover, the increased competition might spur innovation in product offerings and risk management solutions, potentially benefiting insurers who can differentiate their services effectively. Key areas such as construction, financial institutions and healthcare are expected to see improved conditions, which may translate to growth opportunities for insurers specialized in these sectors. However, it is important to be cautious about segments like excess casualty and terrorism where the market remains hard.

The report from WTW highlights an evolving commercial insurance landscape characterized by stabilization and increasing competition. This market trend is particularly evident in sectors like construction, where economic factors such as infrastructure investment and risk controls are driving improved conditions. For investors in the insurance sector, understanding these macroeconomic drivers is crucial. The expected construction activity in renewable energy projects, industrial manufacturing and healthcare suggests a positive outlook for insurers focusing on these areas. On the other hand, the financial institutions space shows stable premiums, with minor decreases in the banking sector, indicating a balanced risk environment. However, it's essential to monitor geopolitical factors influencing segments like political risk and terrorism, as these areas continue to show premium variability.

The commercial insurance market's stabilization, as reported by WTW, denotes a shift towards a buyers' market in most sectors. This shift is not just a result of increased capacity but also improved risk management practices and economic growth in certain industries like construction. For retail investors, this means that insurance companies with robust client engagement and innovative risk solutions are likely to thrive. The detailed predictions for various insurance lines provide a roadmap for anticipating premium movements. For instance, sectors like Workers’ Compensation and Auto are seeing relatively modest increases or stability, while high hazard areas in excess casualty show steeper premium increases. Understanding these nuances can help investors gauge the performance potential of different insurance carriers. Overall, this stabilization represents a balanced risk environment, beneficial for both insurers seeking to expand their market share and businesses aiming for cost-effective coverage.

NEW YORK, May 14, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- According to the latest Insurance Marketplace Realities report from WTW (Willis Towers Watson, NASDAQ: WTW), a leading global advisory, broking and solutions company, premiums and rates have begun to stabilize across most industries and coverage areas in North America. Carriers have developed a comfort in quoting more client risk programs than they did a year ago, contributing to stability throughout the market.

From a macro perspective, ample capacity is available across many lines of business in 2024, which has led to increased competition, stabilized rates, and more consistent program structures. Outside of excess casualty and terrorism, it has become a buyers’ market where clients are driving program improvements through coverage terms, program structure and price.

Drilling down into the market undercurrents across specific industries, economic factors have continued to influence insurance trends. Construction, for example, has shown improved conditions driven by demonstrable industry growth, expanded infrastructure investment and improved risk controls. The expected construction activity in infrastructure, renewable energy projects, industrial manufacturing, and healthcare will support that particular insurance market.

Within the financial institutions space, the market is providing an abundance of capacity, and premiums have remained stable, while the banking sector, for example, has experienced minor premium decreases.

Jon Drummond, Head of Broking, North America, WTW, commented, “With meaningful capacity returning to many major product lines, we are confident in our ability to deliver excellent renewal results, and help our clients pursue the efficient frontier of risk.”

Key Price Predictions for 2024

Property
CAT-exposed-5% to +10%
Non-CAT exposed-5% to +5%
Domestic casualty
General liability+2% to +8%
Umbrella (high hazard)+8% to +15%
Excess (high hazard)+10% +
Excess (low hazard)+2% to +7%
Workers’ compensation5% to +2%
Auto+4% to +10%
InternationalFlat
Executive risks
Directors’ and officers’ public company (primary)-10% to Flat
Directors’ and officers’ private / not-for-profit (overall)-10% to Flat
Side A / DIC-10% to Flat
Errors and omissions (large law firms)+2% to +8%
Employment practices liability (primary)Flat to +10%
Fiduciary (financial institutions)

-5% to + 5%



Cyber
Cyber-5% to Flat
Political risk
Most risks+10% to +40%
 
Terrorism and political violence
Terrorism and sabotageFlat to +10% Non-volatile territories
+10% to +25% Volatile territories

Political violenceFlat to +15% Non-volatile territories
+15% to +30% Volatile territories

About WTW

At WTW (NASDAQ: WTW), we provide data-driven, insight-led solutions in the areas of people, risk and capital. Leveraging the global view and local expertise of our colleagues serving 140 countries and markets, we help organizations sharpen their strategy, enhance organizational resilience, motivate their workforce and maximize performance.

Working shoulder to shoulder with our clients, we uncover opportunities for sustainable success—and provide perspective that moves you. Learn more at wtwco.com.

Media Contact

Douglas Menelly, Public Relations Lead, North America
Douglas.Menelly@wtwco.com | +1 (516) 972 0380

Arnelle Sullivan, Public Relations Associate, North America
Arnelle.Sullivan@wtwco.com | +1 (718) 208-0474

 


FAQ

What are the key price predictions for WTW in 2024?

Property rates may range from -5% to +10%, general liability could increase by 2% to 8%, and cyber premiums might remain flat or decrease by up to 5%.

How is the construction insurance market performing according to WTW?

The construction insurance market has improved due to demonstrable industry growth, expanded infrastructure investments, and improved risk controls.

What trends are seen in the financial institutions insurance market?

The financial institutions insurance market is providing an abundance of capacity with stable premiums, and the banking sector is experiencing minor premium decreases.

Why is the commercial insurance marketplace becoming a buyer's market?

Increased competition and ample capacity are allowing clients to drive program improvements through coverage terms, program structure, and price.

What increases are expected in political risk premiums?

Political risk premiums are expected to rise dramatically by 10% to 40%.

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