Starbucks Reports Preliminary Q4 and Full Fiscal Year 2024 Results

Rhea-AI Impact

(Neutral)

Rhea-AI Sentiment

(Neutral)

Insights

Starbucks' preliminary Q4 and FY2024 results reveal significant challenges, with global comparable store sales declining 7% in Q4 and 2% for the full year. The 3% decline in Q4 consolidated net revenues to $9.1 billion and a mere 1% increase for the full year to $36.2 billion indicate stagnant growth. GAAP and non-GAAP EPS both dropped to $0.80 in Q4, down 25% year-over-year.

The U.S. market shows concerning trends with a 6% decline in comparable store sales, driven by a 10% drop in transactions. China's performance is even more alarming, with comparable store sales plummeting 14%. These results suggest that Starbucks' recent investments and promotions have failed to improve customer traffic and spending patterns.

Despite these challenges, the board's decision to increase the quarterly dividend from $0.57 to $0.61 per share indicates confidence in long-term prospects. However, the suspension of FY2025 guidance during this strategic reset period creates uncertainty for investors. The upcoming "Back to Starbucks" plan will be important for the company's turnaround efforts.

Starbucks' performance indicates a significant shift in consumer behavior and market dynamics. The 10% decline in U.S. comparable transactions suggests a fundamental change in customer habits, possibly due to economic pressures or changing preferences. The 4% increase in average ticket, while positive, isn't enough to offset the traffic decline.

In China, the 14% comparable store sales decline, driven by both transaction and ticket decreases, points to broader market challenges. Intensified competition and a soft macroeconomic environment are likely causing consumers to seek alternatives or reduce discretionary spending on premium coffee.

The failure of expanded product offerings and increased promotions to drive traffic is particularly concerning. It suggests that Starbucks may be losing its competitive edge or failing to resonate with changing consumer preferences. The company's admission that investments didn't improve customer behaviors indicates a potential misalignment between strategy and market demands.

The upcoming "Back to Starbucks" plan will need to address these core issues, focusing on rebuilding the brand's appeal and adapting to new market realities to reverse the negative trends in both domestic and international markets.

10/22/2024 - 04:05 PM

Results Reflect Challenged Customer Experience; Management is Developing a Plan to Get Back to Starbucks and Will Provide Insights into Its Plan during the Q4 and Full Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Call

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) today reported preliminary financial results for its 13-week fiscal fourth quarter and 52-week fiscal year ended September 29, 2024. GAAP results in fiscal 2024 and fiscal 2023 include items that are excluded from non-GAAP results. Please refer to the reconciliation of GAAP measures to non-GAAP measures at the end of this release for more information.

For the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, global comparable store sales declined 7%, and consolidated net revenues declined 3% to $9.1 billion, or a 3% decline on a constant currency basis. GAAP earnings per share is $0.80, down 25% over prior year. Non-GAAP earnings per share is also $0.80, declining 24% on a constant currency basis.

The company’s results were primarily driven by softness in North America’s revenues in the quarter, specifically a 6% decline in U.S. comparable store sales, driven by a 10% decline in comparable transactions, partially offset by a 4% increase in average ticket. The accelerated investments in an expanded range of product offerings coupled with more frequent in-app promotions and integrated marketing to entice frequency across the customer base did not improve customer behaviors, specifically traffic across both Starbucks Rewards and non-SR customer segments, resulting in lower-than-expected performance. Additionally, China comparable store sales declined 14%, driven by an 8% decline in average ticket compounded by a 6% decline in comparable transactions, weighed down by intensified competition and a soft macro environment that impacted consumer spending.

For the full fiscal year 2024, global comparable store sales declined 2%, and consolidated net revenues increased 1% to $36.2 billion, also a 1% increase on a constant currency basis. GAAP earnings per share is $3.31, down 8% over prior year. Non-GAAP earnings per share is also $3.31, declining 6% on a constant currency basis. The lower-than-expected performance for the full fiscal year was a result of pronounced traffic decline, including a cautious consumer environment, and our targeted and accelerated investments not improving customer behaviors, as well as the macro and competitive environment in China pressuring our results further.

Given the company’s ceo transition coupled with the current state of the business, guidance will be suspended for the full fiscal year 2025. This will allow ample opportunity to complete an assessment of the business and solidify key strategies, while stabilizing and positioning the business for long-term growth.

With a strategic reset underway, the company remains committed to creating shareholder value and is announcing that its Board of Directors approved an increase in the quarterly cash dividend from $0.57 to $0.61 per share of outstanding common stock. The dividend and related increase demonstrates the company’s confidence in the long-term growth.

“Despite our heightened investments, we were unable to change the trajectory of our traffic decline, resulting in pressures in both our top-line and bottom-line. While our efficiency efforts continued to produce according to plan, they were not enough to outpace the impact of the decline in traffic,” commented Rachel Ruggeri, chief financial officer. “We are developing a plan to turn around our business, but it will take time. We want to amplify our confidence in the business, and provide some certainty as we drive our turnaround. For that reason, we have increased our dividend,” Ruggeri added.

“Our fourth quarter performance makes it clear that we need to fundamentally change our strategy so we can get back to growth and that's exactly what we are doing with our ‘Back to Starbucks’ plan,” commented Brian Niccol, chairman and chief executive officer. “I’ve spent my first several weeks in stores engaging with and listening to feedback from our partners and customers. It’s clear that Starbucks is a much-loved brand. We need to focus on what has always set us apart — a welcoming coffeehouse where people gather and where we serve the finest coffee, handcrafted by our skilled baristas. We are energized and the team is already moving quickly. I’ll share more details at our upcoming earnings call, but invite you to listen to my initial thoughts on our investor relations website,” Niccol concluded.

Starbucks released a video of prepared remarks by Brian Niccol, chairman and chief executive officer. The video is available at https://investor.starbucks.com / and the video will be available on the company’s website until the end of day, Thursday, December 5, 2024. The company uses its website as a tool to disclose important information about the company and comply with its disclosure obligations under Regulation Fair Disclosure. A transcript of the video accompanies this Release.

Starbucks plans to release its actual fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2024 financial results after market close on Wednesday, October 30, 2024, with a conference call to follow at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time. The conference call will be webcast, including closed captioning, and can be accessed on the company’s website at https://investor.starbucks.com/. A replay of the webcast will be available on the company’s website until the end of day, Friday, December 13, 2024.

About Starbucks

Since 1971, Starbucks Coffee Company has been committed to ethically sourcing and roasting high-quality arabica coffee. Today, with more than 40,000 stores worldwide, the company is the premier roaster and retailer of specialty coffee in the world. Through our unwavering commitment to excellence and our guiding principles, we bring the unique Starbucks Experience to life for every customer through every cup. To share in the experience, please visit us in our stores or online at stories.starbucks.com or www.starbucks.com.

Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements contained herein and in the prepared remarks from our chairman and ceo are “forward-looking” statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws and regulations. Generally, these statements can be identified by the use of words such as “aim,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “feel,” “forecast,” “intend,” “may,” “outlook,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “seek,” “should,” “will,” “would,” and similar expressions intended to identify forward-looking statements, although not all forward-looking statements contain these identifying words. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties, and other factors (many beyond our control) that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our historical experience or from our current expectations or projections. Our forward-looking statements, and the risks and uncertainties related thereto, include, but are not limited to, those described under the “Risk Factors” and “Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” sections of the company’s most recently filed periodic reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q and in other filings with the SEC, as well as:

our ability to preserve, grow, and leverage our brands, including the risk of negative responses by consumers (such as boycotts or negative publicity campaigns) or governmental actors (such as retaliatory legislative treatment) who object to certain actions taken or not taken by the Company, which responses could adversely affect our brand value;
the acceptance of the company’s products and changes in consumer preferences, consumption, or spending behavior and our ability to anticipate or react to them; shifts in demographic or health and wellness trends; or unfavorable consumer reaction to new products, platforms, reformulations, or other innovations;
our anticipated operating expenses, including our anticipated total capital expenditures;
the costs associated with, and the successful execution and effects of, our existing and any future business opportunities, expansions, initiatives, strategies, investments, and plans, including our Back to Starbucks plan;
the impacts of partner investments and changes in the availability and cost of labor including any union organizing efforts and our responses to such efforts;
the ability of our business partners, suppliers and third-party providers to fulfill their responsibilities and commitments;
higher costs, lower quality, or unavailability of coffee, dairy, cocoa, energy, water, raw materials, or product ingredients;
the impact of adverse weather conditions or natural disasters;
the impact of significant increases in logistics costs;
a worsening in the terms and conditions upon which we engage with our manufacturers and source suppliers, whether resulting from broader local or global conditions, or dynamics specific to our relationships with such parties;
unfavorable global or regional economic conditions and related economic slowdowns or recessions, low consumer confidence, high unemployment, weak credit or capital markets, budget deficits, burdensome government debt, austerity measures, higher interest rates, higher taxes, political instability, higher inflation, or deflation;
inherent risks of operating a global business including geopolitical instability, local labor policies and conditions, including labor strikes and work stoppages, protectionist trade policies, or economic or trade sanctions, and compliance with local trade practices and other regulations;
failure to attract or retain key executive or partner talent or successfully transition executives;
the potential negative effects of incidents involving food or beverage-borne illnesses, tampering, adulteration, contamination or mislabeling;
negative publicity related to our company, products, brands, marketing, executive leadership, partners, board of directors, founder, operations, business performance, expansions, initiatives, strategies, investments, plans, or prospects;
potential negative effects of a material breach, failure, or corruption of our information technology systems or those of our direct and indirect business partners, suppliers or third-party providers, or failure to comply with data protection laws;
our environmental, community, and farmer promises and any reaction related thereto, such as the rise in opposition to “ESG” and inclusion and diversity efforts;
risks associated with acquisitions, dispositions, business partnerships, or investments – such as acquisition integration, termination difficulties or costs, or impairment in recorded value;
the impact of foreign currency translation, particularly a stronger U.S. dollar;
the impact of substantial competition from new entrants, consolidations by competitors, and other competitive activities, such as pricing actions (including price reductions, promotions, discounting, couponing, or free goods), marketing, category expansion, product introductions, or entry or expansion in our geographic markets;
the impact of changes in U.S. tax law and related guidance and regulations that may be implemented, including on tax rates;
the impact of health epidemics, pandemics, or other public health events on our business and financial results, and the risk of negative economic impacts and related regulatory measures or voluntary actions that may be put in place, including restrictions on business operations or social distancing requirements, and the duration and efficacy of such restrictions;
failure to comply with anti-corruption laws, trade sanctions and restrictions, or similar laws or regulations; and
the impact of significant legal disputes and proceedings, or government investigations.

In addition, many of the foregoing risks and uncertainties are, or could be, exacerbated by any worsening of the global business and economic environment. A forward-looking statement is neither a prediction nor a guarantee of future events or circumstances, and those future events or circumstances may not occur. You should not place undue reliance on the forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this report. We are under no obligation to update or alter any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise.

Key Metrics

The company's financial results and long-term growth model will continue to be driven by new store openings, comparable store sales growth and operating margin management. We believe these key operating metrics are useful to investors because management uses these metrics to assess the growth of our business and the effectiveness of our marketing and operational strategies.

Non-GAAP Disclosure

In addition to the GAAP results provided in this release, the company provides certain non-GAAP financial measures that are not in accordance with, or alternatives for, generally accepted accounting principles in the United States (GAAP). When provided to investors, our non-GAAP financial measures of non-GAAP general and administrative expenses (G&A), non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating income growth (loss), non-GAAP operating margin, non-GAAP effective tax rate and non-GAAP earnings per share exclude the below-listed items and their related tax impacts, as management does not believe they contribute to a meaningful evaluation of the company’s future operating performance or comparisons to the company's past operating performance. The GAAP measures most directly comparable to non-GAAP G&A, non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating income growth (loss), non-GAAP operating margin, non-GAAP effective tax rate and non-GAAP earnings per share are G&A, operating income, operating income growth (loss), operating margin, effective tax rate and diluted net earnings per share, respectively.

Non-GAAP Exclusion				Rationale
Restructuring and impairment costs				Management excludes restructuring and impairment costs for reasons discussed above. These expenses are anticipated to be completed within a finite period of time.
Transaction and integration-related costs				Management excludes transaction and integration costs for reasons discussed above. Additionally, we incur certain costs associated with certain divestiture activities. The majority of these costs will be recognized over a finite period of time.
Gain on sale of assets				Management excludes the gain related to the sale of assets to Nestlé, primarily consisting of intellectual properties associated with the Seattle's Best Coffee brand, as these items do not reflect future gains or tax impacts for reasons discussed above.

The Company also presents constant currency information to provide a framework for assessing how our underlying businesses performed excluding the effect of foreign currency rate fluctuations. To present the constant currency information, current period results for entities reporting in currencies other than United States dollars are converted into United States dollars using the average monthly exchange rates from the comparative period rather than the actual exchange rates in effect during the respective periods, excluding related hedging activities. We believe the presentation of results on a constant currency basis in addition to GAAP results helps users better understand our performance, because it excludes the effects of foreign currency volatility that are not indicative of our underlying operating results.

Non-GAAP G&A, non-GAAP operating income, non-GAAP operating income growth (loss), non-GAAP operating margin, non-GAAP effective tax rate, non-GAAP earnings per share and constant currency may have limitations as analytical tools. These measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for analysis of the company’s results as reported under GAAP. Other companies may calculate these non-GAAP financial measures differently than the company does, limiting the usefulness of those measures for comparative purposes.

STARBUCKS CORPORATION NET REVENUE CONSTANT CURRENCY RECONCILIATION (unaudited, in millions)

	Quarter Ended
	Consolidated
Revenue for the quarter ended Oct 1, 2023 as reported (GAAP)	$	9,373.6
Revenue for the quarter ended Sep 29, 2024 as reported (GAAP)	$	9,074.0
Change (%)		(3.2	)%
Constant Currency Impact (%)		0.3	%
Change in Constant Currency (%)		(2.9	)%

	Year Ended
	Consolidated
Revenue for the year ended Oct 1, 2023 as reported (GAAP)	$	35,975.6
Revenue for the year ended Sep 29, 2024 as reported (GAAP)	$	36,176.2
Change (%)		0.6	%
Constant Currency Impact (%)		0.7	%
Change in Constant Currency (%)		1.3	%

STARBUCKS CORPORATION RECONCILIATION OF SELECTED GAAP MEASURES TO NON-GAAP MEASURES (unaudited, in millions, except per share data)

	Quarter Ended
Consolidated	Sep 29, 2024		Oct 1, 2023		Change	Constant Currency Impact	Change in Constant Currency
Diluted net earnings per share, as reported (GAAP)	$	0.80	$	1.06	(24.5)%
Non-GAAP EPS	$	0.80	$	1.06	(24.5)%	0.9%	(23.6)%

	Year Ended
Consolidated	Sep 29, 2024		Oct 1, 2023			Change	Constant Currency Impact	Change in Constant Currency
Diluted net earnings per share, as reported (GAAP)	$	3.31	$	3.58		(7.5)%
Restructuring and impairment costs ⁽¹⁾		—		0.02
Transaction and integration-related costs ⁽²⁾		—		0.00
Gain from sale of assets		—		(0.08	)
Income tax effect on Non-GAAP adjustments ⁽³⁾		—		0.02
Non-GAAP EPS	$	3.31	$	3.54		(6.5)%	0.9%	(5.6)%

⁽¹⁾		Represents costs associated with our restructuring efforts.
⁽²⁾		Fiscal 2023 includes transaction-related expenses related to the sale of our Seattle's Best Coffee brand.
⁽³⁾		Adjustments were determined based on the nature of the underlying items and their relevant jurisdictional tax rates.

Appendix

Transcript of Prepared Remarks by Brian Niccol, chairman and chief executive officer

I think, as you know, last month I made a commitment that we would get “Back to Starbucks.”

That means focusing on what has always set Starbucks apart — a welcoming coffeehouse where people gather, and where we serve the finest coffee, handcrafted by our skilled baristas. It’s our enduring identity. And it’s why millions of customers around the world visit Starbucks every single day.

People love Starbucks, but I’ve heard from some customers that we've drifted from our core, that we’ve made it harder to be a customer than it should be, and that we’ve stopped communicating with them. As a result, some are visiting less often, and I think today’s results tell that same story.

To welcome all our customers back and return to growth, we need to fundamentally change our recent strategy.

“Back to Starbucks” is that fundamental change.

I believe that our problems are very fixable and that we have significant strengths to build on. I’ve spent my career understanding, stewarding and building brands, and it’s clear the Starbucks brand is strong and enduring. When we stay true to our core identity and focus on delivering a great partner and customer experience, our customers come — and importantly, they come back.

Since taking this role, I’ve been digging in to understand our business. I’ve spent most of my time in stores talking with our partners and customers. I’ve also met with support center teams. I already have some learnings, and we’re applying those learnings to stabilize the business in the near-term and to shape our go-forward strategy. We have a clear plan, and we are already taking quick action, regardless of any challenges in the consumer environment. We know we must operate at our best every time we serve our customers.

I look forward to sharing more and taking questions on next week’s earnings call. But, today, I want to share some of what I’ve seen and where we need to focus:

At Starbucks, coffee comes first.

No one matches our expertise. Our deep engagement with coffee farmers, our skilled roasters, the premium equipment we use in our coffeehouses, and the skill of our baristas are all unmatched. We offer something for everyone: fresh brewed coffee from our Clover Vertica, high-quality espresso for everything from Americanos to Flat Whites, innovations in cold coffee with our reformulated iced coffee, and the popular Iced Shaken Espresso platform. Through product development, marketing, and in-store experience, we need to remind everyone that we are, and always have been, Starbucks Coffee Company.

From the very beginning, Starbucks has always been about our green apron partners.

Everything we do starts and ends with them. We must ensure our baristas have the time and tools they need to provide exceptional customer service, and that they are supported by strong leaders and managers across every store. Every person at Starbucks must work harder to support our retail teams, moving faster to respond to their feedback and get them what they need. Our green apron partners want to provide exceptional service to our customers. And as leaders, we need to remove those things that might stop them from doing that.

We’ll also build on our legacy by making Starbucks the best job in retail, offering our baristas meaningful career growth and industry-leading benefits, like the opportunity for U.S. partners to earn a free four-year college degree.

We need to offer a great experience to our customers every single time, especially during the morning peak.

We are reorienting all our work to ensure we deliver a high-quality handcrafted beverage, prepared quickly and with care, and handed directly to the customer by our barista. This is the moment of truth. This commitment will drive every decision we make. To succeed, we need to address staffing in our stores, remove bottlenecks, and simplify things for our baristas. We need to refine mobile order and pay so it doesn’t overwhelm the café experience. We know how to make these improvements, and when we do, we know customers will visit more often.

We must reestablish ourselves as the community coffeehouse.

Starbucks has always been a place where people come together. We are revisiting our stores to make sure we’re offering the amenities you’d expect in a community coffeehouse. Even if customers don’t want to stay in the café each time they visit, we know they expect our stores to look and feel like the community coffeehouse they remember.

We have to reintroduce Starbucks to the world.

We’re fundamentally changing our marketing. We’ve been focusing on Starbucks Rewards customers rather than talking to all our customers. And we’re changing that quickly, as you likely have already seen. We’re prioritizing our brand, highlighting the handcrafted products customers expect, and showcasing the coffee innovation that sets Starbucks apart. We will simplify our overly complex menu, fix our pricing architecture, and ensure that every customer feels Starbucks is worth it every single time they visit.

As we do all this, we’re committed to innovating with discipline and prioritizing investments that will improve the experience for both our partners and customers.

As I said last month, my near-term focus is the U.S. It’s our biggest business and we need to return it to growth. But we also have significant opportunities around the world. Our team is focused on how we return Starbucks China to growth and getting all our international businesses performing again.

Throughout my career, I’ve learned and applied some powerful lessons. If you stay true to your core identity, take care of customers and your team, simplify the business, deliver consistently high-quality products and experiences, and tell your story effectively, you will be successful.

So we have a lot of work ahead of us, but I am confident we can get all these things right at Starbucks. I’m convinced that if we get back to Starbucks — with a focus on coffee and customers combined with a welcoming coffeehouse experience created by our green apron partners — we will remind people of why they love Starbucks. They will visit more often, and we will return this company to strong growth.

Getting “Back to Starbucks” is our plan, and we’ll share our progress as we go.

Thank you for listening and I look forward to sharing the progress with you in the future.

View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20241022788428/en/

Starbucks Contact, Investor Relations:

Tiffany Willis

investorrelations@starbucks.com

Starbucks Contact, Media:

Emily Albright

press@starbucks.com

Source: Starbucks Corporation

FAQ

What were Starbucks' (SBUX) Q4 2024 financial results?

Starbucks reported a 7% decline in global comparable store sales and a 3% decrease in consolidated net revenues to $9.1 billion for Q4 2024. GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per share were $0.80, down 25% year-over-year.

How did Starbucks (SBUX) perform in fiscal year 2024?

For fiscal year 2024, Starbucks saw a 2% decline in global comparable store sales, while consolidated net revenues increased 1% to $36.2 billion. GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per share were $3.31, down 8% from the previous year.

What changes did Starbucks (SBUX) announce to its dividend in 2024?

Starbucks announced that its Board of Directors approved an increase in the quarterly cash dividend from $0.57 to $0.61 per share of outstanding common stock.

Why did Starbucks (SBUX) suspend guidance for fiscal year 2025?

Starbucks suspended guidance for fiscal year 2025 due to the CEO transition and the need to complete an assessment of the business and solidify key strategies to stabilize and position the business for long-term growth.

Starbucks Reports Preliminary Q4 and Full Fiscal Year 2024 Results

Insights

FAQ

What were Starbucks' (SBUX) Q4 2024 financial results?

How did Starbucks (SBUX) perform in fiscal year 2024?

What changes did Starbucks (SBUX) announce to its dividend in 2024?

Why did Starbucks (SBUX) suspend guidance for fiscal year 2025?

NASDAQ:SBUX

SBUX Rankings

SBUX Latest News

SBUX Stock Data

Trending News

Starbucks Reports Preliminary Q4 and Full Fiscal Year 2024 Results

Insights

Financial Analyst negative

Market Research Analyst negative

FAQ

What were Starbucks' (SBUX) Q4 2024 financial results?

How did Starbucks (SBUX) perform in fiscal year 2024?

What changes did Starbucks (SBUX) announce to its dividend in 2024?

Why did Starbucks (SBUX) suspend guidance for fiscal year 2025?

NASDAQ:SBUX

SBUX Rankings

SBUX Latest News

SBUX Stock Data