Polestar and Rivian Initiate Report That Shows Car Industry to Overshoot IPCC 1.5-Degree Target by More Than 75% Without Urgent Action

Rhea-AI Summary

The Pathway Report, created by Kearney for Polestar (Nasdaq: PSNY) and Rivian (Nasdaq: RIVN), warns that the automotive sector is on track to exceed IPCC’s 1.5-degree limit by 75% by 2050. The report identifies urgent actions needed to cut greenhouse gas emissions, highlighting that passenger vehicles contribute 15% of global emissions. It urges a multifaceted approach, including accelerating EV adoption, enhancing renewable energy in power grids, and reducing emissions in manufacturing. The report emphasizes collective industry action and presents a financial opportunity for sustainable innovations.

Positive

• Collaboration between Polestar and Rivian indicates strong commitment to sustainable practices.
• The report outlines actionable steps for automotive manufacturers to reduce emissions by 2030.

Negative

• The automotive industry is projected to overshoot the IPCC's emissions target significantly by 2050.
• Without urgent action, the automotive sector may exhaust its CO2 budget by 2035.

• New Pathway Report from Kearney shows that urgent action is needed to prevent the car industry from massively overshooting IPCC’s 1.5-degree limit
• Electrification alone is not enough: report recommends a 3-lever approach to set industry on the right path and calls for new forms of collaboration to build rapid momentum
• Collective action to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in supply chain and increase renewable energy in the grids is needed in addition to faster EV adoption

GOTHENBURG, Sweden--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Polestar (Nasdaq: PSNY) and Rivian (Nasdaq: RIVN) have collaborated on a ‘Pathway Report' which concludes that the automotive industry is set to overshoot the IPCC’s 1.5-degree pathway by at least 75% by 2050. The two pioneering EV makers initiated the report in response to the climate crisis. The report, which uses existing, open-source data to model the current trajectory for emissions stemming from the car industry, was carried out by global management consulting firm Kearney.

Passenger vehicles currently account for 15% of all greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions globally.¹ The IPCC has stated that all GHG emissions need to be reduced by 43% by 2030, and the report makes clear that the automotive industry is far off track, and, alarmingly, will have spent its full CO₂e budget already by 2035 without urgent action.

Despite the gloomy outlook, the report suggests that the car industry still has a chance to get on track. By redirecting resources and focus, the industry can rapidly build the momentum required to remain in line with the Paris Agreement. The Pathway Report focuses on the current decade and outlines immediate, clear actions that car manufacturers can take between now and 2030, including some that can be triggered immediately.

The data presents a pathway based around three key levers. Lever 1 looks at the speed at which fossil fuel-powered cars need to be replaced by electric cars but points out that this alone will not be enough. A lot more work will be required for levers 2 and 3:

• Increasing renewable energy in power grids
• Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the manufacturing supply chain

Pulling just one or two levers in isolation will be insufficient and only reduce the overshoot. Collective action from automakers is needed on all three levers, in parallel, at a global level. Firstly, the industry must accelerate the transition to electric vehicles by investing in manufacturing capabilities, as well as implementing a firm end date for fossil fuel car sales globally. Secondly, build out renewable energy supply to global grids that enable EV's to reach their full potential through green charging. Thirdly, decarbonize the manufacturing supply chains for these vehicles through switching to low carbon materials, and investing in renewable energy solutions for supply chains.

Fredrika Klarén, Polestar Head of Sustainability, says: “Car companies may be on different paths when it comes to brand, design, and business strategies, and some won’t even admit that the road to the future is electric. I believe it is, and that the climate crisis is a shared responsibility, and we must look beyond tailpipe emissions. This report makes clear the importance of acting now and together. There’s a clear cost to inaction, but there’s also a financial opportunity for innovators who find new answers to the challenges we face.”

Kearney’s report has also been shared with several of the world’s leading car makers, together with an invitation to a roundtable held at the end of January to discuss areas of collective action. The aim is to find a path towards unprecedented, relevant and collective climate action for the car industry.

Anisa Costa, Rivian’s Chief Sustainability Officer, adds: “The report’s findings are sobering. Our hope is that this report lays the groundwork for the automotive industry to collaborate in driving progress at the pace and scale we need – and ideally inspiring other industries to do the same. Together, I’m confident we can win the race against time.”

The Pathway Report clearly shows the cost of inaction and the strong case for sustainable development. The investment community is moving, and capital flows are shifting from traditional investment to sustainable investment, recognizing an increasing link between sustainable transformation and financial benefits. In 2021, global sustainability investments totaled USD 35.3 trillion, representing over a third of all assets in five of the world’s biggest markets.

Angela Hultberg, global sustainability director at Kearney, says: “We are proud to have been chosen as a trusted expert to develop this report. The result of our modeling clearly shows that the industry needs to accelerate the pace of becoming a low carbon industry. We looked at different scenarios, different data points, and the conclusion is that no matter how you model it, we are far too close for comfort. We sincerely hope this report will be a starting point for the industry to focus on areas where there is agreement and find specific initiatives. It will take collective action to solve some of the issues at hand, and we look forward to seeing what the manufacturers will do in the near future.”

More talks are planned over the coming months. Other car manufacturers interested in partaking can contact pathway@kearney.com.

Read the full report here.

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¹ https://www.kearney.com/automotive/article/-/insights/polestar-and-rivian-pathway-report-

View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20230207006161/en/

Rivian

Harry Porter (UK)

media@rivian.com

Polestar

media@polestar.com

Source: Rivian Automotive, Inc.

FAQ

What does the Pathway Report from Rivian and Polestar reveal?

The Pathway Report shows that the automotive industry is set to significantly overshoot the IPCC’s 1.5-degree target by 2050, emphasizing the need for urgent action.

How can the automotive industry meet emissions targets according to the report?

The report suggests a three-lever approach: accelerating EV adoption, increasing renewable energy in grids, and reducing emissions in the manufacturing supply chain.

What is the significance of the collective action called for in the Pathway Report?

Collective action is essential for automakers to effectively implement all three strategies and make substantial progress towards emissions reduction.

Which companies collaborated on the Pathway Report?

The Pathway Report is a collaboration between Polestar (PSNY) and Rivian (RIVN), initiated in response to the climate crisis.

What are the potential risks highlighted in the Pathway Report regarding emissions?

The report indicates that without urgent measures, the automotive industry could fully utilize its CO2 budget by 2035, presenting a dire need for immediate action.