Redfin Reports Home Supply Is Up For The First Time In Nearly 3 Years

Rhea-AI Summary

Redfin's June 2022 Housing Market Report indicates a substantial shift in the real estate landscape. Home sales have seen a 15.5% year-over-year decline, attributed to high mortgage rates exceeding 5.5% and economic uncertainty. The inventory of homes for sale increased by 2%, marking the first annual rise since July 2019. The median sale price was $428,400, reflecting an 11.2% annual growth but the smallest increase in nearly two years. Buyers face higher monthly costs but benefit from reduced competition.

Positive

• The number of homes for sale rose by 2%, the first annual increase since July 2019.
• Despite a decline in sales, median sale prices still grew by 11.2% year-over-year.

Negative

• Home sales fell nearly 16% year-over-year, the largest decline since May 2020.
• High mortgage rates over 5.5% are pushing buyers away, diminishing market activity.

High mortgage rates are keeping homebuyers on the sidelines, leading to declining home sales and a build-up of supply

SEATTLE--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- (NASDAQ: RDFN) — The number of homes for sale nationwide in June rose 2%, the first annual increase since July 2019, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage.

Supply has built up as the combination of 5.5%-plus mortgage rates, high home prices and a faltering economy push more buyers to the sidelines, thereby creating a more balanced market. Home sales fell nearly 16% from a year ago, the largest decline since May 2020. The shift has also started impacting sale prices: They’re still growing by double digits, but the 11% year-over-year increase is the smallest in nearly two years.

"The country's economic woes have already cooled the housing market, and they're likely to continue dampening demand," said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. "The Fed has signaled it may increase interest rates further to combat stubbornly high inflation, which could harm consumer confidence, and lower stock prices mean fewer prospective homebuyers can afford a down payment. I advise sellers to commit: If you decide to sell, do it quickly before demand falls further. And price carefully—this is not the time to test the waters. You’ll do more harm than good if you overprice and have to do a price reduction or take the home off the market."

The market is a mixed bag for buyers. They're seeing higher monthly housing payments than earlier this year due to comparatively high mortgage rates but facing less competition for homes, which often allows them to make less risky offers that include protections like inspection and appraisal contingencies.

National Highlights

Market Summary		June 2022		Month-Over-Month		Year-Over-Year
Median sale price		$428,400		-0.4%		11.2%
Homes sold, seasonally-adjusted		524,200		-4.3%		-15.5%
Pending sales, seasonally-adjusted		500,000		-1.5%		-12.6%
New listings, seasonally-adjusted		636,500		0.1%		-4.4%
All Homes for sale, seasonally-adjusted		1,450,900		2.4%		1.8%
Median days on market		18		1		3
Months of supply		1.7		0.2		0.5
Sold above list		55.5%		-3.7 pp†		-0.9 pp†
Median Off-Market Redfin Estimate		$421,300		0.4%		21.1%
Average Sale-to-list		102.3%		-0.8 pp†		-0.2 pp†
Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate		5.52%		+0.29 pp†		+2.54 pp†
† - “pp” = percentage-point change

Metro-Level Highlights

Competition

• Denver and Indianapolis were the fastest markets, with half of all homes pending sale in just 5 days. Grand Rapids, MI, Omaha, NE and Oklahoma City were the next-fastest markets, with 6 median days on market.
• The most competitive market in June was Rochester, NY, where 80.5% of homes sold above list price, followed by 76.8% in Worcester, MA, 76.2% in Oakland, CA, 75.4% in Buffalo, NY, and 75.0% in Hartford, CT.

Prices

• North Port, FL had the nation’s highest price growth, with home prices rising 29.7% since a year earlier to $480,000. Cape Coral, FL had the second-highest growth at 27.7%, followed by Tampa, FL (26.1%), Fort Worth, TX (24.2%), and Knoxville, TN (24.1%).
• Only San Francisco (-0.5%) saw price declines in June.

Sales

• No metro areas saw home sales increase from a year earlier in June. Greenville, SC had the smallest decline, with home sales dropping 2.3% year over year, followed by Worcester, MA, down 4.1%. El Paso, TX rounded out the top three with sales down 7.2% from a year ago.
• West Palm Beach, FL saw the largest decline in sales from a year earlier, falling 34.1%. Next came Anaheim, CA and Miami, where home sales declined by 33.6% and 33.5%, respectively.

Inventory

• North Port, FL had the biggest increase in the number of homes for sale, up 34% year over year, followed by Colorado Springs, CO (31.5%) and Austin, TX (26.9%).
• Allentown, PA had the largest decrease in the number of homes for sale, falling 41.1% since last June. Hartford, CT (-29.2%), Greensboro, NC (-28.6%), and Bridgeport, CT (-27.9%) came next.

To view the full report, including charts, metro-level data and methodology, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/more-homes-for-sale-first-time-since-2019/

About Redfin

Redfin (www.redfin.com) is a technology-powered real estate company. We help people find a place to live with brokerage, instant home-buying (iBuying), rentals, lending, title insurance, and renovations services. We sell homes for more money and charge half the fee. We also run the country's #1 real-estate brokerage site. Our home-buying customers see homes first with on-demand tours, and our lending and title services help them close quickly. Customers selling a home can take an instant cash offer from Redfin or have our renovations crew fix up their home to sell for top dollar. Our rentals business empowers millions nationwide to find apartments and houses for rent. Since launching in 2006, we've saved customers more than $1 billion in commissions. We serve more than 100 markets across the U.S. and Canada and employ over 6,000 people.

For more information or to contact a local Redfin real estate agent, visit www.redfin.com. To learn about housing market trends and download data, visit the Redfin Data Center. To be added to Redfin's press release distribution list, email press@redfin.com. To view Redfin's press center, click here.

View source version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20220714005739/en/

Contact Redfin

Redfin Journalist Services:

Ally Braun, 206-588-6863

press@redfin.com

Source: Redfin

FAQ

What were the median sale prices reported by Redfin in June 2022?

The median sale price reported was $428,400.

How much did home sales decline in June 2022 according to Redfin?

Home sales fell nearly 16% year-over-year.

What factors are affecting the housing market as per Redfin's June report?

High mortgage rates, high home prices, and economic uncertainty are leading to declining home sales.

What is the current average mortgage rate reported by Redfin?

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 5.52%.

How many homes were sold in June 2022 according to Redfin?

A total of 524,200 homes were sold, seasonally adjusted.